Tommy Mace
P
Columbus Clippers
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%16.9%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%4.6%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF3535
CTRL2525
CMD2525
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 22 | 21 | 85 | 360 | 75 | 38 | 13 | 16.0% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 4.55 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 17 | 115 | 503 | 103 | 54 | 13 | 16.2% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 5.10 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 28 | 27 | 146 | 618 | 104 | 46 | 17 | 13.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 3.71 | 4.89 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 30 | 20 | 116 | 485 | 86 | 75 | 9 | 14.6% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 3.73 | 5.26 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 5 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 11 | 12 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.79 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 77 | 79 | 15 | 15.1% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 5.78 | 5.78 | -0.7 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 129 | 554 | 88 | 91 | 17 | 15.8% | 16.5% | 3.0% | 5.78 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 22 | 22 | 120 | 508 | 80 | 76 | 15 | 15.8% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 5.64 | 5.65 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 21 | 21 | 118 | 496 | 80 | 72 | 15 | 16.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 5.57 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 21 | 21 | 114 | 481 | 78 | 68 | 15 | 16.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 5.55 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 20 | 20 | 110 | 464 | 75 | 66 | 15 | 16.1% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 5.58 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 19 | 106 | 446 | 71 | 64 | 14 | 15.8% | 14.3% | 3.2% | 5.66 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 101 | 426 | 66 | 62 | 14 | 15.5% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 5.75 | 5.81 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 96 | 404 | 61 | 59 | 14 | 15.2% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 5.85 | 5.92 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 56 | 57 | 13 | 14.8% | 14.9% | 3.5% | 5.96 | 6.04 | -0.8 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | CLE | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 51 | 54 | 13 | 14.4% | 15.1% | 3.6% | 6.09 | 6.17 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 109 | 85 | 470 | 2013 | 305 | 249 | 66 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 5.19 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 36 | 200 | 856 | 130 | 106 | 28 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 5.19 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Mace (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.78 | 15.1% | 15.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.61 | 16.0% | 1.5% | 352 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 80 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | .263 | 4.25 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -1.02 | 3.92 | 272 | 77 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 106 | 77 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.94 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.8% | .315 | 3.58 | 16.6% | 6.9% | 95 | -1.36 | 2.19 | 404 | 77 |
| Brad Allen R 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.86 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 149 | 75 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.79 | 11.7% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 371 | 75 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.78 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 5.08 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | +0.30 | 4.78 | 153 | 75 |
| Chris Jensen R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 488 | 74 |
| David Fletcher R 2029 · 5.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.65 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.65 | 100 | 74 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.72 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.12 | 3.22 | 221 | 73 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.88 | 11.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 314 | 73 |
| Mike Connolly R 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 73 |
| Bryan Mitchell R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.05 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 4.5% | .282 | 5.37 | 17.2% | 4.6% | 115 | -0.68 | 2.72 | 481 | 73 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.04 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 116 | 73 |
| Mike Hauschild R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.61 | 17.3% | 13.6% | 2.3% | .294 | 4.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 157 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 579 | 72 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.2% | 15.8% | 2.4% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 404 | 72 |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .304 | 3.61 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.20 | 3.03 | 401 | 71 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 71 |
| Joey Mancini R 2024 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.08 | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 316 | 71 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.94 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 239 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.