Jose Cerice — OGILVIE

Jose CericeIF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 192 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .297 / .330

PA162

HR2

K%21

BB%5

BABIP290

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$12M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	163	39	6	2	1	6	29	8	4	2	239	299	319	618	80	281	16	3	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	159	50	8	3	1	10	20	8	4	2	314	384	421	806	107	350	11	6	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	235	217	56	12	1	2	4	40	12	6	0	258	309	350	659	92	305	17	2	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	235	215	70	14	1	3	6	27	12	6	0	326	378	442	820	116	358	11	3	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	KC	—	244	215	49	7	2	1	14	51	10	11	3	228	305	293	598	65	289	21	6	259	56	-12	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.4
YTD	21	A+	KC	—	244	209	54	8	2	1	20	38	10	11	3	258	351	330	682	72	306	16	8	311	96	-1	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.7
ROS	21	A+	KC	0%	162	148	35	6	1	2	8	34	5	4	1	235	297	330	627	94	288	21	5	278	71	-5	+0	-1	+0	+5	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						285	0	0	253	52	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	KC	—	245	216	49	7	2	1	14	51	10	11	3	227	304	292	596	65	287	21	6	259	56	-12	+1	-0	+0	+7	-0.4
TOT	21	A+	KC	—	406	363	84	13	3	3	22	85	15	15	4	231	302	308	610	77	290	21	5	267	62	-17	+1	-1	+0	+12	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	KC	35%	378	345	82	15	2	6	20	79	10	7	2	238	299	345	644	107	288	21	5	288	79	-9	+1	-1	+0	+11	0.1
2028	23	MLB	KC	49%	444	405	98	18	3	8	25	92	11	8	2	242	304	360	664	119	290	21	6	296	85	-8	+1	-2	+0	+13	0.4
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	486	443	108	19	3	10	28	100	12	8	2	244	306	368	674	124	291	21	6	302	89	-6	+1	-2	+0	+14	0.7
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	505	458	113	20	3	11	30	103	12	8	2	247	310	376	686	129	291	20	6	305	91	-5	+1	-2	+0	+14	0.8
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	514	467	114	20	3	11	30	105	12	7	2	244	306	370	677	126	291	20	6	306	92	-5	+1	-2	+0	+15	0.9
2032	27	MLB	KC	55%	515	467	114	20	3	11	31	106	12	7	2	244	308	370	678	126	291	21	6	306	92	-5	+1	-2	+0	+15	0.9
2033	28	MLB	KC	55%	510	462	113	20	3	11	31	105	12	7	2	245	309	372	681	128	290	21	6	305	91	-5	+1	-3	+0	+14	0.7
2034	29	MLB	KC	53%	501	453	111	20	3	11	31	105	12	6	2	245	310	375	686	130	289	21	6	303	90	-6	+0	-3	+0	+14	0.6
2027	22	MLB	KC	35%	131	120	28	5	1	2	7	27	3	2	1	233	292	342	634	108	285	21	5	266	62	-6	+0	-1	+0	+4	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	KC	49%	216	197	46	8	1	4	12	45	5	4	1	234	294	345	640	112	286	21	6	275	68	-8	+0	-1	+0	+6	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	256	233	56	10	1	5	15	53	6	4	1	240	303	356	659	116	287	21	6	280	73	-8	+0	-1	+0	+7	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	276	251	62	11	2	6	16	57	7	4	1	247	310	378	689	131	287	21	6	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+0	+8	-0.1
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	286	260	63	11	2	6	17	59	7	4	1	242	306	369	676	127	287	21	6	284	76	-8	+0	-1	+0	+8	-0.0
2032	27	MLB	KC	55%	283	257	63	11	2	6	17	58	7	4	1	245	310	374	683	128	287	20	6	284	76	-8	+0	-1	+0	+8	-0.0
2033	28	MLB	KC	55%	279	253	62	11	2	6	17	58	7	4	1	245	310	375	686	130	287	21	6	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+0	+8	-0.1
2034	29	MLB	KC	53%	267	242	58	10	1	6	17	56	6	3	1	240	306	364	669	124	286	21	6	282	74	-8	+0	-2	+0	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1995	1814	438	77	12	41	118	413	48	29	8	241	305	365	670	123	290	21	6	281	73	-61	+3	-9	+0	+57	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	142	25	4	13	38	135	16	9	3	240	304	362	666	122	289	21	6	281	73	-20	+1	-3	+0	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4429	4028	983	176	27	84	244	898	118	72	19	244	306	364	670	120	293	20	6	298	86	-68	+7	-18	+0	+126	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	144	26	4	12	36	132	17	11	3	244	306	362	668	118	293	20	6	298	86	-10	+1	-3	+0	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	179	159	50	8	3	1	10	20	8	4	2	314	384	421	806	107	350	11	6	360	134	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	126	116	35	5	0	1	3	15	6	3	0	302	352	371	723	69	337	12	2	327	109	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	109	99	35	9	1	2	3	12	6	3	0	354	407	525	933	172	384	11	3	410	172	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,996	42	29	244	304	369	+0	-8	3.6	3.5
