Santiago Ustariz

C DSL CLE Goryl

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	108	.239/.380/.330	1	0	27	—	.140/.259/.183
2026	19	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	62	.182/.419/.273	0	0	44	—	.122/.306/.184
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPIT	172	.208/.284/.285	1	2	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	52	.213/.290/.300	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBPIT	139	.217/.294/.314	2	1	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%93

BB%92

Z-Con%74

wOBA56

wRC+50

Whiff%46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCarlos Rodriguez (age 20) · Darrien Miller (age 20) · Yasmil Bucce (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .282 / .282

PA62

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	108	22	2	1	1	15	22	4	2	0	204	323	269	591	65	244	17	12	281	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	88	21	3	1	1	16	25	4	0	0	239	380	330	709	91	323	23	15	335	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	62	44	8	2	1	0	15	14	3	0	0	182	419	273	692	91	267	23	24	345	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	112	15	1	1	0	11	27	4	2	0	134	236	161	397	27	166	21	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	93	13	2	1	0	11	30	4	0	0	140	259	183	442	43	194	28	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	62	49	6	1	1	0	10	17	3	0	0	122	306	184	490	61	171	27	16	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	112	15	1	1	0	11	27	4	2	0	134	236	161	397	27	174	21	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	108	22	2	1	1	15	22	4	2	0	204	323	269	591	65	244	17	12	281	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	93	13	2	1	0	11	30	4	0	0	140	259	183	442	43	206	28	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	88	21	3	1	1	16	25	4	0	0	239	380	330	709	91	323	23	15	335	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	62	49	6	1	1	0	10	17	3	0	0	122	306	184	490	61	188	27	16	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	62	44	8	2	1	0	15	14	3	0	0	182	419	273	692	91	267	23	24	345	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	112	15	1	1	0	11	27	4	2	0	134	236	161	397	27	166	21	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	92	13	2	1	0	11	30	4	0	0	141	259	185	444	43	194	28	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	62	49	6	1	1	0	10	17	3	0	0	122	306	184	490	61	171	27	16	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	112	15	1	1	0	11	27	4	2	0	134	236	161	397	27	166	21	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	92	13	2	1	0	11	30	4	0	0	141	259	185	444	43	194	28	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	62	49	6	1	1	0	10	17	3	0	0	122	306	184	490	61	171	27	16	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	172	153	32	5	2	1	14	46	3	2	1	208	284	285	569	77	284	27	8	262	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	151	136	28	4	1	2	12	40	2	2	1	213	290	302	592	89	286	26	8	271	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	287	257	56	9	2	4	24	75	4	3	1	217	294	317	611	100	287	26	8	278	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	383	342	75	12	3	6	32	99	6	4	2	221	298	329	627	108	289	26	8	284	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	448	401	90	14	4	8	37	115	7	5	2	224	300	339	640	115	290	26	8	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	486	436	99	16	4	10	40	123	7	5	2	226	302	347	650	121	290	25	8	293	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	507	453	103	16	4	11	42	129	7	5	2	227	303	350	653	124	290	25	8	295	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	517	462	105	17	4	11	43	132	7	4	2	226	302	348	649	122	289	26	8	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	518	463	103	16	4	10	43	134	7	3	2	224	300	343	643	119	288	26	8	290	83	-11	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	512	458	102	16	4	10	42	133	7	1	2	221	297	336	633	115	287	26	8	287	80	-12	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	504	451	99	15	4	9	41	133	7	1	1	218	293	328	622	110	285	26	8	282	77	-14	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	477	429	91	14	3	8	39	128	6	1	1	214	288	319	607	105	282	27	8	276	73	-15	-0	-3	+9	+10	0.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	446	401	84	13	3	7	36	121	6	1	1	209	282	306	588	98	278	27	8	268	68	-17	-0	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	52	47	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	213	290	300	590	88	286	27	8	270	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	139	125	27	4	1	2	11	36	2	1	1	217	294	314	608	97	288	26	8	277	74	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	208	186	41	7	2	3	17	54	3	2	1	220	297	326	623	105	289	26	8	283	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	248	221	49	8	2	4	21	63	4	3	1	223	300	335	635	112	290	25	8	288	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	272	243	54	9	2	5	23	69	4	3	1	225	302	343	644	117	291	25	8	291	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	285	255	58	10	2	6	24	72	4	3	1	226	302	346	648	120	290	25	8	292	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	286	256	57	10	2	5	24	73	4	2	1	225	301	343	644	118	290	26	8	291	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	284	254	56	9	2	5	24	73	4	2	1	223	299	338	637	116	289	26	8	288	83	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	274	245	54	9	2	5	23	71	4	1	1	220	296	332	628	112	287	26	8	285	80	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	265	237	51	8	2	4	22	70	4	1	1	217	292	325	617	107	285	26	8	280	77	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	270	243	51	8	2	4	22	72	3	1	0	213	287	315	602	102	282	27	8	274	73	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	243	219	45	7	2	3	19	66	3	0	0	208	281	303	584	95	278	27	8	267	68	-9	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2826	2531	553	91	21	47	234	733	40	20	9	218	295	327	622	108	287	26	8	284	76	-70	+0	-6	+50	+61	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	128	21	5	11	54	169	9	5	2	220	296	330	626	110	289	26	8	284	76	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5596	4999	1081	168	44	96	468	1453	85	38	19	216	294	325	619	109	283	26	8	281	76	-133	-0	-10	+95	+115	6.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	126	20	5	11	54	169	10	4	2	217	295	325	620	108	285	26	8	281	76	-16	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,887	52	19	221	294	334	+52	+28	5.8	5.3
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+6.4	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Ustariz (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	206/282/282	76	284	0	1	27%	8%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Juan Centeno 2010 · A	20	42	36→45	49→40	46	200/262/265	65	253	3	6	22%	7%	51	-2.2	235/281/297	62	301	3	6	21%	6%	64	-1.3	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	41	38→45	48→40	42	200/250/274	73	255	5	3	23%	5%	49	-2.4	218/274/316	98	288	8	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	201/288/304	103	283	11	2	30%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Joe Mack 2024 · A	21	41→44	39→55	45	43	198/267/273	75	282	8	2	31%	8%	55	-1.9	218/280/363	145	290	18	5	30%	7%	81	-0.1	220/283/384	165	281	22	4	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Mikey Romero 2024 · A	20	44→42	38→50	48→40	45	210/265/300	90	274	4	7	24%	7%	59	-1.6	210/252/353	143	281	15	4	30%	5%	68	-1.0	204/248/346	142	268	15	3	30%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕John Whittleman 2007 · A	20	42→45	40→50	46→45	47	202/267/297	95	265	7	7	26%	8%	60	-1.6	209/290/329	120	288	11	4	28%	10%	77	-0.3	203/292/325	122	277	11	2	29%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	36→50	43→45	48	168/257/234	66	242	4	7	30%	9%	44	-2.8	190/257/296	106	277	8	5	32%	7%	57	-1.8	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→43	39→55	47→45	40	170/236/260	90	270	6	8	37%	7%	40	-3.0	210/275/349	139	306	13	8	34%	8%	76	-0.4	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	36	39→50	45→40	43	179/246/260	81	255	6	5	31%	8%	45	-2.7	204/264/306	102	299	8	6	32%	7%	61	-1.5	206/261/337	132	279	11	4	29%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Creed Willems 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→50	48→30	35	182/242/277	95	274	7	4	35%	5%	47	-2.6	193/255/332	139	255	17	3	31%	6%	65	-1.2	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3

Santiago Ustariz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps