Jesus Freitez
C Fresno Grizzlies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKCOL | 47 | .125/.234/.250 | 0 | 1 | -14 | — | .093/.170/.163 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKCOL | 103 | .322/.396/.411 | 0 | 3 | 68 | — | .247/.307/.312 |
| 2026 | 20 | ACOL | 187 | .248/.313/.329 | 1 | 10 | 59 | — | .229/.280/.300 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBCOL | 297 | .232/.287/.330 | 4 | 6 | 74 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBCOL | 55 | .248/.303/.369 | 1 | 1 | 79 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBCOL | 118 | .251/.307/.379 | 2 | 3 | 82 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | — | 55 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 359 | 528 | 487 | 1.015 | 128 | 467 | 18 | 22 | 444 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 234 | 250 | 484 | 125 | 152 | 15 | 11 | 224 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 103 | 90 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 322 | 396 | 411 | 807 | 89 | 372 | 12 | 9 | 359 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 187 | 161 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 248 | 313 | 329 | 642 | 81 | 289 | 14 | 8 | 284 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 55 | 42 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 415 | 357 | 772 | 95 | 301 | 22 | 16 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 170 | 163 | 333 | 70 | 109 | 21 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 103 | 93 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 307 | 312 | 619 | 65 | 297 | 17 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 187 | 170 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 280 | 300 | 580 | 71 | 277 | 19 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 55 | 42 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 415 | 357 | 772 | 95 | 355 | 22 | 16 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Colorado | — | 55 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 359 | 528 | 487 | 1.015 | 128 | 467 | 18 | 22 | 444 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 170 | 163 | 333 | 70 | 121 | 21 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 234 | 250 | 484 | 125 | 152 | 15 | 11 | 224 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 103 | 93 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 307 | 312 | 619 | 65 | 303 | 17 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 103 | 90 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 322 | 396 | 411 | 807 | 89 | 372 | 12 | 9 | 359 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 187 | 170 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 280 | 300 | 580 | 71 | 281 | 19 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 187 | 161 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 248 | 313 | 329 | 642 | 81 | 289 | 14 | 8 | 284 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 55 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 415 | 341 | 756 | 91 | 301 | 22 | 16 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 170 | 163 | 333 | 70 | 109 | 21 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 103 | 94 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 245 | 307 | 309 | 615 | 64 | 297 | 17 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 187 | 173 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 225 | 280 | 295 | 575 | 69 | 277 | 19 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 170 | 163 | 333 | 70 | 109 | 21 | 6 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 103 | 94 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 245 | 307 | 309 | 615 | 64 | 297 | 17 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 187 | 173 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 225 | 280 | 295 | 575 | 69 | 277 | 19 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | COL | 0% | 297 | 274 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 70 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 232 | 287 | 330 | 618 | 98 | 296 | 24 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | COL | 34% | 159 | 146 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 292 | 342 | 634 | 107 | 297 | 23 | 6 | 284 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | COL | 48% | 243 | 223 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 295 | 351 | 646 | 113 | 297 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 325 | 297 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 240 | 298 | 358 | 656 | 118 | 298 | 23 | 7 | 293 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 371 | 339 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 300 | 362 | 661 | 121 | 298 | 23 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 56% | 399 | 365 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 91 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 241 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 123 | 297 | 23 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 409 | 374 | 90 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 94 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 239 | 300 | 361 | 661 | 122 | 297 | 23 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 411 | 376 | 89 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 95 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 238 | 298 | 357 | 654 | 119 | 296 | 23 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 403 | 369 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 94 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 235 | 295 | 350 | 645 | 115 | 295 | 23 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 393 | 361 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 93 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 291 | 343 | 634 | 110 | 293 | 24 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 52% | 361 | 331 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 87 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 287 | 333 | 620 | 105 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | COL | 52% | 323 | 296 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 223 | 280 | 321 | 601 | 98 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -12 | -0 | -4 | +6 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | COL | 34% | 55 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 303 | 369 | 673 | 121 | 312 | 24 | 5 | 300 | 79 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | COL | 48% | 118 | 108 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 307 | 379 | 686 | 129 | 313 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 171 | 156 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 253 | 310 | 386 | 696 | 134 | 313 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 203 | 185 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 253 | 312 | 391 | 703 | 138 | 313 | 23 | 7 | 312 | 86 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 56% | 222 | 203 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 254 | 313 | 393 | 706 | 140 | 312 | 23 | 7 | 314 | 87 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 225 | 206 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 252 | 312 | 390 | 702 | 138 | 312 | 23 | 7 | 312 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 225 | 206 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 309 | 385 | 695 | 135 | 311 | 23 | 7 | 309 | 84 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 215 | 196 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 306 | 378 | 685 | 130 | 309 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 207 | 189 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 303 | 369 | 672 | 125 | 308 | 24 | 7 | 300 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 52% | 188 | 172 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 240 | 297 | 358 | 656 | 118 | 304 | 24 | 6 | 293 | 75 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | COL | 52% | 167 | 153 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 291 | 345 | 636 | 110 | 300 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 70 | -6 | -0 | -2 | +3 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1996 | 1825 | 451 | 80 | 19 | 39 | 133 | 465 | 19 | 41 | 11 | 247 | 305 | 376 | 681 | 129 | 310 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 79 | -43 | +4 | -6 | +36 | +43 | 3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 147 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 151 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 247 | 304 | 377 | 681 | 130 | 309 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 79 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4297 | 3924 | 920 | 170 | 30 | 70 | 289 | 984 | 44 | 94 | 28 | 234 | 294 | 347 | 641 | 112 | 294 | 23 | 7 | 286 | 79 | -86 | +6 | -10 | +70 | +85 | 6.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 140 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 149 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 236 | 297 | 352 | 648 | 116 | 295 | 23 | 7 | 286 | 79 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 187 PAwOBA .278 → .255 (−23)K% 13.9% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.60% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .278 → .255; ISO .081 → .074; BABIP .289 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rockies · 103 PAwOBA .350 → .268 (−83)K% 11.7% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.65% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷0.987 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.21% | ÷1.021 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×0.995 | 23.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.991 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×0.995 | 5.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×0.995 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .350 → .268; ISO .089 → .064; BABIP .372 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Rockies · 47 PAwOBA .219 → .147 (−72)K% 14.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.991 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.035 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 4.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.034 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .147; ISO .125 → .081; BABIP .152 → .109. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Colorado · 55 PAwOBA .442 → .322 (−120)K% 18.2% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.030 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.82% | ÷0.967 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 15.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷1.049 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 20.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.968 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 10.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .442 → .322; ISO .128 → .091; BABIP .467 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).