Joswa Lugo — OGILVIE

Joswa LugoSS ACL Angels

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 187 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION216 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .331

PA144

HR3

K%28

BB%7

BABIP276

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$12M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$13M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$12M	+$10M
2034	Arb-2	$9M	+2.6	$11M	+$7M
2035	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$30M		$72M	+$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	219	201	38	6	2	3	9	68	6	18	5	189	245	284	529	95	263	31	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	219	193	58	11	3	5	17	51	6	18	5	301	375	466	841	166	379	23	8	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	152	138	26	5	0	2	10	61	3	1	4	188	258	268	526	80	316	40	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	152	129	35	7	0	2	19	40	3	1	4	271	377	372	750	101	375	26	12	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	LAA	—	216	192	38	8	1	5	18	73	6	0	1	198	287	328	615	130	289	34	8	268	63	-9	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
YTD	19	ROK	LAA	—	216	181	50	12	1	7	29	51	6	0	1	276	394	470	863	193	350	24	13	386	154	+13	-0	+0	+2	+6	2.2
ROS	19	ROK	LAA	0%	144	130	27	5	1	3	10	41	3	2	1	208	280	331	610	123	283	28	7	280	72	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	LAA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	265	61	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	LAA	—	216	193	38	8	1	5	18	73	6	0	1	197	287	326	613	130	287	34	8	268	63	-9	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK	LAA	—	360	322	65	13	2	8	28	114	9	2	2	202	284	329	613	127	284	32	8	273	67	-13	-0	-0	+4	+10	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	LAA	34%	335	303	67	13	2	9	24	93	5	5	2	221	289	366	655	145	285	28	7	293	83	-7	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2028	21	MLB	LAA	48%	436	393	89	17	2	13	33	118	7	7	3	226	298	379	677	153	287	27	8	304	91	-5	+0	-1	+5	+12	1.2
2029	22	MLB	LAA	54%	501	450	106	20	3	17	38	133	8	9	4	236	306	407	713	171	288	27	8	311	96	-2	+0	-1	+5	+14	1.7
2030	23	MLB	LAA	57%	543	487	115	21	3	19	42	143	9	10	4	236	309	409	717	172	289	26	8	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+6	+15	2.1
2031	24	MLB	LAA	57%	569	511	122	23	3	21	44	149	9	11	4	239	310	419	729	180	290	26	8	320	103	+2	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.4
2032	25	MLB	LAA	57%	582	522	125	23	3	22	45	152	10	12	5	239	312	421	733	182	290	26	8	322	104	+3	+0	-1	+6	+16	2.5
2033	26	MLB	LAA	56%	588	527	126	23	3	22	46	153	10	12	5	239	312	419	732	180	290	26	8	323	105	+4	+0	-1	+6	+17	2.6
2034	27	MLB	LAA	55%	587	526	125	23	3	22	46	153	10	12	5	238	311	418	729	181	290	26	8	323	105	+4	+0	-1	+6	+17	2.6
2035	28	MLB	LAA	55%	582	521	124	23	3	22	46	153	10	12	5	238	312	420	732	182	290	26	8	322	105	+3	+0	-2	+6	+16	2.5
2036	29	MLB	LAA	53%	571	511	121	22	3	21	46	151	9	11	4	237	311	415	726	178	289	26	8	320	103	+2	+1	-3	+6	+16	2.3
2037	30	MLB	LAA	53%	560	501	118	22	3	20	45	150	9	10	4	236	310	411	721	176	288	27	8	318	101	+1	+0	-3	+6	+16	2.0
2038	31	MLB	LAA	52%	546	488	112	21	2	19	44	148	9	10	4	230	305	398	703	168	286	27	8	314	98	-1	+0	-4	+6	+15	1.7
2039	32	MLB	LAA	52%	527	472	106	19	2	18	42	144	8	9	4	225	299	388	687	163	283	27	8	309	94	-3	+0	-5	+6	+15	1.3
2040	33	MLB	LAA	52%	498	447	99	17	2	17	40	139	8	8	3	221	297	383	680	161	279	28	8	302	89	-6	+0	-5	+5	+14	0.9
2041	34	MLB	LAA	47%	451	405	87	15	2	14	36	129	7	7	3	215	290	365	656	151	273	29	8	293	82	-9	+0	-6	+5	+13	0.3
2027	20	MLB	LAA	34%	115	104	23	4	1	3	8	32	2	2	1	221	289	365	655	144	283	28	7	280	72	-4	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB	LAA	48%	211	190	43	8	1	6	16	57	3	4	1	226	297	374	670	147	285	27	8	290	80	-5	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.4
