Brendan Tunink

OF Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKLAD	168	.300/.417/.550	5	9	60	—	.187/.274/.327
2026	20	ALAD	352	.197/.314/.294	3	17	26	—	.147/.237/.214
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBLAD	462	.191/.273/.288	6	10	60	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBLAD	102	.195/.277/.307	2	2	69	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBLAD	184	.201/.283/.326	4	4	75	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed71

BB%58

Chase%57

Z-Con%41

ISO30

Whiff%20

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 21) · Hoy Park (age 21) · Ricardo Méndez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .270 / .286

PA210

HR3

SB5

K%33

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	168	140	42	10	5	5	27	51	1	9	2	300	417	550	967	250	440	30	16	421	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	352	299	59	18	1	3	46	125	5	17	0	197	314	294	609	97	324	36	13	285	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	168	150	28	6	3	3	17	74	1	9	2	187	274	327	600	140	330	44	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	352	313	46	13	1	2	32	170	5	17	0	147	237	214	451	67	297	48	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	168	150	28	6	3	3	17	74	1	9	2	187	274	327	600	140	342	44	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	168	140	42	10	5	5	27	51	1	9	2	300	417	550	967	250	440	30	16	421	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	352	313	46	13	1	2	32	170	5	17	0	147	237	214	451	67	308	48	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	352	299	59	18	1	3	46	125	5	17	0	197	314	294	609	97	324	36	13	285	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	168	148	28	6	3	3	17	74	1	9	2	189	274	331	605	142	330	44	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	352	312	46	13	1	2	32	170	5	17	0	147	237	215	452	67	297	48	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	168	148	28	6	3	3	17	74	1	9	2	189	274	331	605	142	330	44	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	352	312	46	13	1	2	32	170	5	17	0	147	237	215	452	67	297	48	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	462	412	78	17	2	6	42	151	5	10	2	191	273	288	561	97	281	33	9	258	60	-22	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	297	265	52	11	1	5	27	95	3	7	1	198	280	312	592	114	283	32	9	270	69	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	379	338	69	14	2	8	34	119	4	9	2	205	286	331	617	126	284	31	9	279	75	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	432	386	81	16	2	11	39	133	4	10	2	209	290	345	635	135	286	31	9	286	80	-10	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	460	410	87	17	2	12	42	139	5	11	2	213	293	355	648	142	287	30	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	475	424	91	18	2	13	43	142	5	11	2	215	295	361	657	146	287	30	9	295	86	-8	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	479	427	91	18	2	13	44	144	5	11	2	214	294	359	653	145	286	30	9	293	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	475	424	90	18	2	13	43	144	5	10	2	212	292	354	646	142	285	30	9	291	83	-10	+1	-0	-3	+10	-0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	466	417	87	17	2	12	42	142	4	9	2	210	289	347	637	138	283	30	9	287	80	-11	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	454	406	83	16	2	11	41	140	4	9	2	207	286	339	625	133	281	31	9	282	77	-12	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	102	91	18	4	0	2	9	33	1	2	0	195	277	307	584	112	276	32	9	266	69	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	184	163	33	6	1	4	17	58	2	4	1	201	283	326	609	125	278	32	9	276	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	228	203	42	8	1	6	21	70	2	6	1	206	287	341	628	135	279	31	9	284	80	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	252	224	47	9	1	7	23	76	3	6	1	210	290	351	641	141	280	30	9	289	83	-5	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	264	235	50	9	1	8	24	79	3	6	1	212	293	358	650	146	280	30	9	292	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	263	234	49	9	1	7	24	79	3	6	1	211	292	355	647	144	280	30	9	291	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	260	231	48	9	1	7	24	79	3	6	1	209	289	350	640	141	278	30	9	288	83	-5	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	249	222	47	9	1	7	23	76	2	5	1	207	287	344	631	138	277	31	9	284	80	-6	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	239	214	43	8	1	6	21	74	2	5	1	203	283	336	619	133	275	31	9	280	77	-7	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2041	1817	377	71	8	54	186	624	21	46	8	207	289	345	633	137	281	31	9	285	75	-47	+6	-1	-12	+44	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	121	23	3	17	59	199	7	15	3	209	290	347	638	138	284	31	9	285	75	-15	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4647	4147	841	172	22	106	423	1511	47	118	20	203	284	332	616	129	288	33	9	278	75	-102	+11	-2	-25	+89	-2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	118	24	3	15	59	211	7	17	3	203	285	333	618	129	289	32	9	278	75	-16	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 352 PAwOBA .280 → .207 (−72)K% 35.5% → 48.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.51%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	48.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.07%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	9.15%
HBP% /PA	1.42%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	1.12%
Singles /BIP	21.26%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.021	×1.015	20.27%
Doubles /BIP	10.34%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.021	×1.015	8.90%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.021	×1.015	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	1.40%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .280 → .207; ISO .097 → .069; BABIP .324 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 168 PAwOBA .411 → .257 (−154)K% 30.4% → 44.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.36%	÷0.993	×1.440	—	—	44.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.07%	÷0.997	×0.620	—	×0.995	9.94%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.43%
Singles /BIP	24.72%	÷0.996	×0.820	×1.014	×0.995	20.53%
Doubles /BIP	11.24%	÷1.102	×0.720	×1.014	×0.995	7.41%
Triples /BIP	5.62%	÷1.060	×0.720	×1.014	×0.995	3.85%
Home runs /BIP	5.62%	÷1.187	×0.780	—	×0.995	3.67%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .411 → .257; ISO .250 → .143; BABIP .440 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,250	55	51	209	287	344	-13	+6	-0.2	0.3
/162	664	16	15	-4.0	+1.7	-0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Tunink (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	189/270/286	96	281	3	5	33%	9%	60	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	42→45	45→50	55→50	39	207/270/339	132	294	12	8	32%	6%	72	-0.7	210/260/342	132	294	14	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	38→45	51→50	45	203/278/285	82	314	6	13	35%	9%	62	-1.4	236/309/338	102	350	7	13	31%	9%	85	+0.2	244/311/361	117	341	8	12	28%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	45→49	44→55	54→55	44	219/281/347	128	305	10	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	211/262/318	107	335	10	18	38%	6%	63	-1.4	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Taylor Trammell 2019 · A	21	47→48	41→55	54→55	46	222/292/326	104	317	8	21	31%	9%	76	-0.4	207/285/314	107	296	11	16	31%	9%	72	-0.7	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Kahlil Watson 2024 · A	21	38→43	45→50	55	40	189/266/313	124	301	13	20	39%	8%	65	-1.2	204/277/348	144	305	16	20	36%	8%	77	-0.3	203/280/353	149	296	17	24	35%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/275/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	196/259/288	92	324	7	29	39%	7%	56	-1.9	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
●Daylen Lile 2024 · A	21	44→54	44→55	55	43	213/273/340	127	293	10	15	30%	7%	72	-0.7	244/298/387	143	300	11	16	22%	6%	92	+0.7	254/307/414	160	300	13	17	19%	6%	101	+1.4
✕Junior Franco 2024 · A	21	42→43	43→45	50→55	38	208/258/315	107	302	10	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	220/274/324	104	286	10	19	25%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/332	105	286	10	21	23%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	42	177/241/251	73	261	4	13	32%	7%	40	-3.1	211/262/329	118	307	9	6	32%	7%	65	-1.2	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
●Tristan Peters 2022 · A	22	44→53	40→50	54→50	42	208/272/301	94	318	7	13	35%	8%	63	-1.3	231/298/350	119	293	8	13	22%	8%	84	+0.1	233/307/367	134	284	11	9	21%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2024 · A	21	49	41→45	51→55	48	228/305/328	100	320	8	16	29%	10%	82	-0.0	198/259/296	98	322	10	15	39%	7%	57	-1.8	148/206/227	79	248	11	17	43%	6%	20	-1.2
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	44→42	46→50	56→50	46	217/289/365	147	291	11	14	28%	8%	84	+0.2	206/265/332	126	283	12	15	30%	7%	68	-1.0	192/248/311	119	262	12	15	31%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	45→42	38→40	57→55	54	200/309/280	81	312	4	20	33%	13%	74	-0.6	189/275/277	88	311	6	17	37%	10%	59	-1.6	148/229/229	81	253	5	17	40%	10%	29	-1.0

Brendan Tunink

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps