Freili Encarnacion

Freili EncarnacionSS Greenville Drive

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 181 lbs A+ H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION190 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .240 / .303

PA130

HR3

K%35

BB%5

BABIP250

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	173	155	23	5	0	2	9	80	5	9	1	148	219	219	438	71	273	46	5	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	173	149	38	8	0	3	15	51	5	9	1	255	343	369	712	114	354	29	9	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	34	5	1	0	0	1	12	4	2	0	147	256	176	433	29	227	31	3	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	33	6	1	0	0	2	8	4	2	0	182	308	212	520	30	240	21	5	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	331	312	58	9	2	2	7	143	9	15	9	186	226	247	472	61	329	43	2	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	331	307	75	14	3	2	12	90	9	15	9	244	293	329	622	85	335	27	4	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	459	426	77	15	1	15	15	171	16	11	3	181	236	326	563	146	256	37	3	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	459	416	100	21	2	18	25	112	16	11	3	240	309	430	739	190	285	24	5	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	BOS	—	190	168	26	5	1	5	14	66	8	3	2	155	253	286	538	131	216	35	7	234	37	-13	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
YTD	21	A+	BOS	—	190	161	31	7	1	6	21	49	8	3	2	193	316	360	676	168	236	26	11	311	96	-1	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
ROS	21	A+	BOS	0%	130	119	21	4	1	3	6	45	4	2	1	176	240	303	543	126	246	35	5	243	44	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	BOS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						252	0	0	223	29	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	BOS	—	191	169	26	5	1	5	14	66	8	3	2	154	251	284	535	130	214	35	7	234	37	-14	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
TOT	21	A+	BOS	—	320	287	47	9	2	8	20	111	12	5	3	164	248	293	540	129	231	35	6	238	40	-22	-0	+0	+3	+9	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	BOS	35%	528	481	89	17	2	14	28	172	14	8	4	185	250	316	566	131	251	33	5	255	54	-28	+0	+0	+6	+15	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	BOS	49%	572	521	100	19	2	16	32	179	14	9	4	192	257	328	586	136	256	31	6	266	62	-25	+0	+0	+6	+16	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	BOS	53%	600	545	109	21	3	18	35	184	15	9	4	200	267	349	616	149	258	31	6	273	67	-22	+0	+0	+6	+17	0.1
2030	25	MLB	BOS	55%	616	559	112	21	3	19	37	186	15	10	4	200	268	351	619	150	259	30	6	276	70	-21	+0	+0	+7	+17	0.3
2031	26	MLB	BOS	56%	623	565	113	21	3	19	38	188	15	10	4	200	269	349	617	149	259	30	6	278	71	-21	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.4
2032	27	MLB	BOS	55%	623	564	113	21	3	19	39	189	15	10	4	200	270	349	620	149	259	30	6	278	71	-21	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.4
2033	28	MLB	BOS	55%	618	559	111	21	2	19	39	188	15	9	4	199	269	345	614	147	259	30	6	277	70	-21	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.3
2027	22	MLB	BOS	35%	183	166	32	6	1	5	10	60	5	3	1	193	260	331	591	139	257	33	5	240	42	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	BOS	49%	278	253	50	10	1	8	16	87	7	4	2	198	264	340	604	142	261	31	6	251	50	-16	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.5
2029	24	MLB	BOS	53%	317	287	57	11	1	9	19	97	8	5	2	199	268	338	605	139	264	31	6	259	56	-16	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
2030	25	MLB	BOS	55%	337	306	61	12	1	10	20	102	8	5	2	199	266	343	610	144	265	30	6	263	59	-16	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2031	26	MLB	BOS	56%	347	315	64	13	1	11	21	105	8	5	2	203	270	356	626	152	265	30	6	264	60	-16	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2032	27	MLB	BOS	55%	343	311	63	12	1	11	21	104	8	5	2	203	271	354	624	151	265	30	6	264	60	-15	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2033	28	MLB	BOS	55%	338	306	61	12	1	10	21	103	8	5	2	199	269	343	612	144	265	30	6	263	59	-15	+0	-0	+4	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2144	1945	388	76	7	64	128	658	52	32	13	199	267	344	612	145	262	31	6	259	56	-106	+1	-0	+23	+61	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	117	23	2	19	39	199	16	10	4	198	267	341	608	142	261	31	6	259	56	-32	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	5312	4840	931	175	22	146	286	1737	141	104	42	192	258	328	586	136	263	33	5	261	58	-251	+4	-1	+57	+151	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	114	21	3	18	35	213	17	13	5	193	258	329	587	137	263	33	5	261	58	-31	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	173	149	38	8	0	3	15	51	5	9	1	255	343	369	712	114	354	29	9	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	33	6	1	0	0	2	8	4	2	0	182	308	212	520	30	240	21	5	260	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	331	307	75	14	3	2	12	90	9	15	9	244	293	329	622	85	335	27	4	280	72	-10	-1	—	—	+9	-0.2
2025	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	266	241	47	7	1	8	14	73	10	6	0	195	268	332	600	137	242	27	5	272	67	-10	+1	—	—	+8	-0.1
2025	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	193	175	53	14	1	10	11	39	6	5	3	303	365	566	930	263	339	20	6	403	167	+15	-0	—	—	+5	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,143	64	33	198	264	345	+23	+12	0.5	0.7
	/162	664	20	10	198	264	345	+7.1	+3.7	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Freili Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	21	25	40	45	25	164/248/293	129	231	8	5	35%	6%	40	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jesus Flores 2006 · A	21	37→38	41→50	43→30	32	188/218/284	97	276	10	5	35%	3%	30	-3.1	214/267/352	138	300	15	3	33%	5%	70	-0.3	244/302/382	138	311	15	0	25%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	60	-1.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Rogelio Noris 2011 · A	21	35→31	46→45	48→45	29	185/228/313	127	288	15	7	40%	3%	43	-2.2	185/218/290	105	282	10	5	37%	3%	32	-3.0	186/215/295	109	246	14	3	31%	2%	30	-1.6
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Adinso Reyes 2022 · A	20	36	44→45	42→40	28	176/229/285	109	316	12	4	46%	4%	37	-2.7	185/237/285	100	359	11	4	48%	6%	40	-2.4	170/220/264	94	323	11	2	48%	6%	24	-1.1
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	39	-2.5	197/273/307	110	309	10	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	35	44→45	51→50	38	182/236/292	110	262	13	7	35%	6%	41	-2.3	191/241/289	98	269	11	11	32%	6%	42	-2.3	180/229/266	86	246	11	15	31%	5%	29	-1.4
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Julian Leon 2017 · A	21	36	44→45	40→30	31	180/229/289	109	296	12	2	42%	5%	37	-2.6	188/269/305	117	301	13	2	39%	8%	59	-1.1	164/266/276	111	260	14	0	39%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	36→33	46→50	44→50	34	188/232/307	119	287	15	6	39%	5%	43	-2.2	202/239/339	137	303	16	11	38%	5%	54	-1.4	219/263/368	149	297	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1