Joswa Lugo — OGILVIE

Joswa LugoSS ACL Angels

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 187 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.8 · 2034

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .281 / .344

PA126

HR3

K%29

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

22↗42

PWR

31↗57

SPD

57↘52

FLD

38↗50

EYE

40↗42

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.7	$36M	+$35M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$39M	+$38M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$38M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$37M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.1	$34M	+$18M
Totals		$38M		$217M	+$179M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	219	201	38	6	2	3	9	69	6	18	5	.189	.245	.284	.529	.095	.265	32	4	.238	40	-15	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	152	138	26	5	0	2	10	61	3	1	4	.188	.258	.268	.526	.080	.316	40	7	.229	33	-11	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	LAA	126	115	24	4	1	3	9	37	1	2	1	.209	.272	.339	.611	.130	.287	29	7	.283	75	-4	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	LAA	213	190	45	8	1	7	18	59	3	5	1	.237	.313	.400	.713	.163	.296	28	8	.311	96	-1	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.8
2028	21	MLB 28%	LAA	342	304	73	13	2	12	30	92	5	8	2	.240	.319	.414	.733	.174	.298	27	9	.321	104	+2	+1	-1	+4	+10	1.5
2029	22	MLB 48%	LAA	436	387	93	16	2	16	40	114	6	10	2	.240	.321	.416	.737	.176	.299	26	9	.329	110	+5	+1	-1	+5	+12	2.2
2030	23	MLB 65%	LAA	498	441	108	19	3	19	47	128	7	11	3	.245	.327	.431	.758	.186	.299	26	9	.335	115	+8	+1	-1	+5	+14	2.8
2031	24	MLB 82%	LAA	539	475	117	20	3	21	52	137	7	12	3	.246	.330	.434	.763	.187	.300	25	10	.340	118	+11	+1	-2	+6	+15	3.2
2032	25	MLB	LAA	563	495	123	21	3	23	55	142	8	12	3	.248	.333	.442	.776	.194	.301	25	10	.343	121	+13	+1	-2	+6	+16	3.5
2033	26	MLB	LAA	576	505	126	22	3	23	58	145	8	12	2	.250	.336	.442	.778	.192	.301	25	10	.345	122	+14	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.7
2034	27	MLB	LAA	579	507	127	22	3	24	59	147	8	12	2	.250	.338	.448	.786	.197	.301	25	10	.345	122	+14	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.8
2035	28	MLB	LAA	576	504	124	21	3	23	59	147	8	11	2	.246	.335	.437	.771	.190	.301	26	10	.344	121	+14	+1	-2	+6	+16	3.6
2036	29	MLB	LAA	568	497	123	21	3	23	58	147	8	11	2	.247	.336	.441	.776	.193	.300	26	10	.341	119	+12	+1	-3	+6	+16	3.4
2037	30	MLB	LAA	558	489	119	20	3	22	57	146	7	10	1	.243	.331	.431	.762	.188	.298	26	10	.338	117	+11	+2	-4	+6	+16	3.1
2038	31	MLB	LAA	545	477	116	20	3	21	56	145	7	9	0	.243	.331	.430	.761	.187	.297	27	10	.335	114	+9	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.8
2039	32	MLB	LAA	526	460	110	18	3	20	54	142	7	8	0	.239	.328	.422	.750	.183	.295	27	10	.330	111	+6	+2	-5	+6	+15	2.4
2040	33	MLB	LAA	497	437	101	17	2	18	51	138	6	8	0	.231	.320	.403	.723	.172	.294	28	10	.324	106	+3	+2	-6	+5	+14	1.9
2041	34	MLB	LAA	450	396	90	15	2	16	45	129	6	7	0	.227	.315	.396	.712	.169	.292	29	10	.317	101	+0	+1	-6	+5	+13	1.4
2042	35	MLB	LAA	396	348	78	13	2	13	40	117	5	7	0	.224	.313	.385	.698	.161	.290	30	10	.309	95	-2	+1	-7	+4	+11	0.8
2043	36	MLB	LAA	336	296	63	10	2	10	33	103	4	6	0	.213	.300	.361	.662	.149	.287	31	10	.300	87	-5	+1	-7	+4	+10	0.2
2044	37	MLB	LAA	271	240	50	8	1	8	26	86	3	5	0	.208	.294	.350	.644	.142	.282	32	10	.289	80	-6	+1	-8	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	LAA	202	179	35	5	1	5	19	65	2	3	0	.196	.280	.318	.598	.123	.277	32	9	.278	71	-7	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9168	8081	1909	324	48	332	885	2496	125	188	33	.236	.321	.411	.733	.175	.297	27	10	.325	107	+73	+24	-71	+98	+260	39.2
/ 162G	—			650	573	135	23	3	24	63	177	9	13	2	.236	.321	.412	.733	.176	.296	27	10	.325	107	+5	+2	-5	+7	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	219	193	58	11	3	5	17	51	6	18	5	.301	.375	.466	.841	.166	.379	23	8	.370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	152	129	35	7	0	2	19	40	3	1	4	.271	.377	.372	.750	.101	.375	26	12	.343	121	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joswa Lugo (OGILVIE)	19	22→42	31→57	57→52	42	.214/.281/.344	.130	.287	3	2	29%	7%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A	19	44→51	43→60	48→30	38	.215/.262/.330	.115	.285	9	5	27%	4%	61	-1.0	.213/.253/.351	.138	.277	17	3	29%	4%	64	-0.8	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	54→50	36	.223/.265/.336	.114	.318	8	9	32%	5%	63	-0.8	.223/.273/.380	.157	.319	17	10	34%	5%	79	+0.3	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
★Manny Machado 2012 · A	20	43→53	44→65	48→50	44	.217/.266/.340	.124	.267	11	10	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.250/.295/.396	.146	.294	13	8	19%	6%	92	+1.2	.280/.340/.502	.222	.295	29	7	16%	8%	128	+4.3
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	43→51	50→65	47→45	37	.223/.267/.374	.151	.302	18	8	32%	5%	76	+0.0	.229/.278/.368	.139	.290	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	42→50	51→50	44	.214/.271/.330	.115	.275	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	.235/.285/.365	.130	.305	13	12	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Isaac Paredes 2018 · A	19	43→51	43→60	48→40	46	.211/.271/.322	.111	.241	10	4	17%	6%	64	-0.8	.228/.291/.341	.113	.267	11	4	18%	7%	77	+0.1	.245/.349/.440	.195	.261	25	1	17%	11%	126	+3.2
●Gleyber Torres 2017 · A	20	48→54	41→60	47→50	43	.230/.287/.330	.100	.315	7	13	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.252/.314/.415	.163	.319	19	11	26%	8%	106	+2.2	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	47→45	51→55	43	.223/.287/.361	.138	.312	14	9	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.213/.318/.341	.128	.297	12	16	29%	11%	89	+1.0	.203/.315/.324	.121	.277	12	21	28%	12%	81	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)