Jose Parra
P
ACL Athletics
Age 20
LHP
5'11" / 175 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 130
ERA4.92
FIP4.92
K%23.1%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 7 | 1 | 11 | 60 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 14% | 1.5 | 13.6% | 37.5% | -23.9% | 0.0% | 10.12 | 6.70 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 7 | 1 | 11 | 60 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 14% | 1.5 | 20.0% | 30.0% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 10.12 | 5.91 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 8 | 44 | 174 | 52 | 23 | 1 | 73% | 4.0 | 20.3% | 16.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 2.64 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 8 | 44 | 174 | 52 | 23 | 1 | 73% | 4.0 | 29.9% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 0.6% | 2.64 | 2.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 10 | 7 | 32 | 165 | 32 | 38 | 3 | 70% | 3.2 | 13.2% | 28.8% | -15.6% | 2.5% | 11.08 | 7.03 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 65 | 274 | 63 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 96 | 439 | 95 | 77 | 11 | — | — | 21.7% | 17.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 6.94 | 5.61 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 106 | 446 | 100 | 59 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.82 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 29 | 29 | 147 | 620 | 149 | 73 | 17 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.47 | +1.6 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 33 | 33 | 175 | 739 | 185 | 80 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.25 | +2.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 32 | 179 | 757 | 195 | 78 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 4.23 | 4.12 | +2.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 31 | 31 | 180 | 760 | 198 | 76 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.1% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.03 | +2.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 30 | 30 | 180 | 760 | 200 | 76 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.3% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.01 | +2.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 30 | 30 | 177 | 749 | 197 | 75 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.3% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 4.05 | +2.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 29 | 29 | 172 | 726 | 190 | 74 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 4.13 | +2.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 27 | 27 | 164 | 694 | 180 | 72 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.9% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.26 | +2.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 26 | 26 | 154 | 652 | 167 | 70 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.6% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | 4.35 | 4.44 | +1.7 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 153 | 67 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 4.53 | 4.64 | +1.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 139 | 64 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 4.73 | 4.87 | +0.8 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 125 | 61 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 4.96 | 5.12 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 52 | 220 | 49 | 29 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 21 | 107 | 452 | 109 | 53 | 12 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.44 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 28 | 148 | 625 | 157 | 68 | 17 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.22 | +2.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 29 | 29 | 160 | 676 | 173 | 70 | 18 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.09 | +2.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 28 | 165 | 697 | 182 | 70 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.1% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 4.08 | 4.00 | +2.7 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 28 | 168 | 709 | 186 | 71 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.3% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 4.02 | 3.98 | +2.8 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 28 | 168 | 709 | 186 | 71 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.3% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 4.02 | 4.02 | +2.7 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 27 | 27 | 163 | 688 | 180 | 70 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.09 | +2.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 171 | 69 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.9% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 4.22 | +2.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 159 | 66 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.6% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.40 | +1.7 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 146 | 64 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 4.49 | 4.60 | +1.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 21 | 127 | 536 | 133 | 61 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.68 | 4.82 | +0.9 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 119 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 5.07 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 312 | 312 | 1813 | 7657 | 1948 | 819 | 226 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.93 | +31.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 215 | 90 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 16 | 87 | 399 | 65 | 99 | 6 | 57% | 3.1 | 16.4% | 24.7% | -8.4% | 1.5% | 6.65 | 5.69 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 37 | 200 | 921 | 151 | 228 | 14 | 57% | 3.1 | 16.4% | 24.7% | -8.4% | 1.5% | 6.65 | 5.69 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Parra (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.47 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 428 | -0.45 | — | — | — |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 82 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 81 |
| Raúl Alcantara L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.6% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .295 | 4.64 | 19.0% | 4.2% | 229 | +0.18 | 3.82 | 396 | 81 |
| Andrew Faulkner L 2028 · 4.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.84 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.18 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 142 | -0.66 | 3.78 | 252 | 80 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 80 |
| Luis Rico L 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.17 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .303 | 5.16 | 17.8% | 5.9% | 105 | -0.01 | 4.43 | 199 | 79 |
| Bailey Horn L 2029 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 79 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2029 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 79 |
| Will Johnston L 2029 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 79 |
| Jared Beck L 2029 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .338 | 6.22 | 20.1% | -8.4% | 82 | +2.06 | 4.16 | 158 | 78 |
| Nate Peterson L 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 78 |
| Brandon Finnegan L 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .287 | 5.05 | 18.5% | 6.5% | 273 | +0.53 | 3.70 | 489 | 78 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.75 | 22.3% | 13.7% | 1.5% | .269 | 3.55 | 23.3% | 14.7% | 118 | -0.20 | 3.21 | 439 | 78 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 77 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2029 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.18 | 24.3% | 18.6% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.03 | 22.3% | 6.1% | 149 | +0.85 | 4.15 | 214 | 77 |
| Starlin Savinon L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.3% | 14.7% | 1.0% | .302 | 3.38 | 22.1% | 5.2% | 25 | -0.47 | 3.38 | 127 | 77 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 77 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.19 | 3.89 | 141 | 77 |
| Boston Bateman L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.10 | 23.0% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 153 | 76 |
| Sam Garcia L 2029 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.74 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.62 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 24 | -1.12 | 3.62 | 125 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 14 | 150 | 25.3% | 10.9% | 1.16 | 4.37 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Vince Velasquez ('23) | 9 | 85 | 24.9% | 9.3% | 1.48 | 4.88 |
| Chase Anderson ('24) | 10 | 99 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 1.50 | 4.45 |