Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 8 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.2% | 10.5% | 23.7% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 2.99 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 8 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.2% | 10.5% | 23.7% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 2.98 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 42 | 0 | 51 | 206 | 81 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.8% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 1.4% | 1.59 | 2.73 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 42 | 0 | 51 | 206 | 81 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 39.3% | 11.2% | 28.2% | 1.5% | 1.59 | 2.04 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 48 | 260 | 67 | 54 | 12 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 22.1% | -0.1% | 5.1% | 8.31 | 6.85 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 48 | 260 | 67 | 54 | 12 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.8% | 20.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.31 | 6.96 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 42 | 190 | 63 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 1.7% | 3.40 | 3.28 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 42 | 190 | 63 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 1.1% | 3.40 | 2.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 17 | 0 | 21 | 105 | 28 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 19.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.17 | 5.68 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BAL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.61 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 44 | 201 | 51 | 30 | 6 | — | — | 25.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 5.85 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.24 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 90 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 139 | 0 | 171 | 799 | 215 | 134 | 24 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.9% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.60 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 0 | 200 | 936 | 251 | 157 | 28 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.9% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eric Torres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.62 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 22 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 85 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 84 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 82 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 81 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 81 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.06 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.80 | 3.06 | 145 | 80 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 80 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 80 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.71 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.16 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.45 | 3.20 | 194 | 80 |
| Reagan Todd L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 25.6% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 122 | 80 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.44 | 24.0% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 206 | 79 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 79 |
| Joey Marciano L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 24.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .301 | 4.73 | 20.6% | 4.5% | 102 | +0.95 | 3.78 | 330 | 79 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 79 |
| Andrew Magno L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.87 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .341 | 3.26 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 101 | -1.61 | 3.21 | 309 | 78 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 78 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 78 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 78 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 78 |