Fernando Cruz

SS ACL Cubs

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCHC	89	.165/.250/.316	3	5	-25	—	.073/.136/.159
2026	19	ACHC	58	.189/.246/.283	1	1	-4	—	.130/.175/.204
2026	19	ROKCHC	222	.250/.348/.547	13	9	45	—	.153/.222/.325
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCHC	390	.195/.255/.315	8	8	60	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	21	MLBCHC	84	.202/.264/.331	2	2	66	-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	22	MLBCHC	164	.207/.269/.342	4	4	70	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%39

ISO29

Speed17

wRC+8

wOBA6

BB%5

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsSean Coyle (age 21) · Brayan Buelvas (age 20) · Bryan Ramos (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 270 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .253 / .312

PA270

HR6

SB6

K%34

BB%6

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	79	17	3	0	2	10	25	3	11	1	215	326	329	655	114	288	27	11	305	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	89	79	13	3	0	3	7	42	2	5	1	165	250	316	566	152	286	47	8	256	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	58	53	10	2	0	1	3	25	1	1	1	189	246	283	529	94	321	43	5	238	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	222	192	48	8	5	13	26	79	3	9	4	250	348	547	895	297	347	36	12	386	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	82	10	2	0	1	7	32	3	11	1	122	217	183	400	61	183	35	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	89	82	6	1	0	2	4	62	2	5	1	73	136	159	295	85	222	70	4	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	58	54	7	1	0	1	2	34	1	1	1	130	175	204	379	74	293	59	3	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	222	203	31	5	3	8	15	114	3	9	4	153	222	325	547	172	266	51	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	82	10	2	0	1	7	32	3	11	1	122	217	183	400	61	184	35	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	79	17	3	0	2	10	25	3	11	1	215	326	329	655	114	288	27	11	305	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	89	82	6	1	0	2	4	62	2	5	1	73	136	159	295	85	211	70	4	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	89	79	13	3	0	3	7	42	2	5	1	165	250	316	566	152	286	47	8	256	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	280	257	38	6	3	9	17	148	4	10	5	148	212	300	512	152	284	53	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	280	245	58	10	5	14	29	104	4	10	5	237	327	490	817	253	341	37	10	355	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	82	10	2	0	1	7	32	3	11	1	122	217	183	400	61	183	35	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	89	83	6	1	0	2	4	62	2	5	1	72	136	157	293	84	222	70	4	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	280	257	38	6	3	9	17	148	4	10	5	148	212	300	512	152	272	53	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	82	10	2	0	1	7	32	3	11	1	122	217	183	400	61	183	35	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	89	83	6	1	0	2	4	62	2	5	1	72	136	157	293	84	222	70	4	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	280	257	38	6	3	9	17	148	4	10	5	148	212	300	512	152	272	53	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	390	359	70	12	3	8	24	131	4	8	2	195	255	315	570	120	277	34	6	256	60	-19	+1	+3	+4	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	25%	337	308	62	11	2	8	22	110	4	8	2	201	262	329	591	128	279	33	7	265	66	-14	+1	+3	+4	+7	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CHC	38%	429	392	80	14	3	11	29	137	5	10	3	205	268	340	608	135	281	32	7	272	70	-15	+1	+3	+5	+9	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	CHC	45%	489	447	92	16	3	13	33	153	6	12	3	209	272	349	621	140	282	31	7	277	74	-15	+1	+4	+5	+11	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	527	480	102	18	3	15	36	162	6	13	4	212	276	355	631	143	284	31	7	282	77	-15	+1	+4	+6	+11	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	CHC	50%	549	500	108	19	4	16	38	167	6	13	4	214	279	359	638	145	284	30	7	285	79	-14	+1	+4	+6	+12	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	CHC	50%	560	510	109	19	4	16	39	170	6	13	4	214	279	360	639	146	284	30	7	285	79	-14	+1	+4	+6	+12	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	CHC	50%	563	512	109	19	4	16	40	172	6	13	4	213	278	357	635	144	283	31	7	283	78	-15	+1	+4	+6	+12	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	CHC	50%	559	509	107	19	3	15	39	172	6	12	4	211	276	353	629	142	282	31	7	281	76	-16	+1	+4	+6	+12	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	CHC	49%	551	502	105	19	3	15	38	171	6	11	4	209	273	347	620	138	281	31	7	277	74	-17	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	541	493	102	18	3	14	37	169	6	10	4	206	270	340	610	134	280	31	7	273	71	-19	+0	+2	+6	+12	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	25%	84	78	16	3	1	2	5	27	1	2	1	202	264	331	595	129	283	32	6	267	66	-3	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CHC	38%	164	150	31	6	1	4	11	52	2	4	1	207	269	342	611	135	284	32	7	273	70	-6	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CHC	45%	222	202	43	8	2	6	15	70	3	5	2	210	274	350	624	140	286	32	7	279	74	-7	+0	+2	+2	+5	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	253	231	50	9	2	7	17	78	3	6	2	213	277	357	634	143	287	31	7	283	77	-7	+0	+2	+3	+5	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	CHC	50%	272	248	53	10	2	7	19	83	3	7	2	216	280	361	641	145	288	31	7	286	79	-7	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	CHC	50%	283	258	56	10	2	8	20	86	3	7	2	215	280	361	641	146	287	30	7	286	79	-7	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	CHC	50%	282	257	55	10	2	8	20	86	3	7	2	214	279	359	638	144	287	30	7	284	78	-7	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	CHC	50%	278	253	54	10	2	7	20	85	3	6	2	213	277	354	631	142	286	31	7	282	76	-8	+0	+2	+3	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	CHC	49%	267	243	51	9	2	7	19	83	3	5	2	211	274	348	623	138	285	31	7	278	74	-8	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	282	258	54	10	2	7	19	88	3	5	2	208	271	341	612	133	283	31	7	274	71	-10	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2387	2178	463	85	18	63	165	738	27	54	18	213	276	355	631	142	289	31	7	280	70	-70	+4	+17	+26	+52	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	126	23	5	17	45	201	7	15	5	212	276	354	630	142	289	31	7	280	70	-19	+1	+5	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5836	5322	1079	190	37	157	396	1915	69	147	45	203	267	341	608	138	281	33	7	271	70	-166	+9	+38	+58	+116	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	119	21	4	17	44	213	8	16	5	201	265	336	601	135	279	33	7	271	70	-20	+1	+5	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,657	71	60	210	270	349	+28	+24	2.3	2.3
/162	664	18	15	+7.1	+6.0	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Andres Thomas'85-'90 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,185 PA	3.3	2,185	42	22	234*	256*	361*	+23	+24	0.5	0.5
/162	664	13	7	+7.1	+7.3	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Cruz (OGILVIE)	20	40	50	60	47	194/253/312	119	277	6	6	34%	6%	60	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	39→45	46→50	51→55	41	199/261/328	129	275	14	13	32%	7%	65	-1.2	195/257/323	128	268	13	17	31%	7%	63	-1.4	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Echedry Vargas 2024 · A	19	40→47	44→50	53→55	40	202/260/326	123	269	11	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	215/258/351	136	288	15	14	30%	4%	70	-0.9	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→42	46→55	50	46	197/276/332	135	270	13	8	31%	9%	73	-0.6	186/272/313	127	276	12	8	34%	10%	67	-1.1	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Narciso Crook 2015 · A	20	42→43	42→50	55→50	35	200/246/303	103	314	9	14	38%	5%	53	-2.1	192/230/295	103	293	9	10	36%	4%	45	-2.7	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→42	42→50	54→55	35	186/247/286	100	284	10	12	37%	5%	51	-2.2	197/249/316	119	284	14	16	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕José Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	41→51	43→50	52→55	37	208/240/316	109	266	11	11	27%	4%	54	-2.0	248/280/380	132	299	14	24	21%	4%	84	+0.1	248/280/383	135	297	15	29	22%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→36	47→60	53→40	42	214/272/355	141	275	14	6	27%	6%	76	-0.4	204/272/397	193	262	26	4	32%	7%	86	+0.3	192/264/389	197	235	28	3	32%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	43	187/261/304	117	279	12	11	36%	8%	61	-1.5	182/257/291	109	330	10	20	44%	9%	56	-1.9	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→47	45→50	49→45	38	207/258/338	131	290	12	8	32%	6%	66	-1.1	209/270/355	146	291	16	8	32%	7%	75	-0.5	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jhonny Severino 2024 · A	19	38→31	44→55	55→50	37	195/245/309	114	272	12	14	32%	5%	55	-2.0	196/242/348	152	258	18	11	31%	5%	63	-1.3	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2

Fernando Cruz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps