Omar Meregildo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA/A+WSH | 355 | .231/.326/.425 | 16 | 2 | 50 | — | .166/.246/.308 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA/A+WSH | 468 | .244/.335/.449 | 21 | 2 | 52 | — | .180/.247/.327 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAWSH | 71 | .206/.296/.397 | 3 | 0 | 39 | — | .154/.225/.277 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 279 | 228 | 46 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 81 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 202 | 328 | 355 | 684 | 154 | 285 | 29 | 11 | 306 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 81 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 212 | 162 | 375 | 14 | 186 | 20 | 7 | 179 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 254 | 228 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 332 | 443 | 775 | 175 | 348 | 28 | 7 | 339 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 212 | 184 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 327 | 380 | 707 | 152 | 308 | 28 | 11 | 319 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 115 | 94 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 363 | 404 | 767 | 170 | 328 | 30 | 16 | 342 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 167 | 222 | 389 | 56 | 231 | 28 | 0 | 172 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 337 | 290 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 36 | 109 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 334 | 438 | 772 | 203 | 311 | 32 | 11 | 343 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 126 | 112 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 214 | 296 | 384 | 680 | 170 | 250 | 28 | 10 | 304 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 342 | 298 | 76 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 101 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 349 | 473 | 822 | 218 | 333 | 30 | 11 | 363 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 296 | 397 | 693 | 190 | 278 | 34 | 10 | 311 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 279 | 237 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 99 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 118 | 229 | 198 | 427 | 80 | 171 | 35 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 81 | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 105 | 150 | 118 | 268 | 13 | 146 | 28 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 254 | 234 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 94 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 256 | 333 | 589 | 128 | 301 | 37 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 212 | 193 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 242 | 285 | 527 | 114 | 272 | 40 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 115 | 101 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 248 | 267 | 515 | 109 | 259 | 43 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 167 | 222 | 389 | 56 | 216 | 33 | 0 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 337 | 301 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 152 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 166 | 251 | 312 | 563 | 146 | 267 | 45 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 126 | 115 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 183 | 248 | 322 | 570 | 139 | 222 | 34 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 342 | 313 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 133 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 246 | 329 | 575 | 150 | 259 | 39 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 225 | 277 | 502 | 123 | 246 | 41 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 279 | 237 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 99 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 118 | 229 | 198 | 427 | 80 | 188 | 35 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 279 | 228 | 46 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 81 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 202 | 328 | 355 | 684 | 154 | 285 | 29 | 11 | 306 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 81 | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 105 | 150 | 118 | 268 | 13 | 148 | 28 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 81 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 212 | 162 | 375 | 14 | 186 | 20 | 7 | 179 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 254 | 234 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 94 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 256 | 333 | 589 | 128 | 309 | 37 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 254 | 228 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 332 | 443 | 775 | 175 | 348 | 28 | 7 | 339 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 294 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 244 | 279 | 523 | 112 | 277 | 41 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 327 | 278 | 64 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 94 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 340 | 388 | 728 | 158 | 315 | 29 | 13 | 328 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 355 | 319 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 159 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 166 | 246 | 307 | 554 | 141 | 273 | 45 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 355 | 308 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 36 | 114 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 326 | 425 | 751 | 195 | 306 | 32 | 10 | 334 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 429 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 176 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 177 | 242 | 317 | 560 | 140 | 254 | 38 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 410 | 100 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 50 | 136 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 244 | 335 | 449 | 784 | 205 | 310 | 29 | 11 | 347 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 225 | 277 | 502 | 123 | 235 | 41 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 296 | 397 | 693 | 190 | 278 | 34 | 10 | 311 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 279 | 243 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 99 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 115 | 229 | 193 | 422 | 78 | 171 | 35 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 81 | 77 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 104 | 150 | 117 | 267 | 13 | 146 | 28 | 5 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 254 | 236 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 94 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 256 | 331 | 587 | 127 | 301 | 37 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 294 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 135 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 244 | 279 | 523 | 112 | 267 | 41 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 355 | 318 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 159 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 167 | 246 | 308 | 555 | 142 | 264 | 45 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 428 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 176 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 178 | 242 | 318 | 560 | 140 | 249 | 38 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 71 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 225 | 277 | 502 | 123 | 246 | 41 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1835 | 1654 | 272 | 69 | 2 | 41 | 128 | 715 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 164 | 239 | 283 | 522 | 119 | 252 | 39 | 7 | 230 | 42 | -127 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +40 | -8.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 97 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 253 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 166 | 240 | 287 | 526 | 121 | 253 | 39 | 7 | 230 | 42 | -45 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 71 PAwOBA .302 → .226 (−76)K% 33.8% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.80% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.86% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 16.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.033 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 6.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.115 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 5.32% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .302 → .226; ISO .190 → .128; BABIP .278 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 342 PAwOBA .353 → .248 (−105)K% 29.5% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.53% | ÷0.998 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.82% | ÷0.963 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.81% | ÷0.990 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 17.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.15% | ÷0.974 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 7.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.61% | ÷1.114 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 5.88% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 98, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .353 → .248; ISO .218 → .155; BABIP .333 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHarrisburg Senators · 126 PAwOBA .298 → .237 (−61)K% 27.8% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.980 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 19.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.79% | ÷0.979 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 6.19% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .298 → .237; ISO .170 → .130; BABIP .250 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 337 PAwOBA .336 → .248 (−88)K% 32.3% → 45.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.34% | ÷0.965 | ×1.350 | — | — | 45.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.68% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.65% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 19.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.84% | ÷0.906 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 8.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .336 → .248; ISO .203 → .154; BABIP .311 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAHarrisburg Senators · 18 PAwOBA .167 → .139 (−28)K% 27.8% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.967 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 15.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.055 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .139; ISO .056 → .042; BABIP .231 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Potomac Nationals · 212 PAwOBA .311 → .231 (−81)K% 27.8% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.83% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 40.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.32% | ÷1.023 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.80% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 7.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.079 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 116, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .311 → .231; ISO .152 → .117; BABIP .308 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AHagerstown Suns · 115 PAwOBA .337 → .238 (−99)K% 30.4% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷0.940 | ×1.340 | — | — | 43.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.78% | ÷0.982 | ×0.660 | — | — | 9.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.86% | ÷1.063 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | — | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | — | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .337 → .238; ISO .170 → .121; BABIP .328 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AHagerstown Suns · 254 PAwOBA .335 → .255 (−80)K% 27.6% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.56% | ÷0.992 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.48% | ÷0.983 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.15% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.015 | 19.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.03% | ÷0.941 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | ×1.015 | 10.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.43% | ÷1.108 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .335 → .255; ISO .175 → .128; BABIP .348 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).