Andres Torres
C FCL Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Tampa Bay | 172 | .238/.349/.320 | 1 | 12 | 34 | — | .156/.244/.188 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Tampa Bay | 192 | .271/.439/.326 | 0 | 8 | 61 | — | .188/.332/.227 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKTB | 259 | .273/.418/.312 | 1 | 17 | 67 | — | .219/.321/.251 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTB | 369 | .210/.295/.278 | 2 | 7 | 66 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBTB | 71 | .219/.303/.302 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBTB | 153 | .223/.308/.318 | 2 | 3 | 79 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 172 | 147 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 238 | 349 | 320 | 669 | 82 | 301 | 19 | 14 | 312 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 192 | 144 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 271 | 439 | 326 | 765 | 56 | 312 | 12 | 18 | 358 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 47 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 319 | 135 | 454 | 227 | 32 | 21 | 245 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 212 | 168 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 31 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 304 | 440 | 351 | 791 | 48 | 362 | 15 | 18 | 367 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 172 | 154 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 156 | 244 | 188 | 432 | 32 | 223 | 24 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 192 | 154 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 188 | 332 | 227 | 559 | 39 | 207 | 15 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 47 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 234 | 100 | 334 | 218 | 43 | 15 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 212 | 183 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 45 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 246 | 340 | 284 | 624 | 38 | 310 | 21 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 172 | 154 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 156 | 244 | 188 | 432 | 32 | 212 | 24 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 172 | 147 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 238 | 349 | 320 | 669 | 82 | 301 | 19 | 14 | 312 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 192 | 154 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 188 | 332 | 227 | 559 | 39 | 223 | 15 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 192 | 144 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 271 | 439 | 326 | 765 | 56 | 312 | 12 | 18 | 358 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 222 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 65 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 225 | 328 | 257 | 585 | 32 | 310 | 25 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 259 | 205 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 46 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 273 | 418 | 312 | 730 | 39 | 344 | 18 | 19 | 345 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 172 | 152 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 158 | 244 | 191 | 435 | 33 | 223 | 24 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 192 | 157 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 185 | 332 | 223 | 554 | 38 | 207 | 15 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 223 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 65 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 224 | 328 | 256 | 584 | 31 | 293 | 25 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 172 | 152 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 158 | 244 | 191 | 435 | 33 | 223 | 24 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 192 | 157 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 185 | 332 | 223 | 554 | 38 | 207 | 15 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 223 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 65 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 224 | 328 | 256 | 584 | 31 | 293 | 25 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 369 | 326 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 89 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 210 | 295 | 278 | 574 | 68 | 279 | 24 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TB | 34% | 208 | 184 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 301 | 300 | 602 | 84 | 280 | 24 | 10 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | TB | 48% | 315 | 278 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 306 | 317 | 623 | 96 | 282 | 23 | 10 | 285 | 79 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | TB | 54% | 392 | 347 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 91 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 224 | 309 | 329 | 638 | 105 | 284 | 23 | 10 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 443 | 392 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 227 | 311 | 338 | 649 | 111 | 285 | 23 | 10 | 295 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 445 | 394 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 103 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 312 | 344 | 656 | 115 | 285 | 23 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 445 | 394 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 103 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 312 | 344 | 656 | 116 | 285 | 23 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 445 | 394 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 103 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 227 | 311 | 341 | 652 | 114 | 284 | 23 | 10 | 296 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 445 | 394 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 104 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 226 | 309 | 337 | 645 | 111 | 283 | 23 | 10 | 293 | 85 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 445 | 395 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 105 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 306 | 330 | 636 | 107 | 282 | 24 | 10 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 57% | 445 | 396 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 107 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 220 | 302 | 322 | 624 | 102 | 280 | 24 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | TB | 60% | 426 | 379 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 104 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 216 | 297 | 312 | 609 | 96 | 277 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -13 | -0 | -3 | +8 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | TB | 61% | 387 | 345 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 96 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 210 | 291 | 300 | 591 | 89 | 273 | 25 | 9 | 271 | 70 | -14 | -2 | -4 | +7 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TB | 34% | 71 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 303 | 302 | 605 | 83 | 284 | 24 | 10 | 278 | 74 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | TB | 48% | 153 | 135 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 308 | 318 | 625 | 95 | 286 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | TB | 54% | 213 | 188 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 311 | 330 | 640 | 103 | 287 | 23 | 10 | 292 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 246 | 217 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 229 | 313 | 338 | 651 | 109 | 288 | 23 | 10 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 249 | 220 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 314 | 344 | 658 | 113 | 289 | 23 | 10 | 298 | 87 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 250 | 221 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 58 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 314 | 344 | 658 | 114 | 288 | 23 | 10 | 298 | 87 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 246 | 217 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 313 | 342 | 654 | 112 | 288 | 23 | 10 | 297 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 244 | 216 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 311 | 337 | 647 | 109 | 287 | 23 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 238 | 211 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 308 | 330 | 638 | 105 | 285 | 24 | 10 | 291 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 57% | 254 | 226 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 304 | 322 | 627 | 100 | 283 | 24 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | TB | 60% | 254 | 226 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 299 | 312 | 612 | 95 | 280 | 24 | 9 | 280 | 75 | -8 | -0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | TB | 61% | 237 | 211 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 212 | 293 | 300 | 593 | 88 | 276 | 25 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -9 | -1 | -2 | +4 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2655 | 2351 | 524 | 87 | 11 | 43 | 256 | 627 | 27 | 43 | 14 | 223 | 306 | 324 | 630 | 101 | 284 | 24 | 10 | 290 | 78 | -58 | +3 | -6 | +47 | +58 | 4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 129 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 63 | 154 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 224 | 309 | 328 | 637 | 104 | 285 | 24 | 10 | 290 | 78 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5617 | 4957 | 1085 | 183 | 24 | 80 | 553 | 1313 | 63 | 119 | 38 | 219 | 305 | 314 | 619 | 95 | 280 | 23 | 10 | 284 | 78 | -112 | +5 | -10 | +89 | +108 | 8.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 125 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 64 | 152 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 218 | 304 | 312 | 616 | 94 | 278 | 23 | 10 | 284 | 78 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Rays · 212 PAwOBA .363 → .285 (−78)K% 14.6% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 28.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.57% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .363 → .285; ISO .048 → .038; BABIP .362 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 47 PAwOBA .240 → .185 (−55)K% 31.9% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 15.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 21.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .240 → .185; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .227 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 192 PAwOBA .359 → .258 (−102)K% 12.5% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.71% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 12.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.83% | ÷1.054 | ×0.680 | ×1.021 | ×1.008 | 17.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.944 | ×0.600 | ×1.021 | ×1.008 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.021 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .359 → .258; ISO .056 → .040; BABIP .312 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 172 PAwOBA .305 → .218 (−87)K% 19.2% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷0.963 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 17.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.39% | ÷0.945 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.982 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 93, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .305 → .218; ISO .082 → .052; BABIP .301 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).