Cleudis Valenzuela

SS DSL Orioles Black

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1168ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	108	.212/.406/.262	0	7	42	—	.138/.292/.172
2025	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	130	.262/.373/.383	1	5	42	—	.179/.270/.259
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBBAL	240	.218/.294/.299	2	6	70	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBAL	25	.225/.302/.320	0	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBBAL	79	.229/.305/.334	1	2	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%89

Z-Con%80

Whiff%79

Speed66

ISO64

wOBA58

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 19) · Eliezer Álvarez (age 20) · Juan Villavicencio (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .292 / .297

PA42

HR0

K%24

BB%9

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	108	80	17	4	0	0	25	16	1	7	7	212	406	263	668	50	258	15	23	325	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	107	28	6	2	1	18	17	1	5	4	262	373	383	756	121	293	13	14	335	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	108	87	12	3	0	0	18	20	1	7	7	138	292	172	465	34	165	19	17	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	112	20	4	1	1	13	21	1	5	4	179	270	259	529	80	191	16	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	108	87	12	3	0	0	18	20	1	7	7	138	292	172	465	34	174	19	17	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	108	80	17	4	0	0	25	16	1	7	7	212	406	263	668	50	258	15	23	325	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	112	20	4	1	1	13	21	1	5	4	179	270	259	529	80	204	16	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	107	28	6	2	1	18	17	1	5	4	262	373	383	756	121	293	13	14	335	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	108	88	12	3	0	0	18	20	1	7	7	136	292	170	463	34	165	19	17	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	115	20	4	1	1	13	21	1	5	4	174	270	252	522	78	191	16	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	108	88	12	3	0	0	18	20	1	7	7	136	292	170	463	34	165	19	17	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	115	20	4	1	1	13	21	1	5	4	174	270	252	522	78	191	16	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	240	215	47	8	2	2	21	57	2	6	1	218	294	299	593	81	285	24	9	272	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	74	66	16	3	1	1	7	17	1	2	0	222	299	314	613	92	287	23	9	279	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	164	147	33	6	1	2	15	38	1	4	1	226	302	327	629	102	288	23	9	286	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	259	232	53	9	2	4	23	60	2	7	2	229	305	338	643	109	289	23	9	291	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	348	311	73	13	3	6	31	80	3	9	2	232	307	347	655	116	290	23	9	296	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	398	356	83	15	3	7	35	92	4	11	3	233	309	354	663	121	291	23	9	299	88	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	430	385	89	16	3	8	38	99	4	12	3	234	309	357	667	124	291	23	9	300	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	443	396	91	16	3	8	40	103	4	12	3	233	308	355	663	122	290	23	9	299	88	-6	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	446	399	91	16	3	8	40	104	4	11	3	231	307	350	657	119	289	23	9	296	87	-7	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	440	394	90	16	3	8	39	104	4	11	3	229	304	344	648	116	288	24	9	293	84	-8	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	431	387	87	15	3	7	38	104	3	11	3	226	300	337	638	111	287	24	9	288	81	-10	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	416	374	82	14	3	6	36	102	3	10	4	222	296	328	623	106	284	25	9	283	77	-11	+0	-3	+4	+9	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	225	302	320	622	95	291	24	8	283	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	79	71	17	3	1	1	7	18	1	2	1	229	305	334	639	105	292	23	9	290	80	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	140	126	29	5	1	2	12	32	1	4	1	232	308	345	653	113	293	23	9	295	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	193	172	40	7	2	3	17	45	2	5	1	235	311	355	666	120	295	23	9	300	86	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	223	199	47	8	2	4	20	51	2	6	1	237	312	362	675	125	295	23	9	303	88	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	242	216	51	9	2	5	22	56	2	6	2	237	313	365	678	128	295	23	9	305	89	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	245	219	52	9	2	5	22	57	2	7	2	236	312	363	674	126	294	23	9	303	88	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	245	219	52	9	2	5	22	57	2	