Ilan Fernandez — OGILVIE

Ilan FernandezSS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION245 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .250

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	279	394	367	762	88	315	13	10	345	120	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	234	336	315	651	81	294	21	12	299	88	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	154	33	3	2	1	11	33	10	10	1	214	309	279	588	65	240	18	6	255	59	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	117	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	154	227	214	440	60	218	31	7	203	24	-12	+2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	154	33	3	2	1	11	33	10	10	1	214	309	279	588	65	258	18	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	279	394	367	762	88	315	13	10	345	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	117	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	154	227	214	440	60	218	31	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	234	336	315	651	81	294	21	12	299	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	156	33	3	2	1	11	33	10	10	1	212	309	276	584	64	240	18	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	118	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	153	227	212	438	59	218	31	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	156	33	3	2	1	11	33	10	10	1	212	309	276	584	64	240	18	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	130	118	18	2	1	1	9	40	2	13	2	153	227	212	438	59	218	31	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	BOS	—	245	213	38	13	0	3	22	84	7	7	4	178	277	282	559	103	271	34	9	257	60	-12	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	BOS	—	245	200	47	17	0	4	35	59	7	7	4	235	368	380	748	145	307	24	14	340	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	BOS	0%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	278	27	9	268	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	BOS	—	267	233	42	14	0	3	24	90	7	8	4	180	277	279	555	99	273	34	9	258	61	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	294	261	55	13	1	5	25	83	6	6	2	211	295	326	620	115	281	28	9	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	404	359	78	18	2	8	34	110	8	9	3	217	299	345	645	128	282	27	8	289	82	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	479	426	92	21	2	10	41	128	9	11	4	216	298	345	643	129	284	27	9	295	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	527	466	103	23	2	12	46	139	10	12	4	221	305	356	661	135	285	26	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	557	493	109	24	2	13	48	146	11	13	5	221	304	357	661	136	285	26	9	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	574	508	113	25	2	14	50	150	11	13	5	222	306	362	668	140	285	26	9	301	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	581	514	115	26	2	14	51	152	11	14	5	224	307	364	671	140	285	26	9	302	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	582	514	114	25	2	14	52	153	11	14	5	222	307	360	667	138	285	26	9	302	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	577	509	113	25	2	14	52	152	11	13	5	222	308	361	669	139	285	26	9	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+6	+13	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	567	500	110	25	2	13	51	151	11	12	4	220	306	356	662	136	284	27	9	299	89	-8	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	557	491	108	24	2	13	50	149	11	12	4	220	306	356	663	136	283	27	9	297	87	-9	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.8
2038	31	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	542	478	103	23	2	12	49	147	10	11	4	215	302	347	649	132	281	27	9	293	84	-10	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.5
2039	32	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	524	462	98	22	2	11	47	144	10	10	4	212	299	340	638	128	278	27	9	288	81	-12	+0	-4	+6	+11	0.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	494	438	90	19	2	10	44	139	9	9	3	205	291	326	618	121	274	28	9	281	76	-14	+1	-4	+5	+11	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	101	90	19	5	0	2	8	28	2	2	1	211	290	333	623	122	287	28	8	269	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	196	173	38	9	1	4	17	53	4	4	2	220	304	353	657	133	289	27	9	278	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	260	231	52	12	1	6	22	69	5	6	2	225	306	364	670	139	290	27	8	283	85	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	298	264	60	14	1	7	26	79	6	7	2	227	311	367	678	140	291	27	9	287	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	315	279	63	15	1	7	27	83	6	7	3	226	308	362	670	136	292	26	9	289	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	324	287	65	15	1	8	28	85	6	8	3	226	308	369	678	143	292	26	9	290	90	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	328	290	66	15	1	8	29	86	6	8	3	228	311	369	680	141	291	26	9	290	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	323	285	65	15	1	8	29	85	6	8	3	228	312	372	684	144	291	26	9	291	90	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	317	279	63	15	1	7	29	84	6	7	3	226	312	362	674	136	291	26	9	290	90	-4	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	303	267	60	14	1	7	27	81	6	7	2	225	310	363	673	139	290	27	9	288	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	293	258	57	13	1	6	27	79	6	6	2	221	309	349	658	128	289	27	9	286	87	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	283	250	55	13	1	6	26	77	5	6	2	220	306	352	658	132	287	27	9	282	84	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	294	259	56	13	1	6	27	81	6	6	2	216	305	344	648	127	284	28	9	277	81	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	291	258	54	12	1	6	26	82	5	5	2	209	294	333	627	124	280	28	9	270	76	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3926	3470	773	180	13	88	348	1052	75	87	32	223	307	358	665	135	291	27	9	285	84	-64	+5	-8	+42	+85	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	128	30	2	15	58	174	12	14	5	223	307	360	667	137	290	27	9	285	84	-11	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7590	6710	1456	319	30	165	662	2022	151	183	60	217	302	347	649	130	283	27	9	293	84	-120	+9	-15	+78	+158	11.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	125	27	3	14	57	173	13	16	5	217	303	348	651	130	283	27	9	293	84	-11	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.2	4,088	91	89	219	300	352	+44	+24	9.1	7.7
/162	664	15	14	+7.1	+3.9	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ilan Fernandez (OGILVIE)	19	38→43	34→39	53→58	53	198/280/299	101	278	2	4	29%	8%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	69	-0.9	238/288/366	128	310	12	12	26%	6%	84	+0.1	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→48	42→45	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/281/338	118	321	11	16	33%	7%	75	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	216/279/314	98	304	7	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	204/259/293	89	287	6	10	29%	6%	56	-1.9	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/266/306	90	282	7	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	63	-1.3	236/282/327	91	298	8	17	23%	5%	72	-0.7	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	216/278/319	103	302	7	11	30%	7%	70	-0.9	198/267/295	97	299	7	13	33%	8%	60	-1.6	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	74	-0.5	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	55	-2.0	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	75	-0.5	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	57	-1.8	197/271/252	55	275	4	9	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps