Freili Encarnacion

Freili EncarnacionSS Greenville Drive

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 181 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION190 act + 26 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .269 / .375

PA26

HR0

K%35

BB%4

BABIP251

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	173	149	38	8	0	3	15	51	5	9	1	255	343	369	712	114	354	29	9	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	33	6	1	0	0	2	8	4	2	0	182	308	212	520	30	240	21	5	260	62	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	331	307	75	14	3	2	12	90	9	15	9	244	293	329	622	85	335	27	4	280	76	-10	-1	—	—	+7	-0.3
2025	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	266	241	47	7	1	8	14	73	10	6	0	195	268	332	600	137	242	27	5	272	70	-9	+1	—	—	+6	-0.2
2025	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	193	175	53	14	1	10	11	39	6	5	3	303	365	566	930	263	339	20	6	403	159	+14	-0	—	—	+4	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	173	155	24	5	0	2	9	77	5	9	1	155	225	226	451	71	260	45	5	202	23	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	39	34	5	1	0	0	1	12	4	2	0	147	256	176	433	29	195	31	3	183	10	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	331	311	60	10	2	2	8	135	9	15	9	193	235	257	492	64	317	41	2	212	30	-28	-1	—	—	+7	-2.2
2025	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	266	246	36	5	1	5	9	105	10	6	0	146	208	236	443	89	219	39	3	193	17	-26	+1	—	—	+6	-2.0
2025	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	193	179	42	10	1	9	7	57	6	5	3	235	286	453	739	218	287	30	4	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	173	155	24	5	0	2	9	77	5	9	1	155	225	226	451	71	275	45	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	—	173	149	38	8	0	3	15	51	5	9	1	255	343	369	712	114	354	29	9	318	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	39	34	5	1	0	0	1	12	4	2	0	147	256	176	433	29	227	31	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	39	33	6	1	0	0	2	8	4	2	0	182	308	212	520	30	240	21	5	260	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	331	311	60	10	2	2	8	135	9	15	9	193	235	257	492	64	328	41	2	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	331	307	75	14	3	2	12	90	9	15	9	244	293	329	622	85	335	27	4	280	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	459	425	78	15	1	14	16	161	16	11	3	184	241	322	563	139	254	35	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	459	416	100	21	2	18	25	112	16	11	3	240	309	430	739	190	285	24	5	327	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	173	157	24	5	0	2	9	77	5	9	1	153	225	223	448	70	260	45	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	39	34	5	1	0	0	1	12	4	2	0	147	256	176	433	29	195	31	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	331	311	60	10	2	2	8	135	9	15	9	193	235	257	492	64	317	41	2	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	459	424	78	15	1	14	16	161	16	11	3	184	241	323	564	139	248	35	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	39	34	5	1	0	0	1	12	4	2	0	147	256	176	433	29	195	31	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	331	311	60	10	2	2	8	135	9	15	9	193	235	257	492	64	317	41	2	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	459	424	78	15	1	14	16	161	16	11	3	184	241	323	564	139	248	35	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	BOS	—	190	168	26	5	1	5	14	66	8	3	2	155	253	286	538	131	216	35	7	234	45	-13	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	BOS	—	190	161	31	7	1	6	21	49	8	3	2	193	316	360	676	168	236	26	11	311	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	BOS	0%	26	24	5	1	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	208	269	375	644	167	246	35	4	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
TOT	21	A+ MLE	BOS	—	216	192	31	6	1	6	15	75	9	3	2	161	255	297	552	135	225	35	7	235	45	-14	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BOS	35%	496	454	85	16	2	13	26	156	13	8	3	187	252	317	569	130	251	31	5	258	61	-23	+0	+0	+5	+11	-0.7
2028	23	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	535	486	94	18	2	15	30	162	14	8	4	193	260	331	592	138	255	30	6	268	68	-21	+0	+0	+6	+12	-0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	578	525	105	20	3	17	34	171	14	9	4	200	267	347	614	147	258	30	6	275	72	-19	+0	+0	+6	+13	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	616	559	114	22	3	19	37	180	15	10	4	204	272	356	628	152	259	29	6	279	75	-19	+0	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	623	565	115	22	3	19	38	182	15	10	4	204	272	354	626	150	259	29	6	280	75	-18	+0	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	623	564	115	22	3	19	39	183	15	10	4	204	273	355	628	151	259	29	6	280	76	-18	+0	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	618	559	113	21	3	19	39	182	15	9	4	202	272	352	625	150	258	29	6	279	75	-18	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	608	549	109	21	2	18	39	180	15	9	4	199	270	342	613	144	258	30	6	277	74	-19	+0	-1	+7	+13	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	598	541	107	20	2	18	38	179	14	8	4	198	268	342	610	144	257	30	6	275	72	-20	+0	-2	+6	+13	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	BOS	35%	171	155	30	6	1	4	9	54	5	3	1	194	260	323	583	129	256	32	5	240	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	260	236	46	9	1	7	15	79	7	4	2	195	264	331	594	136	260	30	6	251	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	305	276	56	11	1	9	18	90	8	5	2	203	272	348	619	145	263	30	6	258	72	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	337	305	62	12	1	10	21	99	8	5	2	203	272	348	620	144	264	29	6	262	75	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	347	315	64	13	1	10	21	102	8	5	2	203	270	346	616	143	264	29	6	263	75	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	343	310	63	13	1	10	22	101	8	5	2	203	274	348	622	145	264	29	6	264	76	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	338	305	62	12	1	10	22	100	8	5	2	203	275	348	622	144	264	30	7	263	75	-10	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	324	292	59	12	1	9	21	96	8	5	2	202	274	342	617	140	263	30	6	261	74	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	314	283	57	11	1	9	20	94	8	4	2	201	273	343	616	141	262	30	6	259	72	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2739	2477	499	99	9	78	169	815	68	41	17	201	271	343	614	142	263	30	6	259	67	-89	+1	-2	+29	+59	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	118	23	2	19	40	193	16	10	4	201	270	344	614	143	261	30	6	259	67	-21	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6323	5751	1129	214	26	176	355	1969	165	118	48	196	263	334	597	138	262	31	6	267	67	-177	+2	-4	+57	+115	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	116	22	3	18	36	202	17	12	5	196	262	335	597	139	261	31	6	267	67	-22	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.1	2,741	81	42	201	267	347	+29	+15	1.7	1.8
/162	664	20	10	+7.1	+3.6	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Freili Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	21	25	40	45	25	176/241/296	119	246	8	5	33%	5%	52	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	181/247/307	126	264	15	5	36%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/324	115	285	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	208/268/318	109	276	12	2	28%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Jesus Flores 2006 · A	21	37→38	41→50	43→30	32	188/218/284	97	276	10	5	35%	3%	38	-3.2	214/267/351	137	300	15	3	33%	5%	74	-0.6	244/302/381	138	311	14	0	25%	6%	90	+0.2
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	34→43	46→45	50→55	39	183/243/312	128	244	14	13	31%	6%	55	-1.9	192/254/310	118	276	11	18	33%	7%	59	-1.7	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→44	45→50	49→45	38	203/253/331	128	284	12	8	32%	6%	63	-1.3	200/259/336	136	279	14	8	32%	6%	67	-1.1	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	65	-1.2	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	61	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→41	48→55	46→50	35	195/236/334	139	275	15	6	35%	5%	57	-1.8	212/267/368	156	279	19	8	31%	6%	78	-0.3	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→43	43→45	45	38	188/239/301	113	261	9	5	31%	5%	51	-2.3	207/258/327	120	276	13	6	29%	6%	64	-1.3	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	46	-2.6	199/274/309	110	312	10	5	36%	8%	67	-1.1	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Sam Huff 2019 · A	21	36→40	45→55	50→45	31	184/229/307	123	303	13	6	42%	4%	49	-2.4	203/246/352	149	325	20	5	42%	4%	65	-1.2	214/277/388	174	309	26	1	38%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	38→36	45→50	54→50	38	193/255/316	124	276	12	13	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/262/352	148	296	18	14	36%	6%	72	-0.7	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	34	44→40	51→50	37	180/234/289	108	263	12	7	36%	6%	47	-2.6	190/240/283	93	270	10	11	32%	6%	47	-2.5	180/229/259	79	249	9	15	31%	5%	35	-1.5
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Adinso Reyes 2022 · A	20	36	43→45	42→40	28	176/230/282	106	316	12	4	46%	4%	44	-2.8	188/240/291	103	357	11	4	47%	6%	49	-2.4	175/225/275	100	323	13	2	47%	6%	38	-1.0
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Lucas May 2006 · A	21	39→43	42→55	47→45	34	197/231/294	96	265	10	6	30%	3%	46	-2.6	206/249/352	146	274	17	7	31%	4%	66	-1.1	214/273/345	131	281	14	4	28%	6%	72	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps