Jesus Chirinos — OGILVIE

Jesus ChirinosC Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 143 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .270 / .284

PA143

HR2

K%31

BB%10

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Brewers	—	218	188	34	12	0	2	24	75	3	0	0	181	284	277	560	96	281	34	11	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Brewers	—	218	173	44	17	0	2	39	52	3	0	0	254	400	387	787	133	344	24	18	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	121	17	2	1	1	5	59	2	1	0	140	188	198	386	58	262	46	4	156	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	118	24	3	1	1	8	41	2	1	0	203	266	271	537	68	303	32	6	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	154	33	6	1	4	18	62	0	0	0	214	297	344	641	130	330	36	10	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	142	42	8	1	5	30	43	0	0	0	296	419	472	890	176	394	25	17	399	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	591	527	83	10	0	9	56	278	1	3	1	157	240	228	467	70	300	47	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	591	491	124	14	0	13	92	172	1	3	1	253	372	360	732	108	355	29	16	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	3 teams	—	364	315	58	12	1	7	41	156	4	3	1	184	286	295	581	111	327	43	11	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	3 teams	—	364	292	75	17	1	9	64	107	4	3	1	257	397	414	812	158	367	29	18	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	296	47	10	0	4	29	145	0	1	0	159	234	233	467	74	289	44	9	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	284	63	14	0	6	41	106	0	1	0	222	320	335	655	113	328	32	13	300	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIL	—	143	127	24	5	1	2	14	44	1	2	1	189	275	291	566	102	266	31	10	257	55	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIL	30%	157	140	28	6	1	3	15	47	1	2	1	200	282	321	603	121	269	30	10	266	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIL	42%	250	222	45	9	1	5	24	73	2	4	1	203	286	320	606	117	271	29	10	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2029	28	MLB	MIL	48%	311	276	55	11	1	6	30	90	2	4	1	199	282	312	594	112	271	29	10	272	66	-12	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.2
2030	29	MLB	MIL	49%	343	304	60	12	1	6	33	100	3	4	1	197	282	303	585	105	271	29	10	271	66	-13	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIL	30%	48	43	9	2	0	1	5	14	0	1	0	209	292	326	617	116	267	29	10	259	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIL	42%	104	92	18	4	0	2	10	30	1	1	0	196	282	304	586	109	268	29	10	263	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	28	MLB	MIL	48%	148	132	27	5	1	3	14	43	1	2	1	205	286	326	611	121	269	29	9	264	61	-7	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.0
2030	29	MLB	MIL	49%	169	150	30	6	1	3	16	49	1	2	1	200	281	313	595	113	269	29	9	264	60	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	469	417	84	17	2	9	45	136	3	6	2	201	284	317	600	115	273	29	10	263	60	-21	+0	-1	+8	+13	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	117	24	3	12	62	188	4	8	3	202	284	317	600	114	275	29	10	263	60	-30	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3004	2670	484	95	8	49	289	1129	19	24	7	181	266	278	544	97	287	38	10	246	47	-181	+2	-2	+54	+85	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	106	21	2	11	63	244	4	5	2	183	269	284	552	100	290	38	10	246	47	-39	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Brewers	—	218	173	44	17	0	2	39	52	3	0	0	254	400	387	787	133	344	24	18	358	132	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	128	118	24	3	1	1	8	41	2	1	0	203	266	271	537	68	303	32	6	248	48	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	172	142	42	8	1	5	30	43	0	0	0	296	419	472	890	176	394	25	17	399	163	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2022	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	480	405	96	13	0	12	69	152	0	3	1	237	348	358	706	121	340	32	14	321	104	+2	+0	—	—	+14	1.6
2022	21	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	111	86	28	1	0	1	23	20	1	0	0	326	473	372	845	47	409	18	21	393	159	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	71	62	11	4	0	2	9	24	0	1	0	177	282	339	620	161	250	34	13	283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	276	213	62	13	1	7	55	78	4	2	1	291	445	460	905	169	417	28	20	403	167	+21	+0	—	—	+8	2.9
2023	22	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	17	17	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	118	118	118	235		167	29	0	106	-60	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2024	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	327	284	63	14	0	6	41	106	0	1	0	222	320	335	655	113	328	32	13	300	87	-5	+0	—	—	+9	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	470	9	6	200	281	312	+8	+8	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	12	9	200	281	312	+11.9	+11.3	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Chirinos (OGILVIE)	25	20	37	43	53	187/270/284	96	266	2	2	31%	10%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	39	43→45	42→30	45	198/264/301	103	265	12	3	29%	8%	55	-1.4	186/252/279	93	260	9	3	30%	8%	44	-2.1	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Ryan Ortiz 2013 · AA	25	40	43→45	47→40	49	200/288/306	105	271	11	5	29%	10%	68	-0.5	201/291/297	96	282	8	4	29%	10%	67	-0.5	190/289/275	85	269	6	0	29%	11%	57	-0.6
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	40→45	40→45	44	192/269/276	84	279	8	5	32%	8%	51	-1.7	218/306/353	135	287	14	8	27%	10%	88	+0.9	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	48	192/273/255	63	265	4	6	27%	9%	48	-1.9	220/287/306	86	274	6	8	20%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/315	88	275	6	8	19%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Edgar Cabral 2021 · A	25	42	43→40	47→30	41	209/266/319	110	288	11	6	31%	7%	61	-1.0	198/262/288	90	315	7	8	36%	8%	51	-1.7	188/264/255	66	326	0	0	38%	8%	41	-0.4
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39	43→40	45	42	197/254/301	103	257	11	7	28%	6%	50	-1.7	210/271/311	101	292	11	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	199/266/281	82	279	10	10	31%	7%	47	-0.9