Pascual Archila — OGILVIE

Pascual ArchilaOF FCL Blue Jays

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 172 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION213 act + 142 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .298 / .285

PA142

HR2

SB5

K%30

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$11M	+$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	132	25	4	0	2	17	53	8	5	0	189	318	265	584	76	291	33	11	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	120	29	5	0	2	29	35	8	5	0	242	420	333	754	92	318	22	18	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	190	32	9	0	2	31	78	8	19	4	168	310	247	557	79	268	34	13	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	171	42	12	0	2	50	52	8	19	4	246	437	351	788	105	336	22	22	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	213	178	33	6	0	5	28	79	3	15	2	185	306	303	610	118	295	37	13	278	71	-7	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.0
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	213	160	43	9	0	7	46	55	3	15	2	269	440	456	896	188	364	26	22	398	163	+15	+2	+0	-1	+6	2.3
ROS	19	ROK	TOR	0%	142	123	24	5	0	2	16	43	2	5	1	195	298	285	582	89	277	30	11	275	69	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	265	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	TOR	—	213	179	33	6	0	5	28	79	3	15	2	184	306	302	608	117	292	37	13	278	71	-7	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK	TOR	—	355	301	57	11	0	7	44	122	5	20	3	189	303	296	599	106	287	34	12	277	70	-12	+3	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	354	306	63	12	1	7	40	103	5	9	2	206	308	320	628	114	282	29	11	287	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	449	389	82	16	2	9	50	127	7	11	2	211	312	332	643	121	284	28	11	294	83	-8	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.3
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	513	443	96	19	2	11	57	143	8	13	2	217	317	343	660	126	285	28	11	299	87	-8	+2	+0	-3	+15	0.6
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	554	480	104	20	2	13	61	152	8	14	3	217	315	348	663	131	286	27	11	302	89	-7	+2	+0	-3	+16	0.7
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	579	501	109	21	2	14	64	159	9	14	3	218	317	351	668	134	287	27	11	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-3	+16	0.9
2032	25	MLB	TOR	60%	594	514	112	22	2	14	66	162	9	15	3	218	317	350	668	132	287	27	11	305	91	-6	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2033	26	MLB	TOR	62%	600	519	113	22	2	14	67	164	9	15	3	218	318	349	666	131	287	27	11	305	92	-6	+2	+0	-4	+17	1.0
2034	27	MLB	TOR	63%	599	517	113	22	2	14	68	164	9	15	3	219	320	350	670	132	286	27	11	305	92	-6	+2	+0	-4	+17	1.0
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	122	105	21	4	0	2	14	36	2	3	1	200	306	295	601	95	283	30	11	278	71	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	218	189	41	8	1	5	24	62	3	5	1	217	315	349	664	132	285	28	11	284	76	-6	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	278	241	52	10	1	6	31	77	4	7	1	216	315	340	655	124	286	28	11	289	79	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	314	271	58	11	1	7	35	86	5	8	2	214	315	339	655	125	287	27	11	292	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	327	283	62	12	1	8	36	90	5	8	2	219	318	353	671	134	288	28	11	294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2032	25	MLB	TOR	60%	358	310	68	13	1	9	40	98	5	9	2	219	318	355	673	135	288	27	11	294	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2033	26	MLB	TOR	62%	375	324	71	14	1	9	42	102	6	9	2	219	320	352	672	133	288	27	11	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.3
2034	27	MLB	TOR	63%	380	328	72	14	1	9	43	104	6	9	2	220	321	351	672	131	288	27	11	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2372	2052	445	86	7	55	265	655	36	58	13	217	317	346	663	129	288	28	11	292	81	-50	+6	+0	-14	+67	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	122	24	2	15	73	179	10	16	4	217	318	347	665	130	288	28	11	292	81	-14	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4777	4114	873	172	15	102	537	1348	82	135	26	212	315	336	651	123	287	28	11	297	85	-80	+17	+0	-29	+135	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	118	23	2	14	73	183	11	18	4	211	314	334	648	123	283	28	11	297	85	-11	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	120	29	5	0	2	29	35	8	5	0	242	420	333	754	92	318	22	18	352	127	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	171	42	12	0	2	50	52	8	19	4	246	437	351	788	105	336	22	22	369	141	+11	+2	—	—	+7	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,629	58	64	216	312	343	-16	+0	2.9	3.0
	/162	664	15	16	216	312	343	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pascual Archila (OGILVIE)	19	35	25	60	60	189/303/296	106	287	7	20	34%	12%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	63	-0.8	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	59	-1.1	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Jaden Rudd 2022 · A	19	44→36	40→30	51→50	45	207/290/299	92	294	6	11	30%	8%	66	-0.6	182/289/257	75	276	4	13	32%	10%	57	-1.2	157/280/216	59	252	3	16	34%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	52	-1.6	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	32	-3.0	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	212/301/304	92	297	6	15	28%	10%	72	-0.2	195/269/291	96	274	7	11	29%	9%	55	-1.4	181/270/264	83	253	5	13	28%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	45	-2.1	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	66	-0.6	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Nicoll Parra 2013 · A	19	41	34→30	48→55	56	189/304/245	56	267	1	16	26%	12%	60	-1.0	206/303/261	55	271	2	17	22%	10%	63	-0.9	194/328/224	30	251	0	34	19%	14%	62	-0.2
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→40	37→40	49→50	44	189/267/264	76	304	4	9	36%	9%	47	-1.9	195/281/283	88	315	5	14	36%	10%	59	-1.1	194/297/288	95	310	5	16	35%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
✕Omar Lebron 2018 · A	19	43	38→40	53→55	51	202/287/279	78	251	5	20	21%	9%	60	-1.0	189/263/285	96	256	8	11	28%	7%	51	-1.7	154/228/257	103	209	10	8	30%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	44	39→45	48→40	47	206/285/289	84	301	7	9	32%	10%	62	-0.9	213/297/328	115	300	10	5	30%	10%	76	+0.1	203/296/332	129	278	12	3	29%	11%	75	+0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A	19	43	36→40	50→60	45	203/252/272	69	247	3	12	19%	6%	42	-2.3	229/271/302	73	269	3	22	15%	5%	56	-1.3	223/260/283	60	275	2	30	19%	4%	47	-0.6
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	57	-1.2	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	68	-0.5	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Telmito Agustin 2016 · A	19	49→41	39→45	57→50	46	231/288/332	101	295	5	17	22%	7%	72	-0.2	226/262/328	102	322	8	13	31%	4%	59	-1.1	226/258/333	106	321	10	12	32%	4%	57	-0.6