Jose Cerice — OGILVIE

Jose CericeIF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 192 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION419 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%4

BABIP288

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	159	50	8	3	1	10	20	8	4	2	314	384	421	806	107	350	11	6	360	130	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	126	116	35	5	0	1	3	15	6	3	0	302	352	371	723	69	337	12	2	327	108	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	109	99	35	9	1	2	3	12	6	3	0	354	407	525	933	172	384	11	3	410	163	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	163	39	6	2	1	6	29	8	4	2	239	299	319	618	80	271	16	3	264	65	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	126	117	29	4	0	1	2	22	6	3	0	248	296	308	604	60	296	17	2	269	68	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	109	100	29	7	1	2	2	18	6	3	0	290	343	440	783	150	307	17	2	310	96	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	163	39	6	2	1	6	29	8	4	2	239	299	319	618	80	281	16	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	159	50	8	3	1	10	20	8	4	2	314	384	421	806	107	350	11	6	360	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	235	217	57	11	1	2	4	39	12	6	0	263	313	350	664	88	309	17	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	235	215	70	14	1	3	6	27	12	6	0	326	378	442	820	116	358	11	3	366	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	163	39	6	2	1	6	29	8	4	2	239	299	319	618	80	271	16	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	235	217	57	11	1	2	4	39	12	6	0	263	313	350	664	88	301	17	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	163	39	6	2	1	6	29	8	4	2	239	299	319	618	80	271	16	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	235	217	57	11	1	2	4	39	12	6	0	263	313	350	664	88	301	17	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	KC	—	419	356	85	10	2	5	28	81	30	19	6	239	345	320	666	81	293	19	7	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	KC	—	419	345	94	12	2	6	39	60	30	19	6	272	394	371	765	99	312	14	9	352	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	22	0	301	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	KC	—	428	364	86	10	2	5	28	83	31	19	6	236	343	316	659	80	290	19	7	293	85	-8	+1	-0	+0	+9	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	35%	400	354	88	13	2	7	24	73	19	8	2	249	330	356	686	107	290	18	6	309	95	-2	+1	-2	+0	+9	0.6
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	49%	460	408	101	15	2	9	29	84	20	9	3	248	328	360	689	113	291	18	6	316	100	-0	+1	-2	+0	+10	0.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	496	440	110	17	2	11	32	90	21	8	2	250	331	373	703	123	292	18	6	320	103	+2	+1	-2	+0	+11	1.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	512	451	115	18	2	12	34	93	22	8	2	255	337	384	721	129	292	18	7	323	104	+3	+1	-2	+0	+11	1.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	519	457	116	18	2	12	35	94	22	8	2	254	337	381	717	127	292	18	7	323	105	+3	+1	-2	+0	+11	1.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	518	456	115	18	2	12	35	95	22	8	2	252	335	379	715	127	292	18	7	323	105	+3	+1	-2	+0	+11	1.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	512	450	113	17	2	12	35	94	22	7	2	251	335	378	713	127	291	18	7	322	104	+3	+1	-3	+0	+11	1.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	502	441	110	17	2	11	35	93	21	6	2	249	334	372	706	122	291	19	7	321	103	+2	+0	-3	+0	+11	1.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	491	433	107	16	2	11	34	93	21	6	2	247	332	370	701	122	290	19	7	318	101	+1	+0	-4	+0	+11	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	KC	52%	477	421	103	15	2	10	33	91	20	5	2	245	329	361	690	116	287	19	7	314	98	-1	+0	-5	+0	+10	0.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	KC	52%	458	404	97	14	2	9	32	90	19	5	1	240	325	351	677	111	284	20	7	308	95	-3	+1	-5	+0	+10	0.2
