Eli Willits
SS Wilmington Blue Rocks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | AWSH | 58 | .300/.397/.360 | 0 | 2 | 74 | — | .250/.328/.308 |
| 2026 | 18 | AA/A+/AWSH | 538 | .265/.408/.463 | 14 | 62 | 94 | — | .217/.320/.379 |
| 2027PROJ11% MLB | 19 | MLBWSH | 22 | .238/.330/.385 | 1 | 1 | 104 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ59% MLB | 20 | MLBWSH | 303 | .244/.337/.400 | 8 | 10 | 111 | 1.6 | |
| 2029PROJ76% MLB | 21 | MLBWSH | 407 | .248/.342/.412 | 12 | 13 | 115 | 2.4 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 58 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 300 | 397 | 360 | 757 | 60 | 395 | 21 | 12 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 357 | 471 | 643 | 1.113 | 286 | 444 | 24 | 18 | 481 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 289 | 226 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 54 | 55 | 7 | 31 | 8 | 230 | 394 | 420 | 814 | 190 | 273 | 19 | 19 | 368 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 232 | 190 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 54 | 2 | 29 | 7 | 300 | 422 | 500 | 922 | 200 | 386 | 23 | 16 | 405 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 58 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 328 | 308 | 635 | 58 | 361 | 29 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 17 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 333 | 412 | 600 | 1.012 | 267 | 431 | 29 | 12 | 408 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 289 | 248 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 72 | 7 | 31 | 8 | 190 | 300 | 347 | 646 | 157 | 231 | 25 | 11 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 232 | 201 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 74 | 2 | 29 | 7 | 244 | 339 | 403 | 742 | 159 | 351 | 32 | 12 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 58 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 328 | 308 | 635 | 58 | 371 | 29 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | A RAW | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 58 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 300 | 397 | 360 | 757 | 60 | 395 | 21 | 12 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 463 | 100 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 62 | 150 | 9 | 62 | 15 | 216 | 320 | 371 | 692 | 156 | 289 | 28 | 12 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 538 | 430 | 114 | 27 | 8 | 14 | 95 | 113 | 9 | 62 | 15 | 265 | 408 | 463 | 871 | 198 | 327 | 21 | 18 | 387 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 58 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 328 | 308 | 635 | 58 | 361 | 29 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 462 | 100 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 62 | 150 | 9 | 62 | 15 | 216 | 320 | 372 | 693 | 156 | 289 | 28 | 12 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 58 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 328 | 308 | 635 | 58 | 361 | 29 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 462 | 100 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 62 | 150 | 9 | 62 | 15 | 216 | 320 | 372 | 693 | 156 | 289 | 28 | 12 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB MLE | WSH | 11% | 586 | 510 | 121 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 131 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 238 | 331 | 388 | 719 | 149 | 291 | 22 | 11 | 323 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +6 | +13 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB CTX | WSH | 11% | 22 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 330 | 385 | 715 | 147 | 290 | 23 | 9 | 321 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 20 | MLB MLE | WSH | 59% | 512 | 444 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 56 | 111 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 245 | 338 | 404 | 742 | 159 | 293 | 22 | 11 | 332 | 111 | +6 | +2 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB MLE | WSH | 76% | 537 | 465 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 113 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 249 | 342 | 416 | 758 | 167 | 294 | 21 | 11 | 338 | 115 | +9 | +2 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 3.1 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB MLE | WSH | 82% | 560 | 486 | 122 | 24 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 116 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 252 | 345 | 424 | 769 | 173 | 294 | 21 | 11 | 342 | 118 | +12 | +2 | +3 | +6 | +12 | 3.5 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB MLE | WSH | 83% | 578 | 502 | 127 | 25 | 4 | 18 | 63 | 118 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 254 | 346 | 430 | 776 | 176 | 295 | 20 | 11 | 345 | 119 | +13 | +2 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB MLE | WSH | 83% | 590 | 513 | 130 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 64 | 120 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 347 | 433 | 780 | 178 | 295 | 20 | 11 | 346 | 120 | +14 | +2 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB MLE | WSH | 82% | 599 | 521 | 134 | 26 | 5 | 20 | 65 | 122 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 255 | 348 | 434 | 782 | 179 | 295 | 20 | 11 | 347 | 121 | +15 | +1 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB MLE | WSH | 82% | 604 | 525 | 135 | 26 | 5 | 20 | 66 | 123 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 255 | 348 | 434 | 782 | 179 | 295 | 20 | 11 | 347 | 121 | +15 | +1 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB MLE | WSH | 80% | 599 | 521 | 132 | 26 | 4 | 19 | 65 | 123 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 254 | 347 | 432 | 778 | 177 | 295 | 21 | 11 | 346 | 120 | +14 | +1 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB MLE | WSH | 80% | 589 | 512 | 129 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 64 | 122 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 252 | 345 | 427 | 772 | 175 | 294 | 21 | 11 | 343 | 118 | +13 | +1 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB MLE | WSH | 78% | 568 | 494 | 124 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 62 | 119 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 250 | 342 | 421 | 763 | 171 | 293 | 21 | 11 | 340 | 116 | +11 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +12 | 3.4 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB MLE | WSH | 76% | 553 | 481 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 118 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 247 | 339 | 413 | 752 | 166 | 292 | 21 | 11 | 335 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 3.0 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB MLE | WSH | 76% | 534 | 465 | 114 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 116 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 243 | 334 | 404 | 738 | 160 | 289 | 22 | 11 | 330 | 109 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB MLE | WSH | 75% | 512 | 447 | 106 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 113 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 238 | 328 | 391 | 719 | 153 | 286 | 22 | 11 | 322 | 104 | +3 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB MLE | WSH | 75% | 476 | 418 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 108 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 232 | 321 | 375 | 697 | 144 | 281 | 23 | 11 | 313 | 98 | -1 | -2 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB MLE | WSH | 71% | 419 | 369 | 83 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 223 | 312 | 357 | 669 | 133 | 275 | 23 | 10 | 302 | 90 | -5 | -4 | -2 | +4 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB CTX | WSH | 59% | 303 | 263 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 66 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 244 | 337 | 400 | 738 | 157 | 292 | 22 | 11 | 330 | 111 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +7 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB CTX | WSH | 76% | 407 | 354 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 86 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 248 | 342 | 412 | 754 | 165 | 293 | 21 | 11 | 337 | 115 | +7 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +9 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB CTX | WSH | 82% | 457 | 397 | 100 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 94 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 251 | 344 | 421 | 765 | 170 | 293 | 21 | 11 | 341 | 118 | +10 | +2 | +2 | +5 | +10 | 2.9 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB CTX | WSH | 83% | 483 | 420 | 106 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 99 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 253 | 346 | 427 | 772 | 174 | 294 | 20 | 11 | 343 | 119 | +11 | +2 | +3 | +5 | +10 | 3.2 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB CTX | WSH | 83% | 487 | 424 | 108 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 99 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 254 | 346 | 430 | 776 | 176 | 294 | 20 | 11 | 345 | 120 | +12 | +1 | +3 | +5 | +11 | 3.3 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB CTX | WSH | 82% | 493 | 429 | 109 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 54 | 100 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 255 | 347 | 431 | 778 | 177 | 294 | 20 | 11 | 346 | 121 | +12 | +1 | +4 | +5 | +11 | 3.4 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB CTX | WSH | 82% | 496 | 432 | 110 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 54 | 101 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 254 | 347 | 431 | 778 | 177 | 294 | 20 | 11 | 346 | 121 | +12 | +1 | +4 | +5 | +11 | 3.4 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB CTX | WSH | 80% | 482 | 419 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 99 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 253 | 346 | 429 | 775 | 175 | 294 | 21 | 11 | 344 | 120 | +11 | +1 | +3 | +5 | +10 | 3.2 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB CTX | WSH | 80% | 469 | 409 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 97 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 252 | 344 | 424 | 768 | 172 | 293 | 21 | 11 | 342 | 118 | +10 | +1 | +3 | +5 | +10 | 3.0 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB CTX | WSH | 78% | 440 | 383 | 97 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 92 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 250 | 342 | 418 | 760 | 169 | 292 | 21 | 11 | 339 | 116 | +8 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB CTX | WSH | 76% | 422 | 368 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 90 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 247 | 338 | 411 | 749 | 164 | 291 | 21 | 11 | 334 | 113 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +9 | 2.3 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB CTX | WSH | 76% | 404 | 353 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 88 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 243 | 334 | 401 | 735 | 158 | 288 | 22 | 11 | 329 | 109 | +4 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB CTX | WSH | 75% | 386 | 337 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 85 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 238 | 328 | 389 | 716 | 151 | 285 | 22 | 11 | 321 | 104 | +2 | -1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB CTX | WSH | 75% | 358 | 314 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 231 | 321 | 373 | 694 | 142 | 280 | 23 | 10 | 312 | 98 | -1 | -2 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB CTX | WSH | 71% | 296 | 261 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 69 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 223 | 311 | 354 | 666 | 132 | 274 | 23 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -3 | -3 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6383 | 5563 | 1378 | 269 | 38 | 193 | 690 | 1346 | 86 | 146 | 52 | 248 | 340 | 414 | 754 | 166 | 292 | 21 | 11 | 336 | 112 | +107 | +8 | +27 | +68 | +138 | 35.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 140 | 27 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 137 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 247 | 340 | 415 | 755 | 168 | 291 | 21 | 11 | 336 | 112 | +11 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +14 | 3.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 9036 | 7860 | 1935 | 375 | 69 | 265 | 979 | 1954 | 120 | 260 | 87 | 246 | 339 | 413 | 751 | 166 | 294 | 22 | 11 | 334 | 112 | +136 | +10 | +35 | +90 | +183 | 46.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 139 | 27 | 5 | 19 | 70 | 141 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 246 | 338 | 412 | 750 | 166 | 294 | 22 | 11 | 334 | 112 | +10 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +14 | 3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 289 PAwOBA .357 → .287 (−70)K% 19.0% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.050 | 11.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.42% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.957 | ×1.050 | 14.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.957 | ×1.050 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×1.050 | 2.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .357 → .287; ISO .190 → .173; BABIP .273 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 232 PAwOBA .399 → .325 (−74)K% 23.3% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 11.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.045 | 23.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.045 | 8.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.979 | ×1.045 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.69% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .399 → .325; ISO .200 → .163; BABIP .386 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAHarrisburg Senators · 17 PAwOBA .468 → .408 (−61)K% 23.5% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 12.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 30.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.050 | 9.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 8.19% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .468 → .408; ISO .286 → .238; BABIP .444 → .431. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFredericksburg Nationals · 58 PAwOBA .341 → .278 (−63)K% 20.7% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.21% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 31.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 2.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 121, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .341 → .278; ISO .060 → .047; BABIP .395 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).