Endrys Briceno P Salt Lake Bees
Age 34 RHP 6'5" / 175 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.81
FIP5.81
K%19.2%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%5.4%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.28 (18 IP)-0.3WAR
-0.3-0.32627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201523MIX2 levels1311472103714285%3.612.7%7.7%5.0%1.2%3.473.69
201523MIX2 levels1311472103714285%3.617.6%6.7%11.0%1.0%3.472.97
201624A+Lakeland Flying Tigers251710348481561068%4.112.9%13.3%-0.4%2.0%5.944.77
201624A+Lakeland Flying Tigers251710348481561068%4.116.7%11.6%5.2%2.1%5.944.42
201725A+Lakeland Flying Tigers276582533624322%2.111.0%10.9%0.0%0.6%3.593.88
201725A+Lakeland Flying Tigers276582533624322%2.114.2%9.5%4.7%1.2%3.593.78
201826MIX2 levels183462203925317%2.614.0%13.2%0.7%2.2%4.704.83
201826MIX2 levels183462203925317%2.617.7%11.4%6.4%1.4%4.703.88
202331MIX2 levels1401674141230%1.116.8%17.0%-0.2%4.7%5.176.43
202331MIX2 levels1401674141230%1.118.9%16.2%2.7%4.1%5.176.10
202533MIX2 levels300432263940120%1.415.1%18.0%-2.9%6.4%11.517.63
202533MIX2 levels300432263940120%1.417.3%17.7%-0.4%5.3%11.517.70
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBLAA1801979151130%1.019.2%13.8%5.4%4.0%5.815.81-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBLAA1902084161240%1.119.0%13.9%5.1%4.3%5.855.97-0.3
202735MLBLAA10141100%1.019.0%13.9%5.1%4.3%5.855.97-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10151100%1.119.0%13.9%5.1%4.3%5.855.59-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418218200%1.119.0%13.9%5.1%4.3%5.855.59-0.4
Career1273731214671941913729%2.513.2%13.0%0.2%2.5%5.685.00+1.5
/ 200 IP81242009401241222329%2.513.2%13.0%0.2%2.5%5.685.00+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Endrys Briceno (OGILVIE) 5.81 19.2%13.8%4.0% 5.97 19.0%5.1%20 +0.16
Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 34 SW 4.65 13.5%9.6%2.7%.347 3.78 14.0%6.5%79 -0.87 3.32 119 73
Ivan Maldonado R 2027 · 4.91 FIP 35 SW 4.91 12.8%8.7%3.3%.269 5.68 6.4%-3.3%104 +0.77 4.91 172 70
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 70
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 34 SU 4.82 18.6%9.4%3.8%.232 2.22 187 69
Daniel Guerrero R 2026 · 5.22 FIP 34 SW 5.22 14.7%11.1%3.6%.353 4.49 269 69
Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 68
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP 34 SU 5.83 17.9%14.2%4.5%.299 3.37 170 68
George Kontos R 2026 · 5.10 FIP 34 SU 5.10 15.4%9.0%4.0%.356 3.56 290 68
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2024 · 4.68 FIP 32 SW 4.68 12.2%9.1%2.6%.420 4.02 203 67
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2025 · 5.46 FIP 33 SU 5.46 14.3%10.4%4.1%.341 3.09 148 65
Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.79 FIP 33 SU 4.79 15.0%10.2%3.0%.302 6.00 19.2%9.8%21 +1.21 4.68 150 65
Austin Adams R 2024 · 6.16 FIP 32 SU 6.16 20.8%10.6%6.3%.280 3.39 162 65
Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 18.0%9.6%4.4%.316 3.05 176 64
Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.60 FIP 34 SP- 5.60 17.5%8.6%5.3%.275 3.61 605 64
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 34 SU 4.67 17.4%9.9%3.2%.304 3.59 19.8%11.6%113 -1.08 2.78 326 64
Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 20.2%7.9%5.1%.289 3.03 120 63
Matt Bush R 2024 · 4.74 FIP 32 SU 4.74 17.6%13.0%2.7%.278 2.86 249 62
Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 62
Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 34 SU 5.09 15.7%15.9%2.4%.279 2.59 237 61
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2024 · 4.95 FIP 32 SP- 4.95 8.4%9.2%2.5%.348 4.68 104 60