Ilan Fernandez — OGILVIE

Ilan FernandezSS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.5 · 2033

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .291 / .334

PA126

HR2

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

46↗51

PWR

32↗37

SPD

56↗61

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.0	$28M	+$27M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$35M	+$28M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$35M	+$24M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+3.1	$33M	+$18M
Totals		$37M		$198M	+$161M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	179	153	33	3	2	1	12	33	10	10	1	.216	.314	.281	.595	.065	.260	18	7	.255	53	-9	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	130	117	18	2	1	1	9	42	2	13	2	.154	.227	.214	.440	.060	.224	32	7	.201	12	-13	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Salem RidgeYaks	39	31	4	1	0	1	4	11	2	0	0	.129	.270	.258	.528	.129	.143	28	10	.232	36	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	87	79	17	3	1	2	7	23	1	2	0	.215	.287	.354	.642	.139	.278	26	8	.281	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	19	MLB	BOS	126	110	21	4	1	3	11	34	3	2	0	.191	.282	.327	.610	.136	.240	27	9	.266	62	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	BOS	228	200	45	8	1	5	22	52	4	5	1	.225	.314	.350	.664	.125	.278	23	10	.305	91	-2	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2028	21	MLB 28%	BOS	354	310	72	13	2	9	35	79	6	9	2	.232	.322	.374	.696	.142	.280	22	10	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.4
2029	22	MLB 48%	BOS	443	387	92	17	3	12	45	97	8	12	3	.238	.330	.390	.720	.152	.281	22	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.1
2030	23	MLB 65%	BOS	503	436	105	19	3	15	53	107	9	13	3	.241	.335	.401	.737	.161	.281	21	11	.326	108	+5	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.6
2031	24	MLB 82%	BOS	541	469	112	20	3	16	58	114	9	14	3	.239	.334	.397	.731	.158	.282	21	11	.331	111	+7	+2	+0	+6	+15	3.0
2032	25	MLB	BOS	563	486	117	21	3	17	62	118	10	15	3	.241	.339	.401	.740	.160	.282	21	11	.334	114	+9	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.3
2033	26	MLB	BOS	575	496	121	22	3	18	64	120	10	15	3	.244	.342	.409	.751	.165	.283	21	11	.335	115	+10	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.5
2034	27	MLB	BOS	577	497	121	22	3	18	65	121	10	15	3	.243	.343	.408	.751	.165	.283	21	11	.335	115	+10	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.5
2035	28	MLB	BOS	574	494	119	21	3	18	65	121	10	14	2	.241	.341	.405	.746	.164	.282	21	11	.334	114	+9	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.4
2036	29	MLB	BOS	565	486	116	21	3	17	64	121	10	13	2	.239	.339	.399	.738	.160	.281	21	11	.332	112	+8	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.1
2037	30	MLB	BOS	555	478	114	20	3	17	63	121	9	13	1	.238	.338	.400	.738	.161	.280	22	11	.329	110	+6	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.9
2038	31	MLB	BOS	542	466	109	19	3	16	62	120	9	11	1	.234	.335	.391	.726	.157	.279	22	11	.325	107	+4	+2	-3	+6	+15	2.5
2039	32	MLB	BOS	524	451	104	18	3	15	59	119	9	11	0	.231	.331	.384	.715	.153	.277	23	11	.321	104	+2	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.2
2040	33	MLB	BOS	494	427	96	17	2	13	56	116	8	10	0	.225	.326	.365	.691	.141	.276	23	11	.315	99	-0	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2041	34	MLB	BOS	447	387	85	15	2	11	50	108	7	9	0	.220	.320	.354	.674	.134	.274	24	11	.309	94	-3	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.2
2042	35	MLB	BOS	393	340	72	12	2	9	44	99	6	8	0	.212	.313	.338	.651	.126	.272	25	11	.301	89	-5	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.6
2043	36	MLB	BOS	333	288	60	10	2	7	37	88	5	7	0	.208	.309	.330	.639	.122	.269	26	11	.292	82	-7	+1	-6	+4	+9	0.1
2044	37	MLB	BOS	269	234	47	8	1	5	29	73	4	6	0	.201	.300	.308	.607	.107	.265	27	11	.283	74	-8	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	BOS	200	174	34	5	1	4	21	56	3	4	0	.195	.293	.305	.598	.109	.260	28	10	.272	66	-8	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9076	7855	1809	316	50	246	982	2048	159	229	30	.230	.328	.377	.705	.147	.279	23	11	.318	101	+13	+34	-46	+97	+257	36.2
/ 162G	—			650	563	131	23	4	18	70	147	11	16	2	.233	.329	.384	.713	.151	.281	23	11	.318	101	+1	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	179	147	41	4	3	1	18	23	10	10	1	.279	.394	.367	.762	.088	.315	13	10	.345	123	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	130	111	26	4	1	1	15	27	2	13	2	.234	.336	.315	.651	.081	.294	21	12	.299	87	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ilan Fernandez (OGILVIE)	19	46→51	32→37	56→61	50	.219/.291/.334	.115	.289	2	3	27%	8%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	47	39→45	51→50	42	.223/.278/.315	.092	.300	5	13	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.211/.257/.296	.085	.311	4	11	32%	5%	50	-1.8	.178/.220/.246	.068	.283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	42→50	51→50	44	.214/.271/.330	.115	.275	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	.235/.285/.365	.130	.305	13	12	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→48	44→40	54→45	40	.212/.276/.331	.119	.313	11	14	34%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.273/.310	.090	.313	8	10	30%	6%	60	-1.0	.223/.267/.300	.077	.281	8	7	23%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	51	39→45	54→50	50	.241/.308/.340	.098	.273	5	11	13%	6%	83	+0.6	.247/.317/.339	.092	.288	6	9	15%	7%	88	+0.9	.229/.296/.343	.114	.285	12	10	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	.233/.310/.344	.110	.300	9	12	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.286/.295	.072	.303	4	10	26%	6%	63	-0.9	.219/.279/.260	.041	.287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	56→70	38	.227/.269/.356	.129	.308	8	18	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.204/.253/.311	.107	.309	9	27	35%	5%	53	-1.5	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	.227/.287/.331	.103	.273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.306/.353	.124	.285	12	10	22%	9%	86	+0.8	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	47→45	51→55	43	.223/.287/.361	.138	.312	14	9	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.213/.318/.341	.128	.297	12	16	29%	11%	89	+1.0	.203/.315/.324	.121	.277	12	21	28%	12%	81	+0.4
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)