Jose Cerice — OGILVIE

Jose CericeIF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 192 lbs A+ HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.2 · 2031

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .306 / .374

PA221

HR5

SB5

K%21

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗55

PWR

30↗45

SPD

40→40

FLD

35↗45

EYE

31↗40

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.0	$18M	+$17M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.1	$21M	+$16M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.9	$19M	+$13M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$18M	+$10M
Totals		$21M		$117M	+$96M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	179	163	39	6	2	1	6	29	8	4	2	.239	.299	.319	.618	.080	.281	16	3	.263	59	-8	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.3
2025	20	A	2 teams	235	217	58	11	1	3	4	39	12	6	0	.267	.318	.369	.686	.101	.311	17	2	.289	79	-5	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	53	49	13	1	1	0	1	8	3	2	0	.265	.321	.327	.647	.061	.317	15	2	.272	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	KC	168	152	36	6	1	3	10	34	4	3	1	.237	.301	.349	.650	.112	.294	20	6	.307	93	-1	+0	-1	+0	+5	0.3
TOT	21	MLB	KC	221	201	49	7	2	3	11	42	7	5	1	.244	.306	.343	.649	.100	.293	19	5	.298	87	-3	+1	-1	+0	+6	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	KC	292	263	66	11	2	7	20	53	7	5	1	.251	.321	.388	.709	.137	.291	18	7	.320	103	+1	+1	-1	+0	+8	0.9
2028	23	MLB 28%	KC	383	343	88	15	3	10	28	69	9	6	1	.257	.329	.405	.734	.149	.292	18	7	.326	108	+3	+1	-2	+0	+11	1.4
2029	24	MLB 45%	KC	444	397	102	18	3	12	34	80	10	7	1	.257	.331	.408	.739	.151	.292	18	8	.330	111	+5	+1	-2	+0	+13	1.8
2030	25	MLB 60%	KC	477	426	109	19	3	13	38	86	10	7	1	.256	.331	.406	.737	.150	.293	18	8	.333	113	+7	+1	-2	+0	+14	2.0
2031	26	MLB 78%	KC	496	442	114	20	3	14	40	89	11	7	1	.258	.335	.412	.746	.154	.293	18	8	.335	115	+8	+1	-2	+0	+14	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	KC	503	445	115	20	3	14	42	91	11	7	1	.258	.337	.411	.749	.153	.293	18	8	.335	115	+8	+1	-2	+0	+14	2.2
2033	28	MLB	KC	503	445	115	20	3	14	42	92	11	6	0	.258	.337	.411	.749	.153	.293	18	8	.334	114	+8	+1	-3	+0	+14	2.1
2034	29	MLB	KC	496	440	112	19	3	14	42	92	11	6	0	.255	.335	.407	.742	.152	.293	19	8	.332	112	+7	+1	-3	+0	+14	1.9
2035	30	MLB	KC	487	433	110	19	3	13	41	92	10	5	0	.254	.333	.402	.734	.148	.292	19	8	.329	110	+6	+1	-4	+0	+14	1.7
2036	31	MLB	KC	474	421	106	18	3	13	40	91	10	4	0	.252	.331	.401	.733	.150	.291	19	8	.325	107	+4	+1	-5	+0	+13	1.4
2037	32	MLB	KC	457	406	101	17	3	12	38	90	10	4	0	.249	.328	.394	.722	.145	.289	20	8	.321	104	+2	+1	-5	+0	+13	1.1
2038	33	MLB	KC	428	380	92	16	2	10	36	88	9	3	0	.242	.322	.374	.696	.132	.288	21	8	.316	100	-0	+1	-6	+0	+12	0.7
2039	34	MLB	KC	382	340	81	13	2	9	31	81	8	3	0	.238	.317	.368	.684	.129	.287	21	8	.309	95	-2	+1	-6	+0	+11	0.3
2040	35	MLB	KC	329	292	68	11	2	7	27	73	7	3	0	.233	.313	.356	.669	.123	.286	22	8	.302	89	-4	+1	-7	+0	+9	-0.1
2041	36	MLB	KC	271	242	55	9	2	5	22	63	5	3	0	.227	.305	.343	.648	.116	.284	23	8	.293	83	-5	+1	-7	+0	+8	-0.4
2042	37	MLB	KC	208	186	41	6	1	4	16	51	4	2	0	.220	.296	.328	.624	.108	.281	25	8	.284	76	-6	+0	-8	+0	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7212	6433	1608	274	45	178	557	1383	167	91	9	.250	.326	.390	.715	.140	.291	19	8	.320	103	+27	+15	-65	+0	+204	18.5
/ 162G	—			650	580	145	25	4	16	50	125	15	8	1	.250	.326	.390	.715	.140	.292	19	8	.320	103	+2	+1	-6	+0	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	179	159	50	8	3	1	10	20	8	4	2	.314	.384	.421	.806	.107	.350	11	6	.360	134	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	126	116	35	5	0	1	3	15	6	3	0	.302	.352	.371	.723	.069	.337	12	2	.327	109	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	109	99	35	9	1	2	3	12	6	3	0	.354	.407	.525	.933	.172	.384	11	3	.410	172	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Cerice (OGILVIE)	21	35→55	30→45	40	40	.241/.306/.374	.132	.290	5	3	21%	7%	93	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jairo Perez 2009 · A	21	47	41→50	46→50	47	.224/.299/.330	.106	.265	8	9	18%	6%	79	+0.3	.224/.291/.333	.109	.262	9	9	18%	7%	75	-0.0	.267/.323/.417	.150	.303	17	8	17%	5%	108	+1.1
