Eli Willits — OGILVIE

Eli WillitsSS Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .331 / .386

PA34

HR1

K%24

BB%12

BABIP290

ISO133

MLB%11%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$102M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$19M	+$19M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.3	$25M	+$25M
2031	Arb-1	$9M	+3.6	$27M	+$21M
2032	Arb-2	$16M	+3.7	$26M	+$17M
2033	Arb-3	$24M	+3.8	$26M	+$13M
Totals		$52M		$138M	+$108M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	14	5	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	0	357	471	643	1.113	286	444	24	18	481	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	289	226	52	12	5	7	54	55	7	31	8	230	394	420	814	190	273	19	19	368	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	232	190	57	14	3	6	38	54	2	29	7	300	422	500	922	200	386	23	16	405	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	361	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	15	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	2	0	333	412	600	1.012	267	431	29	12	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	289	248	47	10	4	7	32	72	7	31	8	190	300	347	646	157	231	25	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	232	201	49	11	3	5	27	74	2	29	7	244	339	403	742	159	351	32	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	371	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	538	463	100	22	7	12	62	150	9	62	15	216	320	371	692	156	289	28	12	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	538	430	114	27	8	14	95	113	9	62	15	265	408	463	871	198	327	21	18	387	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	361	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	538	462	100	22	7	12	62	150	9	62	15	216	320	372	693	156	289	28	12	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	361	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	538	462	100	22	7	12	62	150	9	62	15	216	320	372	693	156	289	28	12	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	11%	586	510	122	24	5	14	63	131	8	20	5	239	332	389	721	150	292	22	11	323	105	+3	+2	+3	+6	+13	1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	WSH	11%	34	30	7	1	0	1	4	8	0	1	0	238	331	386	717	148	290	24	12	322	105	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	63%	577	502	123	24	5	15	62	128	8	19	5	243	336	396	733	153	295	22	11	328	108	+6	+2	+3	+6	+13	3.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	81%	597	519	129	25	5	17	64	128	9	19	4	247	340	409	750	162	295	21	11	335	113	+9	+2	+3	+6	+13	3.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	87%	615	535	134	26	5	18	66	129	9	18	4	251	343	418	761	168	295	21	11	339	116	+11	+2	+4	+7	+13	3.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	89%	627	545	138	27	5	19	68	130	9	18	4	253	345	425	770	172	296	21	11	342	118	+13	+2	+4	+7	+14	4.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	88%	634	551	140	27	5	20	69	131	9	17	4	254	347	429	775	174	297	21	11	345	119	+15	+2	+5	+7	+14	4.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	88%	639	555	141	27	5	20	70	131	9	17	4	255	348	430	778	176	297	21	11	346	120	+15	+2	+5	+7	+14	4.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	87%	642	558	141	27	5	20	70	132	9	16	4	255	348	430	777	175	296	21	11	345	120	+15	+2	+5	+7	+14	4.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	86%	639	555	141	27	5	20	70	132	9	15	4	254	347	427	774	174	296	21	11	344	119	+14	+1	+5	+7	+14	4.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	85%	633	550	139	27	5	19	69	132	9	14	4	252	345	423	768	171	295	21	11	342	117	+13	+1	+4	+7	+14	4.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	82%	621	540	134	26	4	18	68	132	8	13	3	250	342	417	759	167	294	21	11	338	115	+11	+1	+3	+7	+13	3.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	81%	610	531	131	25	4	18	66	131	8	11	4	247	339	409	748	162	293	21	11	334	112	+9	+1	+2	+7	+13	3.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	WSH	81%	595	519	125	24	4	16	64	130	7	9	4	243	334	399	734	157	291	22	11	328	108	+6	+0	+2	+6	+13	2.8
2040	32	MLB MLE	WSH	80%	577	504	120	23	4	15	61	129	7	8	5	238	328	387	715	149	287	22	11	321	103	+2	-0	+1	+6	+13	2.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	WSH	80%	547	479	110	20	3	13	57	126	6	7	9	231	321	371	692	140	283	23	10	312	97	-2	-2	-0	+6	+12	1.4
2042	34	MLB MLE	WSH	75%	499	440	97	17	3	11	51	118	5	6	16	223	312	353	665	130	276	24	10	301	90	-6	-5	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	63%	362	315	75	15	2	9	39	80	5	12	3	242	335	393	729	151	294	22	11	327	108	+4	+1	+2	+4	+8	1.9
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	81%	482	420	103	21	3	13	52	104	7	15	4	247	340	406	746	160	294	22	11	333	113	+7	+1	+3	+5	+10	2.7
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	87%	534	463	116	23	3	16	58	112	8	16	4	250	342	415	758	166	294	21	11	338	116	+10	+2	+3	+6	+12	3.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	89%	557	484	121	24	3	17	60	116	8	16	4	252	344	422	766	170	295	21	11	341	118	+12	+2	+4	+6	+12	3.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	88%	557	483	122	24	3	17	61	115	8	15	4	254	346	426	772	172	296	21	11	343	119	+13	+1	+4	+6	+12	3.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	88%	559	485	123	24	3	18	61	115	8	14	3	254	347	427	774	173	296	21	11	344	120	+13	+2	+4	+6	+12	3.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	87%	561	486	123	24	3	18	62	115	8	14	3	254	347	427	774	173	295	20	11	344	120	+13	+2	+4	+6	+12	3.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	86%	547	474	120	24	3	17	60	113	8	13	3	253	346	424	771	172	295	21	11	343	119	+12	+1	+4	+6	+12	3.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	85%	537	466	116	23	3	16	59	112	7	12	3	251	344	420	764	169	295	21	11	340	117	+11	+1	+3	+6	+12	3.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	82%	512	444	111	22	3	15	56	109	7	10	3	249	342	414	756	165	294	21	11	337	115	+9	+1	+3	+5	+11	3.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	81%	495	432	106	21	3	14	54	107	6	9	3	246	338	407	745	160	292	22	11	333	112	+7	+1	+2	+5	+11	2.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	WSH	81%	479	418	102	20	3	13	52	105	6	8	3	242	334	397	731	155	290	22	11	327	108	+5	+0	+1	+5	+10	2.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	WSH	80%	462	404	95	18	2	12	49	103	6	6	4	237	328	384	712	147	286	22	11	320	103	+2	-0	+1	+5	+10	1.7
2041	33	MLB CTX	WSH	80%	437	383	89	17	2	11	46	100	5	5	7	231	321	369	690	139	282	23	11	311	97	-1	-2	-0	+5	+9	1.1
2042	34	MLB CTX	WSH	75%	377	331	73	13	2	8	39	89	4	4	12	222	311	350	662	128	275	24	10	300	90	-5	-4	-1	+4	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7458	6488	1595	313	41	214	808	1595	101	169	63	246	339	406	744	160	293	21	11	334	111	+112	+9	+37	+80	+162	40.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	140	27	4	19	70	139	9	15	5	248	340	411	750	163	295	21	11	334	111	+10	+1	+3	+7	+14	3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	9968	8677	2123	408	78	279	1076	2178	135	282	96	245	337	406	743	161	294	22	11	332	111	+134	+11	+46	+100	+203	50.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	139	27	5	18	70	142	9	18	6	246	338	406	744	161	296	22	11	332	111	+9	+1	+3	+7	+14	3.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	12.5	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.4
/162	664	21	19	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#2Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	11.0	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
/162	664	18	2	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#3Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	11.9	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.6	36.8
/162	664	18	18	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	11.3	7,493	216	171	248	337	412	+78	+46	41.0	33.0
/162	664	19	15	+6.9	+4.0	3.6	pk7: 25
#4Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#5Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#6Alexei Ramirezlast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,505 PA	8.3	5,505	115	143	270	307	392	+55	+70	25.4	25.0
/162	664	14	17	+6.7	+8.5	3.1	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Willits (OGILVIE)	19	49→60	39→47	59	56	237/329/386	149	292	8	11	22%	11%	105	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→55	46→50	55	52	233/315/374	141	290	12	21	23%	10%	96	+1.0	239/326/389	150	309	14	21	25%	10%	103	+1.6	237/330/391	154	306	15	24	25%	10%	104	+0.9
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
✕Adael Amador 2024 · AA	21	52→56	48→50	49→55	54	257/333/399	142	291	15	16	17%	9%	109	+2.0	235/310/364	129	275	14	21	19%	9%	92	+0.7	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Ozzie Albies 2018 · MLB	21	55→62	43→60	59→55	45	266/313/393	127	322	9	21	20%	6%	99	+1.2	271/318/452	181	308	19	15	18%	6%	115	+2.4	273/324/485	212	301	24	15	18%	6%	126	+2.7
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	49→53	46→50	56→60	45	241/296/389	148	299	11	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7	244/285/377	133	308	10	22	23%	5%	84	+0.2	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Jackson Holliday 2024 · AAA	20	58→62	45→50	53→50	55	271/356/407	136	361	10	15	26%	12%	118	+2.6	239/321/373	134	312	13	14	25%	10%	98	+1.2	227/308/354	128	289	14	14	25%	10%	89	+0.5
●Wander Franco 2021 · A	20	55→60	45→55	47→55	53	268/323/398	130	287	11	10	12%	8%	104	+1.6	274/329/434	160	298	14	14	13%	7%	114	+2.4	280/337/455	175	300	16	20	12%	7%	122	+2.2
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	55→52	47→55	59→50	43	262/316/407	145	351	12	16	28%	7%	103	+1.6	243/307/405	162	320	16	12	28%	7%	101	+1.4	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	51→60	48→60	52→60	48	249/316/400	151	316	15	13	25%	8%	103	+1.5	268/339/415	147	343	15	32	24%	9%	114	+2.3	264/354/415	151	338	15	35	24%	12%	120	+2.9
●Luke Keaschall 2024 · A	21	49→58	44→45	56→55	46	237/309/366	129	311	10	16	26%	8%	92	+0.7	257/344/386	129	308	12	23	20%	9%	110	+2.1	267/360/392	125	312	12	25	17%	9%	117	+2.0
●Bo Bichette 2019 · AA	21	56→62	46→60	54→55	44	272/317/419	147	333	11	19	22%	6%	107	+1.8	278/323/457	179	335	19	20	22%	6%	118	+2.7	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	48→58	47→45	55→50	40	230/290/370	140	327	13	14	32%	6%	86	+0.3	233/286/359	126	312	10	16	27%	6%	82	-0.0	244/294/361	117	313	9	15	24%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2024 · AA	20	44→48	45→50	60→55	54	209/324/338	129	296	11	25	30%	12%	93	+0.8	216/310/345	129	299	10	23	28%	11%	88	+0.4	214/300/348	134	288	11	26	27%	10%	82	+0.0
●Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	54→52	44→55	53→55	59	251/357/373	122	334	10	10	25%	14%	112	+2.2	237/331/406	169	317	19	8	29%	11%	110	+2.1	221/316/399	177	291	21	8	30%	11%	102	+1.2
✕Colt Emerson 2024 · A	19	56→51	43→45	54→50	49	261/343/383	122	348	9	14	26%	9%	109	+2.0	239/321/362	123	313	11	13	25%	9%	96	+1.0	231/311/363	132	302	13	14	26%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	54→64	42→50	54→55	49	259/332/371	113	319	9	12	21%	8%	101	+1.4	276/340/405	129	329	12	17	19%	7%	112	+2.2	277/343/400	124	329	12	18	19%	7%	109	+1.7
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	54→53	42→60	56→60	43	257/308/377	120	328	8	22	23%	6%	93	+0.8	249/298/385	136	296	13	29	20%	4%	93	+0.8	252/319/452	200	292	23	30	22%	7%	117	+2.7
●Kevin McGonigle 2024 · A	19	51→57	39→50	47→50	54	240/319/330	90	294	6	15	20%	10%	87	+0.4	261/339/405	144	289	14	15	14%	10%	112	+2.2	271/359/435	164	294	17	13	14%	12%	126	+2.5
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	50→58	50	47→40	51	245/343/412	167	321	17	8	27%	10%	116	+2.5	248/329/371	123	310	12	3	22%	9%	101	+1.4	253/330/357	104	310	11	1	21%	9%	97	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps