Luis Peña — OGILVIE

Luis PeñaSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 4.7 · 2033

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .297 / .370

PA320

HR7

SB17

K%23

BB%7

MLB%11%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

42↗55

PWR

43↗53

SPD

65↗66

FLD

36↗43

EYE

42→42

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.2peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+3.4	$30M	+$29M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+3.9	$35M	+$34M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+4.3	$40M	+$39M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+4.6	$44M	+$35M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+4.7	$46M	+$30M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$24M	+4.7	$48M	+$24M
Totals		$52M		$243M	+$191M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	184	169	46	10	4	1	9	22	5	39	4	.272	.328	.396	.724	.124	.306	12	5	.307	93	-1	+6	+0	+2	+5	1.2
2025	18	A	2 teams	418	386	90	15	4	6	22	92	5	44	7	.233	.283	.339	.623	.106	.287	22	5	.274	68	-15	+6	+0	+4	+12	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	52	45	15	1	1	1	6	14	0	6	2	.333	.412	.467	.878	.133	.452	27	12	.359	133	+2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	268	244	60	10	2	6	20	62	2	11	3	.246	.308	.377	.685	.131	.305	23	7	.310	95	-1	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.8
TOT	19	MLB	MIL	320	289	75	11	3	7	26	76	2	17	5	.260	.325	.391	.716	.131	.327	24	8	.318	101	+1	+1	-2	+3	+9	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 32%	MIL	494	449	115	20	4	12	37	107	5	19	5	.256	.320	.399	.718	.143	.308	22	7	.320	103	+2	+2	-3	+5	+14	2.0
2028	21	MLB 57%	MIL	563	506	132	23	4	16	45	119	7	21	5	.261	.330	.417	.747	.156	.308	21	8	.329	110	+6	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.7
2029	22	MLB 86%	MIL	611	548	144	25	4	19	51	127	7	22	5	.263	.333	.427	.760	.164	.308	21	8	.336	115	+11	+2	-4	+7	+17	3.4
2030	23	MLB	MIL	645	576	153	27	4	21	56	131	8	21	5	.266	.339	.436	.775	.170	.308	20	9	.343	121	+15	+2	-4	+7	+18	3.9
2031	24	MLB	MIL	667	595	161	28	5	23	59	133	8	21	5	.271	.344	.450	.795	.180	.308	20	9	.348	124	+18	+2	-4	+7	+19	4.3
2032	25	MLB	MIL	679	604	164	28	5	24	62	134	8	21	4	.272	.347	.454	.801	.182	.309	20	9	.351	127	+20	+3	-4	+7	+19	4.6
2033	26	MLB	MIL	683	607	164	28	5	24	63	135	8	20	4	.270	.347	.451	.798	.181	.310	20	9	.353	128	+22	+2	-4	+7	+19	4.7
2034	27	MLB	MIL	681	604	164	28	5	24	64	135	8	20	4	.272	.349	.454	.803	.182	.310	20	9	.353	128	+22	+2	-4	+7	+19	4.7
2035	28	MLB	MIL	675	598	160	28	4	23	64	136	8	19	3	.268	.346	.443	.789	.176	.310	20	9	.352	127	+21	+3	-5	+7	+19	4.6
2036	29	MLB	MIL	664	588	157	27	4	23	63	135	8	18	3	.267	.346	.444	.790	.177	.309	20	9	.350	126	+19	+2	-6	+7	+19	4.3
2037	30	MLB	MIL	653	578	153	26	4	22	62	135	8	17	2	.265	.344	.438	.782	.173	.308	21	9	.347	123	+17	+3	-6	+7	+19	4.0
2038	31	MLB	MIL	638	565	148	25	4	21	61	135	7	15	2	.262	.341	.432	.773	.170	.307	21	10	.343	121	+15	+2	-7	+7	+18	3.6
2039	32	MLB	MIL	619	548	143	24	4	20	59	134	7	14	1	.261	.340	.429	.769	.168	.306	22	10	.338	117	+12	+2	-7	+7	+18	3.2
2040	33	MLB	MIL	590	522	134	22	4	18	56	132	7	13	0	.257	.337	.418	.754	.161	.305	22	9	.333	113	+9	+3	-8	+6	+17	2.7
2041	34	MLB	MIL	541	479	120	20	3	16	51	125	6	12	0	.251	.330	.405	.735	.154	.304	23	9	.327	108	+5	+2	-8	+6	+15	2.1
2042	35	MLB	MIL	484	431	105	17	3	13	45	117	5	11	0	.244	.322	.387	.710	.144	.302	24	9	.319	102	+1	+2	-9	+5	+14	1.4
2043	36	MLB	MIL	422	376	89	14	2	11	39	107	4	10	0	.237	.315	.372	.687	.136	.300	25	9	.310	95	-2	+2	-9	+5	+12	0.7
2044	37	MLB	MIL	356	317	73	11	2	8	32	93	4	9	0	.230	.309	.353	.662	.123	.297	26	9	.300	88	-5	+2	-9	+4	+10	0.2
2045	38	MLB	MIL	285	255	58	9	2	6	25	77	3	7	0	.227	.304	.349	.653	.122	.293	27	9	.290	80	-6	+1	-10	+3	+8	-0.4
2046	39	MLB	MIL	210	188	41	6	1	4	18	58	2	5	0	.218	.293	.324	.618	.106	.288	28	9	.279	71	-7	+1	-10	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			12030	10733	2774	471	83	361	1063	2581	140	409	62	.258	.333	.419	.752	.160	.307	21	9	.333	113	+177	+57	-128	+129	+341	58.7
/ 162G	—			650	580	149	25	4	20	57	139	8	22	3	.257	.332	.417	.749	.160	.304	21	9	.333	113	+10	+3	-7	+7	+18	3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	184	163	64	16	6	1	15	15	5	39	4	.393	.459	.583	1.042	.190	.426	8	8	.454	206	+22	+6	—	—	+5	3.4
2025	18	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	109	101	17	4	0	3	6	27	1	3	0	.168	.222	.297	.519	.129	.194	25	6	.233	36	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	309	273	84	14	6	6	28	41	4	41	7	.308	.380	.469	.849	.161	.339	13	9	.373	143	+15	+5	—	—	+9	3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Peña (OGILVIE)	19	42→55	43→53	65→66	42	.235/.297/.370	.134	.288	7	9	23%	7%	88	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Javier Báez 2013 · A	20	46→56	52→65	56→55	36	.238/.284/.407	.169	.301	20	20	28%	4%	92	+1.2	.226/.273/.420	.194	.306	26	17	34%	5%	91	+1.1	.274/.313/.514	.240	.333	31	15	27%	5%	123	+3.1
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	46→60	53→55	40	.243/.287/.379	.136	.324	13	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.267/.312/.417	.150	.332	13	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→56	42→60	54→55	47	.230/.289/.338	.108	.295	8	12	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.221/.296/.327	.106	.300	7	12	26%	10%	76	+0.0	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→52	51→65	52→45	44	.239/.294/.391	.152	.285	20	9	24%	6%	92	+1.2	.256/.303/.451	.195	.298	27	6	24%	6%	111	+2.5	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	52	40→45	60→65	54	.246/.324/.349	.103	.283	6	30	14%	9%	92	+1.2	.229/.317/.327	.098	.291	6	24	21%	9%	85	+0.7	.223/.315/.325	.103	.290	7	23	23%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Byron Buxton 2014 · A	20	52→60	44→80	61→55	47	.248/.313/.379	.131	.332	10	26	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.237/.293/.379	.142	.326	12	22	29%	7%	87	+0.8	.248/.317/.506	.258	.295	34	19	28%	8%	126	+2.5
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	49→54	45→60	56→55	42	.240/.295/.364	.124	.303	11	21	24%	5%	85	+0.7	.231/.283/.354	.123	.295	11	20	25%	5%	77	+0.1	.232/.296/.435	.203	.309	26	18	33%	6%	101	+0.9
●Brett Lawrie 2011 · AA	21	49→56	45→55	55	42	.240/.285/.377	.137	.304	9	17	24%	6%	83	+0.6	.259/.312/.421	.162	.306	15	17	20%	6%	106	+2.2	.265/.324/.430	.165	.299	17	16	17%	7%	109	+2.0
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50	42→50	55→60	45	.239/.309/.350	.112	.290	8	21	20%	6%	87	+0.8	.239/.306/.357	.118	.298	8	23	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.244/.313/.382	.138	.303	11	27	22%	6%	94	+1.0
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)