Kelvin Alarcon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 21 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 73 | .319/.356/.406 | 0 | 0 | 118 | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 181 | .192/.296/.231 | 0 | 2 | 15 | — | .143/.217/.163 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA/ROKSD | 119 | .301/.379/.350 | 0 | 4 | 61 | — | .237/.284/.264 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 232 | 169 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 43 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 254 | 450 | 290 | 740 | 36 | 341 | 19 | 25 | 358 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 146 | 119 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 345 | 244 | 589 | 42 | 253 | 19 | 16 | 287 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 46 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 238 | 499 | 48 | 286 | 30 | 7 | 235 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 54 | 46 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 457 | 537 | 543 | 1.081 | 87 | 553 | 15 | 15 | 482 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 73 | 69 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 356 | 406 | 762 | 87 | 379 | 15 | 4 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 128 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 297 | 243 | 540 | 54 | 276 | 27 | 13 | 258 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 34 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 233 | 536 | 412 | 38 | 9 | 248 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 19 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 167 | 21 | 16 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 24 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 409 | 458 | 545 | 1.004 | 136 | 529 | 21 | 8 | 445 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 95 | 81 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 272 | 359 | 296 | 655 | 25 | 328 | 18 | 12 | 298 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 232 | 185 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 52 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 184 | 341 | 211 | 551 | 27 | 246 | 22 | 18 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 146 | 127 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 269 | 205 | 474 | 39 | 220 | 27 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 46 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 196 | 163 | 358 | 23 | 253 | 43 | 4 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 54 | 49 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 347 | 407 | 408 | 816 | 61 | 443 | 22 | 9 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 128 | 116 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 219 | 164 | 383 | 26 | 250 | 37 | 9 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 161 | 373 | 378 | 56 | 6 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 24 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 348 | 375 | 435 | 810 | 87 | 488 | 25 | 4 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 95 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 209 | 261 | 221 | 482 | 12 | 274 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 232 | 185 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 52 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 184 | 341 | 211 | 551 | 27 | 256 | 22 | 18 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 232 | 169 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 43 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 254 | 450 | 290 | 740 | 36 | 341 | 19 | 25 | 358 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 146 | 127 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 269 | 205 | 474 | 39 | 230 | 27 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres 2 | — | 146 | 119 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 345 | 244 | 589 | 42 | 253 | 19 | 16 | 287 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 92 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 250 | 310 | 304 | 614 | 54 | 377 | 31 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 100 | 88 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 330 | 410 | 398 | 808 | 68 | 439 | 22 | 11 | 369 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 73 | 69 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 356 | 406 | 762 | 87 | 379 | 15 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 73 | 69 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 356 | 406 | 762 | 87 | 379 | 15 | 4 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 181 | 164 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 229 | 195 | 424 | 37 | 283 | 40 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 181 | 156 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 296 | 231 | 527 | 38 | 286 | 29 | 13 | 251 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 119 | 108 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 278 | 571 | 37 | 325 | 26 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 119 | 103 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 301 | 379 | 350 | 729 | 49 | 369 | 18 | 11 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 232 | 186 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 52 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 183 | 341 | 210 | 550 | 27 | 246 | 22 | 18 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 146 | 127 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 269 | 205 | 474 | 39 | 220 | 27 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 92 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 250 | 310 | 304 | 614 | 54 | 356 | 31 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 181 | 164 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 229 | 195 | 424 | 37 | 277 | 40 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 119 | 110 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 236 | 293 | 273 | 566 | 36 | 317 | 26 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 851 | 745 | 152 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 90 | 238 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 204 | 296 | 246 | 541 | 42 | 295 | 28 | 11 | 216 | 32 | -69 | +4 | +0 | +3 | +18 | -4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 116 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 69 | 182 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 204 | 295 | 246 | 542 | 42 | 295 | 28 | 11 | 216 | 32 | -52 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 ROKACL Padres · 95 PAwOBA .301 → .229 (−72)K% 17.9% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.58% | ÷1.015 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.965 | 26.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.016 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.965 | 2.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.081 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .301 → .229; ISO .025 → .017; BABIP .328 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 24 PAwOBA .433 → .374 (−59)K% 20.8% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 34.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 14.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .433 → .374; ISO .136 → .110; BABIP .529 → .488. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 128 PAwOBA .252 → .194 (−58)K% 27.3% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.34% | ÷1.011 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.28% | ÷1.050 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.067 | ×0.820 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 2.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 113, K 102, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .252 → .194; ISO .054 → .039; BABIP .276 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALake Elsinore Storm · 34 PAwOBA .242 → .168 (−74)K% 38.2% → 55.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.24% | ÷0.932 | ×1.360 | — | — | 55.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.18% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | — | 37.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.815 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 106, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .242 → .168; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .412 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Padres 2 · 54 PAwOBA .471 → .353 (−118)K% 14.8% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 47.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 38.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .471 → .353; ISO .087 → .062; BABIP .553 → .443. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 46 PAwOBA .230 → .169 (−60)K% 30.4% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.52% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 19.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.151 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .230 → .169; ISO .048 → .033; BABIP .286 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Padres 2 · 146 PAwOBA .283 → .214 (−69)K% 19.2% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 9.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.88% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .283 → .214; ISO .042 → .032; BABIP .253 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Padres · 232 PAwOBA .351 → .262 (−89)K% 18.5% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 17.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .351 → .262; ISO .036 → .025; BABIP .341 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .