Cleudis ValenzuelaSS DSL Orioles Black
Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 109 proj PA
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .299 / .314
PA109
HR1
K%25
BB%9
ISO94
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.01.22.40.40.81.21.51.71.91.91.91.81.61.4+$109M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT57
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE68
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$9M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.9$9M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.9$8M+$8M
2035Arb-1$4M+1.8$7M+$6M
2036Arb-2$6M+1.6$6M+$4M
2037Arb-3$7M+1.4$5M+$3M
Totals $19M $45M +$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 10888 13300 17241 77 148292182474 34197 2216 231 35 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 10880 17400 25161 77 212406263668 50258 1523 325 107 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 130113 23421 12261 54 204286301587 97247 209 257 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 130107 28621 18171 54 262373383756 121293 1314 335 114 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBBAL — 10997 22411 10271 21 227306320625 93293 259 282 74 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBBAL 34% 197175 40723 18482 41 229308343651 114295 249 291 81 -4 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.4
202821 MLBBAL 48% 330293 681235 31793 72 232312345657 113295 249 297 85 -5 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.8
202922 MLBBAL 54% 427379 881637 401015 93 232314346659 113296 249 301 89 -6 +1 +0 +5 +12 1.2
203023 MLBBAL 57% 491437 1031949 461165 113 236316359675 124297 249 304 91 -5 +1 +0 +5 +14 1.5
203124 MLBBAL 57% 533472 11120410 501256 123 235316358674 123298 239 305 92 -5 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.7
203225 MLBBAL 57% 558495 11721411 521316 123 236316362678 125298 239 306 92 -5 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.9
203326 MLBBAL 56% 571506 12022411 541346 134 237318362680 125298 239 306 93 -5 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.9
203427 MLBBAL 55% 575509 12022411 551356 134 236318360677 124298 2310 306 93 -5 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.9
203528 MLBBAL 55% 573507 12022411 551366 123 237319361680 124297 2410 306 92 -5 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.8
203629 MLBBAL 53% 565499 11621410 551356 123 232316351667 118297 2410 304 91 -6 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.6
203730 MLBBAL 53% 555490 11420410 541346 113 233316351667 118296 2410 301 89 -7 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.4
203831 MLBBAL 52% 541478 1102049 521326 113 230313345659 115294 2410 298 86 -9 +1 -3 +6 +15 1.1
203932 MLBBAL 52% 523462 1041848 511305 103 225309333642 108291 2510 292 82 -11 +1 -4 +6 +15 0.7
202720 MLBBAL 34% 6861 15311 6171 10 246324377701 131299 259 287 78 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202821 MLBBAL 48% 160142 33613 15382 31 232314352667 120300 249 293 82 -3 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.3
202922 MLBBAL 54% 232206 49924 22552 51 238317359677 121300 249 297 86 -4 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.6
203023 MLBBAL 57% 278247 591125 26663 62 239319360679 121301 249 300 88 -4 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.7
203124 MLBBAL 57% 301267 641226 28713 72 240319367686 127302 249 301 89 -4 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.9
203225 MLBBAL 57% 315279 661226 30743 72 237317358676 122302 2310 302 89 -4 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.9
203326 MLBBAL 56% 323286 681326 30764 72 238319360679 122302 249 302 90 -4 +1 +0 +3 +9 1.0
203427 MLBBAL 55% 319282 671226 30754 72 238320358678 121302 249 302 90 -4 +1 +0 +3 +9 1.0
203528 MLBBAL 55% 315279 661226 30753 72 237317358676 122302 2410 302 89 -4 +1 -0 +3 +9 0.9
203629 MLBBAL 53% 302267 641226 29723 62 240321367688 127301 2410 300 88 -4 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.7
203730 MLBBAL 53% 292259 601125 28703 62 232314347661 116300 2410 297 86 -5 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.6
203831 MLBBAL 52% 282250 591125 27693 62 236318356674 120298 2410 294 83 -5 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.5
