Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 12 | 12 | 55 | 232 | 53 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.5% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 4.07 | 3.88 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 12 | 12 | 55 | 232 | 53 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 4.07 | 2.79 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 8 | 6 | 32 | 150 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 75% | 4.0 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 8.24 | 3.94 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 8 | 6 | 32 | 150 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 75% | 4.0 | 18.0% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 1.3% | 8.24 | 2.97 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 3.7 | 10.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 19.64 | 8.66 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 3.7 | 10.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 19.64 | 9.92 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 4 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 3.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 1.69 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 4 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 3.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 1.60 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 14 | 0 | 13 | 63 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 11.9% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 8.31 | 5.79 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 14 | 0 | 13 | 63 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 8.31 | 4.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.7 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.3 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 83 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 22 | 110 | 491 | 70 | 44 | 10 | 56% | 2.8 | 14.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 6.32 | 4.21 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 40 | 200 | 895 | 127 | 81 | 19 | 56% | 2.8 | 14.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 6.32 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Niomar Gomez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 76 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 74 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 71 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 70 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 67 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 67 |
| Tylor Megill R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.70 | 25.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .302 | 3.90 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 359 | +0.20 | 3.01 | 603 | 67 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.29 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.3% | .338 | 5.98 | 16.1% | 9.1% | 93 | +2.69 | 2.78 | 181 | 66 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 66 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 65 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 65 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 65 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 64 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 64 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 64 |
| Ben Lively R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .312 | 3.15 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 77 | -1.67 | 3.15 | 1,049 | 64 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 63 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 63 |
| DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .355 | 5.84 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 49 | +2.16 | 2.81 | 426 | 63 |