Luis SanchezSS Augusta GreenJackets
Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .273 / .245
PA162
HR0
K%21
BB%7
BABIP263
ISO41
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -15.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +6.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.50.40.2+$13M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Braves 132109 30201 13147 131 275388321709 46299 1110 317 101
202218 ROKDSL Braves 132101 29301 21107 131 287442347788 59301 816 366 138
202319 ROKFCL Braves 187161 33421 23392 74 205312273585 68262 2112 268 63
202319 ROKFCL Braves 187150 36421 34282 74 240387313700 73287 1518 331 111
202420 AAugusta GreenJackets 348324 71721 16866 146 219269262531 43293 255 235 38
202420 AAugusta GreenJackets 348314 71821 26626 146 226298274572 48277 187 266 61
202521 A2 teams 236212 37410 21483 11 175258203461 28226 209 217 25
202521 A2 teams 236200 42510 33333 11 210331245576 35251 1414 279 72
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AATL 6052 9100 5142 21 173271192463 19231 238 209 18 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
YTD22 AATL 6049 9100 8102 21 184322204526 20225 1713 260 57 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
ROS22 AATL 0% 162147 30410 12342 31 204273245518 41262 217 244 45 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
ROS22 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 262 233 36 +0 +0
FULL22 AATL 6053 9100 5142 21 170271189460 19225 238 209 18 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
TOT22 AATL 222199 39510 17484 52 196273231504 35255 228 235 38 -16 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBATL 34% 279252 53812 21584 42 210282274555 63265 218 261 58 -13 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.2
202824 MLBATL 46% 366329 721025 29765 52 219292307599 88268 218 272 66 -14 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.1
202925 MLBATL 52% 415373 831226 33866 63 223296314610 91270 218 279 72 -13 +0 +0 +4 +12 0.3
203026 MLBATL 54% 445400 901328 36926 73 225299328626 103270 218 282 74 -13 +0 +0 +5 +13 0.5
203127 MLBATL 54% 458412 931428 37956 73 226299328627 102270 218 282 74 -13 +0 +0 +5 +13 0.5
203228 MLBATL 54% 462415 931428 38976 63 224298325624 101270 218 281 74 -14 +0 -1 +5 +13 0.4
203329 MLBATL 58% 457410 901327 38976 63 220295312607 93269 218 280 72 -14 +0 -1 +5 +13 0.2
202723 MLBATL 34% 9688 19301 7201 11 216281284565 68265 217 250 50 -5 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202824 MLBATL 46% 169152 34512 13352 21 224293309603 86268 218 262 59 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202925 MLBATL 52% 214192 42613 17443 31 219292307600 89270 218 269 64 -9 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.0
203026 MLBATL 54% 241217 48714 19503 42 221293318611 97270 218 272 66 -9 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203127 MLBATL 54% 248223 49714 20523 42 220293314607 94270 218 272 66 -9 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203228 MLBATL 54% 251225 50714 21533 42 222297316613 93270 218 271 66 -10 +0 -0 +3 +7 -0.0
203329 MLBATL 58% 263235 52814 22564 31 221299315614 94269 218 270 65 -11 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 14821333 29443622 11931019 2110 221294311605 91270 218 268 64 -61 +0 -1 +16 +42 -0.4
/ 162G 650585 13019310 521368 94 222295316611 94271 218 268 64 -27 +0 -1 +7 +18 -0.2
Career 39473544 7751051947 31782259 7932 219294299592 80270 218 270 65 -157 +3 -2 +42 +112 -0.2
