Branneli Franco

P FCL Cardinals

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 187 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #1029

ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKSTL	12	12	38	6.16	4.76	20.6%	13.3%	—	K 14.0% · BB 16.7% · FIP 5.66
2025	18	ROKSTL	10	2	16	3.31	2.06	22.9%	7.1%	—	K 15.5% · BB 8.9% · FIP 2.92
2026	19	MIX2 levels	13	7	37	7.54	5.48	18.8%	16.7%	—	K 13.3% · BB 20.6% · FIP 6.60
2027PROJ	20	MLBSTL	6	6	27	5.91	5.91	17.4%	17.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBSTL	4	4	17	5.57	5.44	18.9%	15.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command45FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsChris Viall (age 20) · Keegan Zinn (age 19) · Reynardo Cruz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.91

FIP5.91

K%17.4%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%-0.3%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3050

CMD2045

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	12	38	180	37	24	5	100%	3.2	14.0%	16.7%	-2.7%	3.0%	6.16	5.66	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	12	38	180	37	24	5	100%	3.2	14.0%	16.7%	-2.7%	3.0%	6.16	5.66	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	12	12	38	180	37	24	5	100%	3.2	20.6%	13.3%	7.2%	2.8%	6.16	4.76	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	10	2	16	70	16	5	0	20%	1.6	15.5%	8.9%	6.6%	0.0%	3.31	2.92	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	10	2	16	70	16	5	0	20%	1.6	15.5%	8.9%	6.6%	0.0%	3.31	2.92	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	10	2	16	70	16	5	0	20%	1.6	22.9%	7.1%	15.7%	0.0%	3.31	2.06	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	37	186	35	31	5	54%	2.8	13.3%	20.6%	-7.4%	3.7%	7.54	6.60	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	37	186	35	31	5	54%	2.8	13.3%	20.6%	-7.4%	3.7%	7.54	6.60	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	7	37	186	35	31	5	54%	2.8	18.8%	16.7%	2.2%	2.7%	7.54	5.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	STL	6	6	27	114	20	20	3	100%	4.5	17.4%	17.7%	-0.3%	3.0%	5.91	5.91	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	7	7	35	148	28	23	4	100%	5.0	18.9%	15.3%	3.7%	3.0%	5.57	5.44	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	4	4	17	72	14	11	2	100%	4.2	18.9%	15.3%	3.7%	3.0%	5.57	5.44	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	17	73	14	11	2	100%	4.3	18.9%	15.3%	3.7%	3.0%	5.57	5.06	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	163	128	23	100%	4.8	18.9%	15.3%	3.7%	3.0%	5.57	5.06	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		35	21	91	436	61	75	12	60%	2.6	13.9%	17.1%	-3.2%	2.8%	6.21	5.62	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	46	200	955	133	163	27	60%	2.6	13.9%	17.1%	-3.2%	2.8%	6.21	5.62	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Branneli Franco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.91	17.4%	17.7%	3.0%	—	5.44	18.9%	3.7%	35	-0.47	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	89
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	87
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	85
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	85
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	85
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	85
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	84
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	84
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	83
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	82
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	82
Jesus Tillero R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	18	SP-	5.94	13.3%	18.0%	3.1%	.274	5.23	14.8%	3.8%	129	-0.71	2.26	180	82
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 4.89 FIP	18	SP-	4.89	16.2%	18.6%	1.4%	.312	5.29	12.2%	-5.4%	46	+0.40	3.40	126	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	81
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	81
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	81
Abraham Parra R 2024 · 5.40 FIP	18	SP-	5.40	14.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.376	4.82	15.3%	1.3%	181	-0.58	4.16	243	81
Bryan Sanchez R 2023 · 6.58 FIP	20	SP-	6.58	15.7%	19.3%	4.3%	.296	5.63	14.6%	-3.0%	65	-0.95	2.99	142	81
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	81
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	18.2%	16.3%	1.16	5.72
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*