Johnny Olmstead — OGILVIE

Johnny Olmstead3B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION206 act + 137 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .257 / .300

PA137

HR3

SB5

K%27

BB%7

BABIP225

ISO122

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	104	92	20	5	0	2	6	29	4	6	2	217	294	337	631	120	286	28	6	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	104	89	23	6	0	2	9	21	4	6	2	258	353	393	746	135	309	20	9	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	4 teams	—	615	557	115	22	4	15	34	147	14	17	5	206	269	341	611	135	249	24	6	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	4 teams	—	615	543	135	28	4	15	48	114	14	17	5	249	326	398	723	149	285	19	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	505	465	84	18	3	9	28	120	5	25	9	181	235	290	525	110	220	24	6	232	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	505	450	99	20	4	12	43	93	5	25	9	220	295	362	657	142	249	18	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	MIA	—	206	177	31	5	1	5	20	59	7	8	2	175	284	299	584	124	226	29	10	265	61	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
YTD	26	AAA	MIA	—	206	168	34	6	1	6	29	49	7	8	2	202	343	357	700	155	243	24	14	321	104	+1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
ROS	26	AAA	MIA	10%	137	123	22	4	1	3	10	37	3	5	1	178	257	300	557	122	228	27	7	253	52	-7	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
ROS	26	MLB	MIA	10%	14	13	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	77	143	77	220		224	29	7	235	38	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
FULL	26	AAA	MIA	—	220	190	32	5	1	5	21	63	7	8	2	168	275	284	559	116	218	29	10	263	60	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
TOT	26	AAA	MIA	—	343	300	53	9	2	8	30	96	10	13	3	176	273	300	573	123	226	28	9	260	57	-17	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIA	31%	336	302	57	11	2	8	25	89	6	11	3	189	264	318	582	129	235	26	7	261	58	-16	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
2028	28	MLB	MIA	42%	364	327	62	12	2	8	28	96	6	11	3	190	266	312	578	122	239	26	8	264	61	-16	+1	-1	+1	+10	-0.4
2029	29	MLB	MIA	46%	373	335	65	12	2	9	29	98	6	10	3	194	270	322	593	128	240	26	8	265	61	-16	+1	-1	+1	+11	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	MIA	31%	104	93	17	3	1	2	8	27	2	3	1	183	262	301	563	118	231	26	8	244	45	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	28	MLB	MIA	42%	153	137	26	5	1	3	12	40	3	5	1	190	270	307	576	117	235	26	8	248	48	-9	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.4
2029	29	MLB	MIA	46%	172	154	29	5	1	4	13	45	3	5	1	188	265	312	576	123	236	26	8	249	49	-10	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	443	397	73	13	3	9	34	116	8	13	3	184	262	300	562	116	233	26	8	247	47	-26	+1	-1	+2	+13	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	106	19	4	13	50	170	12	19	4	182	260	295	555	113	230	26	8	247	47	-39	+2	-1	+2	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	2434	2201	425	84	14	54	160	616	44	85	26	193	262	318	579	124	239	25	7	257	55	-125	+7	-2	+9	+69	-4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	113	22	4	14	43	164	12	23	7	192	262	315	576	122	238	25	7	257	55	-33	+2	-1	+2	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	58	52	15	5	0	1	4	13	1	4	1	288	351	442	793	154	359	22	7	348	124	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	23	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	46	37	8	1	0	1	5	8	3	2	1	216	356	324	680	108	241	17	11	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	96	87	25	4	1	3	7	16	1	3	2	287	347	460	807	172	319	17	7	354	129	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	397	351	84	17	2	11	32	72	9	8	1	239	319	393	712	154	267	18	8	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+11	1.3