203932 MLBBAL 52% 271240 561025 26673 51 233316354670 121295 2510 289 79 -6 +1 -2 +3 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 34583065 7261342464 32782537 7321 237318359677 122302 249 298 87 -52 +6 -6 +37 +98 8.5
/ 162G— — 650576 13725512 611557 144 238318361679 123303 249 298 87 -10 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.6
Career— — 67866000 138925151117 652161371 15150 232314349663 117295 2410 300 88 -95 +10 -10 +73 +192 17.3
/ 162G— — 650575 13324511 621557 145 231314348661 117295 2410 300 88 -9 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 10880 17400 25161 77 212406263668 50258 1523 325 107 +1 -1 — — +3 0.3
202518 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 130107 28621 18171 54 262373383756 121293 1314 335 114 +2 -1 — — +4 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,5666476234313354+38+249.98.3
/1626641214+7.1+4.51.8pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cleudis Valenzuela (OGILVIE) 19 52→57 31→36 51→56 68 220/299/314 93293 12 25% 9% 74 -0.0 ————————— —————————
✕Alain Camou
2023 · A 		19 52 37→40 46→50 53 241/307/322 81285 310 16% 8% 78 +0.2 207/265/272 65271 26 22% 7% 47 -1.9 177/232/223462370224%6%19-1.0
●Jackson Holliday
2023 · A 		19 51→59 41→50 49→50 58 241/333/346 105301 810 21% 12% 96 +1.5 249/334/387 138332 1214 26% 11% 107 +2.2 244/330/384140317131525%11%101+1.8
✕Cam Maron
2010 · A 		19 46→56 40 50→40 47 222/289/316 94291 77 25% 8% 69 -0.4 242/309/331 89308 75 22% 8% 82 +0.5 244/317/320763144222%9%78+0.1
✕Enmanuel Terrero
2023 · A 		20 47 37→45 47→55 54 220/301/294 74277 412 20% 10% 69 -0.4 211/284/306 95333 915 36% 9% 65 -0.7 194/268/28793319111839%8%51-0.6
✕Adrian Cardenas
2007 · A 		19 47→57 39→45 54→50 43 225/276/311 86292 514 24% 6% 62 -0.9 252/298/346 94308 611 19% 6% 80 +0.4 274/322/369953165814%6%95+1.2
●J.P. Crawford
2014 · A 		19 50→58 37→45 50 49 234/297/309 75304 313 23% 8% 70 -0.3 246/314/341 95294 813 18% 9% 86 +0.8 264/356/39112630811217%11%114+2.9
✕Carlos Vidal
2015 · A 		19 55 38→45 47→50 52 255/334/344 89314 311 18% 9% 95 +1.4 239/299/343 104300 811 22% 7% 81 +0.4 231/282/3391072948923%6%68-0.2
✕Marcus Lemon
2007 · A 		19 49→53 37→40 55→45 52 227/294/304 76279 316 19% 8% 68 -0.5 235/294/322 87301 49 22% 7% 72 -0.2 239/296/325863004820%6%70-0.3
●Evan Carter
2022 · A 		19 45→53 42→50 52→55 54 215/320/330 115290 918 26% 12% 88 +0.9 235/321/384 149306 1320 25% 10% 101 +1.8 236/324/395159305152126%10%102+1.2
✕Carlos Sanchez
2023 · A 		18 53 39→40 51→50 54 247/334/327 80325 615 24% 11% 92 +1.2 210/306/286 76353 412 36% 12% 69 -0.4 219/305/3139335671536%11%72-0.2
✕Alek Thomas
2019 · A 		19 50→51 38→50 51→50 44 238/283/324 87297 410 21% 6% 68 -0.5 241/294/369 128325 1010 27% 6% 85 +0.7 241/298/385144307131125%6%87+0.7
✕Hector Osorio
2023 · A 		18 47 37→45 47→50 48 219/301/296 77303 48 27% 9% 70 -0.3 210/316/279 69269 414 21% 11% 73 -0.1 220/318/345125249161018%10%88+0.4
●Jorbit Vivas
2021 · A 		20 46→56 37→45 49→50 46 217/288/299 82276 311 21% 7% 66 -0.6 248/321/370 122279 117 15% 7% 98 +1.6 245/326/36512027311914%7%96+1.4
✕Termarr Johnson
2023 · A 		19 45→46 41→45 52→55 47 210/291/312 102321 714 34% 10% 70 -0.3 212/314/339 127299 1512 31% 12% 88 +0.9 207/304/326119281141429%11%78+0.2
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr.
2023 · A 		20 51→53 39→40 54→50 56 239/327/329 91293 614 19% 11% 89 +1.0 243/317/334 91314 814 23% 8% 86 +0.8 243/318/3318831381423%8%83+0.4
✕Raynel Delgado
2019 · A 		19 49→56 36→40 50→60 45 223/289/290 67330 311 31% 8% 63 -0.9 204/258/276 72303 410 32% 6% 45 -2.1 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
✕Emmanuel Avila
2007 · A 		18 47→57 36→45 50→45 51 217/297/292 76290 29 24% 10% 67 -0.5 206/254/266 60262 36 21% 5% 40 -2.4 268/309/352832939412%4%85+0.5
✕Felipe Burin
2011 · A 		19 49 37→40 45 54 226/299/299 73259 45 14% 8% 69 -0.4 229/291/298 69298 25 22% 7% 65 -0.7 232/292/295633061323%7%63-0.4
✕Hank Conger
2007 · A 		19 46→56 40→50 54→45 44 222/273/324 102287 66 24% 6% 64 -0.8 243/281/378 135290 156 21% 5% 82 +0.5 255/295/39113629716420%5%91+0.7
●Josue De Paula
2023 · A 		18 51→42 43→45 51→55 52 244/320/360 116300 914 21% 9% 94 +1.3 228/320/325 97311 817 26% 11% 85 +0.7 226/320/360134289142625%12%91+0.8