Joswa Lugo — OGILVIE

Joswa LugoSS ACL Angels

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 187 lbs ROK K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION357 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP280

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$34M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$6M	+$3M
2034	Arb-2	$9M	+1.2	$5M	+$1M
2035	Arb-3	$12M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$17M		$30M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	219	193	58	11	3	5	17	51	6	18	5	301	375	466	841	166	379	23	8	370	136	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.6
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	152	129	35	7	0	2	19	40	3	1	4	271	377	372	750	101	375	26	12	343	118	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	219	201	39	7	2	3	9	71	6	18	5	194	250	294	544	100	268	32	4	242	50	-13	+2	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	152	137	26	5	0	2	11	59	3	1	4	190	265	270	535	80	303	39	7	232	43	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	219	201	39	7	2	3	9	71	6	18	5	194	250	294	544	100	277	32	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	219	193	58	11	3	5	17	51	6	18	5	301	375	466	841	166	379	23	8	370	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	152	137	26	5	0	2	11	59	3	1	4	190	265	270	535	80	312	39	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	152	129	35	7	0	2	19	40	3	1	4	271	377	372	750	101	375	26	12	343	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	219	202	39	7	2	3	9	71	6	18	5	193	250	292	542	99	268	32	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	152	137	26	5	0	2	11	59	3	1	4	190	265	270	535	80	303	39	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	219	202	39	7	2	3	9	71	6	18	5	193	250	292	542	99	268	32	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	152	137	26	5	0	2	11	59	3	1	4	190	265	270	535	80	303	39	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	LAA	—	357	315	62	13	1	8	29	117	11	2	1	197	287	321	608	124	281	33	8	270	69	-13	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	LAA	—	241	196	55	14	2	8	37	54	8	1	1	281	415	495	910	214	351	22	15	405	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	LAA	—	116	103	24	4	0	3	8	29	3	1	0	233	307	359	666	126	288	25	7	298	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	LAA	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		281	30	10	272	70	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	LAA	—	367	324	63	13	1	8	30	120	11	2	1	194	285	315	600	120	278	33	8	270	69	-13	+0	-0	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAA	34%	358	321	68	13	2	9	27	106	7	5	2	212	287	349	636	137	284	30	8	288	81	-8	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	453	406	89	17	2	13	35	130	9	7	3	219	296	367	663	148	286	29	8	300	89	-6	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.8
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	514	459	104	20	2	17	40	144	10	9	4	227	303	390	693	163	287	28	8	308	95	-3	+0	-1	+6	+11	1.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	551	491	113	21	3	19	44	152	11	10	5	230	308	401	709	171	288	28	8	314	99	-1	+0	-1	+6	+12	1.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	574	512	119	22	3	21	46	158	11	11	5	232	309	410	719	178	289	28	8	318	101	+1	+0	-1	+6	+12	1.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	586	522	122	23	3	22	47	161	12	12	5	234	312	416	727	182	290	27	8	320	103	+2	+0	-1	+6	+13	2.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAA	56%	590	525	123	23	3	22	48	162	12	12	5	234	313	415	728	181	289	27	8	322	104	+3	+0	-1	+6	+13	2.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	589	524	122	23	3	22	48	162	12	12	6	233	312	414	726	181	289	28	8	322	104	+3	+0	-1	+6	+13	2.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	582	517	120	22	3	22	48	161	12	12	5	232	312	414	726	182	289	28	8	321	103	+2	+0	-2	+6	+13	2.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	572	508	117	22	2	21	48	159	11	11	5	230	310	406	716	175	288	28	8	319	102	+1	+0	-3	+6	+12	1.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	561	498	114	21	2	21	47	158	11	10	5	229	309	406	715	177	287	28	8	316	100	+0	+0	-3	+6	+12	1.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	546	485	110	20	2	20	45	155	11	10	4	227	307	400	707	173	285	28	8	313	98	-1	+0	-4	+6	+12	1.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	LAA	56%	527	468	104	19	2	18	44	152	10	9	4	222	303	387	689	165	282	29	8	307	94	-4	+0	-5	+6	+11	0.9
2040	33	MLB MLE	LAA	59%	498	444	96	17	2	17	41	146	10	8	4	216	297	378	675	162	278	29	8	300	89	-6	+0	-5	+5	+11	0.5
2041	34	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	451	403	84	14	2	14	37	135	8	6	3	208	288	357	645	149	272	30	8	292	84	-9	+0	-6	+5	+10	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	LAA	34%	123	110	24	5	1	3	9	36	3	2	1	218	295	364	659	145	283	29	7	273	81	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	219	196	43	8	1	7	17	63	4	4	2	219	295	378	672	158	285	29	8	285	89	-3	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.4
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	279	249	56	11	1	9	22	78	6	5	2	225	303	386	689	161	287	28	8	294	95	-2	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	312	278	64	12	1	11	25	86	6	6	3	230	307	399	707	169	288	28	8	300	99	-0	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.9
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	325	290	67	12	2	12	26	89	6	6	3	231	307	410	718	179	289	27	8	304	101	+1	+0	-1	+3	+7	1.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	331	294	70	13	2	13	27	91	7	7	3	238	317	429	746	190	289	27	8	306	103	+1	+0	-1	+4	+7	1.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAA	56%	333	296	70	13	2	13	27	91	7	7	3	236	315	426	741	189	289	27	8	308	104	+1	+0	-1	+4	+7	1.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	327	290	67	12	1	13	27	90	7	7	3	231	312	414	726	183	289	28	8	308	104	+1	+0	-1	+4	+7	1.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	319	284	65	12	1	12	26	88	6	6	3	229	307	405	712	176	288	28	8	307	103	+1	+0	-1	+3	+7	1.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	306	272	62	11	1	12	25	85	6	6	3	228	307	408	715	180	288	28	8	305	102	+1	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	295	262	60	11	1	11	25	83	6	5	3	229	311	405	715	176	287	28	8	303	100	+0	-0	-2	+3	+6	0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	285	253	56	10	1	10	24	81	6	5	2	221	304	387	691	166	285	28	8	299	98	-1	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	LAA	56%	296	263	57	10	1	10	25	85	6	5	2	217	299	376	676	160	281	29	8	294	94	-2	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.5
2040	33	MLB CTX	LAA	59%	294	262	57	10	1	10	24	86	6	5	2	218	298	378	676	160	277	29	8	287	89	-4	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.3
2041	34	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	246	219	46	8	1	8	20	74	5	3	2	210	291	365	656	155	272	30	8	279	84	-5	-0	-3	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4290	3818	864	158	18	154	349	1206	87	79	37	226	306	398	704	172	286	28	8	299	95	-12	+1	-20	+46	+93	11.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	131	24	3	23	53	183	13	12	6	227	305	398	703	171	288	28	8	299	95	-2	+0	-3	+7	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8333	7430	1671	309	38	283	666	2374	166	163	74	225	303	391	694	166	288	28	8	309	95	-26	+3	-36	+85	+173	20.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	130	24	3	22	52	185	13	13	6	224	303	390	692	166	286	28	8	309	95	-2	+0	-3	+7	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,502	155	81	227	301	394	+46	+0	15.1	12.3
/162	664	23	12	+6.9	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joswa Lugo (OGILVIE)	19	26→42	37→57	56→53	42	201/278/314	114	281	4	3	31%	7%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→51	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	58	-1.7	228/267/375	147	291	14	19	26%	4%	78	-0.3	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Renato Núñez 2013 · A	19	44→51	43→60	49→30	39	216/264/333	117	285	9	5	27%	4%	68	-1.0	212/252/349	137	278	17	3	30%	4%	67	-1.1	229/300/429	200	270	28	1	26%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	69	-0.9	238/288/366	128	310	12	12	26%	6%	84	+0.1	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→55	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	64	-1.3	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46	42→65	55→50	36	223/264/339	116	318	8	9	32%	4%	68	-1.0	222/272/373	151	319	16	10	34%	5%	80	-0.1	226/289/423	196	264	28	9	26%	6%	97	+1.0
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A	19	42→52	40→50	46→45	39	203/253/296	93	299	7	7	33%	6%	55	-2.0	227/270/352	125	293	13	6	26%	4%	74	-0.5	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	46→45	39	185/252/258	72	287	6	6	36%	7%	46	-2.6	229/289/356	127	293	13	7	25%	6%	82	+0.0	248/309/417	169	290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.6
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	218/288/314	96	268	8	16	21%	7%	73	-0.6	216/264/320	104	282	9	16	26%	6%	64	-1.3	259/321/470	211	301	29	14	24%	8%	118	+1.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→46	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	209/270/337	128	287	13	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	57	-1.8	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	77	-0.3	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.5
✕Tim Beckham 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→55	49→50	38	200/246/280	80	287	5	7	31%	5%	48	-2.5	224/273/311	87	319	5	11	29%	6%	65	-1.2	246/300/414	168	317	21	4	28%	6%	99	+0.9
●Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→50	49→50	37	186/237/281	95	256	9	10	30%	4%	46	-2.6	219/266/312	93	298	8	8	28%	4%	63	-1.4	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	195/257/326	131	297	12	13	36%	7%	63	-1.3	271/338/502	231	331	28	25	26%	8%	132	+3.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→43	41→50	51→50	44	205/270/309	104	282	7	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	200/251/288	88	282	6	11	30%	6%	52	-2.2	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps