Juan Colorado — OGILVIE

Juan ColoradoSS DSL Giants Orange

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 116 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .244 / .246

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	185	165	41	3	2	1	18	66	2	5	1	248	330	309	639	61	408	36	10	297	87	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	139	115	21	5	0	1	19	46	4	12	4	183	319	252	571	70	290	33	14	275	72	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	185	172	26	2	1	1	11	97	2	5	1	151	211	192	403	41	333	52	6	179	7	-20	+1	—	—	+4	-1.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	139	122	14	3	0	1	12	68	4	12	4	115	217	164	381	49	243	49	9	181	9	-15	+1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	185	172	26	2	1	1	11	97	2	5	1	151	211	192	403	41	338	52	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	185	165	41	3	2	1	18	66	2	5	1	248	330	309	639	61	408	36	10	297	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	139	122	14	3	0	1	12	68	4	12	4	115	217	164	381	49	241	49	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	139	115	21	5	0	1	19	46	4	12	4	183	319	252	571	70	290	33	14	275	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	185	170	26	2	1	1	11	97	2	5	1	153	211	194	405	41	333	52	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	139	122	14	3	0	1	12	68	4	12	4	115	217	164	381	49	243	49	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	185	170	26	2	1	1	11	97	2	5	1	153	211	194	405	41	333	52	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	139	122	14	3	0	1	12	68	4	12	4	115	217	164	381	49	243	49	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	SF	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		265	33	11	229	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SF	34%	203	184	35	6	1	3	15	65	2	4	1	190	259	283	541	92	269	32	7	244	51	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2027	20	MLB CTX	SF	34%	70	64	11	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	172	243	250	493	78	265	31	7	230	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	64	11	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	172	243	250	493	78	244	31	7	230	25	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	102	19	0	9	46	204	9	9	0	172	242	249	491	77	244	31	7	230	25	-38	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	536	486	76	11	2	5	39	233	8	21	6	156	231	218	449	62	284	43	7	205	25	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	91	13	2	6	47	283	10	25	7	154	229	214	443	59	281	44	7	205	25	-38	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Colorado (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	30→35	52→57	52	176/244/246	70	265	1	2	33%	7%	41	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	42	179/250/257	78	271	5	10	34%	8%	46	-2.6	184/236/265	81	290	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	53	-2.1	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	55	-1.9	147/225/231	84	286	8	19	48%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→40	38→45	49→50	40	178/244/259	80	265	5	10	33%	6%	43	-2.8	190/263/291	101	272	9	13	31%	8%	58	-1.7	175/255/268	93	250	8	18	31%	9%	48	-1.4
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	36	35→40	54→55	39	170/242/230	60	260	2	13	33%	6%	36	-3.3	191/259/266	75	288	5	16	33%	6%	51	-2.3	185/255/265	80	288	6	17	35%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	46	-2.6	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	53	-2.1	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	37	38→45	50	37	178/235/261	83	285	5	10	37%	6%	40	-3.1	201/250/308	107	347	11	5	42%	6%	56	-1.9	159/212/281	121	293	17	1	49%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Ariel Montesino 2015 · A	19	38	36→40	53→50	41	181/239/249	69	257	3	16	30%	6%	38	-3.2	196/247/255	59	258	3	9	24%	6%	42	-2.9	189/241/241	52	247	3	7	23%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Christian Olivo 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	52→55	40	185/256/243	58	276	2	14	32%	6%	45	-2.7	185/253/249	64	274	4	16	32%	7%	45	-2.7	174/244/231	57	255	4	21	31%	7%	35	-1.6
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→31	36→45	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	38	-3.2	182/246/274	92	300	8	13	39%	7%	47	-2.5	164/235/286	121	289	15	16	46%	7%	44	-1.5
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	42	-2.9	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	55	-2.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	61	-0.3
✕Angel Lopez 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	180/250/262	83	250	5	10	29%	7%	47	-2.6	196/269/286	90	267	7	11	27%	7%	59	-1.6	174/260/260	85	229	8	15	26%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	36→30	44→50	42	183/260/245	62	273	3	10	32%	7%	47	-2.5	202/275/260	58	305	3	10	31%	8%	55	-1.9	194/267/240	47	293	2	11	32%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Yowelfy Rosario 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	53→45	40	186/251/280	95	295	4	7	36%	7%	51	-2.3	185/245/267	82	320	4	7	40%	6%	45	-2.7	131/183/181	50	249	3	5	46%	5%	0	-1.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	30	-3.8	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Ozziel Sanchez-Galan 2017 · A	19	38	36→30	50	47	180/266/243	63	253	3	10	28%	9%	49	-2.4	196/266/277	81	293	4	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	175/243/259	84	266	3	3	33%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Gabriel Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	39→40	39→40	49→40	40	191/255/278	87	268	6	6	30%	6%	52	-2.2	203/256/283	80	304	6	4	33%	6%	53	-2.1	196/255/274	79	292	7	3	33%	6%	48	-1.5
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	44	178/261/262	84	267	8	11	34%	9%	51	-2.2	184/251/255	71	292	4	9	36%	7%	45	-2.7	123/190/157	34	205	0	12	37%	5%	-1	-1.3
✕Wilson Amador 2016 · A	19	35	34→30	53→55	37	169/235/226	57	255	2	17	32%	5%	32	-3.6	190/238/259	69	289	3	16	33%	4%	40	-3.1	189/226/255	66	290	3	22	34%	3%	32	-1.0