Angel Herrera

P DSL Pirates Black

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 168 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates B…	7	5	17	1.56	3.97	21.1%	21.1%	—	K 14.4% · BB 26.4% · FIP 5.23
2026	19	ROKDSL Pirates B…	11	9	41	2.85	3.49	16.0%	11.2%	—	K 10.9% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.42
2027PROJ	20	MLBPIT	3	3	19	5.43	5.43	17.8%	14.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPIT	3	3	19	5.16	5.05	19.2%	13.0%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJharold Clemente (age 20) · Luis Hernandez (age 21) · Moises Castillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%17.8%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%3.0%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	9	9	22	97	16	11	1	100%	2.4	11.2%	14.2%	-3.0%	1.4%	4.98	4.74	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	9	9	22	97	16	11	1	100%	2.4	11.2%	14.2%	-3.0%	1.4%	4.98	4.74	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	9	9	22	97	16	11	1	100%	2.4	16.5%	11.3%	5.2%	1.0%	4.98	3.75	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	7	5	17	71	15	15	0	71%	2.5	14.4%	26.4%	-12.0%	0.0%	1.56	5.23	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	7	5	17	71	15	15	0	71%	2.5	14.4%	26.4%	-12.0%	0.0%	1.56	5.23	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	7	5	17	71	15	15	0	71%	2.5	21.1%	21.1%	0.0%	0.0%	1.56	3.97	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	11	9	41	169	27	19	1	82%	3.7	10.9%	14.1%	-3.2%	0.8%	2.85	4.42	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	11	9	41	169	27	19	1	82%	3.7	10.9%	14.1%	-3.2%	0.8%	2.85	4.42	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	11	9	41	169	27	19	1	82%	3.7	16.0%	11.2%	4.7%	0.6%	2.85	3.49	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PIT	3	3	19	80	14	12	2	100%	6.3	17.8%	14.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.43	5.43	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	39	163	31	21	5	100%	5.5	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	2.8%	5.16	5.05	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	3	3	19	80	15	10	2	100%	6.3	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	2.8%	5.16	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	80	15	10	2	100%	4.8	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	2.8%	5.16	4.67	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	158	105	21	100%	4.8	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	2.8%	5.16	4.67	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		27	23	80	337	39	56	3	85%	3.0	11.7%	16.7%	-5.0%	0.8%	3.15	4.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	58	200	842	99	141	7	85%	3.0	11.7%	16.7%	-5.0%	0.8%	3.15	4.68	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	17.8%	14.8%	2.9%	—	5.05	19.2%	6.2%	39	-0.38	—	—	—
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	92
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	86
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	86
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	85
Jose Disla R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	20	SP	5.52	15.8%	13.4%	3.8%	.296	4.49	19.7%	8.8%	70	-1.03	3.61	139	85
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	84
Gio Arriera R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	19	SP	5.41	15.1%	13.9%	3.3%	.333	4.34	15.5%	2.0%	79	-1.07	4.34	185	83
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	83
Ben Hernandez R 2021 · 4.36 FIP	20	SP	4.36	16.5%	14.4%	1.5%	.337	4.59	12.4%	-0.3%	186	+0.23	4.00	301	82
Cristian Aray R 2024 · 4.99 FIP	17	SP-	4.99	14.8%	11.8%	3.0%	.272	4.48	13.0%	-2.3%	72	-0.51	4.44	104	82
Yovanny Cabrera R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP	5.18	14.5%	13.7%	2.9%	.238	5.21	18.5%	1.6%	149	+0.03	4.39	243	82
Ulices Campos R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	20	SP-	4.58	17.9%	11.5%	2.8%	.253	5.32	12.0%	1.0%	65	+0.74	4.11	153	82
Victor Mederos R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	21	SP	4.69	15.6%	14.0%	2.1%	.286	5.19	16.4%	5.7%	301	+0.50	3.73	394	82
Darlin Saladin R 2023 · 4.98 FIP	20	SP	4.98	16.2%	13.3%	2.8%	.280	3.79	19.3%	8.0%	274	-1.19	2.91	407	82
Alexander Almonte R 2024 · 5.69 FIP	17	SP	5.69	16.2%	13.8%	4.0%	.250	4.82	12.6%	-2.8%	75	-0.87	4.27	100	81
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.93	25.8%	12.5%	199	-0.41	3.66	273	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Luis Ghisays R 2024 · 5.74 FIP	18	SP	5.74	13.8%	15.0%	3.5%	.291	5.08	16.2%	5.4%	75	-0.66	4.58	110	81
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	80
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	18.8%	13.6%	1.10	5.25
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
David Purcey ('13)	1.0	41	18.8%	12.8%	0.96	4.98