Branneli Franco — OGILVIE

Branneli Franco P FCL Cardinals

Age 19 RHP 6'3" / 187 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%18.9%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3050

CMD2045

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	12	38	180	37	24	5	100%	3.2	14.0%	16.7%	-2.7%	3.0%	6.16	5.66	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	12	38	180	37	24	5	100%	3.2	14.0%	16.7%	-2.7%	3.0%	6.16	5.66	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	12	12	38	180	37	24	5	100%	3.2	20.6%	13.3%	7.2%	2.8%	6.16	4.76	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	10	2	16	70	16	5	0	20%	1.6	15.5%	8.9%	6.6%	0.0%	3.31	2.92	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	10	2	16	70	16	5	0	20%	1.6	15.5%	8.9%	6.6%	0.0%	3.31	2.92	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	10	2	16	70	16	5	0	20%	1.6	22.9%	7.1%	15.7%	0.0%	3.31	2.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	13	7	37	186	35	31	5	54%	2.8	13.3%	20.6%	-7.4%	3.7%	7.54	6.60	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	13	7	37	186	35	31	5	54%	2.8	13.3%	20.6%	-7.4%	3.7%	7.54	6.60	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	STL	9	5	22	120	20	26	3	56%	2.4	16.7%	21.7%	-5.0%	2.5%	10.64	5.81	—
2026	19	A RAW	STL	4	2	15	66	15	5	2	50%	3.8	22.7%	7.6%	15.2%	3.0%	3.00	3.80	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	8	8	38	160	32	19	5	100%	4.8	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.94	4.86	+0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	4	4	19	80	16	9	2	100%	4.8	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.94	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	79	16	9	2	100%	4.7	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.94	4.48	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	171	96	21	100%	4.8	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.94	4.48	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		35	21	91	436	61	75	12	60%	2.6	13.9%	17.1%	-3.2%	2.8%	6.21	5.62	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	46	200	955	133	163	27	60%	2.6	13.9%	17.1%	-3.2%	2.8%	6.21	5.62	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Branneli Franco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	18.9%	12.9%	2.9%	—	4.86	20.1%	8.3%	38	-0.27	—	—	—
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	91
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	88
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.32	274	86
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	84
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	84
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	84
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	83
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	199	83
Starlyn Castillo R 2021 · 4.17 FIP	19	SP-	4.17	16.4%	13.1%	1.5%	.271	4.76	15.3%	0.9%	117	+0.59	4.17	138	82
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	82
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	82
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	82
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	82
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	81
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	81
Edward Escoboza R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP-	4.73	15.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.345	4.05	17.4%	9.9%	157	-0.68	3.44	213	81
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	80
Waylin Santana R 2022 · 4.88 FIP	19	SP-	4.88	14.6%	10.2%	3.1%	.388	6.57	13.2%	0.1%	72	+1.69	4.88	117	80
Manuel Perez R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	17	SP-	4.04	17.5%	11.8%	1.7%	.366	5.09	13.7%	-1.1%	117	+1.05	3.40	188	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	19.7%	12.1%	1.12	5.00
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82