Connor Blair
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ARome Braves | 21 | .105/.190/.316 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | .100/.143/.300 |
| 2021 | 23 | AATL | 76 | .081/.240/.081 | 0 | 3 | -27 | — | .061/.173/.061 |
| 2022 | 24 | AATL | 200 | .200/.357/.369 | 7 | 3 | 50 | — | .152/.271/.269 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 21 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 316 | 506 | 211 | 83 | 29 | 10 | 227 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 76 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 81 | 240 | 81 | 321 | 114 | 25 | 17 | 179 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 200 | 160 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 60 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 357 | 369 | 726 | 169 | 266 | 30 | 17 | 334 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 300 | 443 | 200 | 64 | 38 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 76 | 66 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 61 | 173 | 61 | 234 | 96 | 34 | 12 | 129 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 200 | 171 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 78 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 152 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 117 | 230 | 39 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 300 | 443 | 200 | 91 | 38 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 21 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 316 | 506 | 211 | 83 | 29 | 10 | 227 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 76 | 66 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 61 | 173 | 61 | 234 | 98 | 34 | 12 | 129 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 76 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 81 | 240 | 81 | 321 | 114 | 25 | 17 | 179 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 200 | 171 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 78 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 152 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 117 | 236 | 39 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 200 | 160 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 60 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 357 | 369 | 726 | 169 | 266 | 30 | 17 | 334 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 300 | 443 | 200 | 64 | 38 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 76 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 173 | 60 | 233 | 96 | 34 | 12 | 129 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 200 | 170 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 78 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 153 | 271 | 271 | 542 | 118 | 230 | 39 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 297 | 257 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 112 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 125 | 237 | 218 | 455 | 93 | 184 | 38 | 11 | 208 | 27 | -26 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | -2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 562 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 72 | 245 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 125 | 237 | 217 | 454 | 93 | 185 | 38 | 11 | 208 | 27 | -57 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -5.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 200 PAwOBA .328 → .242 (−86)K% 30.0% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.050 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 11.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 17.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.127 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 4.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .328 → .242; ISO .169 → .117; BABIP .266 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAugusta GreenJackets · 76 PAwOBA .178 → .129 (−49)K% 25.0% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.11% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 11.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 9.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.192 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .178 → .129; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .114 → .096. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ARome Braves · 21 PAwOBA .220 → .169 (−52)K% 28.6% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.001 | ×1.340 | — | — | 38.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.982 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.080 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.851 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 7.53% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .220 → .169; ISO .211 → .174; BABIP .083 → .064. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).