Luis Peña — OGILVIE

Luis PeñaSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION280 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP302

ISO109

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Arb-1	$6M	+2.0	$12M	+$8M
2031	Arb-2	$13M	+2.3	$13M	+$5M
2032	Arb-3	$20M	+2.5	$13M	+$2M
Totals		$42M		$56M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	163	64	16	6	1	15	15	5	39	4	393	459	583	1.042	190	426	8	8	454	193	+20	+6	—	—	+4	3.1
2025	18	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	109	101	17	4	0	3	6	27	1	3	0	168	222	297	519	129	194	25	6	233	44	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	309	273	84	14	6	6	28	41	4	41	7	308	380	469	849	161	339	13	9	373	138	+14	+5	—	—	+7	2.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	169	47	10	4	1	9	22	5	39	4	278	333	402	736	124	307	12	5	313	98	-0	+6	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	18	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	109	103	13	3	0	2	4	39	1	3	0	126	167	214	380	87	162	36	4	161	-5	-14	+1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2025	18	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	309	283	78	12	4	4	18	56	4	41	7	276	328	389	717	113	319	18	6	314	99	-0	+5	—	—	+7	1.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	169	47	10	4	1	9	22	5	39	4	278	333	402	736	124	313	12	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	163	64	16	6	1	15	15	5	39	4	393	459	583	1.042	190	426	8	8	454	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	418	386	90	14	4	6	22	95	5	44	7	233	283	337	620	104	290	23	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	418	374	101	18	6	9	34	68	5	44	7	270	339	422	761	152	305	16	8	336	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	168	47	10	4	1	9	22	5	39	4	280	333	405	738	125	307	12	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	418	388	90	14	4	6	22	95	5	44	7	232	283	335	618	103	278	23	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	168	47	10	4	1	9	22	5	39	4	280	333	405	738	125	307	12	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	418	388	90	14	4	6	22	95	5	44	7	232	283	335	618	103	278	23	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ MLE	MIL	—	280	252	61	8	3	2	20	74	5	33	6	242	310	321	632	79	330	26	7	285	79	-7	+4	+0	+3	+6	0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A+ RAW	MIL	—	219	188	56	9	4	2	24	45	4	27	6	298	389	420	809	122	375	21	11	361	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	AA RAW	MIL	—	61	56	15	1	0	1	4	11	1	6	0	268	328	339	667	71	318	18	7	306	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A+ MLE	MIL	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		304	22	11	288	81	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A+ MLE	MIL	—	289	260	62	8	3	2	21	76	5	34	6	238	308	315	623	77	324	26	7	285	79	-7	+4	-0	+3	+6	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	454	415	101	16	4	7	30	99	6	23	4	243	304	352	656	108	305	22	7	300	89	-6	+3	-1	+5	+10	1.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	62%	490	447	113	18	5	11	33	104	7	22	4	253	314	389	703	136	305	21	7	312	98	-1	+3	-1	+5	+11	1.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	529	479	124	20	5	14	37	110	8	21	4	259	323	409	732	150	305	21	7	323	105	+3	+3	-1	+6	+11	2.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	571	517	135	21	5	17	41	116	8	21	4	261	325	420	745	159	306	20	7	331	110	+7	+3	-1	+6	+12	2.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	617	558	148	23	6	19	45	124	9	21	4	265	330	430	760	165	307	20	7	337	114	+10	+3	-1	+7	+13	3.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	638	577	154	24	6	21	47	128	9	21	4	267	332	438	770	172	307	20	7	340	116	+12	+3	-1	+7	+14	3.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	641	579	155	24	6	22	48	128	9	20	3	268	333	444	777	176	307	20	7	342	118	+13	+3	-1	+7	+14	3.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	639	577	154	24	6	21	48	128	9	20	3	267	333	438	771	172	307	20	8	342	118	+13	+3	-1	+7	+14	3.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	632	570	151	23	6	21	48	128	9	18	3	265	332	437	769	172	307	20	8	341	117	+13	+2	-2	+7	+14	3.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIL	67%	621	559	148	23	6	20	48	127	9	17	3	265	333	435	767	170	306	20	8	339	116	+12	+2	-3	+7	+13	3.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIL	66%	610	549	144	22	5	20	47	126	9	16	3	262	331	430	760	168	306	21	8	337	114	+10	+2	-3	+7	+13	2.9
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	595	536	139	21	5	19	46	125	8	14	2	259	327	424	751	164	304	21	8	333	112	+8	+2	-4	+6	+13	2.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	577	520	134	20	5	18	44	123	8	13	2	258	325	419	744	162	301	21	8	328	108	+5	+2	-5	+6	+13	2.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	547	493	124	18	5	16	42	120	7	11	2	252	319	406	725	154	298	22	8	321	103	+2	+1	-5	+6	+12	1.6
2041	34	MLB MLE	MIL	60%	499	451	110	15	4	14	38	112	7	9	2	244	312	388	701	144	293	22	8	312	97	-2	+1	-6	+5	+11	1.0
2042	35	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	443	401	95	12	4	12	33	103	6	8	1	237	305	377	681	140	287	23	7	302	91	-5	+1	-6	+5	+10	0.4
2043	36	MLB MLE	MIL	47%	382	346	79	10	3	9	28	92	5	6	1	228	296	353	648	124	282	24	7	292	84	-7	+1	-7	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	204	186	45	7	2	3	13	45	3	10	2	242	302	349	651	108	303	22	6	289	89	-3	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	62%	302	274	70	11	3	7	21	64	4	14	2	255	318	394	712	139	303	21	7	302	98	-1	+2	-1	+3	+7	1.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	362	328	84	13	3	10	26	75	5	15	3	256	320	405	726	149	304	21	7	314	105	+2	+2	-1	+4	+8	1.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	407	369	97	15	4	13	29	83	6	15	3	263	327	431	758	168	304	20	7	322	110	+5	+2	-1	+4	+9	2.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	438	397	105	16	4	15	32	88	6	15	3	264	329	438	767	174	305	20	7	328	114	+7	+2	-1	+5	+9	2.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	453	409	110	17	4	16	34	91	7	15	3	269	336	447	783	178	306	20	8	331	116	+9	+2	-1	+5	+10	2.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	454	410	110	17	4	16	34	91	7	14	2	268	335	446	781	178	306	20	7	333	118	+9	+2	-1	+5	+10	2.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	444	401	107	16	4	16	34	89	6	14	2	267	333	446	780	180	306	20	8	333	118	+9	+2	-1	+5	+10	2.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	435	393	105	16	4	15	33	88	6	13	2	267	333	443	776	176	305	20	8	332	117	+9	+2	-1	+5	+9	2.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIL	67%	415	374	99	15	4	14	32	85	6	11	2	265	333	439	771	174	305	20	8	331	116	+8	+1	-2	+4	+9	2.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIL	66%	401	361	95	14	3	14	31	83	6	10	2	263	332	435	767	172	304	21	8	328	114	+7	+1	-2	+4	+9	1.9
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	388	350	91	14	3	13	30	81	5	9	2	260	327	429	756	169	302	21	8	324	112	+5	+1	-3	+4	+8	1.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	374	337	87	13	3	12	29	80	5	8	1	258	326	421	748	163	300	21	8	319	108	+4	+1	-3	+4	+8	1.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	353	318	80	11	3	11	27	77	5	7	1	252	320	409	729	157	296	22	8	312	103	+1	+1	-3	+4	+8	1.1
2041	34	MLB CTX	MIL	60%	300	270	66	9	2	9	23	67	4	6	1	244	313	393	706	148	291	22	8	304	97	-1	+1	-4	+3	+6	0.6
2042	35	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	246	223	53	7	2	7	18	57	3	4	1	238	303	381	684	143	286	23	7	294	91	-3	+0	-4	+3	+5	0.2
2043	36	MLB CTX	MIL	47%	178	161	37	5	1	5	13	43	2	3	0	230	295	366	662	137	280	24	7	284	84	-3	+1	-3	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6154	5561	1441	216	53	196	459	1287	86	183	32	259	325	423	748	164	303	21	7	320	106	+65	+24	-30	+66	+133	26.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	153	23	6	21	48	136	9	19	3	261	326	428	753	167	305	21	7	320	106	+7	+3	-3	+7	+14	2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	10096	9137	2346	358	94	288	735	2112	143	365	60	257	322	411	733	154	303	21	7	325	106	+89	+37	-49	+102	+206	39.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	151	23	6	19	47	136	9	23	4	257	321	413	734	156	303	21	7	325	106	+6	+3	-3	+7	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	8.9	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
