Tim Brennan
P
Round Rock Express
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 212 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 116
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%18.8%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%7.8%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 124 | 499 | 82 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.3% | 3.3% | 9.0% | 1.0% | 3.84 | 3.00 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 124 | 499 | 82 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.4% | 2.8% | 13.6% | 1.0% | 3.84 | 2.64 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 26 | 112 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 88% | 3.2 | 10.0% | 10.5% | -0.4% | 0.9% | 3.46 | 4.09 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 26 | 112 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 88% | 3.2 | 13.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 3.46 | 3.60 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 19 | 13 | 75 | 299 | 55 | 13 | 9 | 68% | 3.9 | 14.9% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.76 | 4.84 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 19 | 13 | 75 | 299 | 55 | 13 | 9 | 68% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 4.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 2.76 | 3.71 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 11 | 47 | 210 | 24 | 28 | 8 | 58% | 2.5 | 8.9% | 14.9% | -6.0% | 5.2% | 5.94 | 7.10 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 11 | 47 | 210 | 24 | 28 | 8 | 58% | 2.5 | 11.4% | 13.3% | -1.9% | 3.8% | 5.94 | 6.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 25 | 105 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 23 | 99 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.6 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 4.86 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 93 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 52 | 272 | 1120 | 136 | 74 | 30 | 78% | 4.1 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 4.37 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 38 | 200 | 823 | 100 | 54 | 22 | 78% | 4.1 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tim Brennan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% | — | 5.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 23 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 79 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 77 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 73 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 71 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 70 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 70 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 69 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 69 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 5.79 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.79 | 16.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 244 | 68 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 68 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 67 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 67 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 66 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 66 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 66 |
| Chris Heston R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.01 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 321 | 65 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 65 |
| Kenny Serwa R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.75 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 2.4% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 182 | 65 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2029 · 5.01 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.01 | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .244 | 4.83 | 9.9% | 2.0% | 107 | -0.18 | 4.71 | 160 | 65 |
| Kenneth Sigman R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 267 | 65 |