Griffin BurkholderOF
Clearwater Threshers
Age 20
R/R
6'1" / 195 lbs
A
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.8 · 2032
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .276 / .341
PA138
HR3
SB7
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
21↗37
PWR
32↗50
SPD
70↘67
FLD
41↗53
EYE
40↗42
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.8 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.7 | $17M | +$14M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.5 | $16M | +$11M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.2 | $13M | +$7M |
| Totals | $17M | $96M | +$78M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | 2 teams | 145 | 130 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 58 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .146 | .229 | .292 | .521 | .146 | .229 | 40 | 6 | .226 | 31 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 38 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .156 | .270 | .219 | .489 | .062 | .238 | 29 | 8 | .222 | 28 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | 100 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .198 | .270 | .319 | .589 | .121 | .281 | 31 | 7 | .276 | 70 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 20 | MLB | PHI | 138 | 123 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .187 | .270 | .293 | .563 | .106 | .266 | 30 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -7 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | PHI | 234 | 208 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .226 | .306 | .385 | .691 | .159 | .278 | 26 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | PHI | 352 | 313 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 90 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .227 | .307 | .390 | .696 | .163 | .280 | 26 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | PHI | 430 | 381 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 39 | 107 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .231 | .314 | .396 | .710 | .165 | .281 | 25 | 9 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | PHI | 482 | 427 | 100 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 45 | 119 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .234 | .317 | .405 | .722 | .171 | .281 | 25 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | PHI | 510 | 448 | 105 | 18 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 125 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .234 | .321 | .406 | .727 | .172 | .282 | 25 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | PHI | 526 | 461 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 129 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .234 | .322 | .408 | .730 | .174 | .282 | 25 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 532 | 466 | 109 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 53 | 131 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .234 | .323 | .406 | .728 | .172 | .282 | 25 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 531 | 465 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 53 | 131 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .232 | .321 | .404 | .726 | .172 | .282 | 25 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 523 | 457 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 53 | 131 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .234 | .324 | .409 | .734 | .175 | .281 | 25 | 10 | .322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 514 | 449 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 130 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .227 | .318 | .392 | .710 | .165 | .279 | 25 | 10 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 501 | 439 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 129 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .223 | .312 | .383 | .695 | .159 | .278 | 26 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 483 | 425 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 127 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .219 | .308 | .374 | .682 | .155 | .276 | 26 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 454 | 399 | 87 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 122 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .218 | .308 | .373 | .682 | .155 | .275 | 27 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 408 | 358 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 114 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .215 | .306 | .366 | .672 | .151 | .273 | 28 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +2 | -5 | -2 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 354 | 311 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .206 | .296 | .338 | .634 | .132 | .271 | 29 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7079 | 6228 | 1401 | 237 | 51 | 225 | 682 | 1838 | 110 | 192 | 29 | .225 | .312 | .388 | .700 | .163 | .280 | 26 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -23 | +27 | -29 | -42 | +201 | 13.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 572 | 130 | 22 | 5 | 21 | 63 | 169 | 10 | 18 | 3 | .227 | .315 | .393 | .708 | .166 | .283 | 26 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 81 | 69 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .312 | .406 | .718 | .203 | .279 | 31 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 64 | 58 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .266 | .362 | .628 | .172 | .231 | 27 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Griffin Burkholder (OGILVIE) | 20 | 21→37 | 32→50 | 70→67 | 42 | .209/.276/.341 | .132 | .285 | 3 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 72 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A |
20 | 43→32 | 41→55 | 59→50 | 42 | .208/.262/.314 | .106 | .276 | 8 | 21 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .196/.243/.346 | .150 | .273 | 17 | 9 | 34% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A |
21 | 42→50 | 47→55 | 58→55 | 39 | .214/.256/.353 | .139 | .265 | 14 | 15 | 25% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .239/.275/.401 | .162 | .303 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.283/.399 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 24 | 24% | 4% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
●Esteury Ruiz 2019 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 43→50 | 58→70 | 37 | .212/.260/.329 | .117 | .307 | 9 | 25 | 33% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .203/.254/.314 | .111 | .301 | 11 | 30 | 34% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .264/.338/.396 | .132 | .327 | 13 | 74 | 22% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 43→50 | 55 | 42 | .206/.271/.314 | .108 | .302 | 10 | 15 | 34% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .225/.279/.352 | .127 | .288 | 12 | 19 | 25% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .247/.300/.379 | .132 | .296 | 12 | 17 | 20% | 6% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 39→55 | 54→55 | 44 | .207/.294/.298 | .092 | .271 | 6 | 17 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.272/.338 | .123 | .275 | 11 | 13 | 25% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .259/.316/.431 | .172 | .293 | 20 | 16 | 19% | 6% | 108 | +1.4 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A |
20 | 42→51 | 43→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .206/.282/.325 | .120 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.283/.340 | .128 | .306 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jake Marisnick 2011 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 41→60 | 55 | 41 | .206/.266/.309 | .103 | .273 | 7 | 18 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .234/.289/.359 | .125 | .298 | 11 | 19 | 24% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .232/.296/.435 | .203 | .309 | 26 | 18 | 33% | 6% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A |
19 | 45 | 41→55 | 55 | 43 | .216/.285/.315 | .099 | .290 | 7 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.313/.323 | .119 | .295 | 10 | 23 | 31% | 12% | 83 | +0.6 | .202/.308/.336 | .135 | .284 | 11 | 26 | 30% | 12% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 40→50 | 56→55 | 42 | .202/.257/.295 | .093 | .281 | 7 | 21 | 30% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .228/.284/.359 | .131 | .288 | 12 | 22 | 24% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .239/.295/.382 | .143 | .285 | 14 | 19 | 21% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 |
|
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA |
20 | 46→44 | 51→65 | 54→50 | 37 | .230/.278/.398 | .168 | .315 | 18 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 86 | +0.8 | .220/.270/.377 | .157 | .318 | 18 | 10 | 35% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .218/.285/.446 | .228 | .252 | 34 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA |
20 | 43→53 | 46→50 | 56→60 | 43 | .209/.282/.339 | .129 | .315 | 13 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .236/.308/.376 | .140 | .328 | 16 | 27 | 30% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .249/.323/.390 | .141 | .333 | 16 | 33 | 28% | 10% | 99 | +1.2 |
|
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A |
20 | 48→49 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 45 | .233/.286/.344 | .111 | .281 | 10 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .207/.254/.310 | .103 | .281 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .261/.323/.483 | .222 | .300 | 31 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 123 | +1.6 |
|
✕Tyler Austin 2012 · A |
20 | 49→54 | 43→60 | 56→45 | 40 | .236/.285/.354 | .118 | .316 | 10 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .246/.298/.387 | .141 | .330 | 13 | 12 | 28% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .230/.291/.429 | .199 | .309 | 25 | 3 | 33% | 8% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA |
21 | 46→50 | 43→55 | 54→50 | 45 | .224/.284/.338 | .114 | .286 | 10 | 16 | 25% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.260/.299 | .099 | .269 | 9 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .250/.346/.432 | .182 | .322 | 17 | 18 | 26% | 11% | 119 | +1.6 |
|
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A |
20 | 46 | 41→55 | 56→55 | 44 | .219/.278/.321 | .102 | .303 | 8 | 21 | 29% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .206/.279/.299 | .093 | .299 | 8 | 19 | 31% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .205/.299/.385 | .179 | .274 | 22 | 23 | 32% | 11% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 43→60 | 57→50 | 42 | .218/.278/.332 | .114 | .297 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.282/.404 | .179 | .286 | 22 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .222/.292/.404 | .182 | .285 | 20 | 15 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jose Siri 2015 · A |
20 | 43→52 | 40→60 | 54→55 | 37 | .207/.252/.306 | .099 | .291 | 7 | 15 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .193/.224/.305 | .112 | .303 | 9 | 16 | 38% | 3% | 38 | -2.6 | .227/.276/.431 | .204 | .317 | 27 | 25 | 36% | 5% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 54→60 | 47 | .189/.291/.289 | .100 | .303 | 7 | 8 | 36% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.301/.282 | .081 | .273 | 6 | 17 | 26% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .180/.308/.228 | .048 | .225 | 5 | 30 | 19% | 12% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A |
20 | 36→46 | 47→55 | 52→50 | 31 | .178/.230/.308 | .130 | .314 | 15 | 14 | 46% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .220/.268/.368 | .148 | .324 | 17 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .237/.289/.413 | .176 | .298 | 20 | 17 | 27% | 6% | 92 | +0.8 |