Erny Orellana — OGILVIE

Erny OrellanaOF DSL LAD Mega

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .267 / .307

PA78

HR1

K%24

BB%8

BABIP252

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	96	12	4	0	1	7	31	6	3	1	125	229	198	427	73	172	28	6	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	90	15	5	0	1	13	21	6	3	1	167	312	256	567	89	206	19	12	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	139	23	6	0	3	15	54	5	6	2	165	270	273	544	108	241	34	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	130	33	10	0	4	24	34	5	6	2	254	390	423	813	169	312	21	15	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	LAD	—	118	105	21	7	2	2	8	24	2	3	0	200	270	362	631	162	232	20	7	280	72	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
YTD	19	ROK	LAD	—	118	100	29	10	3	3	13	17	2	3	0	290	383	540	923	250	313	14	11	392	158	+8	+1	+0	-1	+3	1.1
ROS	19	ROK	LAD	0%	78	71	14	3	1	1	6	19	1	1	0	195	267	307	574	112	265	24	8	273	67	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	259	56	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	LAD	—	118	106	21	7	2	2	8	24	2	3	0	198	270	358	628	160	229	20	7	280	72	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK	LAD	—	196	176	35	10	3	3	14	43	3	4	0	198	269	340	608	142	239	22	7	277	70	-7	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	LAD	34%	240	217	46	10	2	4	18	58	3	4	1	212	282	332	613	120	269	24	8	283	74	-7	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	LAD	48%	363	327	71	16	3	7	28	86	5	6	2	217	289	349	638	131	271	24	8	289	79	-8	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2029	22	MLB	LAD	54%	451	406	91	20	4	10	35	106	7	8	2	224	297	367	664	143	273	24	8	294	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2030	23	MLB	LAD	57%	509	456	102	22	4	11	40	119	8	9	2	224	298	362	659	138	275	23	8	296	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.4
2031	24	MLB	LAD	57%	546	490	109	24	4	12	43	127	8	10	2	222	296	361	657	139	275	23	8	298	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.5
2032	25	MLB	LAD	57%	568	509	115	25	5	13	45	132	9	11	3	226	300	371	671	145	275	23	8	299	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.5
2033	26	MLB	LAD	56%	579	519	117	25	5	13	46	135	9	11	3	225	300	368	668	143	275	23	8	299	87	-9	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2034	27	MLB	LAD	55%	582	521	117	25	5	13	47	136	9	11	3	225	300	367	666	142	275	23	8	299	87	-9	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2035	28	MLB	LAD	55%	578	517	116	25	5	13	47	136	9	11	3	224	300	368	668	143	274	24	8	298	86	-9	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.4
2036	29	MLB	LAD	53%	570	510	113	24	4	13	47	135	8	10	2	222	297	361	658	139	274	24	8	296	85	-10	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.3
2037	30	MLB	LAD	53%	560	501	110	24	4	12	46	134	8	10	2	220	295	355	651	136	272	24	8	293	83	-11	+1	-2	-3	+16	0.1
2027	20	MLB	LAD	34%	82	75	15	3	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	200	268	307	575	107	265	24	7	268	64	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	LAD	48%	176	157	33	7	1	3	14	42	3	3	1	210	287	325	612	115	268	24	8	275	68	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	LAD	54%	245	220	48	10	2	5	19	58	4	4	1	218	292	350	642	132	270	24	8	279	72	-8	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	23	MLB	LAD	57%	288	259	56	12	2	6	23	67	4	5	1	216	290	347	638	131	271	23	8	282	74	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	24	MLB	LAD	57%	309	276	62	13	3	7	25	72	5	6	1	225	301	370	670	145	272	23	8	283	75	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	25	MLB	LAD	57%	321	287	64	14	3	7	26	75	5	6	1	223	299	366	665	143	272	23	8	284	75	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2033	26	MLB	LAD	56%	327	293	65	14	3	7	26	76	5	6	1	222	296	362	658	140	271	23	8	284	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2034	27	MLB	LAD	55%	323	289	64	14	3	7	26	75	5	6	1	221	297	363	660	142	271	23	8	284	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2035	28	MLB	LAD	55%	317	283	62	13	2	7	26	74	5	6	1	219	296	353	650	134	271	23	8	283	75	-9	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.2
2036	29	MLB	LAD	53%	305	272	60	13	2	7	25	72	5	5	1	221	298	360	658	140	270	24	8	281	74	-9	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2037	30	MLB	LAD	53%	295	265	56	12	2	6	24	71	4	5	1	211	287	340	626	128	269	24	8	279	72	-9	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2988	2677	585	125	24	63	240	702	46	53	10	219	294	354	648	135	271	23	8	281	74	-89	+7	-2	-18	+85	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	127	27	5	14	52	153	10	12	2	218	293	354	647	136	270	24	8	281	74	-19	+2	-0	-4	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	5893	5279	1156	253	46	126	470	1408	95	111	28	219	294	356	650	137	273	24	8	292	82	-122	+11	-4	-35	+167	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	128	28	5	14	52	155	10	12	3	220	295	357	652	137	274	24	8	292	82	-13	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	90	15	5	0	1	13	21	6	3	1	167	312	256	567	89	206	19	12	276	70	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	130	33	10	0	4	24	34	5	6	2	254	390	423	813	169	312	21	15	367	139	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,133	69	57	223	294	363	-19	+0	1.8	1.9
	/162	664	15	12	223	294	363	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Erny Orellana (OGILVIE)	19	40	40	50	55	198/269/340	142	239	3	4	22%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	57	-1.2	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	68	-0.5	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	46	41→45	43→40	47	225/288/323	98	278	9	4	22%	7%	71	-0.3	214/269/315	101	304	9	4	31%	6%	60	-1.0	191/241/289	98	292	10	0	37%	6%	39	-0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	44	39→40	48→55	47	209/298/288	79	282	7	17	26%	8%	68	-0.5	199/266/274	75	327	6	12	38%	7%	49	-1.8	173/232/231	58	316	6	11	44%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A	19	46→36	40→50	50→45	43	217/299/309	92	296	7	7	27%	6%	73	-0.1	202/281/281	79	307	6	5	34%	6%	59	-1.1	202/292/323	121	282	13	6	30%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	216/278/319	103	302	7	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	198/267/295	97	299	7	13	33%	8%	55	-1.4	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.2	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	52	-1.6	196/269/254	58	272	5	9	27%	8%	44	-0.6
✕David Pino 2010 · A	19	43	42→50	48→45	46	209/279/325	116	263	7	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	221/291/329	108	270	6	10	19%	6%	74	-0.1	229/305/354	125	264	5	17	14%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	45→55	44→40	43	204/283/326	122	290	12	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	195/273/328	133	307	15	4	39%	8%	67	-0.5	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Dorssys Paulino 2014 · A	19	44→50	41→45	49→45	41	216/256/320	104	274	7	9	24%	5%	56	-1.3	219/265/319	100	296	6	7	27%	5%	59	-1.1	227/290/337	110	307	12	5	28%	8%	72	-0.1