Eliezer Orbe — OGILVIE

Eliezer Orbe P DSL Mariners

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%22.1%

BB%15.9%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	3	1	2	13	2	7	0	33%	0.6	15.4%	53.8%	-38.5%	0.0%	32.40	8.62	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	3	1	2	13	2	7	0	33%	0.6	15.4%	53.8%	-38.5%	0.0%	32.40	8.62	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	3	1	2	13	2	7	0	33%	0.6	15.4%	53.8%	-38.5%	0.0%	32.40	13.30	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	9	0	10	54	8	12	2	0%	1.1	10.1%	27.8%	-17.7%	5.5%	6.97	8.81	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	9	0	10	54	8	12	2	0%	1.1	10.1%	27.8%	-17.7%	5.5%	6.97	8.81	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	9	0	10	54	8	12	2	0%	1.1	14.8%	22.2%	-7.4%	3.7%	6.97	7.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SEA	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	15.9%	6.2%	3.0%	5.29	5.29	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	20	12	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	13.6%	9.5%	3.0%	5.00	4.88	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SEA	10	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	13.6%	9.5%	3.0%	5.00	4.88	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.1	23.1%	13.6%	9.5%	3.0%	5.00	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	122	20	0%	1.1	23.1%	13.6%	9.5%	3.0%	5.00	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		12	1	12	67	7	22	3	8%	1.0	11.1%	32.8%	-21.7%	4.5%	10.50	8.77	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		200	17	200	1117	124	367	50	8%	1.0	11.1%	32.8%	-21.7%	4.5%	10.50	8.77	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eliezer Orbe (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	22.1%	15.9%	3.0%	—	4.88	23.1%	9.5%	20	-0.41	—	—	—
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	85
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	85
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	81
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	81
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	80
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	80
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	80
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	79
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	79
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	79
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	79
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	78
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	78
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	78
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	77
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	77