Cesar Quintas
1B Inland Empire 66ers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ASF | 440 | .228/.324/.386 | 12 | 3 | 59 | — | .192/.274/.312 |
| 2025 | 22 | AModesto Nuts | 352 | .245/.364/.384 | 5 | 12 | 72 | — | .201/.307/.314 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/ASEA | 507 | .276/.370/.432 | 10 | 16 | 80 | — | .233/.308/.357 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSEA | 380 | .205/.282/.318 | 6 | 6 | 71 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSEA | 78 | .206/.284/.323 | 1 | 1 | 74 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBSEA | 135 | .208/.286/.328 | 2 | 2 | 76 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | — | 102 | 81 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 309 | 440 | 457 | 897 | 148 | 354 | 16 | 10 | 400 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 108 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 204 | 288 | 226 | 514 | 22 | 302 | 30 | 6 | 239 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 168 | 129 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 39 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 372 | 512 | 473 | 985 | 101 | 516 | 23 | 13 | 445 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 440 | 381 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 324 | 386 | 710 | 157 | 270 | 22 | 9 | 318 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 352 | 294 | 72 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 78 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 245 | 364 | 384 | 748 | 139 | 313 | 22 | 8 | 341 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 90 | 73 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 315 | 438 | 438 | 877 | 123 | 400 | 20 | 14 | 395 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 417 | 362 | 97 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 89 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 268 | 355 | 431 | 786 | 163 | 326 | 21 | 9 | 348 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 102 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 262 | 582 | 71 | 217 | 21 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 108 | 95 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 137 | 212 | 147 | 359 | 11 | 236 | 42 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 168 | 138 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 380 | 326 | 706 | 72 | 380 | 33 | 8 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 440 | 391 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 136 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 192 | 274 | 312 | 586 | 120 | 252 | 31 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 352 | 303 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 101 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 201 | 307 | 314 | 620 | 112 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 90 | 77 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 260 | 360 | 364 | 723 | 104 | 351 | 27 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 417 | 374 | 85 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 121 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 227 | 297 | 356 | 652 | 128 | 298 | 29 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 102 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 262 | 582 | 71 | 234 | 21 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Orange | — | 102 | 81 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 309 | 440 | 457 | 897 | 148 | 354 | 16 | 10 | 400 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 108 | 95 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 137 | 212 | 147 | 359 | 11 | 250 | 42 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants Orange | — | 108 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 204 | 288 | 226 | 514 | 22 | 302 | 30 | 6 | 239 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 168 | 138 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 380 | 326 | 706 | 72 | 410 | 33 | 8 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants Black | — | 168 | 129 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 39 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 372 | 512 | 473 | 985 | 101 | 516 | 23 | 13 | 445 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 440 | 391 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 136 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 192 | 274 | 312 | 586 | 120 | 263 | 31 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 440 | 381 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 324 | 386 | 710 | 157 | 270 | 22 | 9 | 318 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 352 | 303 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 101 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 201 | 307 | 314 | 620 | 112 | 280 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 352 | 294 | 72 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 78 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 245 | 364 | 384 | 748 | 139 | 313 | 22 | 8 | 341 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 451 | 105 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 145 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 233 | 308 | 357 | 665 | 124 | 318 | 29 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 435 | 120 | 34 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 107 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 276 | 370 | 432 | 802 | 156 | 338 | 21 | 10 | 356 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 102 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 320 | 259 | 579 | 71 | 217 | 21 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 108 | 98 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 133 | 212 | 143 | 354 | 10 | 236 | 42 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 168 | 138 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 380 | 326 | 706 | 72 | 380 | 33 | 8 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 440 | 393 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 136 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 191 | 274 | 310 | 584 | 120 | 252 | 31 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 352 | 303 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 101 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 201 | 307 | 314 | 620 | 112 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 453 | 105 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 145 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 232 | 308 | 355 | 663 | 124 | 307 | 29 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 440 | 393 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 136 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 191 | 274 | 310 | 584 | 120 | 252 | 31 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 352 | 303 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 101 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 201 | 307 | 314 | 620 | 112 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 453 | 105 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 145 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 232 | 308 | 355 | 663 | 124 | 307 | 29 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 380 | 340 | 70 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 106 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 282 | 318 | 600 | 113 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 30% | 260 | 232 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 71 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 286 | 327 | 613 | 119 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | SEA | 44% | 305 | 272 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 210 | 288 | 332 | 620 | 122 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SEA | 30% | 78 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 284 | 323 | 606 | 116 | 274 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 74 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | SEA | 44% | 135 | 121 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 286 | 328 | 613 | 119 | 274 | 27 | 7 | 278 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 213 | 192 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 274 | 302 | 576 | 104 | 265 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 115 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 177 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 196 | 272 | 299 | 571 | 102 | 263 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 70 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2452 | 2154 | 448 | 101 | 10 | 38 | 161 | 716 | 107 | 48 | 18 | 208 | 296 | 317 | 613 | 109 | 288 | 29 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -24 | +1 | +0 | -14 | +17 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 119 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 190 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 208 | 296 | 319 | 615 | 110 | 288 | 29 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -20 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AInland Empire 66ers · 417 PAwOBA .344 → .281 (−62)K% 21.3% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.40% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.990 | 20.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.990 | 8.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.990 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .344 → .281; ISO .163 → .130; BABIP .326 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Everett AquaSox · 90 PAwOBA .390 → .317 (−72)K% 20.0% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 26.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 8.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 1.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .390 → .317; ISO .123 → .100; BABIP .400 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AModesto Nuts · 352 PAwOBA .336 → .275 (−61)K% 22.2% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.16% | ÷1.045 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.39% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 5.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.37% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | — | 18.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | — | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.097 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | — | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.31% | ÷0.759 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 52, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 119, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .336 → .275; ISO .139 → .119; BABIP .313 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASan Jose Giants · 440 PAwOBA .314 → .256 (−58)K% 21.8% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.82% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.64% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.95% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 18.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.21% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.57% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .314 → .256; ISO .157 → .124; BABIP .270 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Black · 168 PAwOBA .438 → .307 (−132)K% 23.2% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.93% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 6.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.11% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | 30.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.84% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .438 → .307; ISO .101 → .069; BABIP .516 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Giants Orange · 108 PAwOBA .238 → .167 (−71)K% 29.6% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.87% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 22.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.988 | ×0.720 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .238 → .167; ISO .022 → .014; BABIP .302 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 102 PAwOBA .398 → .256 (−142)K% 15.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.69% | ÷0.943 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.82% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷0.991 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 17.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷1.097 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.074 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.36% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 89, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .398 → .256; ISO .148 → .075; BABIP .354 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).