Freili Encarnacion

SS Greenville Drive
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 181 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2389ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ASalem Red Sox331.244/.293/.32921538—.203/.247/.268
202520A+/A2 orgs459.240/.309/.430181154—.193/.249/.346
202621A+BOS190.193/.316/.3606347—.154/.247/.284
2027PROJMLE22MLBBOS1.196/.253/.3250058-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB23MLBBOS58.201/.260/.3372164-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBBOS116.206/.266/.3463268-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO58
BB%46
K%42
Speed31
wOBA28
Z-Con%27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%
CompsMarcus Greene Jr. (age 22) · Frank Rodriguez (age 22) · Kendall Simmons (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .253 / .325
PA1
HR0
K%31
BB%4
BABIP264
ISO144
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Arb-1$3M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL BOS Red — 173149 38803 15515 91 255343369712 114354 299 318 18 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Red Sox — 3933 6100 284 20 182308212520 30240 215 260 13 — — — — — —
202419 ASalem Red Sox — 331307 751432 12909 159 244293329622 85335 274 280 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+Greenville Drive — 266241 47718 147310 60 195268332600 137242 275 272 20 — — — — — —
202520 ASalem Red Sox — 193175 5314110 11396 53 303365566930 263339 206 403 100 — — — — — —
202621 A+Greenville Drive — 190161 31716 21498 32 193316360676 168236 2611 311 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL BOS Red — 173154 23501 10655 91 149225201426 52220 386 195 18 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 3934 5100 1124 20 147256176433 29199 313 187 13 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESalem Red Sox — 331310 631022 91299 159 203247268515 65327 393 224 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 266247 38516 810210 60 154211255466 101217 383 198 20 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESalem Red Sox — 193178 441119 8546 53 247302472774 225290 284 316 100 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 190169 26515 13648 32 154247284531 130208 347 237 47 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL BOS Red — 173154 23501 10655 91 149225201426 52239 386 195 18 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL BOS Red — 173149 38803 15515 91 255343369712 114354 299 318 18 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 3934 5100 1124 20 147256176433 29227 313 187 13 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 3933 6100 284 20 182308212520 30240 215 260 13 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESalem Red Sox — 331310 631022 91299 159 203247268515 65335 393 224 38 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWSalem Red Sox — 331307 751432 12909 159 244293329622 85335 274 280 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 459425 7916114 1615716 113 186243327570 141254 343 248 54 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAW2 teams — 459416 10021218 2511216 113 240309430739 190285 245 327 54 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 190169 26515 13648 32 154247284531 130210 347 237 47 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAWGreenville Drive — 190161 31716 21498 32 193316360676 168236 2611 311 47 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL BOS Red — 173156 23501 10655 91 147225199424 51220 386 195 18 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 3934 5100 1124 20 147256176433 29199 313 187 13 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESalem Red Sox — 331310 631022 91299 159 203247268515 65327 393 224 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 459424 7916114 1615716 113 186243328571 142248 343 248 54 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 190167 26515 13648 32 156247287535 132208 347 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLESalem Red Sox — 331310 631022 91299 159 203247268515 65327 393 224 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 459424 7916114 1615716 113 186243328571 142248 343 248 54 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 190167 26515 13648 32 156247287535 132208 347 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEBOS 0% 390360 6913210 1712210 62 191248318566 127255 314 254 58 -19 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXBOS 0% 11 0000 000 00 196253325578 129264 00 259 58 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEBOS 35% 168154 30614 8514 31 196255330585 134257 305 262 64 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
202924 MLB MLEBOS 46% 251230 46917 13756 42 200261339600 139260 305 268 68 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.2
203025 MLB MLEBOS 52% 316288 581119 17938 52 203265345609 142262 295 273 71 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.1
203126 MLB MLEBOS 54% 358327 6713210 201048 62 205268348615 143263 296 275 72 -12 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.0
203227 MLB MLEBOS 54% 376343 7214211 211089 62 206269348617 142264 296 276 73 -12 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.1
203328 MLB MLEBOS 54% 383350 7314211 211119 52 204267344611 139263 295 274 71 -13 +0 -1 +4 +8 -0.1
