Eli Willits — OGILVIE

Eli WillitsSS Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION538 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP287

ISO139

MLB%11%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$90M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$16M	+$15M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$18M	+$17M
2031	Arb-1	$9M	+2.9	$17M	+$12M
2032	Arb-2	$15M	+2.9	$16M	+$8M
2033	Arb-3	$23M	+3.0	$16M	+$5M
Totals		$49M		$97M	+$71M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	123	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	53	13	1	1	0	4	18	1	2	0	245	310	302	612	57	347	31	7	261	63	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	53	13	1	1	0	4	18	1	2	0	245	310	302	612	57	371	31	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	53	13	1	1	0	4	18	1	2	0	245	310	302	612	57	347	31	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	53	13	1	1	0	4	18	1	2	0	245	310	302	612	57	347	31	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A+ MLE	WSH	—	538	466	98	21	7	12	59	155	9	62	15	210	311	363	674	152	285	29	11	298	88	-8	+6	+0	+6	+12	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A RAW	WSH	—	232	190	57	14	3	6	38	54	2	29	7	300	422	500	922	200	386	23	16	405	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A+ RAW	WSH	—	289	226	52	12	5	7	54	55	7	31	8	230	394	420	814	190	273	19	19	368	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	AA RAW	WSH	—	17	14	5	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	0	357	471	643	1.113	286	444	24	18	481	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	A+ MLE	WSH	11%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	143	250	143	393		290	25	12	311	96	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	18	MLB CTX	WSH	11%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						287	0	0	296	96	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	18	MLB A+C	WSH	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	296	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	A+ MLE	WSH	—	546	473	99	21	7	12	60	157	9	63	15	209	310	359	669	150	283	29	11	298	88	-8	+7	+0	+6	+12	1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	581	507	117	24	6	13	61	148	8	25	6	231	323	379	702	148	297	25	10	316	100	-0	+3	+2	+6	+13	2.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	68%	609	530	127	25	6	16	65	149	9	22	5	240	333	400	733	160	299	24	11	326	107	+5	+2	+2	+7	+13	3.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	73%	627	545	133	26	6	18	67	148	10	20	5	244	338	413	750	169	299	24	11	333	111	+8	+2	+2	+7	+14	3.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	75%	638	554	137	27	6	19	69	147	10	19	5	247	341	421	762	173	299	23	11	338	115	+11	+2	+2	+7	+14	3.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	75%	637	553	138	27	6	20	69	145	10	18	4	250	343	429	772	179	299	23	11	342	118	+13	+2	+2	+7	+14	3.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	74%	629	545	137	27	6	20	69	141	10	17	4	251	346	433	779	182	300	22	11	345	120	+15	+2	+2	+7	+14	4.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	74%	632	547	138	27	6	20	70	141	10	16	4	252	348	433	781	181	300	22	11	347	121	+16	+2	+2	+7	+14	4.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	73%	634	549	139	27	6	21	70	142	10	16	4	253	348	439	787	186	300	22	11	347	121	+16	+2	+2	+7	+14	4.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	72%	631	545	138	27	6	21	71	141	10	16	4	253	350	440	790	187	300	22	11	348	121	+16	+2	+2	+7	+14	4.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	623	538	134	26	5	20	70	140	10	15	4	249	346	428	774	178	300	22	11	347	121	+15	+1	+2	+7	+13	3.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	612	528	132	26	5	20	69	139	10	14	3	250	348	432	779	182	299	23	11	345	120	+14	+2	+1	+7	+13	3.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	68%	600	517	128	25	5	19	68	138	10	13	3	248	346	426	772	178	299	23	11	343	118	+13	+1	+0	+6	+13	3.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	WSH	73%	586	506	124	24	5	18	66	136	9	12	3	245	343	419	761	174	297	23	11	339	115	+11	+1	-1	+6	+13	3.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	WSH	76%	567	489	118	22	5	17	64	134	9	11	3	241	340	411	751	170	294	24	11	333	112	+8	+1	-1	+6	+12	2.6
