Fernando Pena — OGILVIE

Fernando PenaC DSL Giants Orange

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .306 / .297

PA65

HR1

K%24

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.3	$11M	+$10M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.3	$10M	+$10M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$9M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.1	$8M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.9	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$23M		$56M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	46	8	1	0	0	6	23	5	0	0	174	333	196	529	22	348	40	11	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	43	10	1	0	0	9	16	5	0	0	233	421	256	677	23	370	28	16	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	80	17	3	0	1	7	24	6	1	0	212	323	287	610	75	291	26	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	76	21	4	0	1	11	16	6	1	0	276	409	368	777	92	339	17	12	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SF	—	98	75	20	4	0	3	11	17	9	1	1	267	421	440	861	173	298	17	11	351	127	+3	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.7
YTD	19	ROK	SF	—	98	69	22	5	0	3	17	12	9	1	1	319	505	522	1.027	203	339	12	17	447	200	+11	-0	+0	+2	+3	1.6
ROS	19	ROK	SF	0%	65	57	12	2	0	1	6	16	2	1	0	209	306	297	603	87	287	24	9	299	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	267	62	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SF	—	98	76	20	4	0	3	11	17	9	1	1	263	421	434	855	171	293	17	11	351	127	+3	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.7
TOT	19	ROK	SF	—	163	132	32	6	0	4	17	33	11	2	1	242	374	378	752	136	288	20	10	330	111	+2	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SF	34%	173	151	34	6	1	3	15	42	5	3	1	225	316	338	654	113	287	24	9	301	88	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2028	21	MLB	SF	48%	311	271	61	11	1	6	27	74	10	5	2	225	318	339	658	114	288	24	9	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.2
2029	22	MLB	SF	54%	413	361	84	15	2	9	37	98	12	7	3	233	324	360	685	127	289	24	9	308	94	-3	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2030	23	MLB	SF	57%	481	421	98	18	2	11	43	113	14	9	3	233	324	363	688	131	290	23	9	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.1
2031	24	MLB	SF	57%	520	454	106	19	2	12	46	122	15	9	4	233	324	363	688	130	291	23	9	312	97	-2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2032	25	MLB	SF	57%	520	454	106	19	2	12	46	121	15	9	4	233	324	363	688	130	291	23	9	313	97	-2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2033	26	MLB	SF	56%	520	452	106	19	2	12	47	121	16	10	4	235	328	365	693	131	291	23	9	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2034	27	MLB	SF	55%	520	452	106	19	2	12	47	122	16	10	4	235	328	365	693	131	291	23	9	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2035	28	MLB	SF	55%	520	452	105	19	2	12	48	122	15	9	4	232	326	363	689	131	290	23	9	312	97	-2	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2036	29	MLB	SF	58%	520	452	104	19	2	11	48	124	15	9	3	230	324	354	678	124	289	24	9	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.1
2037	30	MLB	SF	60%	520	452	104	19	2	11	48	125	15	9	3	230	324	354	678	124	288	24	9	307	93	-4	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.9
2038	31	MLB	SF	62%	504	438	99	18	2	10	46	123	15	8	3	226	321	345	665	119	285	24	9	303	90	-6	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.5
2039	32	MLB	SF	63%	489	427	94	17	2	9	45	121	14	8	3	220	315	333	647	112	282	25	9	297	86	-8	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.2
2040	33	MLB	SF	63%	447	390	84	14	2	8	41	113	13	7	3	215	311	323	634	108	278	25	9	291	81	-10	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.7
2027	20	MLB	SF	34%	59	52	11	2	0	1	5	14	2	1	0	212	305	308	613	96	282	24	8	273	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB	SF	48%	151	132	30	5	1	3	13	36	5	2	1	227	320	348	668	121	283	24	9	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB	SF	54%	224	195	45	8	1	5	20	53	7	4	1	231	324	359	683	128	284	24	9	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	23	MLB	SF	57%	272	238	54	10	1	6	24	64	8	5	2	227	319	353	671	126	285	24	9	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB	SF	57%	294	257	59	11	1	6	26	69	9	5	2	230	322	350	672	121	286	23	9	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB	SF	57%	294	257	59	11	1	6	26	69	9	5	2	230	322	350	672	121	286	23	9	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	26	MLB	SF	56%	294	257	59	11	1	6	26	69	9	5	2	230	322	350	672	121	285	23	9	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	27	MLB	SF	55%	288	251	57	10	1	6	26	67	9	5	2	227	322	347	668	120	285	23	9	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	28	MLB	SF	55%	285	249	56	10	1	6	26	67	8	5	2	225	318	345	663	120	285	24	9	285	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2036	29	MLB	SF	58%	302	262	59	11	1	6	28	72	9	5	2	225	321	344	665	118	284	24	9	283	75	-9	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.5
2037	30	MLB	SF	60%	313	272	61	11	1	6	29	75	9	5	2	224	319	338	658	114	283	24	9	281	73	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2038	31	MLB	SF	62%	311	270	60	11	1	6	29	76	9	5	2	222	318	337	655	115	280	24	9	277	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2039	32	MLB	SF	63%	307	267	58	10	1	6	28	76	9	5	2	217	312	330	642	112	277	25	9	271	66	-12	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.0
2040	33	MLB	SF	63%	284	248	52	9	1	5	26	72	8	4	2	210	305	315	619	105	273	25	9	265	61	-12	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3678	3208	720	130	13	74	332	879	110	61	24	224	318	342	661	118	284	24	9	281	73	-113	+3	-9	+66	+104	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	127	23	2	13	59	155	19	11	4	224	318	340	658	116	284	24	9	281	73	-20	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	6673	5810	1328	238	26	140	603	1604	203	114	44	229	323	351	673	122	290	24	9	306	92	-57	+5	-15	+119	+189	24.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	130	23	3	14	59	156	20	11	4	230	324	355	679	125	291	24	9	306	92	-6	+1	-1	+12	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	57	43	10	1	0	0	9	16	5	0	0	233	421	256	677	23	370	28	16	340	118	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	93	76	21	4	0	1	11	16	6	1	0	276	409	368	777	92	339	17	12	363	136	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,761	79	64	230	319	353	+67	+36	14.1	11.5
	/162	664	14	11	230	319	353	+11.9	+6.4	2.5	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Pena (OGILVIE)	19	42→47	37→42	44→49	59	242/374/378	136	288	4	2	20%	10%	111	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Samad Taylor 2017 · A	19	45→55	38→50	50→65	42	214/266/292	78	290	4	10	27%	6%	53	-1.5	189/255/279	90	271	6	18	30%	7%	46	-2.0	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9