Jose Ramos
SS Eugene Emeralds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ROKSF | 177 | .283/.431/.384 | 1 | 13 | 66 | — | .216/.310/.301 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/ASF | 221 | .228/.368/.339 | 4 | 20 | 50 | — | .178/.282/.261 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/A/ROKSF | 233 | .277/.400/.382 | 3 | 21 | 66 | — | .218/.313/.308 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSF | 1 | .201/.298/.290 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 44 | .204/.301/.302 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBSF | 90 | .207/.302/.310 | 1 | 3 | 79 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 110 | 98 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 245 | 327 | 449 | 776 | 204 | 296 | 22 | 10 | 342 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | — | 181 | 147 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 272 | 402 | 422 | 824 | 150 | 316 | 15 | 16 | 370 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 368 | 318 | 67 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 87 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 211 | 310 | 311 | 622 | 101 | 280 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 160 | 276 | 200 | 476 | 40 | 235 | 30 | 7 | 229 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants | — | 177 | 138 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 283 | 431 | 384 | 815 | 101 | 358 | 19 | 19 | 371 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 91 | 73 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 260 | 400 | 329 | 729 | 68 | 367 | 26 | 15 | 342 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 130 | 107 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 29 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 206 | 346 | 346 | 692 | 140 | 253 | 22 | 17 | 321 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 126 | 99 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 293 | 440 | 414 | 854 | 121 | 370 | 20 | 20 | 389 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 58 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 286 | 306 | 592 | 122 | 250 | 28 | 10 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants | — | 49 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 349 | 429 | 395 | 824 | 47 | 455 | 20 | 12 | 378 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 110 | 102 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 137 | 200 | 225 | 425 | 88 | 183 | 26 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 181 | 156 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 160 | 268 | 231 | 499 | 71 | 192 | 19 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 368 | 329 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 127 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 167 | 247 | 252 | 500 | 85 | 253 | 35 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 115 | 207 | 154 | 361 | 38 | 175 | 43 | 3 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 177 | 153 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 216 | 310 | 301 | 611 | 85 | 286 | 27 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 91 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 221 | 333 | 286 | 619 | 65 | 322 | 33 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 130 | 115 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 148 | 246 | 243 | 490 | 96 | 207 | 32 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 126 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 236 | 352 | 340 | 692 | 104 | 308 | 27 | 14 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 58 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 157 | 232 | 275 | 507 | 118 | 221 | 38 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 49 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 244 | 306 | 267 | 573 | 22 | 350 | 29 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 110 | 102 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 137 | 200 | 225 | 425 | 88 | 181 | 26 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 110 | 98 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 245 | 327 | 449 | 776 | 204 | 296 | 22 | 10 | 342 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 181 | 156 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 160 | 268 | 231 | 499 | 71 | 197 | 19 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Orange | — | 181 | 147 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 272 | 402 | 422 | 824 | 150 | 316 | 15 | 16 | 370 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 354 | 58 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 140 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 164 | 247 | 246 | 493 | 82 | 259 | 35 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 398 | 343 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 96 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 207 | 308 | 303 | 611 | 96 | 277 | 24 | 9 | 281 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 177 | 153 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 216 | 310 | 301 | 611 | 85 | 302 | 27 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants | — | 177 | 138 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 283 | 431 | 384 | 815 | 101 | 358 | 19 | 19 | 371 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 221 | 191 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 71 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 168 | 277 | 230 | 508 | 63 | 252 | 32 | 11 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 221 | 180 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 53 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 228 | 368 | 339 | 707 | 111 | 298 | 24 | 16 | 330 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 233 | 203 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 70 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 212 | 304 | 286 | 590 | 74 | 311 | 30 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 233 | 191 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 51 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 277 | 400 | 382 | 782 | 105 | 362 | 22 | 16 | 356 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 110 | 101 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 139 | 200 | 228 | 428 | 89 | 183 | 26 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 181 | 156 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 160 | 268 | 231 | 499 | 71 | 192 | 19 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 398 | 356 | 58 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 140 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 163 | 247 | 244 | 491 | 81 | 247 | 35 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 177 | 154 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 310 | 299 | 609 | 84 | 286 | 27 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 221 | 190 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 71 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 168 | 277 | 232 | 509 | 63 | 254 | 32 | 11 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 233 | 204 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 70 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 211 | 304 | 284 | 589 | 74 | 295 | 30 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 177 | 154 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 310 | 299 | 609 | 84 | 286 | 27 