Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 47 | 210 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 85% | 3.6 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 3.47 | 3.69 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 47 | 210 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 85% | 3.6 | 17.6% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 3.47 | 2.97 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 17 | 103 | 484 | 81 | 56 | 10 | 68% | 4.1 | 12.9% | 13.3% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 5.94 | 4.77 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 17 | 103 | 484 | 81 | 56 | 10 | 68% | 4.1 | 16.7% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 5.94 | 4.42 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 27 | 6 | 58 | 253 | 36 | 24 | 3 | 22% | 2.1 | 11.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 3.59 | 3.88 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 27 | 6 | 58 | 253 | 36 | 24 | 3 | 22% | 2.1 | 14.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 3.59 | 3.78 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 3 | 46 | 220 | 39 | 25 | 3 | 17% | 2.6 | 14.0% | 13.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 4.70 | 4.83 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 3 | 46 | 220 | 39 | 25 | 3 | 17% | 2.6 | 17.7% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 4.70 | 3.88 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 74 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 17.0% | -0.2% | 4.7% | 5.17 | 6.43 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 74 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.17 | 6.10 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 43 | 226 | 39 | 40 | 12 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.1% | 18.0% | -2.9% | 6.4% | 11.51 | 7.63 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 43 | 226 | 39 | 40 | 12 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.3% | 17.7% | -0.4% | 5.3% | 11.51 | 7.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.81 | 5.81 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.85 | 5.97 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.85 | 5.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.85 | 5.59 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.85 | 5.59 | -0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 37 | 312 | 1467 | 194 | 191 | 37 | 29% | 2.5 | 13.2% | 13.0% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 5.68 | 5.00 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 24 | 200 | 940 | 124 | 122 | 23 | 29% | 2.5 | 13.2% | 13.0% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 5.68 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Endrys Briceno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.81 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 4.0% | — | 5.97 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 73 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 70 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 70 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 69 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.22 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 269 | 69 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 68 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.83 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 170 | 68 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.10 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 290 | 68 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 203 | 67 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 65 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.79 | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .302 | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 21 | +1.21 | 4.68 | 150 | 65 |
| Austin Adams R 2024 · 6.16 FIP | 32 | SU | 6.16 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 162 | 65 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 64 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.60 | 17.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 605 | 64 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 64 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 63 |
| Matt Bush R 2024 · 4.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.74 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 2.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 249 | 62 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 62 |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.09 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 237 | 61 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2024 · 4.95 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.95 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 104 | 60 |