Luis Peña — OGILVIE

Luis PeñaSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .301 / .337

PA198

HR2

SB13

K%23

BB%7

BABIP311

ISO94

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2030	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$17M	+$13M
2031	Arb-2	$11M	+3.2	$18M	+$11M
2032	Arb-3	$17M	+3.4	$17M	+$8M
Totals		$37M		$86M	+$64M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	169	46	10	4	1	9	22	5	39	4	272	328	396	724	124	306	12	5	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	163	64	16	6	1	15	15	5	39	4	393	459	583	1.042	190	426	8	8	454	206	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	2 teams	—	418	385	92	14	4	5	23	96	5	44	7	239	291	335	626	96	301	23	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	2 teams	—	418	374	101	18	6	9	34	68	5	44	7	270	339	422	761	152	305	16	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A+	MIL	—	122	107	29	3	1	1	11	34	1	17	4	271	345	346	690	75	373	28	9	306	92	-1	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.6
YTD	19	A+	MIL	—	122	102	31	4	1	1	16	25	1	17	4	304	403	392	796	88	380	20	13	355	130	+4	+2	+0	+1	+3	1.1
ROS	19	A+	MIL	4%	198	181	44	7	2	2	13	45	2	13	3	243	301	337	638	94	307	23	7	286	77	-5	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.3
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		305	22	11	276	70	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	19	A+	MIL	—	131	115	30	3	1	1	12	36	1	18	4	261	336	330	666	70	358	27	9	304	91	-1	+2	-0	+1	+4	0.6
TOT	19	A+	MIL	—	320	288	73	10	3	3	24	79	3	30	7	253	317	340	658	87	333	25	8	294	83	-6	+3	-1	+3	+9	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIL	45%	494	452	111	18	4	7	33	112	6	23	4	246	305	350	655	104	307	23	7	294	83	-9	+3	-2	+5	+14	1.1
2028	21	MLB	MIL	62%	563	512	128	21	4	11	39	125	7	23	4	250	312	371	683	121	306	22	7	304	91	-6	+3	-2	+6	+16	1.7
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	605	550	138	22	4	14	43	132	7	22	4	251	313	382	695	131	306	22	7	313	98	-2	+3	-2	+6	+17	2.3
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	620	562	146	23	5	17	45	133	8	21	4	260	324	409	733	149	307	21	7	322	104	+3	+3	-2	+7	+18	2.8
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	630	571	149	24	5	18	46	134	8	20	4	261	325	415	740	154	308	21	7	328	109	+6	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.2
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	636	576	152	24	5	20	47	135	8	20	4	264	328	427	755	163	309	21	7	332	112	+9	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.4
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	640	580	154	24	5	21	47	135	8	19	4	266	329	433	762	167	309	21	7	334	114	+10	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.6
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	638	577	153	24	5	21	48	135	8	19	4	265	330	433	763	168	309	21	8	334	114	+10	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.6
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	632	571	149	23	4	20	48	135	8	18	3	261	327	420	747	159	308	21	8	333	113	+10	+2	-3	+7	+18	3.4
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	621	561	147	23	4	20	47	134	8	17	3	262	328	424	752	162	308	22	8	332	112	+8	+2	-4	+7	+18	3.2
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	610	551	143	22	4	19	47	133	7	15	3	260	326	417	743	158	307	22	8	329	110	+7	+2	-4	+7	+17	2.9
2038	31	MLB	MIL	65%	595	537	138	21	4	18	46	132	7	14	3	257	324	412	735	155	305	22	8	325	107	+5	+2	-5	+6	+17	2.5
