Blake Wolters
P
Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150140vR 131
ERA5.83
FIP5.83
K%15.8%
BB%16.9%
K-BB%-1.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 14 | 14 | 56 | 247 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 100% | 4.0 | 13.8% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.20 | 4.56 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 14 | 14 | 56 | 247 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 100% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 4.20 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 12 | 12 | 47 | 207 | 40 | 40 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 14.3% | 22.8% | -8.5% | 1.6% | 3.99 | 5.66 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 12 | 12 | 47 | 207 | 40 | 40 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 19.3% | 19.3% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 3.99 | 4.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 16 | 16 | 68 | 323 | 75 | 40 | 12 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.18 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | KC | 7 | 7 | 36 | 151 | 24 | 26 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.8% | 16.9% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.83 | 5.83 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.8% | 16.9% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.83 | 5.83 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 103 | 474 | 99 | 66 | 16 | — | — | 20.8% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 6.72 | 5.95 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.8% | 16.9% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.83 | 5.45 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | KC | 7 | 7 | 38 | 158 | 29 | 23 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | KC | 4 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 19 | 79 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 4.93 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 150 | 128 | 21 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 42 | 171 | 777 | 120 | 123 | 24 | 100% | 4.1 | 15.5% | 15.8% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.46 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 49 | 200 | 911 | 141 | 144 | 28 | 100% | 4.1 | 15.5% | 15.8% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.46 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Wolters (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.83 | 15.8% | 16.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.30 | 18.2% | 3.7% | 38 | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Steven Brooks R 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.61 | 16.6% | 17.9% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.80 | 25.0% | 9.8% | 40 | -0.81 | 4.80 | 103 | 88 |
| Jake Madden R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.22 | 15.9% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .299 | 4.57 | 14.1% | -1.1% | 44 | -0.65 | 4.57 | 123 | 85 |
| Ofreidy Gómez R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.17 | 12.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .266 | 5.16 | 14.4% | 4.0% | 401 | -0.01 | 3.58 | 649 | 85 |
| Reid Schaller R 2027 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.22 | 16.3% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .241 | 4.48 | 19.9% | 7.9% | 87 | -0.74 | 3.49 | 186 | 84 |
| Yoscar Pimentel R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.94 | 14.4% | 15.3% | 3.9% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 136 | 84 |
| Henry Williams R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.43 | 16.5% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .271 | 4.77 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 293 | -0.66 | 4.06 | 360 | 84 |
| Tom Robson R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.88 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 2.1% | .337 | 4.91 | 12.5% | -1.3% | 105 | +0.03 | 3.17 | 132 | 83 |
| Carlos Guzman R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.81 | 14.6% | 15.5% | 3.6% | .225 | 5.15 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 205 | -0.66 | 2.61 | 448 | 83 |
| Jesus Lafalaise R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.18 | 16.5% | 15.1% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 141 | 82 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 82 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.67 | 12.0% | 15.6% | 2.9% | .281 | 5.31 | 12.9% | 0.6% | 38 | -0.36 | 5.31 | 112 | 81 |
| Joander Suarez R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.61 | 16.3% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .342 | 4.10 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 238 | -1.51 | 2.74 | 432 | 81 |
| Ryan Harvey R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.98 | 16.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .294 | 3.81 | 16.9% | 3.9% | 66 | -1.17 | 3.56 | 112 | 81 |
| Jefry Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.22 | 9.9% | 14.6% | 2.0% | .286 | 4.04 | 16.6% | 5.2% | 333 | -1.18 | 3.21 | 578 | 81 |
| Jacob Watters R 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.70 | 18.3% | 17.1% | 1.8% | .319 | 4.54 | 17.0% | 5.1% | 81 | -0.16 | 3.96 | 165 | 80 |
| Jeter Martinez R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.89 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 209 | 80 |
| Joey Oakie R 2025 · 5.67 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.67 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 105 | 79 |
| Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .296 | 6.74 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 21 | +1.24 | 5.50 | 102 | 79 |
| Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.31 | 15.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .289 | 7.22 | 13.9% | -0.3% | 19 | +1.91 | 3.66 | 117 | 79 |
| J.P. Massey R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.91 | 18.2% | 16.0% | 2.4% | .259 | 5.03 | 15.9% | 0.6% | 115 | +0.12 | 4.62 | 195 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 17.0% | 15.7% | 1.08 | 5.64 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |