Braylon Owens

P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 228 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.1 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX2 levels	21	14	94	4.04	3.07	29.9%	10.9%	—	K 23.5% · BB 12.3% · FIP 4.06
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIL	10	10	66	4.57	4.57	23.5%	12.0%	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIL	6	6	37	4.54	4.49	23.8%	10.9%	0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBMIL	9	9	57	4.48	4.46	23.8%	10.6%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$2M+1

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 83%

CompsAngel Guzman (age 24) · Ricky Castro (age 24) · Tyler Uberstine (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%23.5%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP66

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	14	94	394	118	43	8	67%	4.5	23.5%	12.3%	11.1%	2.5%	4.04	4.06	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	14	94	394	118	43	8	67%	4.5	23.5%	12.3%	11.1%	2.5%	4.04	4.06	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	14	94	394	118	43	8	67%	4.5	29.9%	10.9%	19.0%	2.0%	4.04	3.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIL	10	10	66	279	66	33	8	100%	6.6	23.5%	12.0%	11.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.57	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	13	13	85	361	86	39	10	100%	6.6	23.8%	10.9%	12.9%	2.8%	4.46	4.41	+0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIL	13	13	85	361	86	38	10	100%	6.6	23.8%	10.6%	13.2%	2.8%	4.40	4.38	+0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIL	13	13	84	355	84	37	10	100%	6.5	23.7%	10.5%	13.2%	2.9%	4.40	4.41	+0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	82	345	81	37	10	100%	6.8	23.5%	10.6%	12.9%	3.0%	4.45	4.49	+0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	78	329	83	33	10	100%	6.5	25.3%	10.1%	15.3%	3.2%	4.39	4.35	+0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIL	11	11	73	309	77	32	10	100%	6.7	25.0%	10.3%	14.6%	3.4%	4.47	4.53	+0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	MIL	10	10	68	288	71	31	10	100%	6.8	24.6%	10.7%	13.9%	3.6%	4.62	4.73	+0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	MIL	9	9	63	267	64	30	10	100%	7.0	24.1%	11.1%	13.0%	3.8%	4.82	4.95	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	6	6	37	156	37	17	5	100%	6.2	23.8%	10.9%	12.9%	3.0%	4.54	4.49	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIL	9	9	57	241	57	26	7	100%	6.3	23.8%	10.6%	13.2%	3.0%	4.48	4.46	+0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	65	274	65	29	8	100%	6.5	23.7%	10.5%	13.2%	3.1%	4.48	4.49	+0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	69	291	69	31	9	100%	6.9	23.5%	10.6%	12.9%	3.2%	4.53	4.57	+0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	68	287	73	29	10	100%	6.8	25.3%	10.1%	15.3%	3.3%	4.48	4.44	+0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	66	279	70	29	10	100%	6.6	25.0%	10.3%	14.6%	3.5%	4.56	4.62	+0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	MIL	9	9	62	262	64	28	10	100%	6.9	24.6%	10.7%	13.9%	3.8%	4.72	4.83	+0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	MIL	9	9	59	249	60	28	10	100%	6.6	24.1%	11.1%	13.0%	4.0%	4.93	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		72	72	482	2036	494	215	69	100%	6.7	24.3%	10.6%	13.7%	3.4%	4.59	4.24	+3.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	205	89	29	100%	6.7	24.3%	10.6%	13.7%	3.4%	4.59	4.24	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		21	14	94	394	92	49	10	67%	4.5	23.5%	12.3%	11.1%	2.5%	4.04	4.06	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	30	200	841	197	104	21	67%	4.5	23.5%	12.3%	11.1%	2.5%	4.04	4.06	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Braylon Owens (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	23.5%	12.0%	2.8%	—	4.40	23.8%	13.1%	255	-0.17	—	—	—
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	86
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	85
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	85
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	82
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	82
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	81
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.96	18.7%	8.6%	306	+1.25	3.61	441	80
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	80
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.31	22.9%	10.2%	109	+0.88	3.43	142	80
Rafael Montero R 2014 · 5.04 FIP	23	SP-	5.04	21.6%	11.9%	4.1%	.298	4.32	19.3%	8.2%	296	-0.72	2.43	714	80
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	80
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	80
Cade Smith R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	22	SP	3.86	23.2%	13.3%	1.9%	.273	5.35	18.2%	6.6%	157	+1.49	3.86	243	79
Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP-	3.89	22.5%	11.2%	2.3%	.290	4.40	21.3%	10.9%	176	+0.51	3.89	296	79
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	79
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	79
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	79
Tim Redding R 2002 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	19.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	4.48	13.8%	5.4%	307	+0.08	3.97	822	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	76	24.1%	10.7%	1.21	4.50
Doug Bair ('76-'90, 7 WAR*)	4.5	76	25.2%*	10.4%*	1.22*	4.12*
Sid Monge ('75-'84, 4 WAR*)	3.8	76	22.1%*	10.8%*	1.34*	3.97*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*
Jay Witasick ('07)	3.7	73	19.6%	11.0%	1.19	4.64
Manny Parra ('15)	3.1	78	20.8%	10.6%	1.00	4.90
Chris Stratton ('25)	3.1	69	21.0%	9.5%	1.02	4.64