Tommy Mace — OGILVIE

Tommy Mace P Columbus Clippers

Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.07

FIP6.07

K%12.8%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%-3.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	22	21	85	360	75	38	13	95%	3.9	16.0%	12.1%	3.9%	4.0%	4.55	5.47	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	22	21	85	360	75	38	13	95%	3.9	20.8%	10.6%	10.3%	3.6%	4.55	4.66	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	115	503	103	54	13	71%	4.8	16.2%	12.0%	4.2%	3.3%	4.63	5.06	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	115	503	103	54	13	71%	4.8	16.2%	12.0%	4.2%	3.3%	4.63	5.06	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	17	115	503	103	54	13	71%	4.8	20.5%	10.7%	9.7%	2.6%	4.63	4.19	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	28	27	146	618	104	46	17	96%	5.2	13.6%	8.2%	5.4%	3.4%	3.71	4.86	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	28	27	146	618	104	46	17	96%	5.2	13.6%	8.2%	5.4%	3.4%	3.71	4.86	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	28	27	146	618	104	46	17	96%	5.2	16.8%	7.4%	9.4%	2.8%	3.71	4.14	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	116	485	86	75	9	67%	3.9	14.4%	16.7%	-2.3%	2.3%	3.73	5.25	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	116	485	86	75	9	67%	3.9	14.4%	16.7%	-2.3%	2.3%	3.73	5.25	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	20	116	485	86	75	9	67%	3.9	17.7%	15.5%	2.3%	1.9%	3.73	4.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	25	0	40	195	30	35	7	0%	1.6	12.8%	16.2%	-3.4%	3.9%	5.80	6.24	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	25	0	40	195	30	35	7	0%	1.6	12.8%	16.2%	-3.4%	3.9%	5.80	6.24	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	CLE	25	0	40	195	30	35	7	0%	1.6	15.4%	17.9%	-2.6%	3.6%	5.80	6.04	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	CLE	6	0	6	25	3	4	1	0%	1.0	12.8%	16.4%	-3.6%	2.9%	6.07	6.07	-0.1
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	46	220	33	39	8	—	—	15.1%	17.8%	-2.7%	3.5%	5.84	6.21	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CLE	13	13	85	357	49	56	11	100%	6.5	13.6%	15.7%	-2.1%	3.0%	5.94	5.97	-1.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	81	341	48	52	11	100%	6.7	14.0%	15.3%	-1.3%	3.2%	5.91	5.97	-0.9
2029	30	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	76	321	52	46	11	100%	6.3	16.1%	14.4%	1.6%	3.4%	5.81	5.79	-0.7
2027	28	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	36	152	21	24	5	100%	6.0	13.6%	15.7%	-2.1%	3.0%	5.94	5.97	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	CLE	7	7	48	203	28	31	6	100%	6.9	14.0%	15.3%	-1.3%	3.2%	5.91	5.97	-0.5
2029	30	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	53	224	36	32	8	100%	6.6	16.1%	14.4%	1.6%	3.4%	5.81	5.79	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		22	21	138	582	85	88	19	95%	6.3	14.7%	15.1%	-0.4%	3.2%	5.88	5.52	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	31	200	844	123	128	28	97%	6.3	14.7%	15.1%	-0.4%	3.2%	5.88	5.52	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		129	85	501	2161	318	267	71	66%	3.9	14.7%	12.4%	2.4%	3.3%	4.24	5.22	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	34	200	862	127	107	28	66%	3.9	14.7%	12.4%	2.4%	3.3%	4.24	5.22	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tommy Mace (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.07	12.8%	16.4%	2.9%	—	5.91	14.5%	-0.7%	241	-0.16	—	—	—
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	81
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	75
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	75
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	73
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	72
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	70
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	70
Jake Walters R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	27	SW	5.89	14.8%	13.9%	4.2%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	261	68
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	68
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	68
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	68
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	68
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	68
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	67
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	66
Brett Conine R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	25	SW	5.68	14.8%	11.1%	4.4%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	319	66
Levi Stoudt R 2023 · 6.26 FIP	25	SP-	6.26	13.0%	12.1%	5.0%	.280	6.17	15.0%	4.1%	110	-0.09	4.35	395	66
Adam Panayotovich R 2017 · 5.45 FIP	25	SP-	5.45	9.6%	9.0%	3.7%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	121	65
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	65
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	82	14.1%	15.5%	1.20	5.94
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78