●Thomas Neal 2009 · A	21	46→56	47→55	42→50	42	.228/.286/.360	.132	.294	15	4	27%	6%	80	+0.4	.260/.319/.414	.154	.325	16	6	24%	6%	108	+2.3	.270/.328/.423	.153	.337	14	7	23%	6%	110	+1.9
✕Curtis Mead 2022 · A	21	51→55	48→55	47→50	44	.251/.299/.400	.149	.299	14	9	21%	5%	95	+1.4	.252/.313/.412	.160	.304	16	9	22%	7%	105	+2.1	.247/.312/.401	.154	.294	15	10	21%	6%	99	+1.1
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	46→54	41→50	45	43	.225/.276/.329	.104	.286	8	9	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.231/.283/.339	.108	.294	10	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.240/.318/.386	.146	.290	17	4	22%	8%	98	+1.1
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→56	49→55	42→30	44	.244/.289/.392	.148	.290	17	5	22%	6%	89	+1.0	.259/.299/.417	.158	.302	19	2	21%	5%	100	+1.7	.260/.302/.420	.160	.301	21	0	21%	5%	99	+1.3
●Daniel Robertson 2015 · A	21	50→54	44→45	39→40	48	.245/.311/.362	.117	.297	11	3	21%	7%	91	+1.1	.238/.308/.344	.106	.304	8	3	23%	7%	85	+0.7	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	51→61	41→50	47→55	44	.246/.290/.344	.098	.294	9	12	20%	6%	76	+0.1	.254/.295/.350	.096	.300	8	9	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Juan Apodaca 2007 · A	21	43→53	44→45	46→40	44	.217/.268/.325	.108	.268	12	5	24%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.275/.324	.102	.283	11	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	.281/.346/.393	.113	.343	10	3	20%	8%	110	+1.3
●Brandon Drury 2014 · A	21	45→55	45→60	43→40	40	.225/.261/.352	.127	.269	12	3	22%	4%	66	-0.6	.247/.288/.384	.137	.294	13	3	20%	5%	86	+0.8	.254/.305/.458	.204	.301	25	1	24%	6%	112	+2.0
●William Contreras 2019 · A	21	46→56	44→55	44→45	42	.226/.276/.342	.116	.294	12	3	27%	6%	71	-0.3	.218/.269/.335	.117	.287	13	2	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.274/.362/.430	.156	.327	16	6	20%	12%	121	+3.4
●Aaron Cunningham 2007 · A	21	48→57	45→55	47→50	41	.237/.293/.362	.125	.300	12	12	25%	5%	83	+0.6	.253/.308/.402	.149	.319	15	15	24%	6%	100	+1.7	.255/.312/.408	.153	.324	15	16	25%	6%	101	+1.6
●Jonathan Schoop 2013 · AA	21	46→56	44→60	44→45	44	.230/.279/.348	.118	.273	12	6	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.229/.271/.369	.140	.277	18	4	24%	4%	76	+0.1	.276/.314/.469	.194	.320	25	1	22%	4%	118	+2.8
✕Jake Smolinski 2010 · A	21	46→49	43→55	40→45	46	.226/.283/.343	.117	.273	10	5	21%	7%	74	-0.1	.226/.286/.339	.113	.270	9	6	19%	7%	74	-0.1	.238/.300/.395	.157	.270	17	6	19%	7%	93	+0.9
●Max Ramirez 2006 · A	21	51→52	44→55	43→40	46	.250/.307/.372	.122	.308	12	4	22%	7%	92	+1.2	.247/.323/.392	.145	.323	16	3	27%	9%	104	+2.0	.250/.335/.416	.166	.325	20	2	27%	10%	113	+2.0
✕Kelvin Diaz 2008 · A	21	52	47→50	44→45	49	.256/.327/.393	.137	.289	14	7	17%	7%	106	+2.2	.233/.295/.357	.124	.282	10	9	21%	6%	83	+0.6	.224/.279/.357	.134	.275	10	13	22%	4%	76	+0.0
●Vinnie Catricala 2011 · A	22	48→58	47→55	46→45	43	.241/.299/.382	.141	.298	15	6	24%	6%	92	+1.2	.241/.294/.385	.144	.294	15	8	23%	6%	90	+1.0	.225/.277/.355	.130	.276	14	7	23%	5%	72	-0.2
●Angel Salome 2007 · A	21	50→60	46→50	47→45	44	.249/.285/.386	.137	.282	14	6	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.271/.307/.410	.139	.318	13	4	18%	5%	101	+1.8	.290/.326/.430	.140	.343	13	2	19%	4%	113	+1.5
✕Welington Castillo 2008 · A	21	45→55	44→60	42→30	39	.226/.274/.340	.114	.298	13	4	28%	5%	69	-0.4	.227/.267/.348	.121	.299	13	3	28%	4%	69	-0.4	.256/.312/.443	.187	.311	26	1	26%	7%	109	+1.6
●Jose Miranda 2019 · A	21	44→54	44→50	37→40	44	.219/.264/.332	.114	.243	13	3	17%	4%	63	-0.8	.233/.277/.352	.119	.264	12	2	17%	4%	74	-0.1	.262/.312/.407	.145	.294	18	2	17%	5%	101	+1.5
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2022 · A	22	46→56	45→50	48→45	47	.224/.294/.345	.121	.300	13	10	29%	9%	79	+0.3	.233/.321/.379	.146	.324	18	5	31%	11%	100	+1.7	.234/.340/.391	.157	.320	18	5	30%	12%	109	+2.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)