2029	22	MLB	LAA	54%	272	245	57	11	1	9	21	72	4	5	2	233	304	396	700	163	287	26	8	297	86	-4	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.6
2030	23	MLB	LAA	57%	307	275	65	12	2	11	24	81	5	6	2	236	309	415	724	178	288	26	8	302	89	-4	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.8
2031	24	MLB	LAA	57%	322	289	69	13	2	11	25	84	5	6	3	239	310	412	722	173	289	26	8	306	92	-3	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.9
2032	25	MLB	LAA	57%	329	295	70	13	2	12	26	86	5	7	3	237	310	417	727	180	289	26	8	308	94	-2	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2033	26	MLB	LAA	56%	332	298	71	13	2	12	26	86	5	7	3	238	310	416	726	178	289	26	8	309	94	-2	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.1
2034	27	MLB	LAA	55%	325	291	70	13	2	12	26	85	5	7	3	241	314	423	736	182	289	26	8	309	95	-2	+0	-1	+3	+9	1.0
2035	28	MLB	LAA	55%	319	286	68	12	2	12	25	84	5	6	3	238	310	420	730	182	289	26	8	308	94	-2	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.9
2036	29	MLB	LAA	53%	305	272	64	12	1	11	25	81	5	6	2	235	311	408	719	173	288	27	8	306	93	-3	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.9
2037	30	MLB	LAA	53%	295	264	61	11	1	11	24	79	5	5	2	231	307	405	712	174	287	27	8	304	91	-3	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.7
2038	31	MLB	LAA	52%	285	255	59	11	1	10	23	77	5	5	2	231	307	400	707	169	285	27	8	300	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.6
2039	32	MLB	LAA	52%	273	245	55	10	1	9	22	75	4	5	2	224	299	384	683	159	282	27	8	295	84	-5	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2040	33	MLB	LAA	52%	257	231	50	9	1	8	20	72	4	4	2	216	290	368	658	152	278	28	8	289	79	-6	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.1
2041	34	MLB	LAA	47%	213	191	41	7	1	7	17	61	3	3	1	215	289	372	661	157	272	29	8	280	73	-7	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4160	3732	866	159	21	144	328	1112	65	78	32	232	305	402	707	170	289	27	8	301	88	-55	+3	-19	+45	+118	9.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	135	25	3	22	51	174	10	12	5	232	304	398	702	166	290	27	8	301	88	-9	+0	-3	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	8391	7533	1733	318	42	284	646	2278	140	166	69	230	303	397	699	166	289	27	8	310	95	-46	+6	-36	+90	+238	25.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	134	25	3	22	50	176	11	13	5	229	303	396	698	166	287	27	8	310	95	-4	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	219	193	58	11	3	5	17	51	6	18	5	301	375	466	841	166	379	23	8	370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8
2025	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	152	129	35	7	0	2	19	40	3	1	4	271	377	372	750	101	375	26	12	343	121	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,360	151	81	233	302	402	+45	+0	15.9	12.9
	/162	664	23	12	233	302	402	+6.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joswa Lugo (OGILVIE)	19	26→42	37→57	56→53	42	202/284/329	127	284	8	2	32%	8%	67	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A	19	44→51	43→60	49→30	39	216/264/333	117	285	9	5	27%	4%	63	-0.8	205/246/338	133	272	16	3	30%	4%	57	-1.2	235/306/451	216	271	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	55→50	36	223/264/339	116	318	8	9	32%	4%	64	-0.8	220/270/375	155	316	17	10	34%	5%	77	+0.1	218/285/448	231	251	34	12	29%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→36	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	202/270/401	199	257	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	187/258/394	206	226	30	3	33%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A	20	44→49	41→55	49→50	43	217/268/318	101	262	9	8	21%	5%	61	-1.0	229/266/310	81	299	6	6	24%	4%	56	-1.3	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2