Johnny Olmstead — OGILVIE

Johnny Olmstead3B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP230

ISO112

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	58	52	15	5	0	1	4	13	1	4	1	288	351	442	793	154	359	22	7	348	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	23	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	46	37	8	1	0	1	5	8	3	2	1	216	356	324	680	108	241	17	11	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	96	87	25	4	1	3	7	16	1	3	2	287	347	460	807	172	319	17	7	354	126	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	397	351	84	17	2	11	32	72	9	8	1	239	319	393	712	154	267	18	8	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
2024	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	21	17	5	1	1	0	1	7	1	2	1	294	368	471	839	176	500	33	5	336	113	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	24	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	101	88	21	6	0	1	8	19	3	4	1	239	323	341	664	102	290	19	8	299	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	132	111	22	5	2	1	16	31	1	9	4	198	305	306	611	108	256	23	12	275	72	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	373	339	77	15	2	11	27	62	4	16	5	227	292	381	672	153	246	17	7	299	88	-5	+1	—	—	+8	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	58	53	13	4	0	1	3	18	1	4	1	245	298	377	676	132	334	31	5	295	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	46	39	7	1	0	1	3	12	3	2	1	179	289	282	571	103	191	26	7	234	45	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	96	89	21	3	1	2	5	19	1	3	2	236	284	360	644	124	279	20	5	289	82	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	397	360	69	14	1	9	23	96	9	8	1	192	258	311	569	119	225	24	6	252	57	-20	+1	—	—	+9	-1.1
2024	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	21	17	5	1	1	0	1	10	1	2	1	294	368	471	839	176	436	48	5	276	73	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	132	116	20	4	2	1	11	38	1	9	4	172	250	267	517	95	218	29	8	221	36	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	373	348	67	13	2	8	18	76	4	16	5	193	241	310	551	118	217	20	5	237	47	-24	+1	—	—	+8	-1.5
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	104	92	20	5	0	2	6	29	4	6	2	217	294	337	631	120	286	28	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	104	89	23	6	0	2	9	21	4	6	2	258	353	393	746	135	309	20	9	333	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	615	557	115	22	4	14	34	149	14	17	5	206	269	336	605	129	252	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	615	543	135	28	4	15	48	114	14	17	5	249	326	398	723	149	285	19	8	320	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	464	86	17	4	9	29	114	5	25	9	185	241	297	538	112	223	23	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	505	450	99	20	4	12	43	93	5	25	9	220	295	362	657	142	249	18	9	293	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	104	93	20	5	0	2	6	29	4	6	2	215	294	333	627	118	271	28	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	615	562	115	22	4	14	34	149	14	17	5	205	269	333	602	128	244	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	466	86	17	4	9	29	114	5	25	9	185	241	296	537	112	217	23	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	104	93	20	5	0	2	6	29	4	6	2	215	294	333	627	118	271	28	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	615	562	115	22	4	14	34	149	14	17	5	205	269	333	602	128	244	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	505	466	86	17	4	9	29	114	5	25	9	185	241	296	537	112	217	23	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	MIA	—	305	265	50	8	2	6	27	84	8	13	3	189	283	302	585	113	246	28	9	265	65	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA RAW	MIA	—	305	251	55	9	2	9	41	70	8	13	3	219	347	378	725	159	261	23	13	327	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	MIA	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		236	22	11	255	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	MIA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						230	0	0	235	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	MIA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	235	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	MIA	—	314	273	51	8	2	6	28	86	8	13	3	187	282	297	578	110	243	27	9	265	65	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIA	31%	336	301	57	10	2	7	26	87	6	11	3	189	267	306	573	116	240	26	8	262	64	-15	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	364	326	63	11	2	8	29	94	6	12	3	193	271	313	584	120	244	26	8	266	66	-15	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	373	334	65	12	2	8	30	97	6	11	3	195	273	314	587	120	245	26	8	267	67	-15	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIA	31%	104	93	18	3	1	2	8	27	2	3	1	194	272	312	584	118	234	26	8	243	64	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	153	137	25	4	1	3	12	40	3	5	1	182	263	292	555	109	237	26	8	247	66	-6	+1	-0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	172	153	30	5	1	4	14	45	3	5	1	196	276	320	597	124	239	26	8	248	67	-7	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	430	384	73	12	3	9	34	112	8	13	3	190	270	307	577	117	241	26	8	246	60	-18	+1	-1	+2	+9	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	111	18	5	14	51	169	12	20	5	191	271	312	583	121	241	26	8	246	60	-26	+2	-1	+2	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2306	2082	407	77	14	48	155	572	41	82	25	195	265	315	580	120	242	25	7	257	60	-44	+3	-2	+4	+23	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	116	22	4	14	44	161	12	23	7	198	268	320	588	123	244	25	7	257	60	-27	+2	-1	+2	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	454	10	14	194	268	313	+2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	14	21	+2.4	+0.7	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johnny Olmstead (OGILVIE)	26	45	45	55	35	184/260/295	111	236	5	9	26%	7%	59	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Orlando Calixte 2018 · MLB	26	42→49	44→45	54→55	39	212/248/331	118	268	12	20	26%	5%	60	-1.6	226/266/338	112	297	12	16	27%	5%	69	-0.9	224/266/309	86	296	9	20	27%	5%	60	-0.7
✕Gary Brown 2015 · AAA	26	42→52	41→45	50→55	39	208/258/306	97	270	8	23	26%	4%	59	-1.7	209/256/312	103	263	9	18	24%	4%	59	-1.6	196/237/290	93	239	8	16	21%	4%	45	-2.0
✕Derrick Mitchell 2013 · AAA	26	42→45	45→50	49→55	41	211/259/332	120	265	13	17	26%	5%	65	-1.2	204/261/326	122	261	13	14	26%	7%	65	-1.2	189/251/313	124	239	13	15	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	42→47	46→50	50	39	212/257/343	130	272	13	12	27%	4%	67	-1.1	198/251/312	114	276	11	11	31%	5%	58	-1.7	184/241/291	108	266	11	12	34%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Matt Lipka 2018 · AAA	26	42→52	40→45	54→60	39	204/250/300	95	267	7	18	26%	4%	54	-2.0	212/263/311	99	280	7	22	25%	6%	62	-1.4	226/278/328	102	302	8	31	26%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	41→46	44→50	53→55	39	205/255/330	124	274	11	16	29%	5%	63	-1.3	200/247/326	126	279	11	17	31%	5%	59	-1.6	193/240/322	128	273	11	16	32%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Jorge Mateo 2021 · MLB	26	41→48	44→50	55→65	35	205/243/327	122	295	10	20	33%	4%	58	-1.7	222/269/360	138	293	13	31	28%	5%	76	-0.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→46	42→45	55	44	204/268/312	109	262	9	20	26%	6%	65	-1.2	210/273/311	101	275	9	15	25%	7%	66	-1.1	207/273/306	99	272	9	14	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Mycal Jones 2013 · AA	26	42→47	40→45	49→55	43	203/261/296	93	264	7	18	25%	6%	58	-1.7	219/276/301	82	280	5	22	22%	6%	64	-1.3	224/284/303	79	284	5	24	22%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	44→45	54→50	42	193/265/307	114	268	12	15	32%	7%	63	-1.4	194/259/303	109	286	10	12	34%	7%	59	-1.6	153/220/251	99	233	9	9	37%	7%	30	-1.4
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	42→45	50	41	199/258/307	108	258	10	13	26%	6%	60	-1.6	207/279/354	147	283	16	16	32%	6%	80	-0.2	169/253/329	160	225	20	20	34%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	46→53	41→45	52→50	43	223/275/321	98	292	8	16	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/299	92	297	6	15	30%	8%	62	-1.4	223/291/322	99	325	7	9	31%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	267	12	15	25%	7%	66	-1.1	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	78	-0.3	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	86	+0.1
✕Travis Witherspoon 2015 · AA	26	41→47	46→45	53→55	43	209/269/337	127	277	14	23	29%	7%	70	-0.8	200/252/300	100	274	10	17	29%	6%	55	-1.9	169/211/228	59	227	7	19	28%	5%	20	-2.1
✕Eric Stamets 2018 · AAA	26	41→51	44→45	53→50	41	208/263/323	115	270	11	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	196/250/299	103	273	9	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	159/225/248	89	228	8	16	33%	6%	31	-1.5
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA	26	43→53	40	54→55	42	210/267/304	95	270	7	16	24%	6%	62	-1.4	221/277/312	91	290	7	13	25%	6%	68	-1.0	228/284/307	79	300	6	13	24%	6%	66	-0.6
✕Kristopher Negrón 2012 · AAA	26	43→50	41→45	55	41	213/267/312	99	274	9	18	25%	5%	63	-1.3	204/255/302	98	279	8	18	29%	5%	57	-1.8	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Audy Ciriaco 2013 · AAA	26	41→48	43→45	49→50	37	208/235/320	112	255	11	14	24%	3%	53	-2.1	206/247/319	113	252	11	9	23%	5%	58	-1.7	198/244/309	111	240	11	5	22%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	40→50	41→40	50→45	42	200/245/290	89	248	9	10	23%	5%	50	-2.3	180/234/282	102	229	12	7	27%	6%	45	-2.7	140/192/219	79	174	11	2	27%	5%	13	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps