Jacob Frost

P Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	A+LAD	25	6	76	4.50	4.35	28.4%	16.8%	—	K 21.9% · BB 19.3% · FIP 5.49
2027PROJ	24	MLBLAD	64	0	67	5.73	5.73	22.0%	19.1%	-0.9
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBLAD	29	0	30	5.44	5.34	22.5%	16.6%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBLAD	44	0	46	5.29	5.24	22.8%	16.0%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsColby Langford (age 22) · Larson Kindreich (age 24) · Braeden Fausnaught (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126134vR 142

ERA5.73

FIP5.73

K%22.0%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%2.9%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CMD3040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	25	6	76	345	98	58	9	24%	3.0	21.9%	19.3%	2.5%	3.3%	4.50	5.49	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	25	6	76	345	98	58	9	24%	3.0	21.9%	19.3%	2.5%	3.3%	4.50	5.49	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	25	6	76	345	98	58	9	24%	3.0	28.4%	16.8%	11.6%	2.6%	4.50	4.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	LAD	64	0	67	283	62	54	9	0%	1.0	22.0%	19.1%	2.9%	3.1%	5.73	5.73	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	66	0	69	293	66	48	9	0%	1.1	22.5%	16.6%	6.0%	3.0%	5.44	5.34	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	66	0	69	293	67	47	9	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.0%	6.8%	3.0%	5.29	5.24	-0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	65	0	68	288	66	45	9	0%	1.1	22.8%	15.7%	7.1%	3.1%	5.24	5.24	-0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	63	0	66	280	64	44	9	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.7%	7.0%	3.2%	5.26	5.30	-0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	60	0	63	267	60	43	9	0%	1.1	22.5%	15.9%	6.5%	3.3%	5.36	5.43	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	29	0	30	127	29	21	4	0%	1.0	22.5%	16.6%	6.0%	3.0%	5.44	5.34	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	44	0	46	194	44	31	6	0%	1.0	22.8%	16.0%	6.8%	3.0%	5.29	5.24	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	50	0	53	224	51	35	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	15.7%	7.1%	3.1%	5.24	5.24	-0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	53	0	56	236	54	37	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.7%	7.0%	3.2%	5.26	5.30	-0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	52	0	55	232	52	37	8	0%	1.1	22.5%	15.9%	6.5%	3.3%	5.36	5.43	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		228	0	240	1013	230	161	32	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.9%	6.8%	3.1%	5.31	4.93	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	134	27	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.9%	6.8%	3.1%	5.31	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		25	6	76	345	75	67	11	24%	3.0	21.9%	19.3%	2.5%	3.3%	4.50	5.49	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	16	200	908	199	176	30	24%	3.0	21.9%	19.3%	2.5%	3.3%	4.50	5.49	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Frost (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.73	22.0%	19.1%	3.1%	—	5.27	22.7%	6.6%	207	-0.46	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	83
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	82
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	82
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	81
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	76
Mason Green L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	24	SW	5.28	17.9%	16.7%	2.9%	.278	4.24	18.4%	6.3%	265	-1.04	3.68	450	74
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	72
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	72
Angel Hernandez L 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.2%	18.0%	1.4%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	182	71
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	70
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	70
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.66	19.4%	5.9%	190	-0.29	1.91	302	70
Nathan Kirby L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	17.7%	16.2%	2.7%	.318	3.84	25.3%	8.7%	38	-1.28	3.84	145	69
Caleb Frare L 2017 · 5.45 FIP	24	SU	5.45	22.6%	21.3%	2.9%	.307	3.14	28.0%	15.6%	80	-2.31	2.27	237	69
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	69
Doug Davis L 2000 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	14.7%	12.2%	3.1%	.302	4.41	13.0%	4.1%	355	-0.71	3.47	1,713	69
Brendan Cellucci L 2022 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	22.4%	17.9%	2.7%	.320	4.48	23.3%	7.7%	137	-0.47	3.98	288	68
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	68
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	67
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	67	22.6%	16.5%	1.21	5.39
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*