2024	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	21	17	5	1	1	0	1	7	1	2	1	294	368	471	839	176	500	33	5	336	115	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	101	88	21	6	0	1	8	19	3	4	1	239	323	341	664	102	290	19	8	299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	132	111	22	5	2	1	16	31	1	9	4	198	305	306	611	108	256	23	12	275	69	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	373	339	77	15	2	11	27	62	4	16	5	227	292	381	672	153	246	17	7	299	87	-6	+1	—	—	+11	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	454	10	13	191	264	315	+2	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	15	20	191	264	315	+2.4	+0.7	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johnny Olmstead (OGILVIE)	26	45	45	55	35	176/273/300	123	226	8	13	28%	9%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Orlando Calixte 2018 · MLB	26	42→51	45	54→55	39	214/249/338	124	269	13	20	26%	4%	58	-1.2	233/270/348	115	303	13	16	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/273/324	91	306	9	20	26%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	40→46	45→50	53→55	38	202/250/331	129	273	12	16	30%	5%	57	-1.2	200/246/330	130	284	12	17	33%	5%	55	-1.4	195/240/329	134	281	12	16	34%	5%	49	-1.3
✕Gary Brown 2015 · AAA	26	42→52	41→45	51→55	39	207/258/305	98	271	8	23	26%	5%	53	-1.5	207/252/309	102	263	9	18	24%	4%	52	-1.6	192/232/285	93	237	8	16	22%	3%	34	-2.1
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	44→45	50	42	201/261/318	117	257	11	13	26%	6%	59	-1.1	210/280/367	157	289	18	16	33%	6%	80	+0.4	173/256/351	178	230	22	20	35%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Derrick Mitchell 2013 · AAA	26	43→47	45→50	49→55	41	216/263/339	123	271	13	17	26%	5%	65	-0.7	206/261/336	130	265	14	14	27%	7%	63	-0.8	191/251/327	136	244	15	15	28%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→45	43→45	55	43	203/267/314	111	263	10	20	26%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/315	105	278	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	206/273/310	105	273	10	14	27%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Mycal Jones 2013 · AA	26	41→45	41→45	49→55	42	202/260/302	100	267	8	18	27%	6%	53	-1.5	215/271/304	89	279	6	22	24%	6%	59	-1.1	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	44→45	49→50	40	196/248/301	105	255	13	12	28%	6%	48	-1.9	209/272/329	120	259	14	13	24%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Matt Lipka 2018 · AAA	26	41→51	41→45	54→60	39	204/250/302	99	266	8	18	26%	4%	49	-1.8	211/262/315	104	282	8	22	27%	6%	57	-1.2	230/283/343	114	308	11	31	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Eric Stamets 2018 · AAA	26	42→51	44→45	53→50	40	209/263/328	119	274	12	11	28%	5%	62	-0.9	201/253/309	108	280	10	14	30%	5%	53	-1.5	165/229/265	100	235	10	16	33%	6%	28	-1.3
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA	26	42→52	41→45	53→55	41	207/264/307	99	272	8	16	26%	6%	56	-1.3	219/275/315	96	291	8	13	26%	6%	63	-0.9	225/280/310	85	299	6	13	25%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Kristopher Negrón 2012 · AAA	26	43→51	43→45	55	40	212/265/319	107	275	10	18	26%	5%	60	-1.0	201/251/304	103	277	9	18	30%	5%	50	-1.7	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Bubba Starling 2019 · AAA	26	39→46	45	48→50	38	202/248/325	124	270	13	10	30%	5%	55	-1.4	222/264/345	123	299	14	11	29%	5%	66	-0.6	221/258/345	124	289	15	11	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Audy Ciriaco 2013 · AAA	26	40→47	45→50	49→50	36	206/233/329	123	253	13	14	25%	3%	48	-1.9	206/247/327	121	250	13	9	23%	5%	54	-1.4	199/244/316	117	238	12	5	22%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	40→50	42→40	50→45	41	202/246/297	95	249	10	10	24%	5%	46	-2.0	182/234/293	111	230	14	7	27%	5%	41	-2.3	143/194/234	91	175	13	2	28%	5%	7	-1.8
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	268	12	15	26%	7%	62	-0.9	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	75	-0.0	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3
✕J.P. Sportman 2018 · AA	26	43→44	43→45	50	38	213/250/328	115	278	11	13	28%	4%	56	-1.3	220/256/360	140	283	16	14	28%	4%	67	-0.5	218/248/369	151	271	18	17	27%	3%	63	-0.7
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	41→43	43→45	50→55	42	206/275/317	112	280	11	19	29%	6%	65	-0.7	195/273/306	111	288	11	20	34%	8%	61	-1.0	178/266/272	94	285	10	25	38%	9%	47	-0.9