203429 MLB MLEBOS 53% 379347 7013210 211118 42 202265338603 136262 296 270 69 -14 +0 -1 +4 +8 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXBOS 35% 5853 11202 3182 10 201260337597 136266 315 267 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202924 MLB CTXBOS 46% 116106 22503 6353 21 206266346612 140269 305 274 68 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXBOS 52% 163149 31714 9484 31 209270352622 143271 296 278 71 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203126 MLB CTXBOS 54% 194176 37815 11565 31 211273355628 144272 296 280 72 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
203227 MLB CTXBOS 54% 204186 40816 11595 31 212274356630 144274 295 282 73 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
203328 MLB CTXBOS 54% 208189 40816 12605 31 210273351624 141273 296 279 71 -7 +0 -0 +2 +5 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXBOS 53% 201184 38815 11594 21 208270345615 138272 295 276 69 -7 +0 -1 +2 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11441043 21946531 6333528 176 210273353626 143275 296 278 60 -40 +1 -1 +12 +25 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 12526318 3619016 103 211274356630 145276 296 278 60 -23 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 35663263 6381221688 176112598 7529 196258324581 128265 325 257 60 -86 +1 -2 +25 +51 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 11622316 3220518 145 195257323580 128265 325 257 60 -23 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 190 PAwOBA .303 → .237 (−66)K% 25.8% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.79%÷1.000×1.310——33.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.05%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0276.81%
HBP% /PA4.21%—×0.770—×1.0273.33%
Singles /BIP15.18%÷1.000×0.870×1.023×1.02713.88%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.780×1.023×1.0275.12%
Triples /BIP0.89%÷1.000×0.850×1.023×1.0270.80%
Home runs /BIP5.36%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0274.84%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .303 → .237; ISO .168 → .141; BABIP .236 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greenville Drive · 266 PAwOBA .266 → .198 (−68)K% 27.4% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.44%÷0.936×1.310——38.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷1.050×0.600—×1.0423.13%
HBP% /PA3.76%—×0.770—×1.0423.02%
Singles /BIP18.45%÷0.974×0.870×1.009×1.04217.33%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷1.099×0.780×1.009×1.0423.11%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.011×0.850×1.009×1.0420.53%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.117×0.880—×1.0423.91%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 95, 2B 120, 3B 102, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .266 → .198; ISO .137 → .097; BABIP .242 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASalem Red Sox · 193 PAwOBA .394 → .316 (−78)K% 20.2% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.21%÷0.974×1.360——28.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.70%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0304.01%
HBP% /PA3.11%—×0.780—×1.0302.50%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷1.030×0.920×0.950×1.03017.99%
Doubles /BIP10.29%÷0.963×0.830×0.950×1.0308.68%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0300.57%
Home runs /BIP7.35%÷0.891×0.800—×1.0306.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .394 → .316; ISO .263 → .218; BABIP .339 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASalem Red Sox · 331 PAwOBA .275 → .224 (−51)K% 27.2% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.19%÷0.948×1.360——39.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.63%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0452.58%
HBP% /PA2.72%—×0.780—×1.0452.22%
Singles /BIP25.81%÷0.989×0.920×1.046×1.04526.24%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷1.051×0.830×1.046×1.0455.57%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷1.150×0.910×1.046×1.0451.20%
Home runs /BIP0.92%÷0.933×0.800—×1.0450.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .275 → .224; ISO .085 → .063; BABIP .335 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Red Sox · 39 PAwOBA .254 → .187 (−67)K% 20.5% → 29.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.51%÷0.995×1.440——29.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.13%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0223.25%
HBP% /PA10.26%—×0.720—×1.0227.55%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.977×0.820—×1.02217.17%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷1.079×0.720—×1.0222.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.974×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .254 → .187; ISO .030 → .019; BABIP .240 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL BOS Red · 173 PAwOBA .318 → .195 (−123)K% 29.5% → 37.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.48%÷0.957×1.220——37.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.67%÷1.036×0.700—×1.0225.99%
HBP% /PA2.89%—×0.700—×1.0222.07%
Singles /BIP27.55%÷1.064×0.680×0.983×1.02217.71%
Doubles /BIP8.16%÷1.009×0.600×0.983×1.0224.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.999×0.600×0.983×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP3.06%÷0.999×0.470—×1.0221.47%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 113, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .318 → .195; ISO .114 → .059; BABIP .354 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).