Jesus Chirinos — OGILVIE

Jesus ChirinosC Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs A+ HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 143 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .270 / .283

PA11

HR0

K%31

BB%10

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Brewers	—	218	173	44	17	0	2	39	52	3	0	0	254	400	387	787	133	344	24	18	358	128	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	118	24	3	1	1	8	41	2	1	0	203	266	271	537	68	303	32	6	248	54	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2021	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	142	42	8	1	5	30	43	0	0	0	296	419	472	890	176	394	25	17	399	156	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2022	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	480	405	96	13	0	12	69	152	0	3	1	237	348	358	706	121	340	32	14	321	103	+2	+0	—	—	+10	1.3
2022	21	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	111	86	28	1	0	1	23	20	1	0	0	326	473	372	845	47	409	18	21	393	152	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2023	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	71	62	11	4	0	2	9	24	0	1	0	177	282	339	620	161	250	34	13	283	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	276	213	62	13	1	7	55	78	4	2	1	291	445	460	905	169	417	28	20	403	159	+19	+0	—	—	+6	2.6
2023	22	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	17	17	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	118	118	118	235		167	29	0	106	-42	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2024	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	284	63	14	0	6	41	106	0	1	0	222	320	335	655	113	328	32	13	300	89	-4	+0	—	—	+7	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	—	218	188	34	12	0	2	24	75	3	0	0	181	284	277	560	96	268	34	11	248	54	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	121	17	2	1	1	5	59	2	1	0	140	188	198	386	58	242	46	4	156	-8	-16	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	154	33	6	1	4	18	62	0	0	0	214	297	344	641	130	326	36	10	279	75	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	480	429	72	9	0	8	45	221	0	3	1	168	247	245	492	77	301	46	9	225	38	-35	+0	—	—	+10	-2.5
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	71	65	8	3	0	1	6	34	0	1	0	123	197	215	413	92	218	48	8	192	16	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	276	234	50	9	1	6	34	112	4	2	1	214	324	338	661	124	357	41	12	295	86	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	296	48	10	0	4	29	144	0	1	0	162	237	236	473	74	294	44	9	221	36	-25	+0	—	—	+7	-1.8
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	—	218	188	34	12	0	2	24	75	3	0	0	181	284	277	560	96	281	34	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers	—	218	173	44	17	0	2	39	52	3	0	0	254	400	387	787	133	344	24	18	358	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	121	17	2	1	1	5	59	2	1	0	140	188	198	386	58	262	46	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	118	24	3	1	1	8	41	2	1	0	203	266	271	537	68	303	32	6	248	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	154	33	6	1	4	18	62	0	0	0	214	297	344	641	130	330	36	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	142	42	8	1	5	30	43	0	0	0	296	419	472	890	176	394	25	17	399	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	591	528	89	11	0	10	55	272	1	3	1	169	248	246	494	78	312	46	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	591	491	124	14	0	13	92	172	1	3	1	253	372	360	732	108	355	29	16	335	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	364	314	61	13	1	7	42	153	4	3	1	194	297	309	606	115	342	42	12	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	364	292	75	17	1	9	64	107	4	3	1	257	397	414	812	158	367	29	18	366	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	296	48	10	0	4	29	144	0	1	0	162	237	236	473	74	293	44	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	284	63	14	0	6	41	106	0	1	0	222	320	335	655	113	328	32	13	300	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers	—	218	189	34	12	0	2	24	75	3	0	0	180	284	275	559	95	268	34	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	120	17	2	1	1	5	59	2	1	0	142	188	200	388	58	242	46	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	152	33	6	1	4	18	62	0	0	0	217	297	349	645	132	326	36	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	591	530	89	11	0	10	55	272	1	3	1	168	248	245	494	77	301	46	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	364	315	61	13	1	7	42	153	4	3	1	194	297	308	605	114	329	42	12	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	295	48	10	0	4	29	144	0	1	0	163	237	237	474	75	294	44	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	364	315	61	13	1	7	42	153	4	3	1	194	297	308	605	114	329	42	12	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	295	48	10	0	4	29	144	0	1	0	163	237	237	474	75	294	44	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		266	27	9	257	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIL	30%	157	140	28	6	1	3	15	47	1	2	1	200	282	321	603	121	269	30	10	266	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIL	42%	250	222	45	9	1	5	24	74	2	4	1	203	286	320	606	117	271	30	10	270	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	311	276	55	11	1	6	30	91	2	4	1	199	282	312	594	112	271	29	10	272	70	-11	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIL	49%	343	304	60	12	1	6	33	101	3	4	1	197	282	303	585	105	271	29	10	271	70	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	362	321	64	13	1	7	35	107	3	4	1	199	284	312	596	112	270	30	10	268	68	-14	+0	-2	+6	+8	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIL	30%	48	43	9	2	0	1	5	14	0	1	0	209	292	326	617	116	267	29	10	261	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIL	42%	104	92	18	4	0	2	10	31	1	1	0	196	282	304	586	109	269	30	10	265	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	148	132	27	5	1	3	14	43	1	2	1	205	286	326	611	121	270	29	9	267	70	-5	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIL	49%	169	150	30	6	1	3	16	50	1	2	1	200	281	313	595	113	269	30	9	266	70	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	182	161	31	6	1	3	18	54	1	2	1	193	278	298	576	106	268	30	10	264	68	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	651	578	115	23	3	12	63	192	4	8	3	199	282	311	594	112	272	29	10	265	56	-24	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	115	23	3	12	63	192	4	8	3	199	283	312	595	113	273	30	10	265	56	-24	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3234	2874	535	105	8	55	311	1188	21	26	7	186	270	286	556	100	290	37	10	252	56	-53	+2	-4	+26	+31	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	108	21	2	11	63	239	4	5	1	187	272	287	559	100	291	37	10	252	56	-24	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	651	12	9	199	280	310	+12	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	12	9	+11.9	+8.2	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Chirinos (OGILVIE)	25	20	37	43	53	187/270/283	97	266	2	2	31%	10%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	42	196/258/292	96	269	8	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	194/248/291	97	281	9	6	32%	6%	52	-2.2	151/202/238	87	213	10	0	34%	5%	19	-1.4
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/276/299	108	261	11	5	30%	10%	65	-1.2	196/278/300	104	279	9	7	31%	9%	66	-1.1	110/223/191	81	162	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	40	48→45	43	182/254/271	89	269	9	6	34%	8%	51	-2.3	199/272/289	90	306	8	8	34%	8%	61	-1.5	155/252/210	55	256	4	7	37%	11%	34	-0.6
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	192/269/271	79	282	7	5	32%	8%	56	-1.9	217/307/343	126	285	13	8	26%	10%	87	+0.4	222/324/360	138	289	14	11	26%	12%	95	+0.5
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	186/257/272	86	265	6	3	31%	8%	51	-2.2	206/269/333	127	290	15	4	32%	7%	70	-0.9	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	40	42→45	42→30	46	198/264/296	97	263	11	3	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/254/278	90	260	8	3	29%	8%	51	-2.2	168/238/252	83	231	8	0	29%	8%	39	-1.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕D.K. Carey 2017 · A	25	38	41→40	39→45	47	190/266/285	94	256	9	7	28%	9%	57	-1.8	196/272/287	91	294	7	6	33%	9%	60	-1.6	167/256/237	70	267	4	2	36%	10%	41	-1.2
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→38	38→40	42→45	46	188/272/267	79	265	6	8	29%	8%	57	-1.8	177/251/244	67	256	4	8	30%	7%	43	-2.8	152/224/201	49	226	2	6	31%	7%	21	-2.7
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	182/273/271	90	286	8	7	36%	9%	59	-1.7	195/278/297	102	296	9	11	34%	8%	65	-1.2	169/259/271	102	251	9	13	34%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	195/252/288	93	250	9	7	26%	6%	53	-2.1	208/270/304	96	287	10	10	29%	7%	63	-1.4	195/263/272	78	273	9	10	30%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Chris Denove 2008 · A	25	40	38→40	47→40	42	196/254/274	78	267	6	5	28%	6%	51	-2.3	232/289/320	88	288	5	4	20%	6%	74	-0.6	245/303/334	88	297	6	3	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA	25	36→41	40→50	44→45	40	179/245/262	83	256	8	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	212/275/354	142	276	15	7	28%	7%	77	-0.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps