Yoneiker Lugo — OGILVIE

Yoneiker LugoC DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 155 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 60 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .315

PA60

HR1

K%23

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 67 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT67

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$10M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$53M	+$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	97	85	19	2	0	1	10	16	1	5	2	224	312	282	595	59	261	16	10	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	97	79	23	3	0	1	16	11	1	5	2	291	417	367	784	76	324	11	16	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	123	105	24	5	0	1	11	20	1	1	0	229	308	305	612	76	256	16	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	123	99	31	7	0	1	17	15	1	1	0	313	419	414	833	101	337	12	14	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	MIL	—	43	35	5	1	0	0	6	10	2	0	0	143	302	171	474	29	200	23	14	222	28	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
YTD	19	ROK	MIL	—	43	32	6	1	0	0	9	7	2	0	0	188	395	219	614	31	240	16	21	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	MIL	0%	60	54	12	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	222	300	315	615	93	293	23	8	286	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	274	68	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	MIL	—	43	36	5	1	0	0	6	10	2	0	0	139	302	167	469	28	192	23	14	222	28	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
TOT	19	ROK	MIL	—	103	89	17	3	0	1	11	24	3	1	0	191	301	258	559	67	250	23	11	259	57	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIL	43%	192	170	40	7	1	3	17	44	3	3	1	235	316	341	657	106	295	23	9	293	83	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	21	MLB	MIL	61%	326	290	69	12	2	6	29	75	4	6	2	238	316	355	671	117	295	23	9	299	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	425	378	90	16	2	8	38	96	6	8	2	238	318	354	672	116	296	23	9	303	90	-5	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.6
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	490	436	104	18	3	9	44	110	7	10	3	239	318	356	674	117	297	22	9	306	92	-4	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	520	461	111	19	3	10	47	117	7	10	3	241	320	360	680	119	298	22	9	307	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	520	461	111	19	3	10	47	116	7	10	3	241	320	360	680	119	298	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	520	461	111	19	3	10	47	116	7	10	3	241	320	360	680	119	297	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	520	460	111	19	3	10	48	117	7	10	3	241	322	361	683	120	297	22	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	520	460	110	19	3	10	48	117	7	10	3	239	320	359	679	120	297	22	9	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.1
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	520	460	109	19	2	10	48	118	7	10	3	237	318	352	671	115	296	23	9	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	520	460	109	19	2	10	48	120	7	10	3	237	318	352	671	115	295	23	9	303	90	-6	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.7
2038	31	MLB	MIL	71%	504	445	104	18	2	9	47	118	7	9	3	234	317	344	660	110	293	23	9	299	87	-8	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.4
2039	32	MLB	MIL	68%	489	435	99	17	2	8	45	116	6	8	2	228	309	331	640	103	290	24	9	293	83	-10	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.1
2040	33	MLB	MIL	73%	450	400	89	14	2	7	41	109	6	7	2	223	304	320	624	98	287	24	9	287	78	-11	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.6
2041	34	MLB	MIL	68%	393	349	77	12	2	6	36	98	5	6	2	221	303	318	621	97	281	25	9	279	71	-13	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.1
2042	35	MLB	MIL	64%	334	297	61	9	1	4	30	86	4	5	1	205	287	283	570	77	276	26	9	269	64	-13	+1	-6	+6	+9	-0.3
2027	20	MLB	MIL	43%	83	75	16	3	0	1	7	19	1	1	0	213	289	293	582	80	292	23	8	282	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	21	MLB	MIL	61%	198	175	41	7	1	3	18	45	3	4	1	234	316	337	653	103	293	23	9	287	78	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2029	22	MLB	MIL	68%	290	258	62	11	2	5	26	66	4	6	2	240	319	357	676	116	294	23	9	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2030	23	MLB	MIL	71%	348	309	74	13	2	7	31	78	5	7	2	239	319	362	681	123	294	22	9	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.0
2031	24	MLB	MIL	71%	369	328	79	14	2	7	33	83	5	7	2	241	320	360	679	119	295	22	9	295	84	-7	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.1
2032	25	MLB	MIL	71%	369	328	79	14	2	7	33	83	5	7	2	241	320	360	679	119	295	22	9	296	84	-7	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.1
2033	26	MLB	MIL	71%	369	328	79	14	2	7	33	83	5	7	2	241	320	360	679	119	295	22	9	296	84	-6	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.1
2034	27	MLB	MIL	69%	361	320	76	13	2	7	33	81	5	7	2	237	318	356	675	119	295	22	9	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.1
2035	28	MLB	MIL	69%	358	317	76	13	2	7	33	81	5	7	2	240	321	360	681	120	295	23	9	295	84	-7	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.0
2036	29	MLB	MIL	67%	348	308	73	12	2	7	32	79	5	7	2	237	319	357	676	120	294	23	9	293	82	-7	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.9
2037	30	MLB	MIL	66%	342	302	71	12	2	6	32	79	5	6	2	235	319	348	666	113	293	23	9	291	81	-8	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.7
2038	31	MLB	MIL	71%	357	316	73	12	2	6	33	83	5	6	2	231	314	339	652	108	291	23	9	287	78	-9	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.6
2039	32	MLB	MIL	68%	333	295	67	11	1	6	31	79	4	6	2	227	309	332	641	105	288	24	9	282	74	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2040	33	MLB	MIL	73%	326	289	63	10	1	5	30	79	4	5	2	218	300	311	612	93	284	24	9	275	69	-11	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.1
2041	34	MLB	MIL	68%	267	238	51	8	1	4	24	66	3	4	1	214	294	307	601	92	279	25	9	268	63	-11	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.2
2042	35	MLB	MIL	64%	212	188	40	6	1	3	19	54	3	3	1	213	295	303	598	90	274	25	9	259	56	-11	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4930	4375	1020	173	25	88	448	1138	67	90	27	233	314	344	658	111	294	23	9	288	79	-120	+7	-17	+88	+140	10.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	135	23	3	12	59	150	9	12	4	234	315	347	661	113	294	23	9	288	79	-16	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	7523	6667	1560	265	36	133	686	1723	100	139	41	234	315	344	659	110	294	23	9	299	87	-110	+11	-25	+134	+213	22.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	134	23	3	11	59	149	9	12	4	233	314	340	654	108	293	23	9	299	87	-10	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	97	79	23	3	0	1	16	11	1	5	2	291	417	367	784	76	324	11	16	361	134	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	123	99	31	7	0	1	17	15	1	1	0	313	419	414	833	101	337	12	14	362	135	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Brian Schneiderlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA	12	3,522	66	4	246	319	367	+54	+84	21.4	20.8
	/162	664	12	1	246	319	367	+10.3	+15.8	4.0	pk7: 20
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,034	91	93	236	312	348	+82	+48	16.4	13.3
	/162	664	12	12	236	312	348	+10.9	+6.3	2.2	pk7: 10
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yoneiker Lugo (OGILVIE)	19	62→67	34→39	47→52	59	191/301/258	67	250	1	1	23%	11%	57	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	51	257/326/355	98	290	6	10	14%	7%	95	+1.4	225/291/314	89	282	7	8	22%	6%	70	-0.3	207/265/333	126	274	15	8	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	48→57	41→40	48→50	47	230/294/335	105	278	8	6	20%	7%	77	+0.1	200/257/274	74	263	4	4	24%	6%	45	-2.1	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Chance Sisco 2014 · A	19	53→63	38→50	47→40	46	245/315/324	79	338	5	6	27%	8%	82	+0.5	267/319/358	91	347	6	4	23%	6%	92	+1.2	277/330/370	92	357	6	3	22%	6%	97	+1.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	52	250/330/338	87	313	5	15	20%	9%	92	+1.2	245/315/330	85	282	6	20	14%	7%	84	+0.6	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	49→55	48	241/309/334	92	287	6	11	18%	7%	82	+0.5	233/291/345	112	300	8	23	24%	5%	78	+0.2	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
✕Ronald Torreyes 2012 · A	19	60→57	40→45	50	46	287/326/386	99	307	5	14	9%	4%	102	+1.8	248/292/332	84	268	4	10	9%	4%	73	-0.1	261/296/343	82	292	4	5	12%	4%	75	+0.0
✕Alexi Amarista 2008 · A	19	51→60	41→45	51→55	47	246/294/352	105	276	8	13	14%	6%	80	+0.4	260/308/359	99	300	5	18	14%	6%	87	+0.8	271/315/373	103	310	5	21	14%	5%	91	+0.8
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→55	35→50	51→50	47	234/301/289	55	301	2	9	22%	7%	68	-0.5	226/281/312	86	291	6	12	23%	6%	65	-0.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6