Johnny Olmstead3B
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 26
R/R
6'1" / 200 lbs
AAA
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.2 · 2027
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .274 / .348
PA250
HR6
SB5
K%23
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
45→45
SPD
55→55
EYE
41↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.8M | +$0.0M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $1M | $-5M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 104 | 92 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .217 | .294 | .337 | .631 | .120 | .290 | 29 | 6 | .267 | 62 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | 4 teams | 615 | 557 | 116 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 144 | 14 | 17 | 5 | .208 | .271 | .336 | .607 | .127 | .251 | 23 | 6 | .261 | 58 | -29 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +17 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 505 | 464 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 119 | 5 | 25 | 9 | .183 | .239 | .295 | .534 | .112 | .221 | 24 | 6 | .234 | 37 | -36 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 49 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .105 | .292 | .237 | .529 | .132 | .143 | 35 | 16 | .240 | 42 | -3 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 201 | 182 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 3 | .209 | .276 | .346 | .623 | .137 | .257 | 25 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | MIA | 250 | 220 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 67 | 5 | 5 | 5 | .191 | .279 | .327 | .607 | .136 | .242 | 27 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -10 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | MIA | 336 | 301 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 71 | 5 | 8 | 4 | .216 | .291 | .355 | .647 | .140 | .249 | 21 | 8 | .287 | 77 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | MIA | 364 | 326 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 78 | 5 | 8 | 4 | .218 | .294 | .359 | .653 | .141 | .252 | 21 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | MIA | 373 | 334 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 81 | 5 | 8 | 4 | .216 | .292 | .353 | .645 | .138 | .253 | 22 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | MIA | 378 | 339 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 84 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .212 | .288 | .348 | .636 | .136 | .253 | 22 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -10 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 66% | MIA | 369 | 331 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 83 | 5 | 6 | 4 | .208 | .284 | .335 | .620 | .127 | .251 | 22 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -11 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 75% | MIA | 354 | 317 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 82 | 5 | 5 | 4 | .208 | .285 | .334 | .619 | .126 | .250 | 23 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -12 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 83% | MIA | 326 | 292 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 77 | 4 | 4 | 4 | .202 | .279 | .322 | .601 | .120 | .248 | 24 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -12 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB 89% | MIA | 284 | 256 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 4 | .195 | .270 | .312 | .582 | .117 | .246 | 25 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -12 | -1 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4209 | 3791 | 783 | 161 | 20 | 95 | 311 | 969 | 63 | 102 | 51 | .207 | .278 | .335 | .613 | .128 | .250 | 23 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -160 | +0 | -20 | +15 | +119 | -4.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 150 | 10 | 16 | 8 | .207 | .278 | .337 | .615 | .130 | .249 | 23 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -25 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 58 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .288 | .351 | .442 | .793 | .154 | .359 | 22 | 7 | .348 | 124 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 46 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .216 | .356 | .324 | .680 | .108 | .241 | 17 | 11 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 96 | 87 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .287 | .347 | .460 | .807 | .172 | .319 | 17 | 7 | .354 | 129 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 397 | 351 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 72 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .239 | .319 | .393 | .712 | .154 | .267 | 18 | 8 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .294 | .368 | .471 | .839 | .176 | .500 | 33 | 5 | .336 | 115 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | 101 | 88 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .239 | .323 | .341 | .664 | .102 | .290 | 19 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 132 | 111 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 4 | .198 | .305 | .306 | .611 | .108 | .256 | 23 | 12 | .275 | 69 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 373 | 339 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 62 | 4 | 16 | 5 | .227 | .292 | .381 | .672 | .153 | .246 | 17 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Johnny Olmstead (OGILVIE) | 26 | 45 | 45 | 55 | 35 | .217/.274/.348 | .131 | .265 | 6 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA |
26 | 47→51 | 45 | 55 | 39 | .236/.265/.358 | .122 | .289 | 13 | 19 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.279/.340 | .111 | .278 | 11 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .225/.281/.329 | .104 | .271 | 10 | 18 | 20% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Josh Wilson 2007 · AAA |
26 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 52→50 | 45 | .225/.279/.355 | .130 | .263 | 13 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .229/.282/.338 | .109 | .272 | 9 | 14 | 19% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.279/.321 | .098 | .268 | 7 | 11 | 19% | 5% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Derrick Mitchell 2013 · AAA |
