Luis Pino — OGILVIE

Luis PinoCF Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.3 · 2030

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .266 / .296

PA320

HR7

SB8

K%38

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

51↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$-5M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	174	153	26	5	0	4	10	69	10	1	2	.170	.266	.281	.547	.111	.272	40	6	.237	40	-12	-1	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
2022	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	112	101	11	2	0	1	8	49	3	4	2	.109	.196	.158	.355	.050	.196	44	7	.180	-4	-13	+0	+0	+0	+3	-1.0
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	100	83	11	3	0	1	9	45	7	5	0	.133	.273	.205	.478	.072	.263	45	9	.225	30	-8	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	148	133	24	6	0	3	9	66	4	3	1	.180	.253	.293	.547	.113	.318	45	6	.242	44	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2025	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	413	360	52	13	1	7	39	183	12	7	2	.144	.251	.244	.495	.100	.262	44	9	.231	35	-30	+1	+0	+1	+12	-1.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	31	30	3	2	0	0	0	21	1	2	2	.100	.129	.167	.296	.067	.333	68	0	.120	-50	-5	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	STL	289	258	46	10	1	6	23	116	6	6	2	.178	.261	.295	.556	.116	.289	40	8	.251	50	-16	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
TOT	22	MLB	STL	320	288	49	12	1	6	23	137	7	8	4	.170	.248	.281	.530	.111	.295	43	7	.238	41	-21	+0	+0	+1	+9	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	STL	441	394	76	17	2	10	36	148	8	8	4	.193	.274	.322	.596	.129	.273	34	8	.268	63	-18	+0	+0	+2	+12	-0.4
2028	24	MLB 26%	STL	488	434	86	19	2	12	42	159	9	9	4	.198	.282	.334	.617	.136	.275	33	9	.276	70	-17	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.1
2029	25	MLB 43%	STL	513	454	92	20	2	13	45	163	9	9	4	.203	.287	.341	.629	.139	.277	32	9	.282	74	-15	+0	+0	+2	+15	0.2
2030	26	MLB 58%	STL	526	464	93	20	2	13	47	166	10	9	4	.200	.288	.336	.624	.136	.278	32	9	.285	76	-14	+0	+0	+2	+15	0.3
2031	27	MLB 76%	STL	529	466	93	20	2	13	48	168	10	9	3	.200	.288	.335	.623	.135	.278	32	9	.285	76	-14	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.3
2032	28	MLB 84%	STL	527	465	93	20	2	13	48	168	9	8	3	.200	.287	.335	.623	.135	.278	32	9	.284	75	-15	+0	-1	+2	+15	0.2
2033	29	MLB 90%	STL	519	457	92	20	2	13	48	167	9	7	3	.201	.290	.339	.629	.138	.277	32	9	.282	74	-15	+0	-1	+2	+15	-0.0
2034	30	MLB	STL	509	448	88	19	2	12	47	166	9	7	2	.196	.286	.328	.614	.132	.275	33	9	.278	71	-17	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.2
2035	31	MLB	STL	495	438	85	18	2	12	45	163	9	5	2	.194	.283	.326	.609	.132	.273	33	9	.275	68	-18	+0	-3	+2	+14	-0.5
2036	32	MLB	STL	477	422	80	17	1	11	44	160	8	4	2	.190	.278	.313	.591	.123	.272	34	9	.270	65	-19	+0	-4	+2	+14	-0.7
2037	33	MLB	STL	448	396	73	16	1	9	41	153	8	4	2	.184	.274	.298	.572	.114	.270	34	9	.265	61	-20	+0	-4	+2	+13	-1.0
2038	34	MLB	STL	402	356	64	14	1	8	36	141	7	3	2	.180	.268	.292	.560	.112	.267	35	9	.258	56	-20	-0	-5	+1	+11	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7110	6282	1185	259	23	161	625	2450	147	108	44	.189	.277	.314	.592	.125	.276	34	9	.269	64	-291	+4	-20	+25	+201	-8.1
/ 162G	—			650	574	109	24	2	15	57	224	13	10	4	.190	.278	.317	.595	.127	.278	34	9	.269	64	-27	+0	-2	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	174	146	36	7	0	6	17	52	10	1	2	.247	.364	.418	.782	.171	.337	30	10	.353	129	+6	-1	—	—	+5	1.0
2022	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	112	97	21	5	0	3	12	35	3	4	2	.216	.321	.361	.682	.144	.305	31	11	.313	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	100	78	16	5	0	2	14	31	7	5	0	.205	.374	.346	.720	.141	.304	31	14	.336	116	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	58	54	10	2	0	1	3	23	0	0	0	.185	.224	.278	.502	.093	.300	40	5	.225	31	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	90	72	24	7	0	3	12	22	4	3	1	.333	.455	.556	1.010	.222	.429	24	13	.436	192	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	413	345	69	16	2	9	54	129	12	7	2	.200	.328	.336	.665	.136	.287	31	13	.308	94	-3	+1	—	—	+12	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Pino (OGILVIE)	22	25	35	45	50	.181/.266/.296	.115	.287	7	5	38%	8%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	41→50	41	.168/.252/.259	.091	.262	9	8	37%	8%	41	-2.3	.197/.275/.307	.110	.307	11	5	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.204/.303/.338	.134	.292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	35	46→50	45→40	40	.185/.251/.313	.128	.265	15	5	35%	7%	53	-1.5	.209/.268/.329	.120	.279	13	4	28%	7%	65	-0.7	.211/.271/.321	.110	.275	12	2	27%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Payton Henry 2019 · A	22	41→31	42→45	41→30	38	.192/.261/.298	.106	.318	10	3	40%	7%	54	-1.4	.192/.255/.296	.104	.317	11	3	41%	5%	50	-1.7	.246/.293/.382	.135	.322	19	1	29%	4%	83	+0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	38	43→50	43→30	44	.184/.274/.291	.106	.280	10	3	35%	9%	59	-1.1	.196/.279/.333	.137	.278	16	2	33%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.273/.343	.151	.263	18	1	33%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	44→65	37	.193/.250/.274	.080	.298	7	7	36%	6%	42	-2.3	.205/.278/.298	.093	.301	7	29	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.200/.277/.293	.093	.287	7	42	30%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	40	.203/.258/.301	.098	.286	8	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.266/.289	.089	.294	8	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	.183/.256/.260	.077	.269	7	8	32%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→50	51→45	35	.183/.259/.287	.104	.311	11	11	42%	6%	51	-1.7	.198/.263/.310	.112	.287	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	.185/.242/.280	.095	.261	13	5	33%	5%	38	-1.0
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	35	43→50	43→30	38	.178/.239/.287	.110	.282	10	6	39%	7%	41	-2.3	.197/.269/.330	.133	.320	12	4	39%	8%	66	-0.6	.192/.271/.336	.144	.315	14	1	40%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	37→34	46→50	45→50	35	.194/.240/.317	.122	.287	15	6	37%	5%	49	-1.8	.202/.239/.339	.137	.300	16	10	37%	5%	54	-1.4	.219/.264/.370	.151	.296	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→50	45→50	40	.197/.265/.313	.116	.295	12	8	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.197/.279/.317	.120	.298	13	10	35%	9%	67	-0.5	.181/.276/.317	.136	.268	16	9	36%	10%	63	-0.5
✕Ignacio Valdez 2017 · A	22	32	45	45→50	37	.169/.233/.291	.121	.258	13	5	38%	6%	40	-2.4	.177/.238/.289	.112	.315	12	4	45%	7%	42	-2.3	.137/.165/.201	.064	.247	4	0	45%	3%	-17	-1.2
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	.177/.225/.258	.082	.279	7	4	38%	5%	27	-3.3	.181/.235/.260	.079	.301	7	5	40%	6%	32	-3.0	.113/.162/.125	.012	.213	0	0	44%	5%	-37	-1.5
✕Yeicok Calderon 2014 · A	22	35	46→45	45	33	.180/.227/.303	.123	.290	14	5	42%	6%	40	-2.4	.206/.250/.323	.117	.324	12	6	38%	5%	54	-1.4	.210/.245/.331	.121	.324	12	5	38%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	40	42→45	50→55	41	.172/.280/.276	.105	.337	10	18	46%	10%	58	-1.2	.187/.287/.297	.110	.339	11	16	43%	10%	66	-0.6	.170/.275/.273	.103	.306	12	18	43%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	46→40	39	.187/.254/.288	.101	.287	10	7	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.193/.256/.289	.096	.301	8	5	36%	7%	49	-1.8	.160/.230/.252	.091	.253	7	3	37%	7%	25	-1.2
✕Carlos Dominguez 2022 · A	22	39→27	47→45	49→50	32	.191/.265/.326	.135	.316	15	11	42%	5%	64	-0.8	.165/.239/.283	.118	.350	15	12	53%	6%	42	-2.3	.131/.212/.238	.107	.287	15	14	56%	6%	16	-2.1
✕Chuckie Jones 2014 · A	22	37→40	43→45	44→50	35	.183/.239/.290	.106	.297	11	8	40%	6%	42	-2.3	.202/.255/.322	.120	.297	14	9	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.199/.253/.321	.122	.279	15	10	33%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Taylor Brennan 2014 · A	22	37→42	45	48→45	43	.177/.265/.302	.125	.304	13	7	43%	10%	57	-1.2	.186/.269/.291	.105	.299	10	7	37%	10%	56	-1.3	.176/.263/.268	.092	.285	8	7	38%	10%	46	-1.3
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	38	41→40	47→30	42	.186/.260/.282	.097	.283	10	6	36%	8%	50	-1.8	.200/.264/.303	.103	.319	8	6	37%	7%	56	-1.3	.192/.255/.314	.122	.310	8	3	38%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Tristen Lutz 2021 · A	22	40→38	44→45	46→40	37	.194/.253/.307	.113	.309	11	5	39%	6%	53	-1.5	.199/.262/.326	.127	.330	15	4	41%	7%	61	-1.0	.184/.256/.313	.129	.310	17	2	43%	7%	53	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)