Eli Willits — OGILVIE

Eli WillitsSS Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 5.2 · 2034

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .288 / .347

PA75

HR2

K%29

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

34↗59

PWR

32↗46

SPD

59→59

FLD

47↗57

EYE

46↗53

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.0peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+3.6	$32M	+$32M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+4.2	$39M	+$38M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+4.7	$45M	+$44M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+5.0	$49M	+$39M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+5.2	$53M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$26M	+5.2	$54M	+$28M
Totals		$56M		$272M	+$216M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	58	53	13	1	1	0	4	18	1	2	0	.245	.310	.302	.612	.057	.371	31	7	.263	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	18	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	88	79	15	3	1	2	9	28	0	14	3	.190	.273	.329	.602	.139	.265	32	10	.250	50	-5	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 32%	WSH	190	168	40	7	1	5	18	47	2	7	2	.238	.319	.381	.700	.143	.299	25	9	.316	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.9
2028	20	MLB 57%	WSH	329	289	72	12	2	9	33	78	4	11	3	.249	.334	.398	.732	.149	.309	24	10	.329	110	+4	+1	+1	+4	+9	1.9
2029	21	MLB 86%	WSH	435	382	97	16	3	13	45	101	5	14	3	.254	.340	.414	.754	.160	.311	23	10	.337	116	+8	+2	+1	+5	+12	2.8
2030	22	MLB	WSH	509	444	116	19	4	16	54	114	6	15	3	.261	.349	.430	.779	.169	.313	22	11	.344	121	+12	+2	+1	+5	+14	3.6
2031	23	MLB	WSH	559	486	128	21	4	18	61	123	7	15	3	.263	.354	.434	.788	.171	.314	22	11	.349	125	+16	+2	+1	+6	+16	4.2
2032	24	MLB	WSH	592	513	136	22	4	20	66	128	8	15	3	.265	.358	.441	.798	.175	.314	22	11	.354	129	+19	+2	+1	+6	+17	4.7
2033	25	MLB	WSH	611	529	141	23	4	21	69	131	8	16	3	.267	.360	.444	.804	.178	.315	21	11	.357	131	+22	+2	+2	+7	+17	5.0
2034	26	MLB	WSH	621	537	143	23	4	21	71	133	8	15	3	.266	.360	.441	.802	.175	.316	21	11	.359	133	+23	+2	+2	+7	+18	5.2
2035	27	MLB	WSH	622	537	143	23	4	21	72	134	8	15	3	.266	.361	.441	.803	.175	.316	22	12	.359	133	+23	+2	+2	+7	+18	5.2
2036	28	MLB	WSH	618	533	142	23	4	21	72	134	8	15	2	.266	.362	.443	.805	.176	.316	22	12	.358	132	+22	+2	+1	+7	+18	5.1
2037	29	MLB	WSH	608	524	138	22	4	20	71	134	8	14	2	.263	.360	.435	.795	.172	.316	22	12	.356	131	+21	+2	+0	+7	+17	4.8
2038	30	MLB	WSH	598	515	136	22	4	20	70	133	8	13	2	.264	.361	.439	.800	.175	.315	22	12	.353	128	+19	+2	-1	+6	+17	4.5
2039	31	MLB	WSH	584	503	131	21	4	19	69	133	7	12	1	.260	.358	.431	.789	.171	.314	23	12	.350	126	+17	+2	-1	+6	+17	4.1
2040	32	MLB	WSH	566	488	126	20	4	18	66	132	7	11	0	.258	.355	.426	.781	.168	.313	23	12	.345	122	+14	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.7
2041	33	MLB	WSH	536	462	116	18	3	16	63	128	6	11	0	.251	.348	.407	.755	.156	.312	24	12	.340	118	+11	+2	-3	+6	+15	3.2
2042	34	MLB	WSH	489	423	105	16	3	14	57	121	6	10	0	.248	.346	.400	.745	.151	.311	25	12	.334	114	+7	+2	-4	+5	+14	2.5
2043	35	MLB	WSH	433	375	92	14	3	12	50	112	5	9	0	.245	.342	.395	.737	.149	.310	26	12	.326	108	+4	+2	-5	+5	+12	1.8
2044	36	MLB	WSH	372	323	75	11	2	9	42	100	4	8	0	.232	.328	.362	.690	.130	.309	27	11	.318	101	+1	+2	-5	+4	+11	1.2
2045	37	MLB	WSH	307	267	62	9	2	7	34	85	3	7	0	.232	.326	.360	.685	.127	.306	28	11	.308	94	-2	+1	-6	+3	+9	0.5