6	2	235	310	358	668	123	294	23	9	301	87	-4	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	235	210	49	9	2	4	21	56	2	6	2	232	307	352	659	120	292	24	9	297	84	-4	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	227	203	47	8	2	4	20	55	2	6	2	229	304	344	648	115	291	24	9	292	81	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	235	211	48	8	2	4	20	57	2	5	2	225	299	335	633	109	288	24	9	287	77	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2089	1869	437	76	18	37	185	490	18	54	16	234	309	353	662	119	296	23	9	298	82	-38	+4	-4	+22	+45	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	137	24	6	12	58	152	6	17	5	235	312	359	671	124	297	23	9	298	82	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4129	3684	827	147	29	66	377	954	35	113	38	224	302	334	636	109	283	23	9	289	82	-72	+9	-7	+42	+84	5.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	130	23	5	10	59	150	6	18	6	224	303	333	636	109	283	23	9	289	82	-12	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 130 PAwOBA .334 → .230 (−105)K% 13.1% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.08%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	16.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.85%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×0.995	9.93%
HBP% /PA	0.77%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.54%
Singles /BIP	21.11%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.004	×0.995	14.34%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.043	×0.600	×1.004	×0.995	3.83%
Triples /BIP	2.22%	÷0.964	×0.600	×1.004	×0.995	1.38%
Home runs /BIP	1.11%	÷0.823	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 93, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .334 → .230; ISO .121 → .075; BABIP .293 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 108 PAwOBA .324 → .230 (−94)K% 14.8% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.81%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	18.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.15%	÷0.964	×0.700	—	×1.008	16.93%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.65%
Singles /BIP	20.31%	÷1.067	×0.680	×1.004	×1.008	13.10%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.988	×0.600	×1.004	×1.008	3.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.004	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.988	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .324 → .230; ISO .050 → .033; BABIP .258 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.2	2,131	37	55	230	302	346	+23	+21	4.7	4.4
/162	664	11	17	+7.1	+6.5	1.5	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cleudis Valenzuela (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	216/292/297	81	285	0	1	24%	9%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	42→52	40→45	53→55	45	203/259/306	103	252	5	11	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/293/351	107	321	5	15	24%	6%	82	-0.0	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Brian Sanchez 2024 · A	20	43→42	36→50	50→55	50	202/282/280	78	270	2	12	24%	9%	62	-1.4	211/280/327	116	302	8	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/344	135	298	11	18	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jordany Valdespin 2008 · A	20	40→50	36→50	49→55	51	189/270/256	67	240	3	10	21%	9%	53	-2.1	220/262/317	97	267	7	13	20%	5%	62	-1.4	264/304/411	147	307	17	28	19%	4%	98	+0.7
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2024 · A	20	41→51	36→45	51→50	51	192/268/258	66	238	4	13	20%	9%	52	-2.2	221/300/315	94	287	8	11	24%	8%	78	-0.3	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	45→46	40→55	52→50	40	217/262/316	100	295	6	9	28%	6%	62	-1.4	216/267/327	111	285	10	9	27%	6%	67	-1.1	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2019 · A	20	46→55	36→45	50→60	46	216/276/285	69	264	2	13	18%	6%	61	-1.5	235/296/323	88	327	3	20	27%	7%	76	-0.4	253/316/355	102	332	7	33	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Valenzuela 2014 · A	20	40	37→45	53→45	47	191/248/264	73	236	4	9	20%	7%	45	-2.7	228/257/313	85	294	5	8	23%	4%	59	-1.7	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
●Cody Freeman 2021 · A	20	44→54	36→50	49→50	50	206/290/273	66	276	3	10	24%	9%	64	-1.3	205/269/313	108	250	11	9	22%	7%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2011 · A	20	44	35→45	50	52	202/269/264	61	244	1	13	17%	8%	53	-2.1	216/269/306	90	286	7	9	25%	7%	63	-1.4	264/316/369	104	329	9	6	21%	6%	95	+0.5

Cleudis Valenzuela

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps