Frank Chessman — OGILVIE

Frank Chessman P DSL Rays

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%20.6%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.6%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	16	0	26	120	20	19	2	0%	1.6	11.3%	19.8%	-8.5%	2.0%	5.26	5.75	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	16	0	26	120	20	19	2	0%	1.6	11.3%	19.8%	-8.5%	2.0%	5.26	5.75	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	16	0	26	120	20	19	2	0%	1.6	16.7%	15.8%	0.8%	1.7%	5.26	4.78	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	4	25	124	22	30	2	29%	1.8	12.1%	30.2%	-18.2%	2.4%	6.93	7.21	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	4	25	124	22	30	2	29%	1.8	12.1%	30.2%	-18.2%	2.4%	6.93	7.21	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	14	4	25	124	22	30	2	29%	1.8	17.7%	24.2%	-6.5%	1.6%	6.93	6.02	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	7	0	5	30	3	10	1	0%	0.7	10.0%	33.3%	-23.3%	3.3%	9.64	8.31	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	7	0	5	30	3	10	1	0%	0.7	10.0%	33.3%	-23.3%	3.3%	9.64	8.31	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	7	0	5	30	3	10	1	0%	0.7	10.0%	33.3%	-23.3%	3.3%	9.64	11.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	TB	14	0	15	63	13	13	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	20.0%	0.6%	3.0%	5.92	5.92	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	22	0	23	98	21	17	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.56	5.42	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	11	46	10	8	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.56	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	8	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.56	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	140	17	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.56	5.04	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		37	4	55	274	32	71	6	11%	1.5	11.5%	26.0%	-14.5%	2.3%	6.38	6.69	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	15	200	996	115	259	23	11%	1.5	11.5%	26.0%	-14.5%	2.3%	6.38	6.69	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frank Chessman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	20.6%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.42	21.3%	4.4%	23	-0.50	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	86
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	86
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	86
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	85
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	84
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	84
Adrian Rodriguez R 2021 · 6.92 FIP	20	SU	6.92	23.1%	34.0%	2.7%	.368	5.46	23.1%	-1.6%	93	-1.46	2.43	148	84
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	84
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	83
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	82
Edgar Isea R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	20	SU	6.17	24.2%	27.6%	2.9%	.310	4.90	20.6%	-4.4%	76	-1.27	4.50	162	82
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	82
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	82
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	82
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	82
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	82