2041	33	MLB MLE	WSH	78%	537	464	108	20	4	15	60	130	8	10	2	233	331	390	721	157	290	24	11	326	107	+5	+1	-2	+6	+12	2.1
2042	34	MLB MLE	WSH	74%	489	424	96	17	4	13	55	121	7	8	2	226	325	377	702	151	284	25	11	318	101	+1	+1	-3	+5	+11	1.5
2043	35	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	433	376	82	14	3	11	48	111	6	7	2	218	316	359	675	141	278	26	11	308	94	-3	+1	-4	+5	+9	0.8
2044	36	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	372	323	68	11	3	9	41	98	5	6	1	211	309	347	656	136	272	26	11	297	87	-6	+1	-5	+4	+8	0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	309	268	62	13	2	7	33	79	5	13	3	231	327	373	700	142	294	26	11	303	100	-0	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	68%	413	360	85	17	3	11	44	101	6	15	4	236	329	392	721	156	296	24	11	312	107	+3	+1	+2	+4	+9	2.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	73%	457	398	95	19	3	13	49	108	7	15	4	239	333	399	732	161	296	24	11	318	111	+6	+1	+2	+5	+10	2.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	75%	475	413	101	20	4	14	51	110	8	14	3	245	339	414	753	169	296	23	11	324	115	+8	+2	+2	+5	+10	2.8
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	75%	478	415	103	20	4	15	52	109	8	13	3	248	343	424	767	176	297	23	11	328	118	+10	+1	+2	+5	+10	2.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	74%	465	404	100	20	3	15	51	104	7	12	3	248	342	423	765	176	298	22	11	331	120	+11	+1	+2	+5	+10	2.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	74%	465	403	100	20	3	15	51	104	8	12	3	248	344	424	768	176	298	22	11	332	121	+11	+1	+2	+5	+10	3.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	73%	465	402	100	20	3	15	52	104	8	12	3	249	346	425	772	177	298	22	11	333	121	+12	+1	+2	+5	+10	3.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	72%	454	393	97	19	3	15	51	102	7	11	3	247	344	425	769	178	298	22	11	333	121	+12	+1	+2	+5	+10	3.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	443	383	95	19	3	14	50	100	7	11	3	248	345	423	768	175	297	23	11	332	121	+11	+1	+1	+5	+10	2.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	424	366	91	18	3	14	48	96	7	10	2	249	347	429	776	180	297	23	11	331	120	+10	+1	+1	+5	+9	2.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	68%	410	353	87	17	3	13	47	94	7	9	2	246	346	422	769	176	296	23	11	328	118	+9	+1	+0	+4	+9	2.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	WSH	73%	429	370	90	18	3	13	49	100	7	9	2	243	343	414	756	170	294	23	11	325	115	+8	+1	-0	+5	+9	2.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	WSH	76%	433	374	89	17	3	13	49	103	7	9	2	238	337	404	741	166	291	24	11	320	112	+6	+1	-1	+5	+9	2.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	WSH	78%	421	365	85	16	3	12	47	102	6	8	2	233	330	392	722	159	287	24	11	313	107	+4	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.7
2042	34	MLB CTX	WSH	74%	362	313	71	13	2	10	41	90	5	6	2	227	326	377	703	150	282	25	11	304	101	+1	+0	-2	+4	+8	1.1
2043	35	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	301	261	57	10	2	8	33	77	4	5	1	218	315	364	679	146	275	26	11	295	94	-2	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.6
2044	36	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	225	195	41	7	1	5	25	59	3	3	1	210	309	333	643	123	269	26	11	284	87	-3	+0	-3	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7430	6437	1549	303	51	222	823	1742	117	187	46	241	337	407	744	166	294	23	11	321	112	+115	+19	+6	+80	+161	38.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	135	27	4	19	72	152	10	16	4	240	336	403	740	163	294	23	11	321	112	+10	+2	+1	+7	+14	3.4
Career	—	MLE		—	10503	9100	2208	423	94	310	1157	2469	162	268	64	243	339	412	750	169	298	24	11	334	112	+158	+28	+9	+112	+226	54.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	136	26	6	19	72	153	10	17	4	242	338	410	748	169	297	24	11	334	112	+10	+2	+1	+7	+14	3.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	12.5	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.4
/162	664	21	19	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#2Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	11.0	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
/162	664	18	2	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#3Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	11.9	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.6	36.8
/162	664	18	18	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
#4Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#5Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	11.2	7,446	221	188	244	336	414	+73	+41	41.9	31.6
/162	664	20	17	+6.5	+3.7	3.7	pk7: 21
#6Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Willits (OGILVIE)	18	41→59	35→46	59	53	223/316/368	145	290	3	12	26%	10%	96	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	51→57	49→55	49→55	50	256/306/410	154	268	17	5	12%	6%	101	+1.4	263/317/398	135	286	11	9	12%	7%	102	+1.5	278/337/452	174	298	16	20	12%	8%	118	+2.0
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.0	235/278/323	88	288	5	8	19%	5%	70	-0.9	225/285/349	124	255	14	6	18%	7%	78	-0.2
●Ozzie Albies 2015 · A	18	56→59	36→60	55	50	265/324/335	70	313	3	18	16%	7%	89	+0.5	260/305/353	93	320	4	20	19%	6%	86	+0.3	275/329/488	213	303	24	15	18%	7%	124	+2.6
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	88	+0.5	264/309/413	149	329	13	17	23%	6%	103	+1.5	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→53	46→55	59→50	43	258/312/400	142	345	12	16	28%	7%	100	+1.3	237/300/393	156	312	16	12	28%	7%	95	+0.9	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	54→53	44→45	47→55	51	257/334/386	129	322	9	7	22%	9%	105	+1.7	237/303/349	112	298	9	18	22%	7%	86	+0.3	246/293/372	126	299	14	21	22%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	46→50	46→55	55	252/334/383	131	290	14	14	18%	10%	105	+1.7	229/302/359	130	266	15	21	19%	9%	88	+0.4	216/294/338	122	249	13	22	19%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	46→56	47→45	54→50	40	224/287/363	139	322	14	14	33%	6%	83	+0.1	224/277/346	122	304	10	16	28%	6%	75	-0.5	235/285/347	112	302	9	15	24%	5%	76	-0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	53→49	43→55	53→55	59	249/353/369	120	330	10	10	25%	13%	109	+2.0	230/321/393	163	306	18	8	29%	11%	103	+1.6	214/305/383	170	280	20	8	30%	10%	95	+0.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	53	41→45	61→65	55	249/330/357	107	284	6	32	14%	9%	97	+1.1	229/316/326	97	293	6	23	22%	9%	86	+0.3	222/315/324	102	289	6	23	23%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	49→52	46→50	56→60	45	240/293/385	146	299	11	20	23%	6%	90	+0.6	234/274/361	127	295	9	22	23%	5%	77	-0.3	246/282/378	132	296	11	30	20%	4%	81	-0.0
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→65	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	92	+0.7	229/285/369	140	326	14	22	32%	5%	84	+0.1	282/328/497	215	335	28	17	24%	5%	126	+2.4
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	44→50	48→40	45	201/299/321	121	330	10	6	38%	10%	80	-0.2	237/326/378	141	300	15	5	24%	10%	102	+1.5	240/328/378	138	294	15	4	22%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	56→57	42→45	52→50	47	264/313/387	124	280	6	14	9%	4%	98	+1.2	263/306/357	94	284	5	11	9%	4%	88	+0.4	261/304/347	86	281	4	9	8%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Alexi Amarista 2008 · A	19	51→60	41→45	51→55	47	246/294/352	105	276	8	13	14%	6%	82	+0.0	260/308/358	98	300	5	18	14%	6%	88	+0.5	271/316/372	101	311	4	21	14%	5%	92	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps