Pascual Archila — OGILVIE

Pascual ArchilaOF FCL Blue Jays

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 172 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION232 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .222

PA21

HR0

K%29

BB%14

BABIP278

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	120	29	5	0	2	29	35	8	5	0	242	420	333	754	92	318	22	18	352	124	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	171	42	12	0	2	50	52	8	19	4	246	437	351	788	105	336	22	22	369	136	+10	+2	—	—	+5	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	131	25	4	0	2	18	52	8	5	0	191	325	267	592	76	262	32	11	258	61	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	190	32	8	0	2	31	77	8	19	4	168	310	242	552	74	253	33	13	255	59	-11	+2	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	131	25	4	0	2	18	52	8	5	0	191	325	267	592	76	291	32	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	120	29	5	0	2	29	35	8	5	0	242	420	333	754	92	318	22	18	352	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	190	32	8	0	2	31	77	8	19	4	168	310	242	552	74	265	33	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	171	42	12	0	2	50	52	8	19	4	246	437	351	788	105	336	22	22	369	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	134	25	4	0	2	18	52	8	5	0	187	325	261	586	75	262	32	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	191	32	8	0	2	31	77	8	19	4	168	310	241	551	73	253	33	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	161	134	25	4	0	2	18	52	8	5	0	187	325	261	586	75	262	32	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	232	191	32	8	0	2	31	77	8	19	4	168	310	241	551	73	253	33	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	TOR	—	232	191	36	7	0	6	33	84	4	17	2	188	320	319	640	131	294	36	14	286	80	-6	+3	+0	-1	+5	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	TOR	—	232	169	45	10	0	7	55	58	4	17	2	266	456	450	906	183	362	25	24	405	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	TOR	0%	21	18	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	167	286	222	508	56	277	29	14	282	77	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	TOR	—	253	209	39	8	0	6	36	90	4	18	2	187	317	311	628	124	289	36	14	286	79	-6	+3	+0	-2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	290	250	51	10	1	5	34	83	4	7	1	204	309	312	621	108	282	29	12	292	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	402	346	73	15	1	8	47	111	6	10	2	211	316	329	645	118	284	28	12	298	88	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	480	414	90	18	2	11	56	131	7	12	2	217	321	350	671	133	285	27	12	303	91	-5	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	531	456	100	20	2	12	62	143	8	13	2	219	323	351	674	132	286	27	12	306	93	-4	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	565	485	106	21	2	13	66	151	9	14	3	219	323	351	674	132	286	27	12	308	94	-4	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	584	502	111	22	2	14	68	156	9	14	3	221	325	357	681	135	286	27	12	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	593	510	112	22	2	14	69	158	9	15	3	220	323	353	676	133	286	27	12	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	595	511	112	22	2	14	70	159	9	15	3	219	324	352	676	133	286	27	12	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	591	507	111	22	2	14	70	159	9	14	3	219	324	353	677	134	285	27	12	308	95	-4	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	581	497	108	21	2	14	70	157	9	13	2	217	325	352	677	135	284	27	12	306	93	-5	+2	-1	-3	+13	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	571	489	106	21	2	13	68	156	9	13	2	217	323	348	671	131	283	27	12	303	91	-6	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	557	477	100	20	1	12	67	154	8	12	2	210	317	331	648	122	281	28	12	299	89	-7	+2	-3	-3	+12	0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	100	87	18	4	0	2	12	29	1	3	0	207	310	322	632	115	283	29	12	281	84	-2	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	195	167	36	7	1	4	23	54	3	5	1	216	321	341	663	126	285	28	12	288	88	-3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	260	224	49	10	1	6	30	71	4	7	1	219	322	353	674	134	286	27	12	292	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	301	258	57	11	1	7	35	81	5	7	1	221	326	353	678	132	287	27	12	295	93	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	319	274	61	12	1	8	37	85	5	8	1	223	326	361	687	139	288	27	12	297	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	330	283	62	12	1	8	39	88	5	8	1	219	324	353	678	134	288	27	12	298	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	335	288	63	12	1	8	39	89	5	8	2	219	322	351	673	132	288	27	12	298	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	330	283	62	12	1	8	39	88	5	8	1	219	324	353	678	134	287	27	12	299	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	324	277	61	12	1	8	39	87	5	8	1	220	327	357	685	137	287	27	12	298	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	311	266	57	11	1	7	37	84	5	7	1	214	321	342	664	128	286	27	12	296	93	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	301	257	56	11	1	7	36	82	5	7	1	218	326	350	676	132	284	27	12	293	91	-3	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	315	269	57	11	1	7	38	87	5	7	1	212	321	338	659	126	282	28	12	289	89	-4	+1	-2	-2	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3421	2933	639	125	11	80	404	925	53	83	12	218	323	350	673	132	287	27	12	295	91	-29	+12	-4	-21	+74	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	557	121	24	2	15	77	176	10	16	2	217	323	348	671	131	286	27	12	295	91	-6	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6754	5783	1240	247	21	148	799	1853	112	177	32	214	321	341	663	127	286	27	12	302	91	-57	+19	-7	-38	+138	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	119	24	2	14	77	178	11	17	3	214	321	339	660	126	285	27	12	302	91	-6	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.5	3,631	81	87	217	318	346	-22	+0	5.4	4.8
/162	664	15	16	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 4
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pascual Archila (OGILVIE)	19	35	25	60	60	195/305/296	101	277	3	9	30%	12%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	68	-1.0	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	63	-1.3	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	44	35→30	53→65	46	204/281/259	55	266	3	24	23%	7%	58	-1.7	214/284/271	57	295	2	32	26%	6%	61	-1.5	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Jaden Rudd 2022 · A	19	44→36	40→30	51→50	45	207/290/299	92	294	6	11	30%	8%	70	-0.8	180/288/254	74	275	4	13	32%	10%	61	-1.5	154/279/213	59	249	3	16	34%	11%	47	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	40	-3.1	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	51	-2.2	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	70	-0.8	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	222/274/319	97	291	7	16	25%	6%	68	-1.0	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→41	39→40	54→50	49	210/298/303	92	292	6	15	28%	10%	74	-0.5	194/266/289	95	271	7	11	29%	9%	59	-1.7	192/278/283	91	261	5	13	26%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.2	198/270/312	114	300	8	13	34%	9%	65	-1.2	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Nicoll Parra 2013 · A	19	41	34→30	48→55	56	189/304/245	56	267	1	16	26%	12%	65	-1.2	206/303/261	55	271	2	17	22%	10%	67	-1.1	194/328/224	30	251	0	34	19%	14%	66	-0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Drew Cumberland 2008 · A	19	48	36→45	52→55	46	224/280/288	65	272	3	11	18%	6%	63	-1.4	250/302/333	83	296	5	18	16%	6%	81	-0.1	274/323/376	102	320	7	22	16%	6%	95	+0.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	44	39→45	48→40	47	206/285/289	84	301	7	9	32%	10%	66	-1.1	213/297/328	115	300	10	5	30%	10%	79	-0.2	203/296/332	129	278	12	3	29%	11%	78	-0.1
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Omar Lebron 2018 · A	19	43	38→40	53→55	51	202/287/279	78	251	5	20	21%	9%	65	-1.2	189/263/285	96	256	8	11	28%	7%	57	-1.8	154/228/257	103	209	10	8	30%	6%	37	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps