Anderson Brito

P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 23 RHP 5'10" / 155 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP48ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	15	9	54	1.51	2.19	38.9%	10.0%	—	K 27.5% · BB 11.9% · FIP 3.50
2025	21	A+HOU	12	12	49	3.28	2.43	31.1%	13.4%	—	K 23.9% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.28
2026	22	A+TB	8	8	32	3.34	3.66	28.8%	14.4%	—	K 22.2% · BB 16.5% · FIP 4.73
2027PROJ	23	MLBTB	17	17	90	4.88	4.88	24.8%	15.6%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBTB	9	9	51	4.65	4.56	25.1%	13.6%	0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBTB	16	16	91	4.49	4.40	25.2%	12.4%	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$2M+2

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff56Control46Command43FB velo63

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 82%

CompsCade Smith (age 22) · Jimmy Endersby (age 23) · Max Bain (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.88

FIP4.88

K%24.8%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%9.2%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD3545

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	54	211	82	21	4	60%	3.6	27.5%	11.9%	15.6%	2.2%	1.51	3.50	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	54	211	82	21	4	60%	3.6	27.5%	11.9%	15.6%	2.2%	1.51	3.50	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	9	54	211	82	21	4	60%	3.6	38.9%	10.0%	28.9%	1.9%	1.51	2.19	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	12	12	49	209	65	28	1	100%	4.1	23.9%	15.4%	8.5%	0.5%	3.28	3.28	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	12	12	49	209	65	28	1	100%	4.1	23.9%	15.4%	8.5%	0.5%	3.28	3.28	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	12	12	49	209	65	28	1	100%	4.1	31.1%	13.4%	17.7%	0.5%	3.28	2.43	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	32	146	42	21	3	100%	4.0	22.2%	16.5%	5.6%	2.6%	3.34	4.73	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	32	146	42	21	3	100%	4.0	22.2%	16.5%	5.6%	2.6%	3.34	4.73	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	32	146	42	21	3	100%	4.0	28.8%	14.4%	14.4%	2.1%	3.34	3.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TB	17	17	90	380	94	59	11	100%	5.3	24.8%	15.6%	9.2%	2.8%	4.88	4.88	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TB	21	21	118	499	125	68	14	100%	5.6	25.1%	13.6%	11.5%	2.8%	4.69	4.60	+0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	TB	24	24	138	581	147	72	16	100%	5.7	25.2%	12.4%	12.8%	2.8%	4.53	4.44	+0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	TB	25	25	150	632	160	77	18	100%	6.0	25.3%	12.1%	13.2%	2.8%	4.45	4.40	+0.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	TB	25	25	148	623	157	75	18	100%	5.9	25.2%	12.1%	13.1%	2.8%	4.44	4.44	+0.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	TB	24	24	143	604	152	74	18	100%	6.0	25.1%	12.2%	12.8%	2.9%	4.49	4.52	+0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	TB	23	23	137	577	143	72	18	100%	5.9	24.8%	12.5%	12.4%	3.1%	4.59	4.65	+0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	TB	21	21	128	543	133	69	18	100%	6.1	24.5%	12.8%	11.7%	3.3%	4.73	4.83	+0.1
2035	31	MLB MLE	TB	20	20	120	506	122	66	18	100%	6.0	24.1%	13.1%	11.0%	3.5%	4.91	5.03	-0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	TB	18	18	111	468	111	63	18	100%	6.2	23.6%	13.5%	10.1%	3.8%	5.12	5.26	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	TB	9	9	51	215	54	29	6	100%	5.7	25.1%	13.6%	11.5%	2.7%	4.65	4.56	+0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	TB	16	16	91	384	97	48	10	100%	5.7	25.2%	12.4%	12.8%	2.7%	4.49	4.40	+0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	TB	20	20	119	502	127	61	14	100%	6.0	25.3%	12.1%	13.2%	2.7%	4.41	4.36	+0.7
2031	27	MLB CTX	TB	21	21	126	532	134	64	15	100%	6.0	25.2%	12.1%	13.1%	2.8%	4.40	4.40	+0.7
