Jose Cerice
IF Quad Cities River Bandits| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKDSL Royals Ve… | 179 | .314/.384/.421 | 1 | 4 | 43 | — | .198/.266/.253 |
| 2025 | 20 | A/ROKKC | 235 | .326/.378/.442 | 3 | 6 | 82 | — | .277/.326/.383 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+KC | 419 | .272/.394/.371 | 6 | 19 | 91 | — | .250/.355/.331 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBKC | 1 | .238/.319/.321 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBKC | 126 | .242/.323/.338 | 2 | 2 | 93 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBKC | 189 | .245/.325/.350 | 3 | 3 | 97 | 0.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | — | 179 | 159 | 50 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 314 | 384 | 421 | 806 | 107 | 350 | 11 | 6 | 360 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 126 | 116 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 302 | 352 | 371 | 723 | 69 | 337 | 12 | 2 | 327 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | — | 109 | 99 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 354 | 407 | 525 | 933 | 172 | 384 | 11 | 3 | 410 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 419 | 345 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 60 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 272 | 394 | 371 | 765 | 99 | 312 | 14 | 9 | 352 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals Ventura | — | 179 | 162 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 198 | 266 | 253 | 519 | 56 | 224 | 13 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 126 | 117 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 265 | 312 | 333 | 645 | 68 | 300 | 17 | 2 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Royals | — | 109 | 100 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 290 | 343 | 440 | 783 | 150 | 306 | 17 | 2 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 419 | 356 | 89 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 250 | 355 | 331 | 687 | 81 | 291 | 18 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals Ventura | — | 179 | 162 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 198 | 266 | 253 | 519 | 56 | 229 | 13 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Royals Ventura | — | 179 | 159 | 50 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 314 | 384 | 421 | 806 | 107 | 350 | 11 | 6 | 360 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 217 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 263 | 313 | 350 | 664 | 88 | 307 | 16 | 2 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 235 | 215 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 326 | 378 | 442 | 820 | 116 | 358 | 11 | 3 | 366 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 419 | 356 | 89 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 250 | 355 | 331 | 687 | 81 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 419 | 345 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 60 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 272 | 394 | 371 | 765 | 99 | 312 | 14 | 9 | 352 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals Ventura | — | 179 | 162 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 198 | 266 | 253 | 519 | 56 | 224 | 13 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 217 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 263 | 313 | 350 | 664 | 88 | 303 | 16 | 2 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 419 | 358 | 89 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 249 | 355 | 330 | 685 | 81 | 291 | 18 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals Ventura | — | 179 | 162 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 198 | 266 | 253 | 519 | 56 | 224 | 13 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 217 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 263 | 313 | 350 | 664 | 88 | 303 | 16 | 2 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 419 | 358 | 89 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 76 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 249 | 355 | 330 | 685 | 81 | 291 | 18 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | KC | 0% | 529 | 468 | 112 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 95 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 240 | 321 | 326 | 647 | 86 | 286 | 18 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +0 | +11 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | KC | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 319 | 321 | 640 | 83 | 284 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 87 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | KC | 35% | 364 | 322 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 65 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 244 | 325 | 344 | 669 | 99 | 287 | 18 | 6 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | KC | 46% | 408 | 362 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 73 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 247 | 328 | 356 | 684 | 109 | 288 | 18 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | KC | 52% | 455 | 403 | 100 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 82 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 248 | 329 | 364 | 693 | 115 | 289 | 18 | 6 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | KC | 54% | 481 | 427 | 105 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 88 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 329 | 367 | 696 | 119 | 289 | 18 | 6 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | KC | 54% | 485 | 431 | 106 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 90 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 247 | 327 | 367 | 694 | 120 | 288 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | KC | 54% | 482 | 428 | 105 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 245 | 325 | 362 | 687 | 117 | 287 | 19 | 7 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | KC | 53% | 473 | 421 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 90 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 322 | 356 | 678 | 113 | 286 | 19 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 52% | 461 | 410 | 99 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 89 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 240 | 319 | 347 | 666 | 108 | 284 | 19 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | KC | 52% | 445 | 397 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 236 | 314 | 337 | 651 | 102 | 281 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -7 | -2 | -4 | +0 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | KC | 35% | 126 | 112 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 323 | 338 | 661 | 96 | 285 | 17 | 6 | 302 | 93 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | KC | 46% | 189 | 167 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 245 | 325 | 350 | 675 | 105 | 286 | 18 | 6 | 307 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | KC | 52% | 235 | 208 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 326 | 356 | 683 | 111 | 286 | 18 | 6 | 310 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | KC | 54% | 261 | 231 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 326 | 360 | 686 | 114 | 286 | 18 | 7 | 311 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | KC | 54% | 263 | 234 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 49 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 325 | 359 | 684 | 115 | 286 | 19 | 6 | 310 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | KC | 54% | 262 | 233 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 49 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 323 | 354 | 677 | 112 | 285 | 19 | 6 | 307 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | KC | 53% | 251 | 223 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 320 | 348 | 668 | 108 | 284 | 19 | 6 | 304 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 52% | 242 | 215 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 316 | 340 | 657 | 103 | 282 | 19 | 7 | 299 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | KC | 52% | 232 | 206 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 233 | 311 | 331 | 642 | 98 | 279 | 20 | 6 | 293 | 87 | -4 | -1 | -2 | +0 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2061 | 1829 | 443 | 68 | 9 | 37 | 132 | 385 | 83 | 25 | 11 | 242 | 322 | 350 | 672 | 108 | 287 | 19 | 6 | 305 | 92 | -11 | +1 | -8 | +0 | +45 | 2.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 140 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 121 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 243 | 323 | 352 | 675 | 109 | 286 | 19 | 6 | 305 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5097 | 4522 | 1103 | 168 | 23 | 87 | 311 | 932 | 226 | 84 | 30 | 244 | 324 | 349 | 673 | 105 | 288 | 18 | 6 | 304 | 92 | -26 | +2 | -17 | +0 | +92 | 5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 140 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 119 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 243 | 324 | 347 | 671 | 104 | 287 | 18 | 6 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 419 PAwOBA .346 → .303 (−43)K% 14.3% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 18.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.16% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 5.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 24.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .346 → .303; ISO .099 → .084; BABIP .312 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AColumbia Fireflies · 126 PAwOBA .321 → .273 (−48)K% 11.9% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.38% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 1.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.71% | ÷1.099 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 25.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.913 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.75% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 120, 2B 83, 3B 87, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .321 → .273; ISO .069 → .059; BABIP .337 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Royals · 109 PAwOBA .402 → .309 (−93)K% 11.0% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.01% | ÷0.985 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.75% | ÷0.971 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 1.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.44% | ÷1.019 | ×0.820 | ×1.028 | ×0.995 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.975 | ×0.720 | ×1.028 | ×0.995 | 7.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.070 | ×0.720 | ×1.028 | ×0.995 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.90% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 114, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .402 → .309; ISO .172 → .130; BABIP .384 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 179 PAwOBA .355 → .232 (−123)K% 11.2% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.59% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.47% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.34% | ÷1.014 | ×0.680 | ×0.983 | ×0.995 | 17.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×0.995 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.012 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×0.995 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.994 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.34% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .355 → .232; ISO .107 → .062; BABIP .350 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).