Jesus Freitez

C Fresno Grizzlies
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 176 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#497ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCOL47.125/.234/.25001-14—.093/.170/.163
202519ROKCOL103.322/.396/.4110368—.247/.307/.312
202620ACOL187.248/.313/.32911059—.229/.280/.300
2027PROJMLE21MLBCOL297.232/.287/.33046740.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCOL55.248/.303/.36911790.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCOL118.251/.307/.37923820.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%93
Whiff%88
Z-Con%86
Speed61
Chase%25
wOBA23
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 6.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%
CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 21) · James Triantos (age 21) · Osleivis Basabe (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .285 / .328
PA108
HR1
K%24
BB%6
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.50.60.60.50.40.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT63
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE46
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Arb-1$2M+0.4$0.9M+$0.1M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $6M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Colorado — 5539 14500 12102 41 3595284871.015 128467 1822 444 104 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Rockies — 4740 5120 571 10 125234250484 125152 1511 224 -14 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Rockies — 10390 29610 9122 32 322396411807 89372 129 359 68 — — — — — —
202620 AFresno Grizzlies — 187161 40811 15262 102 248313329642 81289 148 284 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 5542 11400 9122 41 262415357772 95301 2216 322 104 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 4743 4110 3101 10 93170163333 70109 216 147 -14 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 10393 23410 6172 32 247307312619 65297 176 268 68 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 187170 39711 10352 102 229280300580 71277 195 255 59 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 5542 11400 9122 41 262415357772 95355 2216 322 104 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 5539 14500 12102 41 3595284871.015 128467 1822 444 104 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 4743 4110 3101 10 93170163333 70121 216 147 -14 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 4740 5120 571 10 125234250484 125152 1511 224 -14 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 10393 23410 6172 32 247307312619 65303 176 268 68 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 10390 29610 9122 32 322396411807 89372 129 359 68 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 187170 39711 10352 102 229280300580 71281 195 255 59 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWFresno Grizzlies — 187161 40811 15262 102 248313329642 81289 148 284 59 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 5544 11400 9122 41 250415341756 91301 2216 322 104 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 4743 4110 3101 10 93170163333 70109 216 147 -14 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 10394 23410 6172 32 245307309615 64297 176 268 68 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 187173 39711 10352 102 225280295575 69277 195 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 4743 4110 3101 10 93170163333 70109 216 147 -14 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 10394 23410 6172 32 245307309615 64297 176 268 68 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 187173 39711 10352 102 225280295575 69277 195 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECOL 0% 297274 641224 18703 61 232287330618 98296 246 278 74 -9 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECOL 34% 159146 34612 10372 31 235292342634 107297 236 284 79 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
202923 MLB MLECOL 48% 243223 531024 16562 51 238295351646 113297 237 290 82 -5 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203024 MLB MLECOL 53% 325297 711326 22743 72 240298358656 118298 237 293 85 -6 +1 +0 +6 +7 0.8
203125 MLB MLECOL 55% 371339 821537 25854 82 240300362661 121298 237 296 86 -6 +1 +0 +7 +8 1.0
203226 MLB MLECOL 56% 399365 881638 27914 92 241301364665 123297 237 297 87 -6 +1 +0 +7 +9 1.1
203327 MLB MLECOL 55% 409374 901738 28944 92 239300361661 122297 237 296 86 -7 +1 +0 +7 +9 1.1
203428 MLB MLECOL 55% 411376 891638 28954 82 238298357654 119296 237 293 84 -8 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.9
203529 MLB MLECOL 53% 403369 871637 27944 82 235295350645 115295 237 289 82 -9 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.7
203630 MLB MLECOL 53% 393361 831527 26933 72 232291343634 110293 247 285 79 -10 +1 -2 +7 +9 0.4
203731 MLB MLECOL 52% 361331 761426 24873 63 228287333620 105290 247 279 75 -11 +0 -3 +6 +8 0.1
203832 MLB MLECOL 52% 323296 671225 21793 43 223280321601 98287 247 271 70 -12 -0 -4 +6 +7 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXCOL 34% 5551 13211 3131 10 248303369673 121312 245 300 79 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202923 MLB CTXCOL 48% 118108 27512 8271 31 251307379686 129313 237 305 82 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
203024 MLB CTXCOL 53% 171156 39723 11392 41 253310386696 134313 236 310 85 -3 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.4
203125 MLB CTXCOL 55% 203185 47924 14462 51 253312391703 138313 237 312 86 -3 +1 +0 +4 +4 0.5
203226 MLB CTXCOL 56% 222203 51925 15512 51 254313393706 140312 237 314 87 -3 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.6
203327 MLB CTXCOL 55% 225206 51925 15522 51 252312390702 138312 237 312 86 -4 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.6
203428 MLB CTXCOL 55% 225206 51925 15522 51 250309385695 135311 237 309 84 -4 +1 -0 +4 +5 0.5
203529 MLB CTXCOL 53% 215196 49924 15502 41 248306378685 130309 237 305 82 -5 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.4
203630 MLB CTXCOL 53% 207189 46824 14492 41 245303369672 125308 247 300 79 -5 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
203731 MLB CTXCOL 52% 188172 41723 12452 31 240297358656 118304 246 293 75 -6 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.1
203832 MLB CTXCOL 52% 167153 36613 11411 22 235291345636 110300 257 285 70 -6 -0 -2 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19961825 451801939 13346519 4111 247305376681 129310 237 305 79 -43 +4 -6 +36 +43 3.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 14726613 431516 134 247304377681 130309 237 305 79 -14 +1 -2 +12 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 42973924 9201703070 28998444 9428 234294347641 112294 237 286 79 -86 +6 -10 +70 +85 6.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 14026511 441497 144 236297352648 116295 237 286 79 -14 +1 -2 +12 +14 1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 187 PAwOBA .278 → .255 (−23)K% 13.9% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.90%÷1.000×1.360——18.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.02%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0155.62%
HBP% /PA1.07%—×0.780—×1.0150.85%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.01521.79%
Doubles /BIP5.93%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0155.24%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0150.72%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.60%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .278 → .255; ISO .081 → .074; BABIP .289 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rockies · 103 PAwOBA .350 → .268 (−83)K% 11.7% → 16.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.65%÷0.993×1.440——16.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.74%÷0.987×0.620—×0.9955.46%
HBP% /PA1.94%—×0.720—×0.9951.39%
Singles /BIP28.21%÷1.021×0.820×1.029×0.99523.19%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.991×0.720×1.029×0.9955.72%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷1.150×0.720×1.029×0.9950.82%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .350 → .268; ISO .089 → .064; BABIP .372 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rockies · 47 PAwOBA .219 → .147 (−72)K% 14.9% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.89%÷0.991×1.440——21.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷1.035×0.620—×1.0086.42%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.720—×1.0081.54%
Singles /BIP6.06%÷1.003×0.820—×1.0084.99%
Doubles /BIP3.03%÷1.034×0.720—×1.0082.12%
Triples /BIP6.06%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0083.82%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.044×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .219 → .147; ISO .125 → .081; BABIP .152 → .109. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Colorado · 55 PAwOBA .442 → .322 (−120)K% 18.2% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.18%÷1.030×1.220——21.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.82%÷0.967×0.700—×1.00815.92%
HBP% /PA3.64%—×0.700—×1.0082.56%
Singles /BIP31.03%÷1.049×0.680—×1.00820.26%
Doubles /BIP17.24%÷0.968×0.600—×1.00810.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.146×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .442 → .322; ISO .128 → .091; BABIP .467 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).