Listher Sosa — OGILVIE

Listher Sosa P Hillsboro Hops

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 208 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%19.8%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	11	11	53	210	51	15	3	100%	4.8	16.5%	8.9%	7.6%	2.0%	2.72	3.93	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 1	11	11	53	210	51	15	3	100%	4.8	24.3%	7.1%	17.1%	1.4%	2.72	2.76	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	11	2	31	132	33	5	3	18%	2.8	17.0%	4.7%	12.3%	3.3%	4.31	4.05	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Black	11	2	31	132	33	5	3	18%	2.8	25.0%	3.8%	21.2%	2.3%	4.31	2.72	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	73	319	72	29	6	0%	1.9	16.2%	11.2%	5.1%	2.5%	3.56	4.50	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	73	319	72	29	6	0%	1.9	22.6%	9.1%	13.5%	1.9%	3.56	3.39	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	1	74	328	67	27	11	3%	1.9	15.7%	8.7%	7.0%	3.4%	5.13	4.77	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	1	74	328	67	27	11	3%	1.9	15.7%	8.7%	7.0%	3.4%	5.13	4.77	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	1	74	328	67	27	11	3%	1.9	20.4%	8.2%	12.2%	3.4%	5.13	4.32	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	1	61	247	62	20	5	2%	1.5	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	1.7%	3.39	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	1	61	247	62	20	5	2%	1.5	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	1.7%	3.39	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	1	61	247	62	20	5	2%	1.5	25.1%	8.1%	17.0%	2.0%	3.39	3.12	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	ARI	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	19.8%	8.9%	10.9%	2.9%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	53	0	56	235	49	20	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	2.9%	4.45	4.42	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	53	0	56	235	50	20	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.7%	12.4%	2.9%	4.41	4.39	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	52	0	55	231	49	20	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.8%	12.4%	2.9%	4.42	4.42	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	23	0	24	101	21	9	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	2.9%	4.45	4.42	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	35	0	37	156	33	14	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	8.7%	12.4%	2.9%	4.41	4.39	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	40	0	42	177	38	16	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.8%	12.4%	2.9%	4.42	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		98	0	103	436	92	38	13	0%	1.1	21.0%	8.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.42	4.03	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	74	25	0%	1.1	21.0%	8.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.42	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		140	15	292	1236	208	111	32	11%	2.1	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	2.6%	3.85	4.23	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	10	200	846	142	76	22	11%	2.1	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	2.6%	3.85	4.23	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Listher Sosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	19.8%	8.9%	2.9%	—	4.41	21.0%	12.2%	166	-0.11	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	91
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	90
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	88
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	88
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	87
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	86
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	86
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	86
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	85
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.44	15.6%	-0.3%	133	+1.42	3.59	281	85
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	85
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	85
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	85
Mick VanVossen R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	24	SU	4.25	18.6%	8.9%	2.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	141	85
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	84
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	84
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	84
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	84
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	52	20.7%	8.8%	1.12	4.45
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21