2032	28	MLB CTX	TB	21	21	127	536	134	66	15	100%	6.0	25.1%	12.2%	12.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.48	+0.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	TB	21	21	124	524	130	65	16	100%	5.9	24.8%	12.5%	12.4%	3.0%	4.54	4.60	+0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	TB	20	20	118	498	122	64	16	100%	5.9	24.5%	12.8%	11.7%	3.2%	4.68	4.78	+0.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	TB	19	19	112	473	114	62	16	100%	5.9	24.1%	13.1%	11.0%	3.4%	4.86	4.98	-0.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	TB	17	17	104	439	104	59	16	100%	6.1	23.6%	13.5%	10.1%	3.7%	5.06	5.20	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		163	163	972	4105	1017	518	123	100%	6.0	24.8%	12.6%	12.2%	3.0%	4.60	4.26	+7.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	209	107	25	100%	6.0	24.8%	12.6%	12.2%	3.0%	4.60	4.26	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		35	29	135	566	140	82	9	83%	3.9	24.8%	14.4%	10.4%	1.7%	2.59	3.74	+3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	43	200	836	208	121	14	83%	3.9	24.8%	14.4%	10.4%	1.7%	2.59	3.74	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anderson Brito (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	24.8%	15.6%	2.8%	—	4.47	25.2%	12.6%	406	-0.41	—	—	—
Cade Smith R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	22	SP	3.86	23.2%	13.3%	1.9%	.273	5.35	18.2%	6.6%	157	+1.49	3.86	243	85
Jimmy Endersby R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP-	4.29	20.9%	14.1%	2.1%	.310	5.71	16.3%	4.2%	225	+1.42	2.86	357	84
Max Bain R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	23	SP	5.21	20.5%	15.2%	3.5%	.291	6.70	16.7%	-3.9%	81	+1.49	5.21	174	84
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	83
James Proctor R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP	3.99	22.0%	15.2%	1.5%	.277	4.39	14.0%	1.5%	48	+0.40	3.99	109	83
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	82
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.18	457	82
Patrick Reilly R 2024 · 4.96 FIP	22	SP	4.96	23.2%	13.6%	3.8%	.242	5.00	27.8%	20.2%	40	+0.04	4.96	159	82
Gabriel Encinas R 2015 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	20.9%	17.0%	1.4%	.291	5.46	17.3%	-10.3%	47	+1.20	2.92	145	81
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	81
Luis Quiñones R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	24	SP	4.82	26.6%	21.5%	2.2%	.290	4.79	22.7%	9.3%	231	-0.03	3.69	326	81
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	81
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	80
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	80
R.J. Freure R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	22	SP-	5.13	21.7%	18.5%	2.8%	.286	6.05	21.4%	4.2%	107	+0.92	5.13	196	80
David Festa R 2023 · 3.68 FIP	23	SP	3.68	24.5%	11.2%	2.2%	.341	3.71	27.2%	19.1%	209	+0.03	3.67	405	79
Will Schomberg R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	23	SP	4.85	21.4%	15.6%	2.9%	.266	3.86	23.3%	11.7%	90	-0.99	3.86	206	79
Hayden Minton R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	23	SP	4.04	19.7%	12.3%	1.9%	.357	4.53	19.4%	10.3%	187	+0.49	4.04	280	79
Dean Deetz R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	22.2%	13.7%	2.5%	.298	4.73	29.1%	10.7%	68	+0.41	2.61	281	79
TJ Shook R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.98	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.08	3.35	452	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.4	128	24.8%	12.9%	1.17	4.66
Roy Parmelee ('29-'39, 4 WAR*)	5.6	124	24.0%*	12.7%*	1.20*	4.75*
Chuck Estrada ('60-'67, 4 WAR*)	3.8	127	23.1%*	11.6%*	1.08*	4.62*
Bob Turley ('51-'63, 17 WAR*)	8.6	156	27.0%*	13.0%*	0.97*	4.22*
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Daisuke Matsuzaka ('14)	4.0	99	20.9%	11.2%	0.97	4.45
Jason Bere ('03)	5.6	123	18.4%	12.6%	1.17	5.14