Alex Lodise

SS Augusta GreenJackets
Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#311ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202521A+ATL109.252/.294/.3981213—.162/.193/.267
202622AA/A+/AATL620.272/.359/.486281782—.219/.291/.382
2027PROJMLE23MLBATL579.216/.277/.3701910810.5
2028PROJ38% MLB24MLBATL168.219/.281/.37663840.3
2029PROJ55% MLB25MLBATL266.221/.284/.38095860.6
Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
K%72
wRC+63
wOBA59
ISO53
Whiff%53
Speed39
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 9.7, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 86%
CompsJeremiah Jackson (age 23) · Yu Chang (age 22) · Joey Bart (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .275 / .367
PA210
HR7
K%30
BB%6
ISO154
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.30.60.80.80.70.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2031Arb-1$3M+0.8$2M+$0.3M
2032Arb-2$5M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$6M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $11M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202521 A+Rome Emperors — 109103 261011 5421 21 252294398692 146417 395 307 13 — — — — — —
202622 AAColumbus Clingstones — 10292 26503 7212 20 283347435781 152333 217 346 92 — — — — — —
202622 A+Rome Emperors — 8370 24404 765 01 3434395711.010 229328 78 440 137 — — — — — —
202622 AAugusta GreenJackets — 435375 9616321 4211311 155 256347483830 227304 2610 361 69 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202521 A+ MLERome Emperors — 109105 17611 3561 21 162193267459 105319 513 188 13 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 10294 24502 5262 20 255307372679 117323 255 304 92 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLERome Emperors — 8373 22304 485 01 301378507885 205279 105 370 137 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 435389 7612216 2915411 155 195270360630 165255 357 270 69 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLERome Emperors — 109105 17611 3561 21 162193267459 105333 513 188 13 — — — — — —
202521 A+ RAWRome Emperors — 109103 261011 5421 21 252294398692 146417 395 307 13 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE3 teams — 620556 12220222 3818718 176 219291381672 162282 306 289 82 — — — — — —
202622 A RAW3 teams — 620537 14625328 5614018 176 272359486846 214313 239 369 82 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLERome Emperors — 109104 17611 3561 21 163193269462 106319 513 188 13 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE3 teams — 620559 12220222 3818718 176 218291379670 161269 306 289 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202521 A+ MLERome Emperors — 109104 17611 3561 21 163193269462 106319 513 188 13 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE3 teams — 620559 12220222 3818718 176 218291379670 161269 306 289 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEATL 0% 579529 11421219 3317312 103 216277370647 154279 306 288 81 -13 +1 +2 +6 +13 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEATL 38% 446407 8916215 271309 83 219281376658 157280 296 292 84 -8 +0 +2 +5 +10 0.9
202925 MLB MLEATL 55% 480438 9718216 301389 93 221284380664 159281 296 295 86 -8 +1 +3 +5 +10 1.1
203026 MLB MLEATL 64% 500455 10118217 321429 93 222286381667 159281 286 296 87 -8 +1 +3 +5 +11 1.2
203127 MLB MLEATL 66% 506459 10319217 331439 93 222287380667 158281 287 297 87 -8 +1 +3 +5 +11 1.2
203228 MLB MLEATL 67% 505458 10219216 331439 83 221287377664 155281 287 295 86 -8 +0 +2 +5 +11 1.1
203329 MLB MLEATL 66% 496452 9818215 321419 83 219284371655 152280 286 292 84 -10 +0 +1 +5 +11 0.8
203430 MLB MLEATL 65% 486444 9718215 311408 74 216281364644 147278 296 288 81 -11 -0 +0 +5 +11 0.5
203531 MLB MLEATL 65% 470429 9217214 301378 55 213276355630 142275 296 282 77 -13 -1 -0 +5 +10 0.1
202824 MLB CTXATL 38% 168153 34616 10493 31 219281376658 157280 296 292 84 -3 +0 +1 +2 +4 0.3
202925 MLB CTXATL 55% 266243 541019 16775 52 221284380664 159281 296 295 86 -4 +0 +1 +3 +6 0.6
203026 MLB CTXATL 64% 318289 6512111 20916 62 222286381667 159281 296 296 87 -5 +0 +2 +3 +7 0.8
203127 MLB CTXATL 66% 332302 6612111 21946 62 222287380667 158281 286 297 87 -5 +0 +2 +4 +7 0.8
203228 MLB CTXATL 67% 337306 6712111 22956 62 221287377664 155281 287 295 86 -6 +0 +1 +4 +7 0.7
203329 MLB CTXATL 66% 326296 6512110 21936 52 219284371655 152280 296 292 84 -6 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.5
203430 MLB CTXATL 65% 317289 6211110 20915 42 216281364644 147278 296 288 81 -7 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203531 MLB CTXATL 65% 304277 591119 19895 33 213276355630 142275 296 282 77 -8 -1 -0 +3 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 23682155 47286877 14967942 3816 219283374656 155280 296 292 82 -45 +1 +8 +25 +51 4.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 13024221 4118612 104 220284373657 154280 296 292 82 -12 +0 +2 +7 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 48284395 95917620155 301142093 8635 218283373656 155282 296 289 82 -79 +2 +14 +44 +89 7.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 13024321 4119113 125 220286377662 157284 296 289 82 -13 +0 +2 +7 +14 1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 435 PAwOBA .356 → .270 (−86)K% 26.0% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.98%÷1.000×1.360——35.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.66%÷1.000×0.690——6.66%
HBP% /PA2.53%—×0.780——1.97%
Singles /BIP21.37%÷1.000×0.920×0.950—18.68%
Doubles /BIP6.11%÷1.000×0.830×0.950—4.82%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷1.000×0.910×0.950—0.99%
Home runs /BIP8.02%÷1.000×0.800——6.41%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .356 → .270; ISO .227 → .169; BABIP .304 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 102 PAwOBA .340 → .304 (−36)K% 20.6% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.59%÷1.000×1.220——25.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.86%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0424.86%
HBP% /PA1.96%—×0.840—×1.0421.72%
Singles /BIP25.35%÷1.000×0.920×1.021×1.04224.81%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷1.000×0.910×1.021×1.0426.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×1.021×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP4.23%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0423.52%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .340 → .304; ISO .152 → .132; BABIP .333 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 83 PAwOBA .430 → .370 (−60)K% 7.2% → 9.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.23%÷1.000×1.310——9.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.23%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0124.39%
HBP% /PA6.02%—×0.770—×1.0124.69%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.870×0.993×1.01221.86%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.780×0.993×1.0124.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.993×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0125.57%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .430 → .370; ISO .229 → .209; BABIP .328 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Rome Emperors · 109 PAwOBA .298 → .188 (−110)K% 38.5% → 51.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.53%÷0.983×1.310——51.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.59%÷1.020×0.600—×1.0272.77%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.770—×1.0270.73%
Singles /BIP22.95%÷1.098×0.870×1.005×1.02718.76%
Doubles /BIP16.39%÷1.173×0.780×1.005×1.02711.25%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.075×0.850×1.005×1.0271.34%
Home runs /BIP1.64%÷0.819×0.880—×1.0271.81%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .298 → .188; ISO .146 → .092; BABIP .417 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).