	/162	664	14	10	244	304	369	+0.0	-2.7	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Cerice (OGILVIE)	21	35→55	30→45	40	40	231/302/308	77	290	3	15	21%	5%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	47→54	40→50	47→45	44	225/278/324	98	286	7	9	23%	6%	66	-0.6	220/272/317	97	284	9	6	24%	6%	63	-0.9	244/321/393	149	293	18	4	22%	8%	101	+1.2
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2017 · A	20	45→55	39→50	46→50	41	218/268/297	79	277	7	9	24%	5%	56	-1.3	233/290/336	103	297	7	14	23%	7%	75	-0.0	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Moisés Sierra 2010 · AA	21	48→55	40→50	45→50	39	231/279/325	95	304	8	8	26%	4%	68	-0.5	238/286/356	118	300	13	9	24%	5%	79	+0.3	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Willie Cabrera 2008 · A	21	48→53	39→50	43→45	43	231/264/315	84	265	7	4	16%	4%	57	-1.2	247/287/367	120	278	11	6	15%	5%	82	+0.5	254/298/385	131	282	12	7	14%	5%	88	+0.7
●Joey Curletta 2015 · A	21	47→49	39→55	42→45	43	226/273/310	84	290	7	7	24%	6%	60	-1.0	194/249/319	125	289	14	5	36%	6%	54	-1.4	209/272/383	173	291	23	4	35%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2015 · AA	21	49→59	42→45	45→50	39	241/264/348	108	283	9	6	19%	3%	66	-0.6	248/280/363	115	287	9	8	17%	4%	77	+0.1	278/311/393	115	324	9	5	17%	4%	95	+1.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2016 · A	21	45→55	41→50	49→55	43	217/258/312	95	260	8	7	20%	5%	55	-1.4	229/266/349	120	286	13	11	24%	4%	68	-0.5	262/304/399	137	319	15	17	22%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Zelous Wheeler 2009 · A	22	46→52	43→50	43→45	44	223/280/332	109	286	10	7	25%	6%	70	-0.3	235/308/347	112	291	10	8	21%	8%	85	+0.7	239/314/372	132	281	13	7	19%	8%	92	+0.9
✕Diory Hernandez 2006 · A	22	46→56	42→45	41→50	39	225/271/327	102	286	9	7	24%	4%	65	-0.7	241/282/336	95	297	8	12	21%	4%	71	-0.3	250/298/379	129	273	15	6	15%	5%	87	+0.4
✕Christian Arroyo 2016 · A	21	49→54	42→45	44→45	39	239/272/346	107	303	9	6	24%	4%	69	-0.4	243/279/348	105	299	8	5	21%	4%	73	-0.1	250/302/398	148	300	16	7	22%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Juan Rodriguez 2015 · A	20	45	38→45	46→55	41	217/264/301	85	288	5	8	26%	6%	54	-1.4	241/278/336	95	291	6	14	18%	5%	69	-0.4	280/305/386	106	318	6	22	14%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
●Austin Dean 2015 · A	21	51→56	40→55	44→45	44	244/295/339	95	312	7	5	24%	6%	77	+0.1	229/270/326	97	291	7	7	23%	5%	63	-0.8	250/302/412	163	300	18	6	23%	6%	97	+1.2
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→54	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	237/310/328	91	301	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
●Jake Elmore 2009 · A	22	45→55	40	45→55	45	217/280/320	103	285	6	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	234/305/309	75	287	3	14	18%	9%	74	-0.1	261/334/334	72	315	2	23	16%	9%	91	+0.9
●Ramón Urías 2015 · AAA	21	43→53	41→50	42→50	42	211/273/306	95	261	8	9	22%	5%	61	-1.0	249/310/358	109	302	10	13	20%	5%	89	+1.0	261/328/377	117	313	12	14	20%	5%	99	+1.0
✕Lenyn Sosa 2021 · A	21	42→51	41→50	43→40	37	207/237/304	97	263	8	5	25%	3%	43	-2.2	227/258/349	122	291	14	3	27%	4%	65	-0.7	246/275/385	139	290	18	4	22%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Buddy Kennedy 2021 · A	22	44→51	42→50	45→50	44	216/267/323	107	276	9	5	25%	6%	62	-0.9	214/288/328	114	290	12	10	29%	9%	72	-0.2	233/314/376	143	270	15	6	19%	8%	93	+0.8
✕Edmundo Sosa 2017 · A	21	46→49	38→55	46→50	40	223/262/301	78	287	6	6	24%	4%	53	-1.5	231/268/329	98	299	8	6	25%	4%	63	-0.8	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2015 · A	22	45	41→45	47→50	40	219/268/325	106	281	7	9	24%	5%	63	-0.9	198/245/284	86	329	8	7	40%	5%	43	-2.2	172/216/230	58	304	8	10	44%	4%	13	-1.4