Tommy Mace
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 27
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 87 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156147vR 137
ERA6.12
FIP6.12
K%12.9%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%-3.7%
ROS IP87
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 128 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 22 | 21 | 85 | 360 | 75 | 38 | 13 | 95% | 3.9 | 16.0% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.55 | 5.24 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 22 | 21 | 85 | 360 | 75 | 38 | 13 | 95% | 3.9 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.55 | 4.66 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 17 | 115 | 503 | 103 | 54 | 13 | 71% | 4.8 | 16.2% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.63 | 5.18 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 17 | 115 | 503 | 103 | 54 | 13 | 71% | 4.8 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 28 | 27 | 146 | 618 | 104 | 46 | 17 | 96% | 5.2 | 13.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.71 | 4.93 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 28 | 27 | 146 | 618 | 104 | 46 | 17 | 96% | 5.2 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 4.14 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 20 | 116 | 485 | 86 | 75 | 9 | 67% | 3.9 | 14.6% | 16.9% | -2.4% | 2.4% | 3.73 | 5.34 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 20 | 116 | 485 | 86 | 75 | 9 | 67% | 3.9 | 17.7% | 15.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.73 | 4.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 25 | 0 | 40 | 195 | 30 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 18.8% | -5.3% | 3.9% | 5.80 | 6.51 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 83 | 0 | 87 | 368 | 48 | 61 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 16.6% | -3.7% | 3.0% | 6.12 | 6.12 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 16.6% | -3.7% | 3.0% | 6.12 | 6.12 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 128 | 563 | 78 | 96 | 18 | — | — | 13.8% | 17.1% | -3.3% | 3.2% | 6.02 | 6.24 | -1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 9 | 37 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 12.9% | 16.6% | -3.7% | 3.0% | 6.12 | 5.74 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 85 | 357 | 49 | 57 | 11 | 100% | 6.5 | 13.7% | 15.8% | -2.1% | 3.1% | 5.98 | 6.02 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 81 | 341 | 48 | 53 | 11 | 100% | 6.7 | 14.1% | 15.5% | -1.4% | 3.2% | 5.95 | 6.01 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 21 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 13.7% | 15.8% | -2.1% | 3.1% | 5.98 | 6.02 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 7 | 48 | 203 | 29 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.9 | 14.1% | 15.5% | -1.4% | 3.2% | 5.95 | 6.01 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 13 | 92 | 390 | 54 | 61 | 12 | 62% | 4.4 | 13.8% | 15.7% | -1.9% | 3.1% | 5.98 | 5.65 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 28 | 200 | 844 | 117 | 132 | 26 | 61% | 4.4 | 13.8% | 15.7% | -1.9% | 3.1% | 5.98 | 5.65 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 129 | 85 | 501 | 2161 | 320 | 273 | 72 | 66% | 3.9 | 14.8% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.24 | 5.28 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 34 | 200 | 862 | 128 | 109 | 29 | 66% | 3.9 | 14.8% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.24 | 5.28 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Mace (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.12 | 12.9% | 16.6% | 3.0% | — | 6.02 | 13.9% | -1.8% | 165 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 81 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 74 |
| Luis Niebla R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 74 |
| Chris Jensen R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.29 | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 488 | 72 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 72 |
| Jordan Geber R 2026 · 6.11 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.11 | 14.2% | 18.0% | 3.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 239 | 70 |
| Keyvius Sampson R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.21 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 316 | 70 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 5.97 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.97 | 15.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 261 | 70 |
| Robbie Peto R 2024 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 70 |
| Mike Connolly R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 70 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 68 |
| Jared Kollar R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.67 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 345 | 67 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 67 |
| Alex Caldera R 2028 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 67 |
| Brad Allen R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.07 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 149 | 66 |
| Deylen Miley R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 66 |
| Nick Fraze R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.29 | 14.9% | 11.8% | 3.6% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 278 | 66 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2024 · 5.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.57 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.57 | 116 | 66 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 65 |
| Adam Panayotovich R 2024 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .375 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 121 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 84 | 13.6% | 16.0% | 1.19 | 6.02 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Dakota Hudson ('24) | 6 | 92 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 0.91 | 4.25 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |