Cesar Navarro

P DSL Braves

Age 18 RHP ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKATL	10	10	47	2.47	3.12	18.2%	10.1%	—	K 12.4% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	18	MLBATL	6	6	28	5.01	5.01	18.5%	12.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLBATL	5	5	22	4.82	4.75	19.8%	10.9%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAlec Kisena (age 19) · Miguel Mora (age 19) · Carlos Jimenez (age 17)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%18.5%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%6.6%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	10	47	198	36	20	1	100%	4.7	12.4%	12.6%	-0.3%	0.7%	2.47	4.04	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	10	47	198	36	20	1	100%	4.7	12.4%	12.6%	-0.3%	0.7%	2.47	4.04	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	10	10	47	198	36	20	1	100%	4.7	18.2%	10.1%	8.1%	0.5%	2.47	3.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	ATL	6	6	28	118	22	14	3	100%	4.7	18.5%	12.0%	6.6%	2.9%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	45	189	37	21	5	100%	5.0	19.8%	10.9%	8.9%	2.8%	4.82	4.75	+0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	ATL	5	5	22	93	18	10	3	100%	4.4	19.8%	10.9%	8.9%	2.8%	4.82	4.75	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		5	5	22	93	18	10	3	100%	4.4	19.8%	10.9%	8.9%	2.8%	4.82	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	42	200	844	164	91	27	100%	4.7	19.8%	10.9%	8.9%	2.8%	4.82	4.37	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		10	10	47	198	24	25	1	100%	4.7	12.4%	12.6%	-0.3%	0.7%	2.47	4.04	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	42	200	837	103	106	6	100%	4.7	12.4%	12.6%	-0.3%	0.7%	2.47	4.04	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cesar Navarro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	18.5%	12.0%	2.9%	—	4.75	19.8%	8.9%	45	-0.26	—	—	—
Alec Kisena R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	88
Miguel Mora R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	19	SP	4.21	17.9%	11.2%	2.2%	.221	4.89	16.6%	-3.6%	107	+0.68	2.95	151	85
Carlos Jimenez R 2019 · 4.07 FIP	17	SP	4.07	18.1%	12.6%	1.7%	.324	4.66	20.9%	5.2%	104	+0.59	4.07	257	85
Edgar Manzo R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	18	SP	4.75	14.7%	11.1%	2.7%	.326	5.12	15.4%	3.0%	121	+0.37	4.46	249	84
Listher Sosa R 2019 · 3.93 FIP	17	SP	3.93	16.5%	8.9%	2.0%	.262	4.36	16.5%	7.4%	100	+0.43	3.51	279	84
Eddy Yean R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	16.8%	10.3%	2.9%	.284	4.81	17.7%	3.4%	120	+0.25	3.65	455	84
John Klein R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	21	SP	4.47	17.4%	11.4%	2.5%	.287	4.18	19.6%	9.9%	293	-0.29	3.19	346	84
Manuel Mercedes R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	18	SP	4.69	16.7%	12.4%	2.6%	.350	4.85	12.5%	-1.0%	303	+0.16	3.79	491	84
Tyler Schlaffer R 2021 · 5.17 FIP	20	SP	5.17	16.1%	10.7%	3.8%	.344	5.23	17.2%	4.5%	154	+0.06	3.79	399	83
Niomar Gomez R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	18	SP	3.88	15.5%	11.3%	1.2%	.301	3.94	12.2%	5.5%	32	+0.06	3.88	100	83
Elvis Luciano R 2018 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP	4.05	16.8%	10.2%	2.0%	.306	4.91	17.3%	3.8%	71	+0.86	3.56	204	83
Alex Vallecillo R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	19	SP	4.51	15.5%	10.3%	2.6%	.208	4.91	17.8%	4.0%	112	+0.40	4.51	152	82
Reggie Lawson R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP	4.73	21.0%	13.2%	3.2%	.313	4.68	18.5%	7.2%	145	-0.05	4.19	293	82
Giussepe Velasquez R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	18	SP	4.21	17.2%	10.7%	2.2%	.329	5.64	19.1%	4.8%	53	+1.43	4.21	222	82
Edgar Moreta R 2023 · 3.94 FIP	19	SP	3.94	16.3%	9.8%	1.8%	.269	5.11	17.7%	9.2%	117	+1.17	3.94	170	82
Jacob Miller R 2023 · 4.29 FIP	19	SP	4.29	15.0%	11.9%	1.7%	.254	4.20	16.0%	5.5%	301	-0.09	3.85	360	81
Trevor Harrison R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	18	SP	4.03	21.0%	10.6%	2.5%	.331	4.94	19.7%	7.0%	205	+0.91	3.79	277	80
Yorman Gómez R 2021 · 5.48 FIP	18	SP	5.48	15.9%	9.5%	4.6%	.254	4.12	16.4%	5.7%	263	-1.36	3.18	494	80
Blake Wolters R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP	4.58	13.8%	11.9%	2.1%	.308	6.15	16.8%	0.1%	150	+1.57	4.58	206	80
Jhan Zambrano R 2019 · 3.88 FIP	17	SP	3.88	14.9%	8.4%	1.8%	.277	5.58	14.1%	3.1%	69	+1.70	3.88	129	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	19.3%	11.3%	1.10	4.89
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12