Barrett Kent
P
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 129 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.43
FIP5.43
K%17.9%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%3.7%
ROS IP130
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 129 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 2.9 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.16 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 2.9 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.18 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 26 | 26 | 113 | 515 | 125 | 61 | 13 | 100% | 4.3 | 18.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.21 | 5.71 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 26 | 26 | 113 | 515 | 125 | 61 | 13 | 100% | 4.3 | 24.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 2.5% | 6.21 | 4.00 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 9 | 35 | 153 | 31 | 21 | 1 | 90% | 3.5 | 13.6% | 15.7% | -2.2% | 1.0% | 2.04 | 4.50 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 9 | 35 | 153 | 31 | 21 | 1 | 90% | 3.5 | 20.3% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 2.04 | 3.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 133 | 562 | 100 | 79 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.9% | 14.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.43 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 140 | 590 | 117 | 73 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.01 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 145 | 612 | 129 | 69 | 18 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.74 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 27 | 148 | 627 | 137 | 66 | 18 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.57 | +1.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 26 | 150 | 635 | 141 | 65 | 18 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +1.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 25 | 150 | 635 | 142 | 64 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.46 | +1.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 25 | 148 | 625 | 140 | 64 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 144 | 607 | 135 | 63 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.59 | +1.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 579 | 127 | 61 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.72 | +1.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 129 | 545 | 118 | 59 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.90 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 69 | 291 | 58 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 106 | 448 | 94 | 50 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 123 | 519 | 113 | 55 | 15 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.53 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 23 | 23 | 133 | 562 | 124 | 57 | 16 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 129 | 59 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.42 | +1.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 129 | 59 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +1.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 134 | 566 | 126 | 59 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.55 | +1.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 130 | 549 | 121 | 58 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 112 | 57 | 17 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.85 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 188 | 188 | 1092 | 4611 | 1007 | 489 | 136 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.22 | +15.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 90 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 36 | 157 | 704 | 123 | 100 | 24 | 92% | 4.0 | 17.5% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 5.27 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 46 | 200 | 897 | 157 | 127 | 30 | 92% | 4.0 | 17.5% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 5.27 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Barrett Kent (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.43 | 17.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.77 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 433 | -0.66 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Cave R 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.92 | 16.4% | 14.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 4.97 | 17.8% | -8.8% | 40 | +0.05 | 4.92 | 156 | 88 |
| Adam Hill R 2027 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .297 | 6.36 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 91 | +1.40 | 4.96 | 213 | 87 |
| Zack Bird R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.72 | 18.1% | 15.6% | 2.1% | .281 | 5.19 | 10.8% | -7.7% | 48 | +0.47 | 4.72 | 149 | 84 |
| Elijah Dale R 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.70 | 16.7% | 13.6% | 2.3% | .239 | 6.40 | 18.4% | -1.6% | 31 | +1.70 | 4.70 | 140 | 84 |
| Josh Bostick R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.73 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | .304 | 5.46 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 119 | +0.73 | 4.73 | 226 | 84 |
| Aaron Davenport R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.63 | 20.0% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .280 | 4.97 | 16.9% | 5.2% | 391 | +0.34 | 4.09 | 498 | 84 |
| Jordan Sheffield R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.09 | 16.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | .320 | 5.62 | 22.6% | 4.7% | 89 | +0.53 | 3.79 | 248 | 84 |
| Chris McElvain R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.79 | 15.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | .275 | 5.18 | 16.0% | 4.7% | 191 | +0.39 | 4.01 | 287 | 83 |
| Jurrangelo Cijntje S 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.16 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 4.0% | .242 | 5.35 | 22.9% | 10.5% | 80 | +0.19 | 5.16 | 189 | 83 |
| José Leclerc R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.09 | 16.8% | 17.0% | 2.3% | .304 | 3.22 | 30.0% | 15.1% | 184 | -1.87 | 1.48 | 527 | 83 |
| Alex Royalty R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.34 | 14.9% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .302 | 4.74 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 40 | +0.40 | 4.34 | 151 | 82 |
| Jake Peppers R 2027 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.49 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.9% | .293 | 5.36 | 14.8% | -1.7% | 88 | -0.13 | 5.03 | 185 | 82 |
| Davian Garcia R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.37 | 15.8% | 16.5% | 2.8% | .260 | 5.35 | 15.2% | -4.6% | 28 | -0.02 | 5.35 | 124 | 82 |
| Michael YaSenka R 2028 · 5.84 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.84 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 4.3% | .288 | 5.74 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 58 | -0.10 | 5.74 | 154 | 82 |
| Bryce Osmond R 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.59 | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% | .294 | 7.24 | 16.2% | 3.7% | 64 | +1.65 | 5.59 | 161 | 82 |
| Jamison Hill R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.09 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .280 | 4.70 | 16.1% | 3.0% | 202 | -0.39 | 4.44 | 326 | 82 |
| Will Sanders R 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.17 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .297 | 4.04 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 167 | -1.13 | 3.89 | 259 | 81 |
| Max Bain R 2028 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.37 | 20.5% | 15.2% | 3.8% | .291 | 6.65 | 16.7% | -3.9% | 81 | +1.28 | 5.16 | 174 | 81 |
| Dinelson Lamet R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.80 | 24.2% | 13.1% | 293 | -0.56 | 2.21 | 778 | 81 |
| Kyle Bradish R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.67 | 20.8% | 13.7% | 2.9% | .309 | 3.76 | 24.1% | 14.7% | 238 | -0.91 | 2.15 | 702 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 10 | 142 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 1.17 | 4.76 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Zach Davies ('23) | 9 | 116 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |