Jesus Freitez — OGILVIE

Jesus FreitezC Fresno Grizzlies

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 176 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION117 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .295 / .319

PA78

HR1

K%22

BB%6

BABIP296

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$11M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$10M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$9M	+$7M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$8M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$55M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	55	43	11	4	0	0	8	14	2	4	1	256	396	349	745	93	367	25	15	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	55	39	14	5	0	0	12	10	2	4	1	359	528	487	1.015	128	467	18	22	444	198	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	47	43	4	1	1	0	3	10	1	1	0	93	170	163	333	70	121	21	6	139	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	47	40	5	1	2	0	5	7	1	1	0	125	234	250	484	125	152	15	11	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	103	93	24	5	1	0	6	18	2	3	2	258	317	333	650	75	320	17	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	103	90	29	6	1	0	9	12	2	3	2	322	396	411	807	89	372	12	9	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	COL	—	117	108	28	5	0	1	6	20	0	9	1	259	298	333	632	74	307	17	5	271	66	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
YTD	20	A	COL	—	117	101	28	5	0	1	9	15	0	9	1	277	325	356	681	79	314	13	8	296	85	-2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.5
ROS	20	A	COL	0%	78	72	17	3	0	1	5	17	1	3	0	236	295	319	614	83	301	22	6	284	76	-2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	20	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		323	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	COL	—	117	109	28	5	0	1	6	20	0	9	1	257	298	330	629	73	303	17	5	271	66	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
TOT	20	A	COL	—	195	180	45	8	0	2	11	37	1	12	1	250	297	328	625	78	303	19	6	276	70	-7	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	COL	43%	252	231	56	10	1	4	17	56	2	6	1	242	300	346	646	104	301	22	7	293	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2028	22	MLB	COL	61%	365	334	81	15	2	6	25	80	3	9	2	243	301	353	654	111	302	22	7	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2029	23	MLB	COL	68%	438	400	99	18	3	8	31	95	4	11	2	247	308	367	676	120	302	22	7	302	90	-5	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.7
2030	24	MLB	COL	70%	486	443	111	20	3	10	35	105	5	12	2	251	313	377	690	126	303	22	7	305	91	-5	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.0
2031	25	MLB	COL	70%	512	465	116	21	3	10	37	110	5	12	2	249	312	372	684	123	303	21	7	306	92	-5	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2032	26	MLB	COL	71%	520	473	119	22	3	11	37	112	5	13	2	252	313	381	693	129	302	22	7	306	92	-4	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2033	27	MLB	COL	69%	520	472	118	21	3	11	38	112	5	13	2	250	313	377	690	127	302	22	7	306	92	-4	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2034	28	MLB	COL	69%	520	472	117	21	3	10	38	113	5	12	2	248	311	369	679	121	302	22	7	305	92	-5	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.0
2035	29	MLB	COL	67%	520	471	116	21	3	10	39	114	5	12	2	246	311	367	678	121	301	22	8	303	90	-6	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2036	30	MLB	COL	66%	511	463	114	20	3	10	38	113	5	11	2	246	310	367	677	121	300	22	7	301	88	-7	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.6
2037	31	MLB	COL	71%	482	439	106	19	2	9	36	108	4	10	2	241	305	355	660	114	298	22	7	296	85	-8	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2038	32	MLB	COL	68%	450	410	97	17	2	8	33	103	4	9	2	237	300	346	646	110	295	23	7	291	81	-10	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.9
2039	33	MLB	COL	73%	410	374	87	15	2	7	30	96	3	8	1	233	295	340	634	107	292	23	7	284	76	-11	+1	-4	+7	+12	0.5
2040	34	MLB	COL	68%	356	324	73	12	2	5	26	86	3	6	1	225	289	321	610	96	286	24	7	276	69	-12	+1	-5	+6	+10	-0.0
2041	35	MLB	COL	64%	298	272	59	9	1	4	22	74	2	5	1	217	280	301	582	85	280	25	7	266	62	-13	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	COL	43%	109	100	27	5	1	2	7	24	1	3	1	270	324	400	724	130	324	22	6	307	93	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2028	22	MLB	COL	61%	222	203	54	10	1	5	15	48	2	5	1	266	323	399	722	133	324	22	7	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+6	1.0
2029	23	MLB	COL	68%	298	272	73	14	2	7	21	65	3	7	1	268	328	412	739	143	325	22	7	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.5
2030	24	MLB	COL	70%	338	308	83	16	2	8	24	73	3	8	2	269	328	412	741	143	325	22	7	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.8
2031	25	MLB	COL	70%	360	328	88	17	2	8	26	77	3	9	2	268	328	405	733	137	325	21	7	321	104	+1	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.9
2032	26	MLB	COL	71%	367	335	90	17	2	9	26	79	3	9	2	269	327	412	739	143	325	22	7	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+7	+10	2.0
2033	27	MLB	COL	69%	361	329	88	17	2	8	26	78	3	9	2	267	327	404	731	137	325	22	7	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+6	+10	2.0
2034	28	MLB	COL	69%	357	325	86	16	2	8	26	78	3	8	2	265	325	400	725	135	325	22	7	320	103	+1	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.8
2035	29	MLB	COL	67%	348	316	84	16	2	8	26	76	3	8	1	266	328	405	733	139	324	22	7	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.7
2036	30	MLB	COL	66%	336	305	80	15	2	7	25	74	3	7	1	262	324	393	718	131	323	22	7	315	99	-0	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.5
2037	31	MLB	COL	71%	342	310	81	15	2	7	26	77	3	7	1	261	324	390	715	129	321	23	8	310	96	-2	+1	-2	+6	+10	1.3
2038	32	MLB	COL	68%	307	278	72	13	2	6	23	70	3	6	1	259	322	385	707	126	317	23	7	304	91	-3	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.0
2039	33	MLB	COL	73%	297	270	66	12	1	5	22	69	3	6	1	244	308	352	660	107	313	23	7	297	86	-5	+1	-3	+5	+8	0.7
2040	34	MLB	COL	68%	242	220	53	9	1	4	18	58	2	4	1	241	304	345	650	105	307	24	7	288	79	-6	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.2
2041	35	MLB	COL	64%	189	172	40	6	1	3	14	47	1	3	1	233	294	331	626	99	301	25	7	278	71	-6	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4473	4072	1065	198	25	95	325	993	39	99	20	262	322	392	715	131	322	22	7	312	97	-16	+12	-17	+80	+127	18.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	156	29	4	14	47	144	6	14	3	264	324	397	721	133	325	22	7	312	97	-2	+2	-2	+12	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	6923	6294	1525	274	38	124	504	1536	66	160	29	242	305	357	662	115	300	22	7	296	85	-118	+20	-25	+124	+196	20.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	144	26	4	12	47	144	6	15	3	244	305	362	668	118	301	22	7	296	85	-11	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	55	39	14	5	0	12	10	2	4	1	359	528	487	1.015	128	467	18	22	444	198	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	47	40	5	1	2	5	7	1	1	0	125	234	250	484	125	152	15	11	224	30	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	103	90	29	6	1	9	12	2	3	2	322	396	411	807	89	372	12	9	359	133	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,599	84	103	244	302	360	+75	+44	14.6	12.2
	/162	664	12	15	244	302	360	+10.9	+6.4	2.1	pk7: 10
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Freitez (OGILVIE)	20	60→65	31→36	54→59	46	250/297/328	78	303	2	12	19%	6%	70	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	53→61	38→45	55→50	44	249/292/335	86	307	5	15	20%	5%	74	-0.1	258/303/359	101	313	5	15	18%	5%	85	+0.7	259/305/360	100	312	5	15	18%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	51	257/326/355	98	290	6	10	14%	7%	95	+1.4	225/291/314	89	282	7	8	22%	6%	70	-0.3	207/265/333	126	274	15	8	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	50→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/346	110	285	6	12	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/307/362	113	307	9	14	21%	7%	89	+0.9	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	53→63	39→40	54→65	46	252/311/333	82	307	6	19	19%	6%	82	+0.5	266/299/328	62	330	3	34	19%	4%	75	-0.0	296/331/390	95	359	3	37	18%	4%	102	+0.6
✕Christopher Bostick 2013 · A	20	50→58	40→45	53→55	39	233/284/333	99	336	7	10	31%	6%	71	-0.3	209/260/324	115	292	10	15	30%	6%	59	-1.1	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	66	-0.6	250/293/351	101	309	7	26	20%	5%	79	+0.3	263/305/369	105	324	8	30	20%	5%	85	+0.5
●Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	56→60	44	236/285/341	105	298	6	13	22%	6%	73	-0.1	220/276/279	59	297	2	21	25%	7%	53	-1.5	281/340/350	69	342	3	24	17%	7%	94	+1.0
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	71	-0.3	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	88	+0.9	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	54→58	39→40	51→50	43	253/301/342	89	325	5	13	23%	6%	80	+0.4	234/265/316	82	290	6	13	21%	4%	58	-1.2	223/265/309	86	256	8	15	16%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	81	+0.4	213/264/311	98	289	7	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	192/236/285	92	270	8	8	31%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	52	250/330/338	87	313	5	15	20%	9%	92	+1.2	245/315/330	85	282	6	20	14%	7%	84	+0.6	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ronald Torreyes 2013 · A	20	55→57	39→45	50	48	259/305/349	89	277	5	12	9%	4%	84	+0.6	244/285/323	79	265	3	9	9%	4%	69	-0.4	261/296/343	82	292	4	5	12%	4%	75	+0.0
✕Gorkys Hernández 2009 · A	21	51→59	39→45	57→55	44	242/288/335	93	301	6	22	21%	5%	72	-0.2	246/291/324	78	338	4	17	27%	5%	71	-0.3	263/321/381	118	325	11	16	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→54	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	66	-0.6	200/260/251	51	275	1	18	26%	7%	40	-2.4	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	83	+0.6	216/283/305	89	263	6	7	19%	7%	64	-0.8	192/256/280	88	238	6	6	21%	6%	45	-0.6
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	51→59	41→45	50	44	246/290/344	98	299	8	12	20%	6%	76	+0.1	259/306/354	95	312	6	10	18%	6%	85	+0.7	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2010 · AA	20	50→60	37→40	51→50	46	235/285/310	75	276	4	12	17%	5%	66	-0.6	248/304/316	68	294	3	8	16%	6%	75	-0.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2