Yander Maria

P ACL Cubs

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	12	12	32	3.98	4.05	25.4%	17.9%	—	K 17.3% · BB 22.4% · FIP 5.74
2026	19	ROKCHC	12	6	26	12.30	7.24	20.9%	20.9%	—	K 14.2% · BB 26.2% · FIP 8.33
2027PROJ	20	MLBCHC	3	3	16	6.04	6.04	19.9%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBCHC	2	2	12	5.66	5.53	20.8%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsChris Viall (age 20) · Wilian Bormie (age 22) · Keegan Zinn (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.04

FIP6.04

K%19.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.2%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	12	32	134	34	24	2	100%	2.6	17.3%	22.4%	-5.1%	2.3%	3.98	5.74	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	12	32	134	34	24	2	100%	2.6	17.3%	22.4%	-5.1%	2.3%	3.98	5.74	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	12	12	32	134	34	24	2	100%	2.6	25.4%	17.9%	7.5%	1.5%	3.98	4.05	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	12	6	26	148	31	31	6	50%	2.2	14.2%	26.2%	-11.9%	5.7%	12.30	8.33	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	12	6	26	148	31	31	6	50%	2.2	14.2%	26.2%	-11.9%	5.7%	12.30	8.33	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	12	6	26	148	31	31	6	50%	2.2	20.9%	20.9%	0.0%	4.1%	12.30	7.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	CHC	3	3	16	68	13	14	2	100%	5.3	19.9%	20.0%	-0.2%	3.1%	6.04	6.04	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	5	5	25	105	22	18	3	100%	5.0	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	3.0%	5.66	5.53	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	12	51	11	9	2	100%	6.0	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	3.0%	5.66	5.53	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	12	52	11	9	2	100%	4.1	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	3.0%	5.66	5.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	180	147	33	100%	4.8	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	3.0%	5.66	5.15	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		24	18	58	282	44	69	11	75%	2.4	15.7%	24.4%	-8.7%	4.1%	7.76	7.10	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	62	200	972	152	237	40	75%	2.4	15.7%	24.4%	-8.7%	4.1%	7.76	7.10	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yander Maria (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.04	19.9%	20.0%	3.1%	—	5.53	20.8%	3.9%	25	-0.51	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	93
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	84
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	84
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	83
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	83
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	83
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	82
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	81
Dylan Questad R 2024 · 6.95 FIP	19	SP-	6.95	17.6%	24.0%	4.2%	.392	6.50	17.3%	-5.3%	89	-0.45	6.31	117	80
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	80
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	80
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	79
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	78
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 4.89 FIP	18	SP-	4.89	16.2%	18.6%	1.4%	.312	5.29	12.2%	-5.4%	46	+0.40	3.40	126	78
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	78
Omar Victorino R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	19	SP-	5.88	19.5%	30.3%	1.1%	.302	5.30	13.2%	-5.7%	97	-0.58	5.26	182	77
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	77
Gunner Mayer R 2021 · 6.96 FIP	21	SP-	6.96	19.5%	20.8%	5.2%	.400	5.07	20.7%	4.0%	179	-1.89	4.32	288	77
Jesus Tillero R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	18	SP-	5.94	13.3%	18.0%	3.1%	.274	5.23	14.8%	3.8%	129	-0.71	2.26	180	77