2039	32	MLB	MIL	65%	576	520	132	20	4	17	44	130	7	13	2	254	320	406	726	152	303	23	8	320	103	+2	+2	-6	+6	+16	2.1
2040	33	MLB	MIL	65%	547	495	122	18	3	15	41	126	6	11	2	246	312	386	698	139	299	23	7	313	98	-1	+1	-6	+6	+15	1.6
2041	34	MLB	MIL	60%	499	453	108	15	3	13	38	118	5	10	2	238	304	371	675	132	294	24	8	305	91	-5	+1	-7	+5	+14	0.9
2042	35	MLB	MIL	56%	443	402	93	12	3	11	33	108	5	8	2	231	298	358	656	127	289	24	7	295	84	-8	+1	-7	+5	+13	0.3
2027	20	MLB	MIL	45%	222	202	49	8	2	3	15	50	3	10	2	243	305	347	651	104	305	23	7	284	75	-6	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.3
2028	21	MLB	MIL	62%	347	316	79	13	3	7	24	77	4	14	3	250	311	377	688	127	304	22	7	293	82	-7	+2	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	414	377	94	15	3	9	29	90	5	15	3	249	311	377	688	127	304	22	7	301	89	-5	+2	-2	+4	+12	1.1
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	442	402	102	16	3	12	32	95	5	15	3	254	317	398	715	144	305	21	7	310	95	-2	+2	-2	+5	+13	1.5
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	447	407	104	16	3	13	32	95	5	14	3	256	318	405	723	150	306	21	7	316	100	+0	+2	-2	+5	+13	1.8
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	451	409	107	17	3	14	33	95	6	14	3	262	326	421	746	159	306	21	7	320	103	+2	+2	-2	+5	+13	1.9
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	454	411	107	17	3	14	34	96	6	14	3	260	326	418	744	158	306	21	7	322	105	+2	+2	-2	+5	+13	2.0
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	443	402	104	16	3	14	33	94	5	13	2	259	323	418	741	159	306	21	7	322	105	+2	+2	-2	+5	+13	2.0
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	435	394	103	16	3	14	33	93	5	12	2	261	326	424	750	162	306	21	8	322	104	+2	+2	-2	+5	+12	1.9
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	415	375	97	15	3	13	32	89	5	11	2	259	325	419	744	160	305	21	8	320	103	+1	+1	-3	+4	+12	1.7
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	401	362	93	14	3	12	31	87	5	10	2	257	324	412	736	155	305	22	8	318	101	+1	+1	-3	+4	+11	1.5
2038	31	MLB	MIL	65%	388	350	90	14	3	11	30	86	5	9	2	257	325	409	733	151	303	22	8	314	98	-1	+1	-3	+4	+11	1.2
2039	32	MLB	MIL	65%	373	338	85	13	2	11	28	84	4	8	2	251	316	399	716	148	300	23	8	309	94	-2	+1	-4	+4	+11	1.0
2040	33	MLB	MIL	65%	353	319	78	11	2	10	27	81	4	7	1	245	311	386	697	141	297	23	8	302	90	-4	+1	-4	+4	+10	0.7
2041	34	MLB	MIL	60%	300	271	65	9	2	8	23	71	3	6	1	240	306	376	683	137	292	24	8	294	83	-6	+1	-4	+3	+8	0.3
2042	35	MLB	MIL	56%	246	223	52	7	2	6	18	60	3	5	1	233	299	363	662	130	286	24	7	285	76	-7	+1	-4	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6140	5566	1410	217	43	171	455	1345	73	178	35	253	318	400	718	147	304	22	7	310	96	-30	+22	-39	+66	+174	19.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	150	23	5	18	48	142	8	19	4	255	319	402	722	148	306	22	7	310	96	-3	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	10149	9205	2345	365	76	270	737	2220	125	369	66	255	319	399	717	144	307	22	7	318	102	+17	+47	-62	+109	+288	40.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	150	23	5	17	47	142	8	24	4	254	318	397	714	142	306	22	7	318	102	+1	+3	-4	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	184	163	64	16	6	1	15	15	5	39	4	393	459	583	1.042	190	426	8	8	454	206	+22	+6	—	—	+5	3.4
2025	18	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	109	101	17	4	0	3	6	27	1	3	0	168	222	297	519	129	194	25	6	233	36	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	309	273	84	14	6	6	28	41	4	41	7	308	380	469	849	161	339	13	9	373	143	+15	+5	—	—	+9	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	12	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
	/162	664	12	24	281	327	401	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#4Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#5Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	6,147	174	180	257	318	406	+62	-14	28.7	23.0
	/162	664	19	19	257	318	406	+6.7	-1.5	3.1	pk7: 17
#6Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Peña (OGILVIE)	19	46→56	46→54	65→66	44	253/317/340	87	333	3	30	25%	8%	83	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	60→65	51	234/321/343	109	284	7	29	19%	8%	91	+1.1	235/310/360	125	296	12	18	23%	8%	91	+1.1	230/307/354	124	286	8	13	21%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	47→54	44→50	61→55	44	226/282/354	129	300	9	28	27%	7%	76	+0.1	240/293/376	136	286	14	16	21%	7%	86	+0.8	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	220/278/308	88	281	7	24	24%	6%	63	-0.9	254/316/372	118	301	9	29	18%	7%	95	+1.4	245/325/405	160	290	16	28	20%	9%	105	+2.2
✕Gorkys Hernández 2008 · A	20	53→59	39→45	58→55	43	253/288/340	88	302	6	27	18%	4%	74	-0.1	244/288/325	81	326	5	18	25%	5%	70	-0.3	263/321/381	118	325	11	16	21%	7%	95	+1.0
●Carlos Gómez 2006 · A	20	49→58	40→60	58→65	40	238/278/327	88	297	8	32	22%	4%	66	-0.6	241/290/343	102	309	8	35	24%	5%	76	+0.1	279/340/490	211	332	24	40	23%	6%	133	+3.8
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	57→70	38	227/269/358	131	311	8	19	29%	5%	71	-0.3	199/249/302	103	312	8	27	37%	5%	49	-1.8	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2014 · A	19	43→46	42→50	60→65	46	209/275/314	105	270	9	30	25%	8%	63	-0.8	209/260/303	94	293	6	36	29%	6%	53	-1.5	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
●Elvis Andrus 2009 · AA	20	52→61	37→50	55→60	43	245/293/318	73	319	5	32	24%	6%	71	-0.3	258/320/332	74	307	4	32	16%	8%	85	+0.7	277/330/410	133	307	11	23	13%	7%	107	+2.4
●Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50→54	42→50	55→60	45	240/311/353	113	291	8	21	20%	6%	89	+0.9	241/308/357	116	304	7	23	22%	5%	89	+0.9	241/311/384	143	300	12	27	22%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	46→55	41→45	61→65	44	223/285/323	100	300	8	36	27%	7%	69	-0.4	229/299/333	104	311	8	37	27%	8%	78	+0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
●Trent Grisham 2016 · A	19	49→50	38→60	56→55	48	230/300/314	84	311	4	19	26%	8%	73	-0.1	197/282/285	88	302	6	16	33%	10%	59	-1.1	244/330/446	203	288	24	14	23%	10%	118	+2.3
✕Ryan Brett 2013 · A	21	51→58	39→45	59→60	44	241/287/331	90	299	5	27	21%	6%	72	-0.2	249/289/356	107	304	8	23	20%	5%	79	+0.3	249/285/358	109	299	9	21	19%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	51→54	36→45	60→55	49	237/300/311	74	283	2	24	16%	7%	72	-0.2	225/270/308	83	284	5	22	21%	5%	59	-1.1	246/285/354	108	302	10	19	21%	5%	73	-0.1
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A	20	43→53	40→55	55	43	203/292/296	93	267	6	17	25%	6%	67	-0.5	214/268/343	129	275	13	13	26%	4%	68	-0.5	264/321/443	179	299	21	16	19%	6%	113	+1.6
✕Manuel Margot 2015 · A	20	48→53	44→50	56→60	47	234/283/354	120	266	11	25	17%	6%	76	+0.1	240/280/355	115	280	9	26	17%	5%	75	-0.0	250/306/400	150	292	14	20	19%	7%	95	+1.1
●Luis Rengifo 2017 · A	20	45→55	37→55	56→55	45	212/270/294	82	276	4	21	24%	6%	56	-1.3	227/287/340	113	286	9	20	22%	7%	75	-0.0	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	207/267/281	74	251	4	24	19%	7%	51	-1.7	236/286/318	82	279	5	28	17%	6%	68	-0.5	267/306/366	100	305	8	16	15%	5%	85	+0.5
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3