26 | 42→46 | 46→50 | 50→55 | 41 | .216/.264/.346 | .130 | .274 | 14 | 17 | 27% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.261/.337 | .131 | .264 | 15 | 14 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .192/.254/.326 | .134 | .242 | 15 | 15 | 27% | 7% | 57 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dylan Moore 2019 · AAA |
26 | 42→48 | 44→50 | 52→65 | 44 | .211/.271/.334 | .123 | .261 | 11 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .217/.294/.375 | .158 | .277 | 17 | 24 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .207/.329/.377 | .170 | .285 | 16 | 41 | 30% | 12% | 100 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jim Haley 2021 · AA |
26 | 47→43 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 38 | .235/.275/.364 | .129 | .302 | 15 | 17 | 27% | 4% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.251/.343 | .145 | .286 | 18 | 19 | 36% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .202/.259/.333 | .130 | .275 | 15 | 22 | 31% | 5% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Kristopher Negrón 2012 · AAA |
26 | 44→50 | 42→45 | 55 | 41 | .216/.271/.320 | .104 | .278 | 10 | 19 | 26% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .206/.257/.312 | .106 | .278 | 10 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .225/.289/.349 | .123 | .323 | 14 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB |
26 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 50 | 38 | .213/.258/.351 | .138 | .274 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.252/.324 | .124 | .274 | 13 | 11 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.243/.304 | .118 | .267 | 13 | 12 | 34% | 5% | 45 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 50→55 | 51→50 | 40 | .216/.263/.367 | .151 | .276 | 18 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.256/.332 | .125 | .280 | 13 | 12 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .182/.237/.307 | .125 | .258 | 16 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 44 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jayson Nix 2009 · MLB |
26 | 45→49 | 45→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .226/.277/.353 | .127 | .276 | 13 | 19 | 23% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .223/.287/.386 | .163 | .265 | 20 | 14 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .207/.278/.370 | .162 | .241 | 21 | 11 | 24% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA |
26 | 41→46 | 46→50 | 52→55 | 39 | .208/.257/.340 | .133 | .277 | 13 | 15 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .203/.249/.338 | .135 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 32% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .196/.242/.333 | .137 | .279 | 12 | 16 | 33% | 5% | 51 | -1.2 |
|
✕Danny Mendick 2020 · MLB |
26 | 44→48 | 46→45 | 47→50 | 47 | .220/.283/.347 | .127 | .262 | 14 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .232/.291/.353 | .121 | .287 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .231/.290/.367 | .136 | .277 | 16 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Craig Stansberry 2007 · AAA |
25 | 43→47 | 49→50 | 54→50 | 46 | .217/.282/.374 | .157 | .269 | 15 | 15 | 25% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.287/.345 | .127 | .270 | 12 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .217/.287/.328 | .112 | .266 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 53→55 | 48 | .221/.296/.363 | .142 | .269 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .221/.293/.348 | .127 | .275 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .214/.285/.324 | .111 | .265 | 13 | 28 | 24% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA |
26 | 42→45 | 44→45 | 50→55 | 43 | .210/.281/.323 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.276/.314 | .116 | .288 | 12 | 20 | 33% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.268/.277 | .096 | .287 | 10 | 25 | 37% | 9% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Davis Stoneburner 2011 · AA |
26 | 46→48 | 45 | 50 | 41 | .228/.278/.354 | .126 | .287 | 12 | 11 | 25% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .217/.272/.324 | .107 | .284 | 8 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .204/.261/.294 | .090 | .271 | 5 | 16 | 25% | 5% | 48 | -1.3 |
|
✕Carlos Sosa 2007 · AAA |
26 | 47 | 44→45 | 53→50 | 47 | .233/.297/.350 | .117 | .274 | 12 | 15 | 19% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .242/.303/.347 | .105 | .274 | 10 | 13 | 15% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .253/.317/.358 | .105 | .275 | 9 | 13 | 11% | 7% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
✕Garrett Hampson 2022 · MLB |
27 | 44→54 | 45 | 54→60 | 44 | .221/.276/.343 | .122 | .283 | 13 | 21 | 26% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .230/.293/.334 | .104 | .305 | 8 | 20 | 25% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .236/.301/.316 | .080 | .322 | 3 | 22 | 25% | 8% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Angel Chavez 2007 · MLB |
26 | 48→53 | 46→45 | 52→50 | 40 | .238/.267/.365 | .127 | .285 | 13 | 12 | 22% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .245/.277/.357 | .112 | .288 | 11 | 8 | 18% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .243/.295/.326 | .084 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 17% | 7% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Kyle Isbel 2023 · MLB |
26 | 45→51 | 47→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .225/.286/.364 | .139 | .284 | 14 | 19 | 26% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .228/.281/.358 | .130 | .277 | 12 | 14 | 21% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .230/.281/.348 | .118 | .274 | 10 | 11 | 19% | 6% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2021 · MLB |
26 | 47→53 | 43→45 | 54→60 | 42 | .231/.283/.344 | .113 | .295 | 10 | 18 | 25% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.281/.313 | .099 | .287 | 7 | 25 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.282/.295 | .092 | .280 | 4 | 40 | 26% | 7% | 58 | -0.7 |