Franyer Mendez

P DSL Rojos

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 193 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKCIN	4	4	8	5.87	5.19	23.7%	18.4%	—	K 23.7% · BB 18.4% · FIP 4.88
2026	19	ROKDSL Rojos	13	12	37	8.51	4.48	14.7%	16.9%	—	K 10.0% · BB 21.2% · FIP 5.37
2027PROJ	20	MLBCIN	4	4	22	5.92	5.92	17.8%	18.6%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBCIN	3	3	17	5.56	5.42	19.3%	15.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMarlon Nieves (age 19) · Jackson Fristoe (age 22) · Jharold Clemente (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%17.8%

BB%18.6%

K-BB%-0.8%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	4	4	8	38	9	7	1	100%	1.9	23.7%	18.4%	5.3%	2.6%	5.87	4.88	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	4	4	8	38	9	7	1	100%	1.9	23.7%	18.4%	5.3%	2.6%	5.87	4.88	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	4	4	8	38	9	7	1	100%	1.9	23.7%	18.4%	5.3%	2.6%	5.87	5.19	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	13	12	37	177	26	30	1	92%	2.8	10.0%	21.2%	-11.2%	0.8%	8.51	5.37	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	13	12	37	177	26	30	1	92%	2.8	10.0%	21.2%	-11.2%	0.8%	8.51	5.37	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	13	12	37	177	26	30	1	92%	2.8	14.7%	16.9%	-2.3%	0.6%	8.51	4.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	CIN	4	4	22	93	17	17	3	100%	5.5	17.8%	18.6%	-0.8%	2.9%	5.92	5.92	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	6	6	35	148	28	23	4	100%	5.8	19.3%	15.8%	3.4%	2.8%	5.56	5.42	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	3	3	17	72	14	11	2	100%	5.7	19.3%	15.8%	3.4%	2.8%	5.56	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	17	73	14	12	2	100%	4.3	19.3%	15.8%	3.4%	2.8%	5.56	5.04	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	163	139	23	100%	4.8	19.3%	15.8%	3.4%	2.8%	5.56	5.04	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		17	16	45	215	27	44	2	94%	2.6	12.4%	20.7%	-8.3%	1.1%	8.06	5.29	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	72	200	963	119	199	11	94%	2.6	12.4%	20.7%	-8.3%	1.1%	8.06	5.29	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franyer Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	17.8%	18.6%	2.9%	—	5.42	19.3%	3.4%	35	-0.50	—	—	—
Marlon Nieves R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	19	SP	5.63	17.9%	20.0%	2.8%	.300	4.19	18.6%	1.2%	134	-1.44	3.82	187	87
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	84
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Justin Lange R 2022 · 5.00 FIP	20	SP	5.00	20.2%	21.8%	1.5%	.303	4.73	24.7%	5.9%	85	-0.27	4.55	144	82
Gio Arriera R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	19	SP	5.41	15.1%	13.9%	3.3%	.333	4.34	15.5%	2.0%	79	-1.07	4.34	185	82
Luis Ghisays R 2024 · 5.74 FIP	18	SP	5.74	13.8%	15.0%	3.5%	.291	5.08	16.2%	5.4%	75	-0.66	4.58	110	81
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.81	21.3%	8.0%	253	-0.15	3.82	323	81
Nolan Perry R 2024 · 4.88 FIP	20	SP	4.88	20.4%	22.2%	1.2%	.303	3.62	27.9%	16.8%	83	-1.26	3.62	167	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Jhonly Taveras R 2024 · 6.59 FIP	19	SP	6.59	13.0%	27.1%	2.1%	.311	5.00	12.1%	-11.0%	34	-1.59	5.00	133	81
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	80
Chen-Wei Lin R 2023 · 6.48 FIP	21	SP	6.48	21.3%	22.0%	4.4%	.379	3.81	20.5%	8.4%	257	-2.67	3.05	269	80
Gage Stanifer R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	17.2%	21.4%	2.4%	.318	3.96	26.2%	11.6%	199	-1.69	2.85	301	80
Moises Nova R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	20	SP	5.61	14.2%	16.8%	2.9%	.263	4.05	18.3%	4.2%	110	-1.56	3.42	219	80
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	79
Omar Victorino R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	19	SP-	5.88	19.5%	30.3%	1.1%	.302	5.30	13.2%	-5.7%	97	-0.58	5.26	182	79
Alexander Almonte R 2024 · 5.69 FIP	17	SP	5.69	16.2%	13.8%	4.0%	.250	4.82	12.6%	-2.8%	75	-0.87	4.27	100	79
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	78
Jeferson Figueroa R 2021 · 5.24 FIP	20	SP	5.24	17.1%	15.6%	2.9%	.232	5.02	20.6%	5.4%	188	-0.22	4.77	249	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	18.7%	16.9%	1.11	5.70
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*