Ilan Fernandez — OGILVIE

Ilan FernandezSS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .287 / .321

PA136

HR2

K%29

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$39M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	153	32	2	2	1	12	33	10	10	1	209	309	268	577	59	252	18	7	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	279	394	367	762	88	315	13	10	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	130	117	18	2	1	1	9	42	2	13	2	154	227	214	440	60	224	32	7	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	234	336	315	651	81	294	21	12	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	BOS	—	205	177	31	11	0	3	19	68	6	7	4	175	277	288	565	113	257	33	9	250	50	-12	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
YTD	19	A	BOS	—	205	166	37	14	0	3	30	48	6	7	4	223	361	361	723	139	288	23	15	330	111	+2	-0	+0	+2	+6	1.1
ROS	19	A	BOS	0%	136	121	25	6	1	2	11	39	3	3	1	205	287	321	608	115	274	29	8	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	259	56	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	BOS	—	205	178	31	11	0	3	19	68	6	7	4	174	277	287	564	112	255	33	9	250	50	-12	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
TOT	19	A	BOS	—	341	298	56	17	1	5	30	107	9	10	5	188	281	301	583	114	267	31	9	257	55	-17	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	330	293	61	14	1	6	28	91	6	7	3	208	291	324	615	116	276	28	8	278	71	-11	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2028	21	MLB	BOS	48%	432	384	82	18	2	9	37	115	8	10	3	214	296	341	637	128	278	27	9	287	78	-11	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.7
2029	22	MLB	BOS	54%	499	444	96	21	2	11	43	131	9	11	4	216	298	347	645	131	280	26	9	292	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2030	23	MLB	BOS	57%	540	478	105	23	2	12	47	140	10	12	4	220	303	351	654	132	281	26	9	296	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2031	24	MLB	BOS	57%	566	501	111	24	3	13	49	146	11	13	5	222	305	359	664	138	282	26	9	298	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2032	25	MLB	BOS	57%	579	512	114	25	3	13	51	149	11	14	5	223	307	359	666	137	282	26	9	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2033	26	MLB	BOS	56%	585	518	115	25	3	14	51	150	11	14	5	222	305	363	668	141	282	26	9	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.5
2034	27	MLB	BOS	55%	584	516	115	25	3	14	52	151	11	14	5	223	307	364	672	141	281	26	9	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.5
2035	28	MLB	BOS	55%	579	511	111	24	2	13	52	150	11	13	5	217	303	348	651	131	281	26	9	298	86	-9	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.4
2036	29	MLB	BOS	53%	568	501	110	24	2	13	51	148	11	13	4	220	306	353	659	134	280	26	9	297	85	-10	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.3
2037	30	MLB	BOS	53%	557	492	106	23	2	12	50	147	10	12	4	215	301	343	644	128	279	26	9	294	83	-11	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.0
2038	31	MLB	BOS	52%	543	479	103	22	2	12	49	145	10	11	4	215	301	344	646	129	277	27	9	290	80	-12	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.7
2039	32	MLB	BOS	56%	524	462	98	21	2	11	47	142	10	10	4	212	299	338	636	126	274	27	9	285	76	-14	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.3
2040	33	MLB	BOS	59%	495	439	89	19	2	9	44	137	9	9	3	203	289	317	605	114	270	28	9	278	71	-16	+1	-4	+5	+14	-0.0
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	113	101	21	5	0	2	9	31	2	2	1	208	286	317	603	109	283	27	8	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	BOS	48%	209	185	40	9	1	4	18	56	4	5	2	216	300	341	640	124	285	27	9	277	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2029	22	MLB	BOS	54%	271	241	53	12	1	6	23	71	5	6	2	220	301	353	654	133	287	26	8	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2030	23	MLB	BOS	57%	306	271	61	14	1	7	26	79	6	7	2	225	307	362	669	137	288	26	8	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2031	24	MLB	BOS	57%	320	283	63	14	1	7	28	83	6	7	3	223	306	353	659	131	288	26	9	288	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2032	25	MLB	BOS	57%	327	289	66	15	1	8	29	84	6	8	3	228	312	370	682	142	288	26	9	289	80	-7	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2033	26	MLB	BOS	56%	330	292	66	15	1	8	29	85	6	8	3	226	309	366	675	140	288	26	9	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2034	27	MLB	BOS	55%	324	286	65	15	1	8	29	84	6	8	3	227	312	371	682	143	288	26	9	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2035	28	MLB	BOS	55%	318	280	62	14	1	7	29	82	6	7	3	221	308	354	662	132	288	26	9	289	79	-7	+0	-0	+3	+9	0.5
2036	29	MLB	BOS	53%	304	268	60	14	1	7	27	79	6	7	2	224	309	362	671	138	287	26	9	287	78	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	BOS	53%	293	260	57	13	1	6	26	77	5	6	2	219	302	346	649	127	286	26	9	285	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2038	31	MLB	BOS	52%	283	250	54	12	1	6	26	76	5	6	2	216	302	344	646	128	284	27	9	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2039	32	MLB	BOS	56%	294	261	55	12	1	6	26	80	5	6	2	211	295	333	628	123	281	27	9	276	69	-10	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.0
2040	33	MLB	BOS	59%	292	259	55	12	1	6	26	81	5	5	2	212	297	336	632	124	276	28	9	269	64	-12	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3984	3527	778	176	13	88	351	1048	73	88	32	221	304	353	657	132	286	26	9	284	76	-110	+5	-8	+43	+113	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	127	29	2	14	57	171	12	14	5	221	304	351	655	130	288	26	9	284	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	7826	6921	1491	318	35	166	683	2056	153	189	62	215	300	343	643	128	279	26	9	290	80	-175	+13	-15	+84	+222	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	124	26	3	14	57	171	13	16	5	216	301	344	646	129	279	26	9	290	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	279	394	367	762	88	315	13	10	345	123	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	234	336	315	651	81	294	21	12	299	87	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,167	89	92	217	298	347	+45	+24	7.8	6.7
	/162	664	14	15	217	298	347	+7.1	+3.8	1.2	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ilan Fernandez (OGILVIE)	19	39→44	34→39	53→58	54	188/281/301	114	267	5	10	31%	9%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→55	40→45	53→50	44	216/279/314	98	304	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	199/257/288	89	280	6	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	43→45	54→50	43	215/277/331	116	278	9	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	210/261/303	93	295	7	10	30%	5%	54	-1.4	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	216/278/319	103	302	7	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	198/267/295	97	299	7	13	33%	8%	55	-1.4	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.2	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	52	-1.6	196/269/254	58	272	5	9	27%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Cristian Inoa 2018 · A	19	44→43	39→45	51→45	46	211/281/297	86	269	5	12	23%	7%	61	-1.0	208/280/291	83	281	4	8	25%	8%	59	-1.1	222/273/340	119	270	12	5	22%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8