Ben Hernandez
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144135vR 126
ERA5.57
FIP5.57
K%13.1%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%-1.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 35 | 155 | 33 | 17 | 2 | 100% | 2.9 | 16.5% | 14.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 4.33 | 4.23 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 35 | 155 | 33 | 17 | 2 | 100% | 2.9 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 4.33 | 3.41 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 23 | 23 | 77 | 350 | 71 | 40 | 7 | 100% | 3.3 | 15.0% | 13.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 5.38 | 4.66 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 23 | 23 | 77 | 350 | 71 | 40 | 7 | 100% | 3.3 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 5.38 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 58 | 273 | 36 | 32 | 3 | 71% | 4.1 | 9.5% | 14.1% | -4.5% | 1.3% | 4.99 | 4.80 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 58 | 273 | 36 | 32 | 3 | 71% | 4.1 | 13.2% | 11.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 4.99 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 11.9% | 10.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.83 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 3.83 | 3.35 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 37 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 49 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.5% | 13.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 3.46 | 4.05 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 37 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 49 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 3.46 | 3.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 10 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.0% | 14.6% | -0.6% | 2.3% | 1.26 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 39 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 14.2% | -1.1% | 2.5% | 5.57 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.1% | 14.2% | -1.1% | 2.5% | 5.57 | 5.57 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 84 | 351 | 49 | 49 | 9 | — | — | 13.9% | 14.0% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 4.84 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.1% | 14.2% | -1.1% | 2.5% | 5.57 | 5.19 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 44 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.39 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 46 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.32 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 45 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.39 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.32 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 82 | 70 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 4.97 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 132 | 113 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 4.97 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 45 | 291 | 1299 | 176 | 172 | 19 | 37% | 2.4 | 13.5% | 13.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.33 | 4.43 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 31 | 200 | 894 | 121 | 118 | 13 | 37% | 2.4 | 13.5% | 13.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.33 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.57 | 13.1% | 14.2% | 2.5% | — | 5.34 | 15.5% | 2.0% | 206 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 83 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 82 |
| Kender Villegas R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 81 |
| James Pugliese R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 79 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 79 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 79 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Dillon McNamara R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .229 | 2.98 | 21.2% | 12.3% | 69 | -2.39 | 1.73 | 244 | 78 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 78 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 78 |
| Zach Nuding R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 78 |
| Blake McKnight R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 9.5% | 0.1% | 39 | +0.16 | 3.25 | 225 | 78 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 78 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 77 |
| Kyle Miller R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 77 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 77 |
| Reece Karalus R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 77 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 76 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 14.9% | 13.7% | 1.02 | 5.40 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |