Eli Willits — OGILVIE

Eli WillitsSS Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION347 act + 231 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .314 / .369

PA231

HR6

SB15

K%26

BB%10

BABIP291

ISO143

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.3	$23M	+$22M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.7	$24M	+$23M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+4.0	$24M	+$23M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+4.1	$22M	+$17M
2032	Arb-2	$14M	+4.2	$21M	+$14M
2033	Arb-3	$21M	+4.3	$20M	+$10M
Totals		$46M		$134M	+$109M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	12	1	1	0	5	18	1	2	0	231	310	288	599	58	353	31	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	A	WSH	—	347	302	65	13	2	10	39	104	4	38	12	215	313	371	684	156	289	30	11	308	94	-2	+3	+0	+4	+10	1.4
YTD	18	A	WSH	—	347	278	77	17	3	12	63	74	4	38	12	277	417	489	907	212	335	21	18	401	165	+26	+3	+0	+4	+10	4.3
ROS	18	A	WSH	10%	231	203	46	9	1	6	23	61	3	15	4	226	314	369	683	143	295	26	10	312	97	-1	+1	+1	+2	+7	1.1
ROS	18	MLB	WSH	10%	23	21	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	238	304	429	733	190	295	26	9	304	91	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
FULL	18	A	WSH	—	370	323	70	14	2	11	41	110	4	39	12	217	312	375	687	158	289	30	11	307	93	-3	+3	+0	+4	+10	1.5
TOT	18	A	WSH	—	578	505	111	22	3	16	62	165	7	53	16	220	313	370	683	150	290	29	11	309	95	-3	+4	+1	+6	+16	2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	WSH	53%	581	510	122	23	4	16	59	151	7	20	6	239	326	394	721	155	301	26	10	319	102	+1	+2	+2	+6	+16	2.8
2028	20	MLB	WSH	68%	609	534	129	24	4	18	62	154	8	19	6	242	329	403	732	161	303	25	10	326	107	+5	+1	+2	+7	+17	3.3
2029	21	MLB	WSH	73%	627	550	134	25	4	19	64	154	8	18	5	244	331	407	738	164	303	25	10	331	111	+8	+2	+2	+7	+18	3.7
2030	22	MLB	WSH	75%	638	559	138	26	4	20	65	154	9	17	5	247	335	415	750	168	303	24	10	335	114	+10	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.0
2031	23	MLB	WSH	75%	637	557	139	26	4	21	66	152	9	16	5	250	339	424	762	174	304	24	10	338	116	+12	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.1
2032	24	MLB	WSH	74%	629	550	139	26	4	21	65	149	9	16	5	253	341	429	770	176	304	24	10	340	118	+13	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.2
2033	25	MLB	WSH	74%	632	552	139	26	4	21	66	150	9	16	5	252	341	428	769	176	304	24	10	341	119	+14	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.3
2034	26	MLB	WSH	73%	634	554	139	26	4	21	66	150	9	16	5	251	340	426	766	175	304	24	10	342	120	+14	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.3
2035	27	MLB	WSH	72%	631	550	139	26	4	21	67	150	9	16	5	253	343	429	773	176	304	24	11	342	120	+14	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.3
2036	28	MLB	WSH	71%	623	542	136	25	4	21	67	149	9	15	5	251	343	428	771	177	304	24	11	341	119	+13	+1	+2	+7	+18	4.1
2037	29	MLB	WSH	69%	612	533	132	24	4	20	66	147	8	14	4	248	339	420	760	173	303	24	11	339	118	+12	+1	+1	+7	+17	3.9
2038	30	MLB	WSH	68%	600	522	128	24	3	19	65	146	8	13	4	245	338	412	750	167	303	24	11	337	116	+11	+1	+0	+6	+17	3.6
2039	31	MLB	WSH	68%	586	510	125	23	3	19	63	144	8	13	4	245	337	414	751	169	301	25	11	333	113	+9	+1	-1	+6	+17	3.2
2040	32	MLB	WSH	67%	567	494	118	21	3	17	61	142	7	12	4	239	331	397	728	158	298	25	11	328	109	+6	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.8
2041	33	MLB	WSH	67%	537	468	110	19	3	16	57	137	7	10	3	235	327	391	718	156	294	26	11	321	104	+2	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.2
2042	34	MLB	WSH	63%	489	428	98	16	3	14	52	128	6	9	3	229	321	379	699	150	288	26	11	312	97	-2	+1	-3	+5	+14	1.5
2043	35	MLB	WSH	58%	433	380	82	13	2	11	45	117	5	8	2	216	307	347	654	132	282	27	10	302	90	-5	+1	-4	+5	+12	0.9
2044	36	MLB	WSH	49%	372	326	70	11	2	9	39	103	4	6	2	215	306	344	650	129	276	28	10	292	82	-8	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.2
2045	37	MLB	WSH	40%	307	269	55	8	2	7	31	87	4	5	1	204	296	327	623	123	269	28	10	281	73	-9	+1	-6	+3	+9	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	WSH	53%	308	270	64	12	2	8	31	80	4	11	3	237	325	385	710	148	301	26	10	310	95	-2	+1	+1	+3	+9	1.3
2028	20	MLB	WSH	68%	413	363	88	16	3	12	42	104	5	13	4	242	329	402	731	160	303	25	10	316	100	+0	+1	+2	+4	+12	1.9
2029	21	MLB	WSH	73%	456	400	98	18	3	14	47	112	6	13	4	245	333	410	743	165	303	25	10	321	104	+2	+1	+2	+5	+13	2.3
2030	22	MLB	WSH	75%	475	417	103	19	3	15	49	115	6	13	4	247	335	415	750	168	303	24	10	325	107	+4	+1	+2	+5	+13	2.5
2031	23	MLB	WSH	75%	478	419	104	19	3	16	49	114	7	12	4	248	337	422	759	174	304	24	10	328	109	+5	+1	+2	+5	+14	2.7
2032	24	MLB	WSH	74%	465	408	102	19	3	15	48	110	6	12	4	250	338	422	759	172	304	24	10	330	111	+6	+1	+2	+5	+13	2.7
2033	25	MLB	WSH	74%	465	407	103	19	3	16	49	110	6	12	4	253	342	432	774	179	304	24	11	331	111	+6	+1	+2	+5	+13	2.7
2034	26	MLB	WSH	73%	465	407	103	19	3	16	49	110	6	12	4	253	342	432	774	179	304	24	11	331	112	+6	+1	+2	+5	+13	2.7
2035	27	MLB	WSH	72%	454	397	99	18	3	15	48	108	6	11	3	249	339	423	762	174	304	24	11	332	112	+6	+1	+2	+5	+13	2.7
2036	28	MLB	WSH	71%	443	387	97	18	3	15	47	106	6	11	3	251	341	429	770	178	304	24	11	331	111	+6	+1	+1	+5	+13	2.6
2037	29	MLB	WSH	69%	424	369	91	17	2	14	46	102	6	10	3	247	340	417	757	171	303	24	11	329	110	+5	+1	+1	+5	+12	2.3
2038	30	MLB	WSH	68%	410	357	87	16	2	13	44	100	6	9	3	244	337	409	746	165	303	24	11	327	108	+4	+1	+0	+4	+12	2.1
2039	31	MLB	WSH	68%	397	346	84	15	2	13	43	98	5	9	3	243	335	410	745	168	301	25	11	323	105	+2	+1	-0	+4	+11	1.8
2040	32	MLB	WSH	67%	382	333	80	14	2	12	41	96	5	8	2	240	332	402	735	162	298	25	11	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+4	+11	1.6
2041	33	MLB	WSH	67%	361	314	74	13	2	11	39	92	5	7	2	236	330	395	725	159	294	25	11	311	97	-1	+1	-1	+4	+10	1.2
2042	34	MLB	WSH	63%	307	267	62	10	2	9	33	80	4	6	2	232	326	386	711	154	288	26	11	303	90	-3	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.7
2043	35	MLB	WSH	58%	252	221	49	8	1	7	26	68	3	4	1	222	312	362	674	140	282	27	10	293	83	-5	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2044	36	MLB	WSH	49%	183	160	33	5	1	4	19	51	2	3	1	206	298	325	623	119	276	28	10	283	75	-5	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.0