/ 162G 650584 1271738 5213510 135 217293298591 80268 218 270 65 -26 +1 -0 +7 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Braves 132101 29301 21107 131 287442347788 59301 816 366 138 +6 +2 +4 1.2
202319 ROKFCL Braves 187150 36421 34282 74 240387313700 73287 1518 331 111 +2 -0 +5 0.8
202420 AAugusta GreenJackets 348314 71821 26626 146 226298274572 48277 187 266 61 -15 +0 +10 -0.5
202521 A+Rome Emperors 6353 9000 9101 11 170302170471 209 1614 241 42 -4 -0 +2 -0.3
202521 AAugusta GreenJackets 173147 33510 24232 00 224341272613 48266 1314 293 82 -3 +0 +5 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,7052324221291309+18+150.60.8
/162664910+7.1+5.80.2pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Sanchez (OGILVIE) 22 40 20 40 55 196/273/231 35255 05 22% 8% 38 -0.7
Jaime Morales
2006 · A
22 46 34→30 42→55 48 213/264/267 54248 26 15% 6% 45 -2.1 223/273/285 62257 211 13% 6% 53 -1.5 230/279/2845425711511%5%54-0.5
Victor Moscote
2016 · A
22 43 34→30 43→45 43 201/255/254 54266 24 24% 6% 38 -2.6 204/261/269 65280 34 26% 6% 45 -2.1 216/283/267512813222%6%50-0.5
Juan Richardson
2009 · A
22 46 35→30 44→50 44 214/257/269 55260 210 18% 5% 43 -2.2 212/256/273 61262 37 19% 5% 43 -2.2 214/240/228142470013%3%20-0.8
Dixon Mavares
2008 · A
22 46 35→30 47→50 50 212/288/274 62252 211 16% 7% 59 -1.1 224/295/299 75271 49 17% 8% 68 -0.5 241/316/3066528521115%8%76+0.0
Luis Silva
2017 · A
22 44 34→30 40→45 43 205/256/259 54253 15 19% 4% 40 -2.4 189/234/249 60250 35 24% 4% 28 -3.2 144/178/171271880022%2%-20-1.9
Abel Nieves
2008 · A
22 45 36→40 45 47 209/272/276 67282 26 25% 8% 51 -1.7 233/301/320 87318 54 26% 9% 75 -0.0 234/304/321873116225%9%73-0.1
Jairo Rodriguez
2011 · A
22 41 35→30 44→30 44 190/228/255 66219 24 15% 4% 27 -3.3 207/250/267 60260 33 21% 5% 39 -2.5 216/259/262462642118%4%39-0.8
Dereck Salom
2023 · A
22 43 35→30 43→40 45 200/258/257 57261 26 23% 6% 40 -2.4 196/279/253 57262 35 24% 10% 50 -1.8 183/278/229452453424%11%43-1.3
Leo Rodriguez
2014 · A
22 47 34→30 45 45 220/274/268 48274 26 20% 6% 50 -1.8 229/273/287 58281 37 19% 5% 53 -1.5 252/278/275232930614%3%47-0.6
Luis Sanchez
2009 · A
22 45 35→30 43→40 46 208/271/262 54285 25 26% 8% 47 -1.9 191/246/248 57270 25 28% 6% 33 -2.9 163/216/206422331229%6%9-1.9
Alex Todd
2012 · A
22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
Ashley Ponce
2013 · A
22 42 35→30 41→50 48 194/251/249 56225 47 16% 6% 36 -2.7 195/250/256 61239 27 18% 6% 37 -2.7 183/239/230472260718%6%23-1.2
Luis Alberto Sanz
2013 · AA
22 43 36→30 47→40 44 201/249/263 62248 38 20% 5% 38 -2.6 212/270/280 68250 56 16% 7% 52 -1.6 217/279/252352482212%8%46-0.7
Richard Rodriguez
2015 · A
22 52 33→30 44→50 52 239/298/277 38283 112 16% 8% 62 -0.9 226/267/273 47291 28 22% 5% 47 -1.9 148/174/15681970724%3%-26-1.4
Luis Joseph
2018 · A
21 44 34→30 46→50 41 205/238/250 45256 29 20% 4% 29 -3.2 206/243/276 70259 410 21% 4% 38 -2.6 206/223/2837724041516%1%27-0.7
Stephen Wickens
2012 · A
23 45→44 36→40 40→55 49 207/280/282 75258 25 20% 8% 57 -1.2 227/302/302 75282 312 19% 8% 72 -0.2 223/296/2926927731519%7%65-0.4
Anneury Peguero
2007 · A
20 43 35→30 44→50 48 201/266/259 58253 27 20% 7% 45 -2.1 211/289/268 57271 312 21% 9% 57 -1.2 205/293/2433826021620%10%50-0.6
Simon Vasquez
2009 · A
21 45 35→40 40→50 49 210/285/271 61269 24 22% 8% 56 -1.3 227/286/308 81283 47 20% 6% 66 -0.6 253/299/341883012916%5%79+0.1
Devin Lohman
2011 · A
22 40→46 36→40 40→50 42 192/249/257 66258 34 26% 6% 37 -2.7 214/274/301 87276 813 24% 6% 59 -1.1 211/272/2998826481622%6%56-1.1
Bill Pujols
2015 · A
21 43 37→40 43→50 46 204/263/281 76253 47 20% 6% 49 -1.8 197/257/271 74281 36 29% 6% 44 -2.1 146/212/197512250532%6%4-0.9