Marco Manzano

P FCL Yankees

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 176 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	17	26	4.10	3.90	28.7%	17.8%	—	K 19.5% · BB 22.3% · FIP 5.37
2026	22	ROKNYY	17	21	5.14	3.24	41.8%	24.5%	—	K 28.4% · BB 30.6% · FIP 5.36
2027PROJ	23	MLBNYY	13	14	5.63	5.63	23.5%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBNYY	10	10	5.30	5.17	24.1%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Dillon Larsen (age 24) · Jeff Belge (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124132vR 140

ERA5.63

FIP5.63

K%23.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%3.5%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	4	28	136	31	23	0	40%	2.8	15.5%	21.1%	-5.6%	0.0%	4.55	4.47	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	4	28	136	31	23	0	40%	2.8	15.5%	21.1%	-5.6%	0.0%	4.55	4.47	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	10	4	28	136	31	23	0	40%	2.8	22.8%	16.9%	5.9%	0.0%	4.55	3.35	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	17	0	26	129	37	23	2	0%	1.5	19.5%	22.3%	-2.8%	2.0%	4.10	5.37	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	17	0	26	129	37	23	2	0%	1.5	19.5%	22.3%	-2.8%	2.0%	4.10	5.37	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	17	0	26	129	37	23	2	0%	1.5	28.7%	17.8%	10.9%	1.6%	4.10	3.90	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	17	0	21	98	41	24	1	0%	1.2	28.4%	30.6%	-2.2%	1.4%	5.14	5.36	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	17	0	21	98	41	24	1	0%	1.2	28.4%	30.6%	-2.2%	1.4%	5.14	5.36	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	17	0	21	98	41	24	1	0%	1.2	41.8%	24.5%	17.3%	1.0%	5.14	3.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	NYY	13	0	14	59	14	12	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	20.0%	3.5%	2.9%	5.63	5.63	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	23	0	24	103	25	17	3	0%	1.1	24.1%	16.8%	7.3%	2.9%	5.30	5.17	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	10	0	10	42	10	7	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	16.8%	7.3%	2.9%	5.30	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	11	7	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	16.8%	7.3%	2.9%	5.30	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	212	135	19	0%	1.1	24.1%	16.8%	7.3%	2.9%	5.30	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		44	4	75	363	74	88	4	9%	1.7	20.4%	24.1%	-3.7%	1.1%	4.56	5.03	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	11	200	968	198	233	11	9%	1.7	20.4%	24.1%	-3.7%	1.1%	4.56	5.03	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marco Manzano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.63	23.5%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.17	24.1%	7.3%	24	-0.46	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	90
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	88
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	87
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	87
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	85
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	83
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	83
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	82
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	82
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	82
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.29	22.7%	2.9%	76	+0.53	3.06	183	81
Carlos Rey L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	22	SU	4.47	26.1%	22.0%	1.4%	.297	4.30	25.5%	5.4%	108	-0.17	3.90	165	80
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	79
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	79
Brendan Cellucci L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	26.3%	18.6%	2.4%	.398	4.63	23.4%	6.9%	172	+0.06	3.98	288	79
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	78
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.58 FIP	23	SU	6.58	21.7%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.40	2.81	155	78
Cristhian Tortosa L 2022 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	24.3%	17.7%	2.9%	.304	4.46	22.5%	4.3%	65	-0.42	3.55	228	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	77