Luis Sanchez
SS Augusta GreenJackets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | AATL | 348 | .226/.298/.274 | 1 | 14 | 45 | — | .214/.269/.258 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/AATL | 236 | .210/.331/.245 | 0 | 1 | 39 | — | .180/.267/.209 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+/AATL | 96 | .188/.305/.212 | 0 | 2 | 26 | — | .177/.263/.200 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBATL | 206 | .208/.281/.267 | 0 | 3 | 58 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBATL | 34 | .215/.288/.291 | 0 | 1 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBATL | 76 | .219/.292/.307 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Braves | — | 132 | 101 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 287 | 442 | 347 | 788 | 59 | 301 | 8 | 16 | 366 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 187 | 150 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 240 | 387 | 313 | 700 | 73 | 287 | 15 | 18 | 331 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 348 | 314 | 71 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 62 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 226 | 298 | 274 | 572 | 48 | 277 | 18 | 7 | 266 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 63 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 302 | 170 | 471 | 209 | 16 | 14 | 241 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 173 | 147 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 341 | 272 | 613 | 48 | 266 | 13 | 14 | 293 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 40 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 256 | 235 | 492 | 59 | 240 | 25 | 5 | 226 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 56 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 196 | 339 | 196 | 535 | 231 | 12 | 16 | 271 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 132 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 224 | 357 | 271 | 628 | 47 | 220 | 9 | 11 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 187 | 162 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 198 | 301 | 259 | 560 | 62 | 251 | 21 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 348 | 322 | 69 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 84 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 214 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 43 | 280 | 24 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 63 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 222 | 140 | 363 | 179 | 21 | 8 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 173 | 154 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 283 | 234 | 517 | 39 | 251 | 18 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 40 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 231 | 222 | 453 | 56 | 204 | 32 | 2 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 56 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 184 | 286 | 184 | 469 | 223 | 18 | 11 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 132 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 224 | 357 | 271 | 628 | 47 | 237 | 9 | 11 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Braves | — | 132 | 101 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 287 | 442 | 347 | 788 | 59 | 301 | 8 | 16 | 366 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 187 | 162 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 198 | 301 | 259 | 560 | 62 | 252 | 21 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Braves | — | 187 | 150 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 240 | 387 | 313 | 700 | 73 | 287 | 15 | 18 | 331 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 348 | 322 | 69 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 84 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 214 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 43 | 285 | 24 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 348 | 314 | 71 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 62 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 226 | 298 | 274 | 572 | 48 | 277 | 18 | 7 | 266 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 210 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 271 | 210 | 481 | 29 | 230 | 19 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 236 | 200 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 331 | 245 | 576 | 35 | 251 | 14 | 14 | 279 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 96 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 165 | 253 | 188 | 441 | 24 | 222 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 96 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 305 | 212 | 518 | 25 | 234 | 18 | 11 | 252 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 132 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 220 | 357 | 266 | 623 | 46 | 220 | 9 | 11 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 187 | 161 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 199 | 301 | 261 | 562 | 62 | 251 | 21 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 348 | 321 | 69 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 84 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 215 | 269 | 259 | 527 | 44 | 280 | 24 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 208 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 271 | 212 | 483 | 29 | 232 | 19 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 96 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 253 | 186 | 439 | 23 | 215 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 348 | 321 | 69 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 84 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 215 | 269 | 259 | 527 | 44 | 280 | 24 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 208 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 271 | 212 | 483 | 29 | 232 | 19 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 96 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 253 | 186 | 439 | 23 | 215 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | ATL | 0% | 206 | 185 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 281 | 267 | 549 | 59 | 267 | 21 | 8 | 254 | 58 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | ATL | 30% | 114 | 102 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 288 | 291 | 579 | 76 | 269 | 21 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | ATL | 44% | 173 | 155 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 292 | 307 | 599 | 89 | 271 | 21 | 8 | 274 | 71 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 51% | 234 | 210 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 294 | 318 | 613 | 97 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 52% | 271 | 244 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 295 | 320 | 615 | 99 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 53% | 295 | 265 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 294 | 321 | 615 | 99 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 53% | 300 | 269 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 65 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 292 | 315 | 606 | 96 | 271 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 56% | 301 | 271 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 288 | 307 | 595 | 91 | 270 | 22 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -11 | -0 | -2 | +3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | ATL | 30% | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 288 | 291 | 579 | 76 | 269 | 21 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | ATL | 44% | 76 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 292 | 307 | 599 | 89 | 271 | 21 | 8 | 274 | 71 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 51% | 119 | 106 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 294 | 318 | 613 | 97 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 52% | 142 | 128 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 295 | 320 | 615 | 99 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 53% | 157 | 141 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 294 | 321 | 615 | 99 | 272 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 53% | 158 | 142 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 292 | 315 | 606 | 96 | 271 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 56% | 170 | 152 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 288 | 307 | 595 | 91 | 270 | 22 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 856 | 769 | 168 | 31 | 5 | 11 | 70 | 184 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 218 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 96 | 271 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 64 | -27 | +0 | -2 | +9 | +19 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 128 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 140 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 219 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 96 | 273 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 64 | -21 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2749 | 2458 | 521 | 83 | 12 | 25 | 226 | 578 | 43 | 57 | 20 | 212 | 290 | 286 | 576 | 74 | 265 | 21 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -58 | +1 | -4 | +19 | +38 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 124 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 137 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 213 | 290 | 289 | 579 | 76 | 267 | 21 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -21 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 56 PAwOBA .265 → .225 (−40)K% 12.5% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 11.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .265 → .225; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .231 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Rome Emperors · 40 PAwOBA .227 → .181 (−46)K% 25.0% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 3.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 3.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 14.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .227 → .181; ISO .059 → .047; BABIP .240 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 173 PAwOBA .286 → .244 (−42)K% 13.3% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.29% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.87% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.77% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×1.015 | 20.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.03% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.015 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.037 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×1.015 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.281 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .286 → .244; ISO .048 → .043; BABIP .266 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Rome Emperors · 63 PAwOBA .236 → .177 (−59)K% 15.9% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.87% | ÷0.983 | ×1.310 | — | — | 21.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.020 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.098 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 17.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.819 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .236 → .177; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .209 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 348 PAwOBA .261 → .235 (−26)K% 17.8% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.82% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.47% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.030 | 24.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.030 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×1.030 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.32% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .261 → .235; ISO .048 → .041; BABIP .277 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Braves · 187 PAwOBA .326 → .258 (−68)K% 15.0% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.97% | ÷1.020 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.958 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.77% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×1.008 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.882 | ×0.720 | ×1.043 | ×1.008 | 2.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.928 | ×0.720 | ×1.043 | ×1.008 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.893 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 76, 3B 86, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .326 → .258; ISO .073 → .063; BABIP .287 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Braves · 132 PAwOBA .367 → .276 (−91)K% 7.6% → 9.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.58% | ÷1.027 | ×1.220 | — | — | 9.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.91% | ÷0.994 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.30% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.47% | ÷0.935 | ×0.680 | ×1.028 | ×1.008 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.118 | ×0.600 | ×1.028 | ×1.008 | 1.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.122 | ×0.600 | ×1.028 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷0.885 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.59% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 87, 2B 124, 3B 124, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .367 → .276; ISO .059 → .036; BABIP .301 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).