Freili EncarnacionSS Greenville Drive
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 181 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.2 · 2031
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .241 / .307
PA320
HR7
K%36
BB%4
MLB%0%
BAT: -19.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2525
PWR
4040
SPD
4545
EYE
3325
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2031

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+1.1$10M+$9M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+1.2$11M+$10M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+1.2$11M+$11M
2033Ext / FA-deal$2M+1.0$10M+$8M
2034Ext / FA-deal$3M+0.8$4M+$1M
2035Ext / FA-deal$3M+0.6$3M+$0.2M
Totals $11M $50M +$39M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL BOS Red 173155 24502 9795 91 .155.225.226.451 .071.282 465 .196 8 -18 +1 +0 +2 +5 -1.0
202318 ROKFCL Red Sox 3934 5100 1124 20 .147.256.176.433 .029.227 313 .183 -2 -4 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.3
202419 ASalem Red Sox 331311 611022 81339 159 .196.238.260.498 .064.330 402 .214 22 -29 -1 +0 +4 +9 -1.7
202520 A+2 teams 459426 7815115 1515816 113 .183.239.329.567 .146.247 343 .245 46 -28 +1 +0 +5 +13 -0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202621 A+Greenville Drive 5347 6002 3203 01 .128.226.255.482 .128.160 386 .235 38 -4 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
ROS21 MLBBOS 267246 46817 11968 42 .187.245.313.558 .126.267 364 .246 47 -16 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.6
TOT21 MLBBOS 320293 52819 1411611 43 .177.242.304.546 .126.254 364 .244 45 -20 -0 +0 +3 +9 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202722 MLB 11%BOS 510464 9316215 2715214 94 .200.265.341.606 .140.258 305 .270 65 -20 +0 +0 +5 +14 -0.0
202823 MLB 28%BOS 554501 10318217 3316015 104 .206.275.351.626 .146.261 296 .280 72 -17 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.5
202924 MLB 45%BOS 582525 10919218 3716415 105 .208.279.354.633 .147.263 286 .286 77 -15 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.8
203025 MLB 60%BOS 598539 11320219 3916715 104 .210.282.360.642 .150.265 287 .290 80 -13 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.1
203126 MLB 78%BOS 605544 11520220 4116915 104 .211.285.366.651 .154.265 287 .292 82 -12 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.2
203227 MLB 92%BOS 604542 11520220 4216915 104 .212.287.367.654 .155.265 287 .292 82 -12 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.2
203328 MLBBOS 600538 11320219 4216915 94 .210.286.361.646 .151.265 287 .291 81 -13 +0 -1 +6 +17 1.0
203429 MLBBOS 590529 11019219 4116815 83 .208.284.359.643 .151.264 287 .289 79 -14 +0 -1 +6 +17 0.8
203530 MLBBOS 579518 10618218 4116715 73 .205.282.351.634 .147.262 297 .286 77 -15 +0 -2 +6 +16 0.6
203631 MLBBOS 565506 10318217 4016514 63 .204.280.348.628 .144.260 297 .282 74 -17 +0 -3 +6 +16 0.3
203732 MLBBOS 546489 9817216 3816314 43 .200.277.342.619 .141.259 307 .277 70 -18 -0 -4 +6 +15 -0.1
203833 MLBBOS 516462 9115215 3615713 43 .197.274.335.609 .139.257 307 .272 66 -20 -0 -4 +6 +15 -0.4
203934 MLBBOS 469423 8013113 3214711 33 .189.264.317.581 .128.255 317 .265 61 -21 -1 -5 +5 +13 -0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 85877752 156327229252 5332595228 14162 .202.273.342.615 .140.265 306 .275 69 -303 +3 -20 +92 +243 1.6
/ 162G 650587 11821219 4019617 115 .201.272.341.612 .140.263 306 .275 69 -23 +0 -1 +7 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL BOS Red 173149 38803 15515 91 .255.343.369.712 .114.354 299 .318 102 +0 +1 +5 0.7
202318 ROKFCL Red Sox 3933 6100 284 20 .182.308.212.520 .030.240 215 .260 57 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202419 ASalem Red Sox 331307 751432 12909 159 .244.293.329.622 .085.335 274 .280 72 -10 -1 +9 -0.2
202520 A+Greenville Drive 266241 47718 147310 60 .195.268.332.600 .137.242 275 .272 67 -10 +1 +8 -0.1
202520 ASalem Red Sox 193175 5314110 11396 53 .303.365.566.930 .263.339 206 .403 167 +15 -0 +5 2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Freili Encarnacion (OGILVIE) 21 25 40 45 25 .189/.241/.307 .117.277 76 36% 4% 48 -1.0
Rudy van Heydoorn
2010 · A
21 33 41→45 41→50 41 .168/.252/.259 .091.262 98 37% 8% 41 -2.3 .197/.275/.307 .110.307 115 36% 9% 63 -0.9 .204/.303/.338.134.29214232%11%83+0.2
Payton Henry
2018 · A
21 40→31 41→45 46→30 38 .191/.255/.294 .102.304 84 38% 7% 50 -1.7 .187/.253/.289 .102.316 102 41% 6% 48 -1.9 .246/.293/.382.135.32219129%4%83+0.2
Sam Huff
2019 · A
21 37→40 45→55 50→45 31 .186/.231/.310 .124.301 136 42% 5% 43 -2.2 .199/.242/.350 .151.317 205 42% 4% 59 -1.1 .214/.277/.391.177.31027138%7%81+0.2
Steven Baron
2012 · A
21 34 39→45 45→50 36 .174/.218/.256 .082.253 77 34% 5% 23 -3.6 .191/.228/.286 .095.265 79 29% 4% 35 -2.8 .233/.289/.308.075.3134825%7%63-0.4
Marcus Greene Jr.
2017 · A
22 35 46→50 45→40 40 .185/.251/.313 .128.265 155 35% 7% 53 -1.5 .209/.268/.329 .120.279 134 28% 7% 65 -0.7 .211/.271/.321.110.27512227%7%61-0.4
Jesus Flores
2006 · A
21 36→38 42→50 44→30 32 .187/.217/.288 .100.270 105 35% 3% 31 -3.0 .211/.263/.348 .137.297 153 33% 5% 67 -0.5 .244/.302/.382.138.31115025%6%89+0.4
Alex Lavisky
2012 · A
21 38 44→45 45→30 30 .190/.228/.304 .114.312 125 42% 4% 40 -2.4 .200/.245/.305 .105.279 113 31% 5% 48 -1.9 .197/.242/.277.080.2489124%4%36-0.9
Rogelio Noris
2011 · A
21 35→29 47→45 48→45 30 .185/.230/.314 .129.281 156 39% 4% 44 -2.1 .181/.212/.293 .112.272 125 37% 3% 30 -3.1 .184/.212/.288.105.24214330%2%27-1.8
Jose Cordoba
2023 · A
20 37 40 44→55 39 .185/.250/.273 .088.268 99 33% 6% 43 -2.2 .200/.257/.289 .089.277 611 28% 6% 49 -1.8 .197/.256/.288.091.26541526%6%45-0.8
Tucker Mitchell
2023 · A
22 38 43→50 51→45 35 .183/.259/.287 .104.311 1111 42% 6% 51 -1.7 .198/.263/.310 .112.287 137 34% 6% 58 -1.2 .185/.242/.280.095.26113533%5%38-1.0
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 40 .188/.259/.305 .117.281 129 36% 7% 55 -1.4 .194/.278/.291 .097.346 78 42% 9% 59 -1.1 .146/.273/.221.075.3593452%12%39-0.5
Adinso Reyes
2022 · A
20 38 44→45 41→40 30 .185/.236/.295 .109.309 124 42% 4% 42 -2.3 .185/.238/.291 .106.355 124 48% 6% 42 -2.3 .174/.224/.276.102.32213248%6%29-1.0
Sean Coyle
2013 · A
21 37→36 45→50 54→50 38 .192/.253/.319 .127.271 1213 33% 6% 56 -1.3 .204/.262/.355 .151.295 1814 36% 6% 69 -0.4 .197/.258/.362.165.284221538%7%67-0.3
Rodolfo Castro
2021 · A
22 36→42 48→55 46→50 34 .192/.230/.332 .140.264 166 34% 4% 49 -1.8 .213/.267/.378 .165.281 218 31% 6% 77 +0.1 .207/.276/.361.154.269191130%7%74-0.1
Juan Uriarte
2021 · A
23 38 41→45 48→30 32 .190/.229/.285 .095.284 96 36% 4% 36 -2.7 .195/.244/.278 .083.290 66 33% 4% 40 -2.4 .151/.199/.200.049.2340033%2%-2-1.2
Yusuf Carter
2007 · A
22 37→34 46→50 45→50 35 .194/.240/.317 .122.287 156 37% 5% 49 -1.8 .202/.239/.339 .137.300 1610 37% 5% 54 -1.4 .219/.264/.370.151.296191032%5%70-0.2
Osiris Johnson
2022 · A
21 36 44→40 50 38 .185/.240/.296 .111.269 127 35% 6% 43 -2.2 .192/.243/.286 .094.269 1011 31% 6% 42 -2.3 .184/.232/.263.079.25091529%5%29-1.4
Jose Meza
2023 · A
20 41→35 41→45 47→50 40 .199/.265/.295 .096.286 910 32% 6% 55 -1.4 .204/.294/.305 .101.301 98 32% 10% 70 -0.3 .186/.292/.283.097.27791033%11%63-0.5
Jase Bowen
2022 · A
21 37→40 42→45 53→55 35 .184/.244/.282 .097.281 1012 37% 5% 43 -2.2 .196/.251/.317 .121.287 1416 35% 5% 54 -1.4 .198/.249/.325.127.276152233%5%52-1.2
Jose Carlos Urena
2016 · A
21 38 45 48→30 36 .191/.246/.315 .124.288 125 37% 6% 51 -1.7 .210/.264/.318 .108.325 123 37% 6% 59 -1.1 .188/.254/.298.110.29016039%7%50-0.6