/162	664	12	24	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Starlin Castrolast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,579 PA	9.9	6,579	138	89	280	319	412	+50	+63	33.0	29.4
/162	664	14	9	+5.1	+6.3	3.3	pk7: 26
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.3	6,169	185	184	260	323	419	+61	-10	32.3	25.7
/162	664	20	20	+6.6	-1.0	3.5	pk7: 19
#5Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#6Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Peña (OGILVIE)	19	49→57	46→54	66	48	240/298/337	97	304	4	24	22%	6%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	53	41→45	61→65	55	249/330/357	107	284	6	32	14%	9%	97	+1.1	229/316/326	97	293	6	23	22%	9%	86	+0.3	222/315/324	102	289	6	23	23%	9%	81	-0.0
●Carlos Gómez 2006 · A	20	49→57	40→60	58→65	40	238/278/327	88	297	8	32	22%	4%	70	-0.8	242/291/342	100	309	7	35	23%	5%	79	-0.2	274/334/472	198	328	22	40	23%	6%	123	+2.8
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Jean Segura 2011 · AAA	21	55→62	42→50	60	44	265/300/380	115	308	8	23	17%	5%	91	+0.6	264/301/370	106	310	8	29	17%	5%	88	+0.5	304/351/443	139	337	13	24	13%	6%	121	+3.0
●Desmond Jennings 2008 · A	21	52→59	42→50	57→60	47	250/310/361	111	295	9	29	18%	6%	91	+0.7	255/317/373	118	302	8	32	17%	7%	96	+1.0	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
✕Jorge Mateo 2014 · A	19	43→48	42→50	60→65	46	209/275/314	105	270	9	30	25%	8%	68	-1.0	211/263/305	94	295	6	36	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Victor Robles 2017 · A	20	51→52	42→50	57→60	42	244/314/356	112	302	8	24	21%	5%	92	+0.7	243/310/375	132	303	10	24	22%	5%	95	+0.9	246/315/392	146	305	12	27	22%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Gorkys Hernández 2008 · A	20	53→57	39→45	58→55	43	253/288/340	88	302	6	27	18%	4%	77	-0.3	245/289/326	81	324	4	18	24%	5%	74	-0.6	256/315/372	117	316	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
●Elvis Andrus 2009 · AA	20	52→61	37→50	55→60	43	247/294/318	72	319	4	32	23%	6%	74	-0.5	258/320/331	73	306	4	32	16%	8%	87	+0.4	277/330/414	137	310	11	19	14%	7%	105	+1.6
●Ozzie Albies 2016 · A	19	57→59	36→60	57→55	46	266/310/343	77	323	2	20	18%	6%	85	+0.2	257/303/378	121	310	8	19	19%	6%	91	+0.7	275/329/488	213	303	24	15	18%	7%	124	+2.6
✕Ryan Brett 2013 · A	21	50→57	39→45	59→60	44	240/285/332	92	295	6	27	20%	6%	74	-0.5	248/288/354	106	301	8	23	20%	5%	80	-0.1	249/285/355	106	299	8	21	19%	4%	77	-0.2
●Brett Lawrie 2011 · AA	21	50→56	44→55	56→55	42	242/287/376	134	306	8	18	23%	5%	85	+0.2	261/315/422	161	306	15	17	19%	6%	107	+1.8	266/325/431	165	300	17	16	17%	7%	110	+1.7
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	51→52	36→45	60→55	49	237/300/311	74	283	2	24	16%	7%	75	-0.5	226/271/305	79	286	4	22	21%	5%	63	-1.4	241/281/343	102	297	8	19	21%	5%	72	-0.5
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A	21	50→58	42→55	56→55	41	240/290/351	111	316	8	20	26%	6%	81	-0.1	276/319/448	172	335	18	21	22%	5%	115	+2.4	283/325/464	180	333	21	21	21%	5%	119	+2.5
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	46→55	41→45	61→65	44	221/284/321	100	299	9	36	28%	7%	72	-0.7	233/303/337	104	312	7	37	26%	8%	83	+0.1	236/312/340	103	313	6	38	24%	9%	83	+0.1
●Byron Buxton 2014 · A	20	53→59	44→80	61→55	46	249/314/382	133	336	10	27	27%	8%	97	+1.1	236/291/376	140	326	12	22	29%	7%	87	+0.4	263/326/525	262	305	35	17	26%	7%	132	+2.7
✕Manuel Margot 2015 · A	20	48→52	44→50	56→60	47	236/285/359	123	266	11	25	16%	6%	81	-0.1	242/282/357	115	280	8	26	16%	5%	79	-0.2	245/302/387	142	288	13	20	19%	7%	91	+0.5
●Trent Grisham 2016 · A	19	49	38→60	56→55	48	230/300/314	84	311	4	19	26%	8%	76	-0.4	198/281/285	87	301	6	16	32%	10%	63	-1.3	240/327/432	192	284	22	14	23%	10%	111	+1.7
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	49→54	45→60	56→55	41	239/293/364	125	307	11	21	25%	5%	86	+0.3	229/280/349	120	292	10	20	25%	5%	77	-0.3	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	53→52	42→60	56→60	43	251/300/368	117	320	8	22	23%	6%	88	+0.5	248/297/383	135	295	13	29	20%	5%	91	+0.7	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps