Pascual Archila

OF FCL Blue Jays
Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 172 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2414ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKTOR161.242/.420/.3332555—.163/.312/.209
202518ROKDSL Blue Jays…232.246/.437/.35121954—.151/.310/.210
202619ROKTOR232.266/.456/.45071781—.189/.325/.321
2027PROJMLE20MLBTOR342.198/.293/.2904769-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTOR58.204/.299/.3071174-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTOR132.209/.303/.3192378-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%91
wRC+87
wOBA81
ISO79
Chase%73
Speed46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsYohairo Cuevas (age 20) · Jake Fox (age 20) · Jaden Rudd (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 125 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .291 / .288
PA125
HR2
K%28
BB%10
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Arb-1$0.2M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 161120 29502 29358 50 242420333754 92318 2218 352 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Blue Jays Red — 232171 421202 50528 194 246437351788 105336 2222 369 54 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 232169 451007 55584 172 266456450906 183362 2524 405 81 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 161129 21301 20448 50 163312209521 47221 2712 249 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Red — 232186 28801 35658 194 151310210520 59211 2815 248 54 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 232190 36706 34844 172 189325321646 132286 3615 288 81 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 161129 21301 20448 50 163312209521 47233 2712 249 55 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays — 161120 29502 29358 50 242420333754 92318 2218 352 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Red — 232186 28801 35658 194 151310210520 59221 2815 248 54 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays Red — 232171 421202 50528 194 246437351788 105336 2222 369 54 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 232190 36706 34844 172 189325321646 132297 3615 288 81 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 232169 451007 55584 172 266456450906 183362 2524 405 81 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 161132 21301 20448 50 159312205517 45221 2712 249 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Red — 232187 28801 35658 194 150310209519 59211 2815 248 54 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 232192 36706 34844 172 188325318642 130286 3615 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 161132 21301 20448 50 159312205517 45221 2712 249 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Red — 232187 28801 35658 194 150310209519 59211 2815 248 54 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 232192 36706 34844 172 188325318642 130286 3615 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETOR 0% 342298 591124 36965 72 198293290583 92272 2811 270 69 -13 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETOR 34% 169147 31613 18462 41 203298306605 103274 2711 278 74 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
202922 MLB MLETOR 48% 273239 49915 28744 72 208302318620 111276 2710 284 78 -7 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.2
203023 MLB MLETOR 54% 363317 681327 38975 92 211304327632 116278 2710 288 81 -8 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.1
203124 MLB MLETOR 55% 421369 791528 431116 103 214306334640 120279 2610 292 83 -8 +1 +0 -3 +9 -0.1
203225 MLB MLETOR 60% 453398 851629 461186 113 216307338646 122280 2610 294 85 -8 +1 +0 -3 +10 -0.0
203326 MLB MLETOR 62% 470413 8917210 481236 113 216307338645 122279 2610 293 85 -9 +1 +0 -3 +10 -0.0
203427 MLB MLETOR 63% 476418 9017210 491256 113 214306335641 121279 2610 292 84 -9 +1 +0 -3 +10 -0.1
203528 MLB MLETOR 65% 474417 881729 481266 103 213304330634 118278 2710 289 82 -10 +1 -1 -3 +10 -0.3
203629 MLB MLETOR 65% 465409 861629 471256 93 210301324625 114276 2710 285 79 -11 +1 -1 -3 +10 -0.5
202821 MLB CTXTOR 34% 5851 10201 6161 10 204299307606 103275 2810 279 74 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
202922 MLB CTXTOR 48% 132115 25512 14362 31 209303319622 111277 2711 285 78 -3 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXTOR 54% 197172 37714 20533 51 212305328633 116279 2710 289 81 -4 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
203124 MLB CTXTOR 55% 233204 44815 24613 61 215307335642 120280 2610 292 83 -5 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.0
203225 MLB CTXTOR 60% 271237 521016 28714 72 217308339647 123281 2610 294 85 -5 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.0
203326 MLB CTXTOR 62% 292256 551016 30764 72 216308339647 122281 2610 294 85 -5 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.0
203427 MLB CTXTOR 63% 301263 571116 31794 72 215307336643 121280 2610 293 84 -6 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.1
203528 MLB CTXTOR 65% 308269 571116 32824 72 213305331636 118279 2710 290 82 -7 +1 -0 -2 +7 -0.2
203629 MLB CTXTOR 65% 302264 551016 31814 62 211302325626 114277 2710 286 79 -7 +0 -1 -2 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20941831 39274842 21655529 4913 214307332639 118281 2710 290 79 -44 +5 -1 -13 +45 -0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650568 12123213 671729 154 213305329635 116280 2610 290 79 -14 +1 -0 -4 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 43143741 7721481780 467117369 12630 206306319625 113276 2711 285 79 -81 +7 -2 -22 +80 -1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 11622312 7017710 195 206304319623 113275 2711 285 79 -14 +1 -0 -4 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 232 PAwOBA .397 → .288 (−109)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.440——36.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.28%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00814.54%
HBP% /PA1.72%—×0.720—×1.0081.25%
Singles /BIP25.23%÷1.000×0.820×1.003×1.00820.90%
Doubles /BIP9.01%÷1.000×0.720×1.003×1.0086.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.003×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP6.31%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0084.96%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .397 → .288; ISO .183 → .142; BABIP .362 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Blue Jays Red · 232 PAwOBA .365 → .248 (−117)K% 22.4% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.41%÷0.980×1.220——27.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.55%÷0.994×0.700—×1.00815.29%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.700—×1.0082.43%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.002×0.680×0.950×1.00815.29%
Doubles /BIP10.08%÷0.970×0.600×0.950×1.0085.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.017×0.600×0.950×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.68%÷0.957×0.470—×1.0080.83%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 103, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .248; ISO .105 → .062; BABIP .336 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 161 PAwOBA .348 → .249 (−99)K% 21.7% → 27.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.973×1.220——27.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.01%÷1.015×0.700—×1.02212.70%
HBP% /PA4.97%—×0.700—×1.0223.56%
Singles /BIP25.88%÷0.958×0.680×0.990×1.02218.60%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.964×0.600×0.990×1.0223.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.990×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.35%÷0.892×0.470—×1.0221.27%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .348 → .249; ISO .092 → .057; BABIP .318 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).