2045	37	MLB	WSH	40%	124	109	23	3	1	3	13	35	1	2	1	211	301	339	640	128	269	28	10	272	66	-5	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7285	6372	1549	279	44	229	765	1797	95	179	55	243	333	409	742	165	301	25	11	321	104	+30	+14	+5	+78	+206	34.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	138	25	4	20	68	160	8	16	5	243	332	406	738	163	301	25	10	321	104	+3	+1	+0	+7	+18	3.0
Career	—			—	11033	9643	2330	422	67	337	1154	2743	147	276	83	242	332	404	736	162	301	25	10	328	109	+116	+22	+2	+118	+313	58.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	138	25	4	20	68	162	9	16	5	243	333	407	740	164	303	25	10	328	109	+7	+1	+0	+7	+18	3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	126	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#2Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#3Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#4Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	7,278	227	176	244	330	410	+72	+46	38.1	29.2
	/162	664	21	16	244	330	410	+6.6	+4.2	3.5	pk7: 20
#5Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#6Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Willits (OGILVIE)	18	35→59	32→46	59	53	220/313/370	150	290	16	53	29%	11%	95	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→57	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	76	+0.0	218/293/325	107	304	7	12	28%	10%	73	-0.1	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	51→57	49→55	49→55	50	256/306/410	154	268	17	5	12%	6%	101	+1.8	263/317/396	133	286	11	9	12%	7%	101	+1.8	277/337/454	176	296	17	20	12%	8%	121	+2.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51→50	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.4	231/274/320	89	284	6	8	20%	5%	63	-0.8	230/290/372	142	257	18	6	18%	7%	83	+0.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	228/289/352	124	291	8	9	24%	7%	79	+0.3	255/308/410	155	329	16	9	26%	6%	102	+1.9	291/350/509	218	356	28	29	25%	7%	139	+4.0
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
★Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	49→56	45→60	53→50	49	235/301/381	146	277	8	14	18%	7%	92	+1.2	236/298/364	128	281	11	11	19%	7%	85	+0.7	261/352/423	162	290	17	5	16%	11%	121	+3.3
●Ozzie Albies 2015 · A	18	56→59	36→60	55	50	265/324/335	70	313	3	18	16%	7%	88	+0.9	256/301/350	94	316	4	20	19%	6%	82	+0.5	271/321/451	180	309	18	16	18%	6%	114	+3.1
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	46→56	49→45	54→50	40	226/290/376	150	320	16	14	33%	7%	86	+0.8	226/278/351	125	308	11	16	29%	6%	74	-0.1	241/289/358	117	311	10	15	25%	5%	77	+0.1
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	87	+0.8	265/310/419	154	331	14	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.6	236/297/336	100	298	6	18	22%	6%	78	+0.2	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	55→53	46→45	48→55	50	263/337/407	145	329	11	7	22%	9%	113	+2.6	239/304/353	114	299	9	18	22%	7%	85	+0.7	247/297/369	122	302	13	23	22%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→60	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	91	+1.1	226/282/366	140	328	14	22	34%	5%	80	+0.4	280/327/492	212	333	28	17	24%	5%	128	+2.7
✕Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	53→49	43→55	53→55	59	249/353/369	120	330	10	10	25%	13%	110	+2.4	232/321/407	175	309	21	8	30%	11%	108	+2.3	213/301/403	189	279	24	8	31%	10%	97	+1.2