2046	38	MLB	WSH	238	207	45	6	1	5	26	68	3	5	0	.217	.314	.329	.642	.111	.302	29	11	.298	86	-4	+1	-7	+3	+7	-0.1
2047	39	MLB	WSH	164	143	31	4	1	3	18	48	2	3	0	.217	.313	.322	.635	.105	.297	29	11	.287	78	-4	+1	-8	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10039	8701	2228	353	66	308	1131	2335	124	243	33	.256	.350	.418	.768	.162	.314	23	11	.343	120	+231	+35	-30	+108	+284	64.1
/ 162G	—			650	563	144	23	4	20	73	151	8	16	2	.256	.349	.417	.766	.162	.314	23	11	.343	120	+15	+2	-2	+7	+18	4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	.300	.397	.360	.757	.060	.395	21	12	.350	126	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Willits (OGILVIE)	18	34→59	32→46	59	53	.218/.288/.347	.128	.296	2	2	29%	8%	78	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→56	42→60	54→55	47	.230/.289/.338	.108	.295	8	12	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.221/.296/.327	.106	.300	7	12	26%	10%	76	+0.0	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	46→60	53→55	40	.243/.287/.379	.136	.324	13	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.267/.312/.417	.150	.332	13	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
✕Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	42→52	45→55	54→55	53	.207/.294/.332	.125	.264	12	24	26%	11%	76	+0.1	.204/.263/.305	.101	.268	9	19	26%	7%	55	-1.4	.232/.330/.424	.192	.279	22	11	24%	12%	111	+1.5
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	47→56	46→55	52→50	49	.229/.293/.374	.145	.263	10	13	18%	7%	86	+0.8	.234/.297/.369	.135	.275	12	12	19%	7%	86	+0.8	.257/.353/.419	.161	.284	18	7	16%	11%	121	+2.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	51	.218/.295/.314	.096	.275	8	8	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.288/.359	.134	.280	15	4	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●César Hernández 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→45	51→55	41	.212/.255/.308	.097	.268	5	8	23%	4%	52	-1.6	.222/.280/.298	.076	.270	3	15	18%	7%	60	-1.0	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	45→54	37→40	51→65	44	.205/.292/.286	.080	.293	3	15	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.299/.284	.074	.292	3	18	26%	10%	66	-0.6	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	42→52	42→45	50→55	40	.207/.261/.307	.100	.284	10	11	30%	6%	55	-1.4	.201/.270/.294	.093	.283	8	18	29%	8%	56	-1.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	.221/.266/.338	.118	.283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.237/.283/.343	.106	.289	10	4	21%	5%	74	-0.1	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	.227/.287/.331	.103	.273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.306/.353	.124	.285	12	10	22%	9%	86	+0.8	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	57→50	55	.211/.299/.288	.077	.267	4	15	21%	11%	67	-0.5	.229/.289/.320	.091	.303	6	11	25%	7%	70	-0.3	.255/.302/.371	.117	.316	8	12	21%	6%	85	+0.5
★Corey Seager 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→65	51→45	44	.231/.283/.361	.130	.288	14	9	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.250/.299/.420	.170	.314	19	7	26%	6%	101	+1.8	.291/.353/.484	.193	.337	22	4	20%	8%	135	+4.6
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	43→50	48→40	45	.202/.300/.317	.115	.331	10	6	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.235/.325/.382	.147	.300	16	5	25%	10%	103	+1.9	.239/.326/.387	.148	.293	17	4	23%	9%	102	+1.4
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)