Alex Lodise — OGILVIE

Alex LodiseSS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION393 act + 262 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .258 / .340

PA262

HR8

SB7

K%34

BB%5

BABIP276

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$22M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Rome Emperors	—	109	105	15	5	1	1	3	58	1	2	1	143	174	238	412	95	304	53	3	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Rome Emperors	—	109	103	26	10	1	1	5	42	1	2	1	252	294	398	692	146	417	39	5	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	ATL	—	393	356	69	9	2	15	22	149	10	14	2	194	260	357	617	163	274	38	6	265	61	-17	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.0
YTD	22	A	ATL	—	393	342	87	13	3	18	35	105	10	14	2	254	340	468	808	213	308	27	9	353	128	+13	+2	+0	+4	+11	3.1
ROS	22	A	ATL	0%	262	241	48	8	1	8	14	89	5	7	1	199	258	340	598	141	278	34	5	273	67	-10	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	259	56	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	ATL	—	393	357	69	9	2	15	22	149	10	14	2	193	260	356	616	162	273	38	6	265	61	-17	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.0
TOT	22	A	ATL	—	655	597	117	17	3	23	36	238	15	21	3	196	259	350	609	154	275	36	5	268	63	-27	+3	+1	+7	+19	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ATL	34%	342	314	65	11	2	11	19	111	6	7	1	207	265	360	625	153	280	32	6	280	73	-11	+1	+1	+4	+10	0.5
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	414	379	81	14	2	14	25	130	7	8	2	214	275	372	647	158	282	31	6	286	77	-11	+1	+2	+4	+12	0.8
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	443	406	87	15	2	15	27	137	7	9	2	214	275	372	647	158	283	31	6	289	80	-10	+1	+2	+5	+13	1.0
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	460	420	90	16	2	15	29	141	8	9	2	214	278	369	647	155	283	31	6	291	81	-10	+1	+2	+5	+13	1.1
2031	27	MLB	ATL	54%	462	421	90	16	2	15	30	142	8	9	2	214	279	368	647	154	283	31	6	291	81	-10	+1	+2	+5	+13	1.1
2027	23	MLB	ATL	34%	118	108	23	4	1	4	7	38	2	2	0	213	274	380	653	167	280	32	6	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	191	175	37	6	1	6	11	60	3	4	1	211	270	360	630	149	282	31	6	274	68	-7	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.2
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	229	209	45	8	1	8	14	71	4	5	1	215	278	378	656	163	283	31	6	277	70	-8	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.3
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	249	227	49	9	1	8	16	77	4	5	1	216	279	370	649	154	283	31	6	279	72	-8	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.3
2031	27	MLB	ATL	54%	251	229	49	9	1	8	16	77	4	5	1	214	277	367	644	153	283	31	6	279	72	-8	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1038	949	203	36	5	34	64	323	17	21	4	214	276	370	646	156	283	31	6	276	70	-36	+3	+4	+11	+29	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	127	23	3	21	40	202	11	13	3	214	276	369	645	155	283	31	6	276	70	-22	+1	+3	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	2492	2286	476	85	12	79	147	808	42	51	11	208	269	360	628	151	282	32	6	281	74	-74	+6	+10	+27	+71	3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	124	22	3	21	38	211	11	13	3	208	268	361	629	153	281	32	6	281	74	-19	+1	+2	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Rome Emperors	—	109	103	26	10	1	1	5	42	1	2	1	252	294	398	692	146	417	39	5	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,230	40	24	216	273	372	+13	+6	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	21	13	216	273	372	+7.1	+3.4	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Lodise (OGILVIE)	22	29→39	43→51	53→51	35	196/259/350	154	275	23	21	36%	5%	63	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→46	50	49→45	38	193/249/349	157	265	18	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	212/270/345	133	295	14	7	31%	6%	69	-0.4	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	207/274/357	150	293	15	9	33%	6%	75	-0.0	200/267/348	148	290	17	9	35%	6%	69	-0.4	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	42→48	48→45	50→65	38	215/264/352	136	293	16	16	32%	6%	69	-0.4	208/270/334	126	279	13	32	29%	7%	66	-0.6	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Lucas May 2007 · A	22	40→43	46→55	53→45	34	206/246/340	133	288	14	8	33%	4%	57	-1.2	210/257/360	150	275	18	6	30%	5%	68	-0.5	213/266/351	138	284	15	5	30%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Jiandido Tromp 2017 · A	23	39→45	51→55	50→45	37	208/250/372	164	270	18	9	30%	5%	68	-0.5	215/259/340	125	293	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	210/255/318	107	290	10	8	30%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	39	47→55	47→40	36	204/241/332	128	275	16	4	32%	4%	53	-1.5	201/241/337	136	264	15	4	29%	5%	54	-1.4	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
✕Kevin Smith 2019 · A	23	42→43	47→55	53→50	36	214/256/352	138	292	15	15	32%	5%	65	-0.7	201/251/370	169	280	21	14	35%	5%	69	-0.4	200/251/358	158	270	20	15	33%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	41→51	47→50	54→55	41	205/273/349	144	294	13	13	34%	7%	72	-0.2	233/279/364	131	293	11	16	24%	6%	77	+0.1	244/287/365	121	297	10	15	21%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	50→45	51→50	40	209/279/369	160	275	18	9	30%	6%	80	+0.4	213/288/327	114	289	10	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	210/300/295	85	278	6	10	24%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	35→33	53→55	44→50	35	195/242/365	170	267	21	8	36%	5%	63	-0.8	181/230/331	150	256	20	4	37%	5%	50	-1.8	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	58	-1.2	203/261/356	153	281	19	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	209/271/363	155	281	18	8	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2019 · A	21	44	48→55	46→45	37	223/259/369	146	290	16	8	29%	4%	71	-0.3	197/247/314	117	285	11	8	33%	6%	51	-1.7	159/218/254	95	237	9	7	36%	7%	22	-1.1
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	41→44	49→45	49→50	39	216/261/359	144	275	18	9	29%	5%	69	-0.4	219/262/344	125	293	14	14	29%	4%	65	-0.7	231/280/346	114	294	10	18	24%	5%	70	-0.2