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 221 | 190 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 71 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 168 | 277 | 232 | 509 | 63 | 254 | 32 | 11 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 233 | 204 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 70 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 211 | 304 | 284 | 589 | 74 | 295 | 30 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SF | 0% | 283 | 247 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 71 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 204 | 301 | 297 | 598 | 93 | 269 | 25 | 11 | 276 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | SF | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 298 | 290 | 588 | 90 | 265 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 73 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 30% | 146 | 127 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 304 | 310 | 613 | 102 | 270 | 25 | 11 | 282 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 44% | 203 | 177 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 210 | 305 | 318 | 623 | 107 | 271 | 25 | 11 | 286 | 79 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 49% | 241 | 210 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 60 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 305 | 320 | 625 | 109 | 272 | 25 | 11 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 52% | 268 | 234 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 67 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 211 | 304 | 320 | 624 | 109 | 272 | 25 | 11 | 286 | 79 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 278 | 244 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 70 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 302 | 318 | 621 | 108 | 272 | 25 | 10 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 30% | 44 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 301 | 302 | 603 | 98 | 267 | 25 | 11 | 278 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 44% | 90 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 302 | 310 | 612 | 103 | 268 | 24 | 11 | 281 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 49% | 118 | 103 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 302 | 312 | 614 | 104 | 268 | 25 | 11 | 282 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 52% | 138 | 121 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 301 | 312 | 613 | 104 | 269 | 25 | 11 | 281 | 79 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 143 | 126 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 299 | 311 | 610 | 103 | 268 | 25 | 10 | 280 | 78 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 533 | 468 | 96 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 58 | 132 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 205 | 298 | 310 | 608 | 105 | 266 | 25 | 11 | 281 | 62 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 117 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 71 | 161 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 205 | 299 | 312 | 610 | 107 | 265 | 25 | 11 | 281 | 62 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2568 | 2249 | 434 | 83 | 17 | 29 | 256 | 705 | 39 | 146 | 23 | 193 | 287 | 284 | 570 | 91 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 260 | 62 | -32 | +4 | -2 | +13 | +27 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 65 | 178 | 10 | 37 | 6 | 192 | 286 | 279 | 565 | 88 | 263 | 27 | 10 | 260 | 62 | -17 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 126 PAwOBA .383 → .300 (−83)K% 19.8% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 13.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 24.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .383 → .300; ISO .121 → .097; BABIP .370 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ASan Jose Giants · 58 PAwOBA .258 → .201 (−57)K% 27.6% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 16.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 2.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.38% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .201; ISO .122 → .096; BABIP .250 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Giants · 49 PAwOBA .369 → .255 (−114)K% 20.4% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 39.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 30.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .369 → .255; ISO .047 → .030; BABIP .455 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASan Jose Giants · 130 PAwOBA .314 → .219 (−95)K% 22.3% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.31% | ÷0.962 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.92% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.990 | 15.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.138 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.990 | 3.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.902 | ×0.910 | ×0.953 | ×0.990 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.358 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.24% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .314 → .219; ISO .140 → .088; BABIP .253 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 91 PAwOBA .338 → .275 (−63)K% 26.4% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.37% | ÷1.070 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.950 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 11.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.30% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 2.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.65% | ÷1.011 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 29.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 1.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .338 → .275; ISO .068 → .055; BABIP .367 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Giants · 177 PAwOBA .367 → .266 (−102)K% 18.6% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.21% | ÷1.062 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 10.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×0.975 | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.927 | ×0.720 | ×1.013 | ×0.975 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.013 | ×0.975 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.178 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.62% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 101, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .367 → .266; ISO .101 → .078; BABIP .358 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASan Jose Giants · 368 PAwOBA .281 → .221 (−60)K% 23.6% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.64% | ÷0.935 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.51% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.015 | 17.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.015 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.16% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.015 | 2.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .281 → .221; ISO .101 → .084; BABIP .280 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Black · 30 PAwOBA .231 → .155 (−77)K% 30.0% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 14.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .231 → .155; ISO .040 → .025; BABIP .235 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).