2038	33	MLB MLE	KC	52%	429	379	89	12	2	8	29	86	18	4	1	235	319	340	660	106	281	20	7	301	90	-5	+0	-6	+0	+9	-0.1
2039	34	MLB MLE	KC	47%	383	338	77	10	1	7	26	79	16	3	1	228	313	325	639	98	276	21	7	293	84	-7	+0	-6	+0	+8	-0.5
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	35%	138	122	29	4	1	2	8	25	7	3	1	238	321	336	657	98	287	18	6	270	95	-1	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	49%	223	197	48	7	1	4	14	41	10	4	1	244	326	350	676	107	288	18	6	278	100	-0	+0	-1	+0	+5	0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	262	232	57	9	1	5	17	48	11	4	1	246	327	358	685	112	289	18	6	284	103	+1	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	280	248	61	9	1	6	18	51	12	4	1	246	327	363	690	117	289	18	6	286	104	+1	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	289	256	63	10	1	6	19	53	12	4	1	246	328	363	691	117	289	18	7	287	105	+2	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	285	252	62	9	1	6	19	52	12	4	1	246	329	361	690	115	289	18	7	287	105	+2	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	280	247	61	9	1	6	19	52	12	4	1	247	331	364	695	117	288	19	7	286	104	+1	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.7
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	268	236	59	9	1	6	19	50	11	3	1	250	335	373	707	123	287	19	7	284	103	+1	+0	-2	+0	+6	0.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	258	227	55	8	1	5	18	49	11	3	1	242	328	352	681	110	286	19	7	282	101	+0	+0	-2	+0	+6	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	KC	52%	249	220	53	8	1	5	17	48	10	3	1	241	324	355	678	114	284	19	7	278	98	-0	+0	-2	+0	+5	0.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	KC	52%	237	209	49	7	1	4	16	46	10	3	1	234	319	335	654	100	281	19	7	273	95	-2	+0	-3	+0	+5	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	KC	52%	222	196	45	6	1	4	15	45	9	2	1	230	314	332	645	102	278	20	7	267	90	-3	+0	-3	+0	+5	-0.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	KC	47%	181	160	37	5	1	3	12	37	7	2	0	231	313	331	644	100	273	20	7	259	84	-3	+0	-3	+0	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3172	2802	679	100	13	62	211	597	134	43	12	242	325	354	679	111	286	19	7	280	98	-0	+4	-22	+0	+69	5.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	139	20	3	13	43	122	27	9	2	242	324	355	679	113	285	19	7	280	98	-0	+1	-5	+0	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6580	5820	1438	217	28	134	423	1225	284	95	26	247	329	363	692	116	290	19	6	313	98	-3	+7	-44	+0	+134	9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	142	21	3	13	42	121	28	9	3	247	329	362	690	115	291	19	6	313	98	-0	+1	-5	+0	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alberto Callaspolast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	52	22	265	329	365	+14	+17	12.4	12.9
/162	664	9	4	+2.4	+2.9	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Brian Andersonlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	66	14	252	336	404	-1	-0	10.0	10.0
/162	664	17	4	-0.1	-0.0	2.6	pk7: 10
#3Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#4Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#5Casey McGeheelast yr '16 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,061 PA	4.6	3,061	67	7	258	318	386	+3	+7	8.3	8.3
/162	664	15	2	+0.7	+1.4	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,173	68	44	248	328	368	+0	-14	8.9	7.7
/162	664	14	9	+0.0	-2.9	1.9	pk7: 7
#6Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Cerice (OGILVIE)	21	35→55	30→45	40	40	239/325/323	83	291	3	10	19%	6%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jairo Perez 2009 · A	21	47	42→50	46→50	47	226/302/335	108	267	8	9	18%	6%	83	+0.1	224/289/334	110	263	9	9	18%	7%	78	-0.3	266/321/418	151	304	17	8	18%	5%	107	+0.9
✕Ramón Urías 2015 · AAA	21	45→55	41→50	42→50	43	220/282/318	99	268	8	9	21%	5%	72	-0.7	262/325/372	110	313	10	13	19%	5%	99	+1.3	277/345/394	117	329	11	14	18%	5%	109	+1.2
✕Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	48→54	41→50	47→45	44	231/283/335	104	294	8	9	24%	6%	74	-0.5	229/283/336	107	290	10	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	238/316/376	138	288	16	4	22%	8%	95	+0.6
●Miguel Vargas 2021 · A	21	51→52	40→55	49→50	46	241/296/344	102	298	6	9	21%	7%	81	-0.1	241/305/393	152	286	16	11	21%	8%	97	+1.1	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2017 · A	20	46→55	39→50	46→50	41	223/273/306	83	283	7	9	24%	5%	64	-1.3	234/290/331	97	298	6	14	22%	7%	76	-0.4	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	49→50	41	219/277/316	97	283	4	11	23%	5%	68	-1.0	206/253/299	93	302	8	8	33%	5%	55	-1.9	198/240/286	88	291	10	7	34%	4%	45	-0.8
✕Trevor Plouffe 2007 · A	21	42→52	40→55	44→45	47	203/267/294	91	257	7	6	23%	8%	59	-1.6	227/270/336	109	280	8	7	21%	5%	70	-0.9	249/314/413	164	290	17	2	20%	8%	103	+1.5
●Otto Lopez 2021 · A	22	53→63	39→50	47→55	43	251/289/336	85	305	5	12	20%	5%	76	-0.4	258/307/349	91	325	4	17	21%	6%	86	+0.3	283/332/413	130	317	12	23	14%	6%	108	+1.8
✕Austin Dean 2016 · A	22	50→56	40→55	45	43	240/282/335	94	292	7	9	20%	5%	74	-0.6	233/277/339	106	290	8	5	22%	5%	73	-0.6	259/305/415	156	305	16	4	21%	5%	98	+0.8
✕Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	52→60	41→55	47→55	45	250/294/346	96	299	9	12	20%	6%	81	-0.1	249/290/342	93	295	8	9	18%	4%	78	-0.3	275/329/432	158	317	18	21	19%	5%	112	+1.8
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→55	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	69	-0.9	239/314/332	93	303	5	9	21%	8%	86	+0.3	240/350/332	92	308	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Luis Alvarez 2012 · A	22	45	39→45	42→45	44	216/275/302	86	268	6	5	21%	6%	65	-1.2	221/273/346	125	283	13	5	26%	5%	74	-0.5	210/253/367	157	251	21	0	26%	3%	69	-0.2
●Aaron Cunningham 2006 · A	20	47→57	40→50	45→50	40	227/288/317	90	302	8	7	26%	5%	73	-0.6	253/309/393	140	320	13	14	24%	6%	98	+1.2	265/322/422	156	334	15	16	24%	6%	107	+1.6
✕David Hernandez 2008 · A	21	50	38→40	42→55	45	236/288/313	76	287	5	6	19%	6%	71	-0.8	215/281/287	72	273	3	13	21%	7%	63	-1.3	190/270/244	53	241	0	22	19%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2015 · AA	21	50→59	42→45	45→50	40	244/268/350	106	285	8	6	18%	3%	72	-0.7	250/281/362	112	288	9	8	16%	4%	80	-0.2	278/311/392	114	323	10	5	17%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Jake Smolinski 2010 · A	21	48→50	43→55	39→45	48	232/293/350	118	281	10	5	21%	7%	82	+0.0	227/289/334	107	272	8	7	18%	7%	77	-0.3	239/301/393	154	272	16	6	18%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Yonathan Daza 2015 · A	21	50→60	38→45	48→50	41	238/277/314	76	279	6	14	17%	4%	67	-1.1	253/281/327	74	316	3	10	20%	3%	71	-0.8	270/316/353	83	322	5	6	17%	6%	88	+0.3
●Jake Elmore 2009 · A	22	45→55	40	45→55	45	217/280/320	103	285	6	10	25%	7%	70	-0.8	235/305/309	74	287	3	14	18%	8%	77	-0.3	264/336/337	72	315	2	23	15%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Colton Welker 2018 · A	20	53→55	42→45	42→45	41	256/291/362	107	307	9	7	20%	4%	84	+0.1	236/277/340	104	306	9	5	25%	5%	73	-0.6	224/269/326	102	292	10	3	26%	5%	67	-0.6
●Rafael Lantigua 2019 · A	21	48→56	36→45	45→55	49	221/291/289	68	287	2	9	22%	8%	67	-1.1	215/270/311	96	284	7	12	25%	6%	64	-1.3	248/324/368	119	325	10	22	25%	9%	95	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps