Erny OrellanaOF DSL LAD Mega
Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.6 · 2033
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .286 / .330
PA133
HR3
K%29
BB%8
MLB%0%
BAT: -4.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4040
PWR
4040
SPD
5050
EYE
5055
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.6peak
2033

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+2.4$23M+$22M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+2.6$26M+$25M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+2.6$26M+$25M
2035Ext / FA-deal$5M+2.4$25M+$20M
2036Ext / FA-deal$8M+2.3$25M+$17M
2037Ext / FA-deal$10M+2.0$22M+$12M
Totals $25M $147M +$121M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 10996 12401 7316 31 .125.229.198.427 .073.172 286 .186 1 -12 +0 +0 -1 +3 -1.0
202518 ROKDSL LAD Mega 160139 23603 15535 62 .165.270.273.544 .108.238 339 .241 43 -10 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.7
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBLAD 133119 26513 11392 21 .218.295.353.648 .134.286 298 .281 73 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202720 MLB 11%LAD 219194 43815 20603 41 .222.304.351.655 .129.293 279 .302 89 -3 +0 +0 -1 +6 0.3
202821 MLB 28%LAD 347305 7113210 34915 72 .233.320.387.707 .154.294 2610 .315 99 -0 +1 +0 -2 +10 0.8
202922 MLB 48%LAD 439385 9116313 451116 92 .236.326.395.720 .158.294 2510 .323 106 +3 +1 +0 -3 +12 1.4
203023 MLB 65%LAD 501436 10519316 531247 102 .241.333.408.741 .167.295 2511 .329 110 +6 +1 +0 -3 +14 1.8
203124 MLB 82%LAD 541469 11320318 591328 112 .241.336.412.747 .171.295 2411 .333 113 +8 +1 +0 -3 +15 2.2
203225 MLBLAD 565490 11921319 621378 112 .243.338.414.752 .171.296 2411 .336 116 +10 +1 +0 -3 +16 2.4
203326 MLBLAD 577499 12121320 651408 112 .242.339.417.756 .174.296 2411 .338 117 +11 +1 +0 -3 +16 2.6
203427 MLBLAD 580501 12121320 661418 112 .242.339.415.754 .174.296 2411 .338 117 +11 +1 +0 -3 +16 2.6
203528 MLBLAD 578499 12121320 661428 102 .242.340.417.757 .174.296 2511 .337 116 +10 +1 -1 -3 +16 2.4
203629 MLBLAD 569491 11821319 651418 101 .240.339.411.750 .171.295 2511 .335 114 +9 +2 -1 -3 +16 2.3
203730 MLBLAD 559482 11420318 641418 91 .237.336.402.738 .166.293 2511 .332 112 +8 +1 -2 -3 +16 2.0
203831 MLBLAD 546470 11019317 631408 80 .234.335.396.730 .162.292 2612 .328 109 +6 +2 -3 -3 +15 1.7
203932 MLBLAD 527455 10518316 601387 80 .231.330.389.719 .158.290 2611 .323 106 +3 +2 -4 -3 +15 1.3
204033 MLBLAD 498431 9817215 571337 70 .227.327.381.708 .153.289 2711 .318 101 +1 +1 -4 -3 +14 0.9
204134 MLBLAD 451391 8715213 511256 70 .223.321.371.692 .148.287 2811 .311 96 -2 +1 -5 -3 +13 0.5
204235 MLBLAD 396344 7412211 441135 60 .215.313.358.671 .142.285 2911 .303 90 -4 +1 -6 -2 +11 0.0
204336 MLBLAD 337293 611028 371004 50 .208.305.338.643 .130.282 3011 .294 83 -6 +1 -6 -2 +10 -0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 86327489 173330745265 9442232127 15523 .231.328.391.718 .159.291 2611 .322 104 +43 +22 -31 -52 +245 23.1
/ 162G 650564 13023320 7116810 122 .230.327.388.715 .158.290 2611 .322 104 +3 +2 -2 -4 +18 1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 10990 15501 13216 31 .167.312.256.567 .089.206 1912 .276 70 -4 +0 +3 -0.0
202518 ROKDSL LAD Mega 160130 331004 24345 62 .254.390.423.813 .169.312 2115 .367 139 +7 +0 +5 1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Erny Orellana (OGILVIE) 19 40 40 50 55 .210/.286/.330 .120.286 32 29% 8% 73 -0.0
Ronarsy Ledesma
2012 · A
19 42 42→45 47→50 43 .205/.277/.309 .104.271 98 27% 6% 64 -0.8 .224/.284/.326 .102.290 511 24% 5% 70 -0.3 .226/.280/.337.111.29161123%4%69-0.2
Davis Schneider
2018 · A
19 40→44 41→55 48→50 50 .198/.276/.300 .102.259 86 26% 9% 60 -1.0 .193/.268/.290 .097.299 87 35% 8% 54 -1.4 .213/.322/.409.196.27524930%12%106+1.6
Ravel Santana
2011 · A
19 43 46→50 51→55 47 .214/.294/.340 .125.274 1415 26% 8% 79 +0.3 .220/.281/.362 .142.292 1613 29% 7% 79 +0.3 .205/.253/.387.182.264221531%6%72-0.1
Esmerlyn Valdez
2023 · A
19 42 45→55 45→40 43 .206/.283/.328 .122.292 135 32% 8% 71 -0.3 .197/.275/.334 .137.303 164 38% 8% 69 -0.4 .194/.284/.363.169.27823237%9%78+0.1
Jesus Morelli
2009 · A
19 49 42→45 48→50 49 .233/.310/.344 .110.300 912 24% 8% 85 +0.7 .223/.286/.295 .072.303 410 26% 6% 63 -0.9 .219/.279/.260.041.28701422%6%47-0.5
Noelvi Marte
2021 · A
19 44→53 44→50 50→55 42 .218/.268/.339 .121.285 1112 27% 6% 66 -0.6 .231/.294/.375 .144.300 1716 27% 7% 87 +0.8 .236/.302/.381.145.298171926%8%88+0.8
Jose Paez
2013 · A
19 47 39→45 51→50 42 .223/.278/.315 .092.300 513 26% 6% 64 -0.8 .211/.257/.296 .085.311 411 32% 5% 50 -1.8 .178/.220/.246.068.28331236%4%17-1.1
Heliot Ramos
2019 · A
19 41→51 43→55 47→50 33 .202/.246/.317 .115.301 118 36% 4% 52 -1.6 .215/.268/.348 .133.317 159 35% 6% 69 -0.4 .256/.322/.432.177.31922826%7%112+2.4
Jesus Vasquez
2011 · A
19 40 43→55 47→55 38 .201/.250/.313 .113.265 1010 28% 5% 52 -1.6 .214/.278/.346 .132.291 1414 30% 6% 73 -0.1 .221/.297/.387.166.294192030%8%97+0.7
Edwin Sanchez
2023 · A
18 41 44→45 44→50 46 .203/.288/.316 .113.290 116 32% 9% 70 -0.3 .198/.307/.305 .107.277 109 29% 11% 77 +0.1 .175/.316/.285.110.237101127%13%76+0.0
Cesar Quintas
2022 · A
19 46→36 40→45 50 43 .220/.300/.314 .095.296 77 26% 6% 75 -0.0 .204/.282/.283 .079.308 65 33% 6% 59 -1.1 .200/.289/.313.113.28311631%7%69-0.2
Nahum Hernandez
2010 · A
20 41 40→45 44→50 41 .201/.263/.286 .086.274 75 28% 6% 51 -1.7 .238/.309/.343 .105.312 89 25% 7% 85 +0.7 .294/.375/.424.129.36291519%9%127+1.2
Efrain Contreras
2007 · A
20 44 41→45 51→55 44 .212/.278/.308 .097.264 88 22% 6% 63 -0.8 .227/.291/.336 .109.276 1014 21% 6% 76 +0.0 .227/.291/.331.104.281101522%5%72-0.1
Carlos Jimenez
2022 · A
19 39→41 42→50 53→55 44 .191/.270/.293 .102.283 1011 34% 8% 56 -1.3 .199/.283/.318 .119.317 1115 37% 9% 69 -0.4 .216/.296/.349.133.314151933%9%78+0.1
Mark Vientos
2019 · A
19 42→50 45→60 43→30 45 .215/.274/.337 .122.275 143 27% 7% 69 -0.4 .206/.251/.346 .140.279 172 32% 5% 62 -0.9 .246/.306/.451.204.32128031%7%109+2.0
Alexander Canario
2019 · A
19 41→34 42→60 47→50 44 .203/.269/.309 .106.273 1012 28% 7% 59 -1.1 .209/.266/.356 .147.291 1711 33% 7% 70 -0.3 .209/.277/.424.216.279301336%8%90+0.6
Gabriel Gonzalez
2022 · A
18 43→53 45→50 51→45 43 .217/.278/.347 .131.273 129 25% 6% 73 -0.1 .235/.293/.357 .122.286 138 22% 5% 82 +0.5 .254/.307/.383.129.30313620%5%92+0.9
Armando Sierra
2023 · A
19 46 41→45 43→40 47 .224/.286/.319 .095.281 84 22% 7% 69 -0.4 .214/.270/.313 .099.303 94 30% 7% 60 -1.0 .189/.239/.286.097.29210037%6%38-0.5
Cheslor Cuthbert
2012 · A
19 45→54 44→50 49→45 42 .222/.275/.334 .112.291 115 27% 6% 68 -0.5 .214/.259/.316 .102.269 106 23% 5% 56 -1.3 .250/.304/.396.146.29217120%7%95+0.7
Ryan Vilade
2018 · A
19 47→49 44→50 45→50 48 .226/.303/.341 .115.319 118 31% 10% 82 +0.5 .222/.280/.312 .090.291 712 25% 7% 64 -0.8 .223/.288/.359.136.294141328%7%78+0.2